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Pocket Guide to Diagnostic Tests-0838581358.pdf

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20 <strong>Pocket</strong> <strong>Guide</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>Diagnostic</strong> <strong>Tests</strong><br />

begins the analysis by building a decision tree showing the important<br />

elements of the decision. Once the tree is built, the clinician assigns<br />

probabilities <strong>to</strong> all the branches. In this case, all the branch probabilities<br />

can be calculated from (1) the probability of disease before the<br />

test (pretest probability), (2) the chance of a positive test if the disease<br />

is present (sensitivity), and (3) the chance of a negative test if the<br />

disease is absent (specificity). Next, the clinician assigns utility values<br />

<strong>to</strong> each of the outcomes.<br />

After the expected utility is calculated, the clinician may identify<br />

which alternative has the highest value by this analysis.<br />

Although time-consuming, decision analysis can help <strong>to</strong> structure<br />

complex clinical problems and <strong>to</strong> make difficult clinical decisions.<br />

Evidence-Based Medicine<br />

The focus over the past decade on evidence-based medicine stresses<br />

the examination of evidence from clinical research—rather than intuition<br />

and pathophysiologic reasoning—as a basis for clinical decision<br />

making. Evidence-based medicine relies on systematic reviews of the<br />

medical literature <strong>to</strong> inform clinical practice. Meta-analysis uses statistical<br />

techniques <strong>to</strong> combine evidence from different studies.<br />

Clinical practice guidelines are systematically developed statements<br />

intended <strong>to</strong> assist practitioners and patients in making decisions<br />

about health care. Clinical algorithms and practice guidelines are now<br />

ubiqui<strong>to</strong>us in medicine. Their utility and validity depend on the quality<br />

of the evidence that shaped the recommendations, on their being kept<br />

current, and on their acceptance and appropriate application by clinicians.<br />

While clinicians are concerned about the effect of guidelines on<br />

professional au<strong>to</strong>nomy, many organizations are trying <strong>to</strong> use compliance<br />

with practice guidelines as a measure of quality of care.<br />

Computer Access <strong>to</strong> Medical Information<br />

The development of medical information science and computer technology<br />

now offer a vast amount of clinical information on CD-ROM or<br />

over the World Wide Web.<br />

REFERENCES<br />

Dekay ML, Asch DA: Is the defensive use of diagnostic tests good for<br />

patients, or bad? Med Decis Making 1998;18:19.<br />

Detsky AS et al: Primer on medical decision analysis. (Five parts.) Med<br />

Decis Making 1997;17:123.

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