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Pocket Guide to Diagnostic Tests-0838581358.pdf

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12 <strong>Pocket</strong> <strong>Guide</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>Diagnostic</strong> <strong>Tests</strong><br />

A<br />

Pretest<br />

probability<br />

Posttest<br />

probability<br />

Positive<br />

test<br />

0 .5 1<br />

Probability of disease<br />

B<br />

Pretest<br />

probability<br />

Posttest<br />

probability<br />

Positive<br />

test<br />

0 .5 1<br />

Probability of disease<br />

C<br />

Pretest<br />

probability<br />

Posttest<br />

probability<br />

0 .5 1<br />

Probability of disease<br />

Figure 1–6. Effect of pretest probability and test sensitivity and specificity on the posttest<br />

probability of disease. (See text for explanation.)<br />

Probability that test is positive in diseased persons<br />

LR+<br />

=<br />

Probability that test is positive in nondiseased persons<br />

Sensitivity<br />

=<br />

1 − Specificity<br />

Probability that test is negative in diseased persons<br />

LR−<br />

=<br />

Probability that test is negative in nondiseased persons<br />

1<br />

= − Sensitivity<br />

Specificity

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