indonesia
SR53_Indonesia_Dec2015
SR53_Indonesia_Dec2015
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Nonetheless, the energy sector will continue to play an important role in the Indonesian<br />
economy. Despite declining oil production, 4 Indonesia remains a net energy exporter and is a<br />
large producer and exporter of natural gas, coal, and palm oil, with its largest export markets<br />
including China, Japan, Singapore, South Korea, and the United States. Increasingly, however,<br />
these resources are being routed for the domestic market to keep pace with rising domestic<br />
demand for energy, which is projected to triple by 2030. 5<br />
Current Energy Supply and Demand Picture<br />
As noted above, Indonesia remains a major fossil fuel producer and net exporter of energy.<br />
In 2013, it was the 24th-largest crude oil producer in the world, accounting for 1% of global<br />
production. 6 Indonesia is also a significant global producer and supplier of coal, natural gas, and<br />
palm oil:<br />
• Coal. Indonesia is currently the largest exporter of thermal coal and the fourth-largest coal<br />
producer globally. 7 In 2013, it produced 489 million tonnes (Mt) of coal and exported 329 Mt. 8<br />
• Natural gas. In 2013, Indonesia was the fourth-largest exporter of liquefied natural gas (LNG)<br />
and the tenth-largest producer in the world. In 2013, it produced 78.8 billion cubic meters<br />
(bcm) of LNG and exported 34.8 bcm. 9<br />
• Palm oil. Indonesia is the largest producer and exporter of palm oil in the world. In 2014,<br />
it produced 31 million metric tons (mmt) of palm oil and exported 20 mmt. Indonesian<br />
production of crude palm oil represents approximately 50% of total global production. 10<br />
Energy and mining commodities constitute a significant percentage of export revenue, with<br />
coal and gas being the largest contributors, accounting for approximately 27% of total export<br />
revenue. 11 Indonesia’s role as an energy supplier has begun to shift, however, as the country<br />
increasingly directs more resources toward domestic consumption to meet rising demand. This<br />
trend could affect future supply to energy trading partners.<br />
According to a recent report by the International Energy Agency, the power sector will be the<br />
major driver of energy demand growth in Indonesia. 12 Despite having an abundance of different<br />
energy sources, Indonesia currently has an electrification ratio of only 80%, which means that<br />
20% of the population lives without access to electricity. To put this in context, Indonesia’s<br />
neighbors in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN)—namely Singapore, Malaysia,<br />
Brunei, Thailand, and Vietnam—all have 100% electrification. The next section will examine the<br />
government’s plan for addressing this gap between electricity supply and demand, as well as the<br />
overall challenge of rising domestic energy demand.<br />
4 Indonesia became a net importer of oil in 2004 and suspended its membership in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries<br />
(OPEC) in 2008.<br />
5 IEA, Indonesia 2015, 26.<br />
6 Ibid., 19.<br />
7 Thermal coal or steaming coal is burned for steam to run turbines to generate electricity.<br />
8 IEA, Indonesia 2015, 71.<br />
9 Ibid., 39.<br />
10 “Palm Oil,” Indonesia Investments, October 15, 2015, http://www.<strong>indonesia</strong>-investments.com/business/commodities/palm-oil/item166.<br />
11 Edi Saputra, “The Real Cost of Indonesia’s Commodity Export Restrictions,” Jakarta Post, June 8, 2015.<br />
10<br />
NBR<br />
12 IEA, Indonesia 2015, 40.<br />
SPECIAL REPORT u DECEMBER 2015