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Juma, Mary-Ann--Thesis

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and lagged FDI. Accordingly, regression results using the sub-sample generated by the<br />

exclusion of outliers are presented in Table 4 below.<br />

Table 4: FDI and growth (excluding 2.5 standard deviation outliers)<br />

Dependent Variable: Real GDP growth<br />

(2.1) (2.2) (2.3) (2.4) (2.5) (2.6)<br />

Lagged FDI/GDP 0.491 0.474 0.310 0.255 0.313 0.192<br />

(0.096)*** (0.089)*** (0.101)*** (0.156) (0.146)** (0.098)*<br />

FDI * Mineral-rich 0.334 0.255 0.194<br />

(0.197)* (0.207) (0.208)<br />

Lagged Gross fixed capital formation/GDP 0.027 0.011 0.035 0.028 0.012 0.036<br />

(0.034) (0.036) (0.031) (0.033) (0.035) (0.030)<br />

Adult population growth 1.167 1.085 1.028 1.189 1.101 1.042<br />

(0.213)*** (0.173)*** (0.169)*** (0.212)*** (0.174)*** (0.176)***<br />

Lagged GDP -0.061 -0.637 -3.025 0.153 -0.467 -2.831<br />

(1.220) (0.899) (1.909) (1.212) (0.921) (2.006)<br />

Government Expenditure/GDP -0.080 -0.035 -0.077 -0.034<br />

(0.049) (0.058) (0.050) (0.058)<br />

Trade/GDP 0.029 0.013 0.027 0.012<br />

(0.018) (0.018) (0.019) (0.018)<br />

Terms of Trade 1.911 2.167 1.714 2.002<br />

(0.869)** (0.784)*** (0.888)* (0.761)**<br />

1989-1991 0.400 0.394<br />

(0.484) (0.485)<br />

1992-1994 -1.117 -1.160<br />

(0.628)* (0.643)*<br />

1995-1997 1.094 1.042<br />

(0.691) (0.718)<br />

1998-2000 1.016 0.960<br />

(0.780) (0.812)<br />

2001-2003 1.554 1.517<br />

(0.991) (1.007)<br />

2004-2006 2.805 2.715<br />

(1.249)** (1.299)**<br />

2007-2009 2.926 2.831<br />

(1.243)** (1.284)**<br />

Constant -0.573 4.857 26.182 -2.567 3.336 24.462<br />

(11.295) (8.009) (17.345) (11.196) (8.176) (18.171)<br />

Observations 328 321 321 328 321 321<br />

R-squared 0.26 0.29 0.39 0.27 0.30 0.39<br />

F statistic 14.86 11.58 10.22 11.20 10.06 9.50<br />

p(>F)<br />

Notes:<br />

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00<br />

All regressions are ordinary least square regressions with country fixed effects. White heteroskedasticity-consistent<br />

standard errors in parentheses, and *, **, and *** denote significance at the 10%, 5% and 1% levels respectively.<br />

Constant term not reported; time dummy for 1986-1988 dropped from all regressions due to multi-collinearity<br />

32

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