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In the case of the pronghorn antelope study, the species<br />

observations <strong>in</strong>cluded 762 telemetry fixes from 26 collared<br />

animals from May to July of 2005. The spatial extent of the<br />

analysis was def<strong>in</strong>ed by this data <strong>in</strong> comb<strong>in</strong>ation with expert<br />

knowledge of known habitat use. The spatial resolution for<br />

all environmental data was a 100-meter grid produced by<br />

resampl<strong>in</strong>g the data as appropriate.<br />

Analysts used various model<strong>in</strong>g techniques to create forage,<br />

herbaceous, sage, soil, and cumulative net primary production<br />

(NPP) layers (i.e., process models). Additional models us<strong>in</strong>g<br />

empirical field data created coyote and wolf <strong>in</strong>tensity of use<br />

and small mammal biomass layers. F<strong>in</strong>ally, available space<br />

layers were created us<strong>in</strong>g one-kilometer buffers around each<br />

pronghorn location <strong>in</strong> which po<strong>in</strong>ts were randomly generated<br />

over that space to simulate potential habitat use. S<strong>in</strong>ce the spatial<br />

scale at which pronghorn select their habitat was unknown, this<br />

process was repeated at three kilometers and five kilometers for<br />

comparative analysis.<br />

Exam<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g Alternative Futures—<br />

Ecological Forecast<strong>in</strong>g<br />

EAGLES has a tool called the Swap tool that enables users to<br />

build alternative scenarios (i.e., change models) us<strong>in</strong>g an already<br />

constructed model and change only one attribute while hold<strong>in</strong>g<br />

all else constant to exam<strong>in</strong>e the effects of that change on the<br />

model. This approach allows a transparent <strong>in</strong>vestigation of<br />

the changes <strong>in</strong> levels of treatments, such as geophysical layer<br />

alterations, changes <strong>in</strong> forage availability, or more sophisticated<br />

modeled <strong>in</strong>put layer substitutions. The goal is to apply a model<br />

that previously "fit" to observed data for a potential scenario <strong>in</strong><br />

an effort to make projections about the ecological ramifications<br />

of a given landscape change (i.e., impact models).<br />

For example, a forecast about the impact of build<strong>in</strong>g a new<br />

road through a habitat would rely on the <strong>in</strong>put of a new layer<br />

that conta<strong>in</strong>s the proposed road. The user can then apply the<br />

fitted resource model to the new road layer (<strong>in</strong>stead of the<br />

orig<strong>in</strong>al layer) and view the response surface under the changed<br />

landscape. Such projections allow a measured assessment of<br />

habitat change. Visualization of the resultant surface occurs <strong>in</strong><br />

GIS, and the resultant equations and models can be exam<strong>in</strong>ed<br />

statistically, as well. The <strong>in</strong>tent is to provide a utility for plann<strong>in</strong>g<br />

for landscape change.<br />

Humans with Nature<br />

The benefit of the EAGLES toolset is that it streaml<strong>in</strong>es the<br />

f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g, compilation, and <strong>in</strong>tegration of data by allow<strong>in</strong>g the user<br />

to identify the geospatial data <strong>in</strong>puts, region of <strong>in</strong>terest, scale,<br />

and a common data resolution—even a temporal resolution—<br />

to make it easier to assemble available national datasets <strong>in</strong>to<br />

a common georeferenced coord<strong>in</strong>ate system us<strong>in</strong>g ArcGIS.<br />

Apply<strong>in</strong>g such a workflow to standardized datasets across the<br />

United States would help propel the adoption of GeoDesign.<br />

Geodesign <strong>in</strong> Practice: Design<strong>in</strong>g a Better World<br />

J10221<br />

Where the Wild Th<strong>in</strong>gs Are <strong>in</strong> Yellowstone Park<br />

24

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