Juma, Mary-Ann--Thesis
Juma, Mary-Ann--Thesis
Juma, Mary-Ann--Thesis
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countries. However, this impact has not differed from mineral-rich to mineral-poor<br />
economies, as the coefficient of the FDI/resource-rich interaction term remains<br />
insignificant in a majority of my regressions, and does not have a consistently positive or<br />
negative sign.<br />
8 Conclusion<br />
This paper contributes to the empirical literature on FDI and growth by focusing<br />
solely on Sub-Saharan Africa. I employ a larger dataset than other FDI studies on the<br />
region, by covering forty-three countries over 1980-2009. The growth rate of real GDP is<br />
the dependent variable in all regressions, while gross inward FDI flows as a percentage of<br />
GDP is used as the key explanatory variable. I use triennial and quinquennial averages of<br />
all variables to reduce business cycle effects, following established practice.<br />
I find that increased FDI inflows are generally associated with higher growth in<br />
Sub-Saharan African countries, particularly after the exclusion of outliers. This finding<br />
would be further strengthened by readily-accessible data on institutional variables, which<br />
might have helped to account for the extraordinary situations in the countries with<br />
extreme values of growth and FDI. Nevertheless, my results are of economic<br />
significance, as they show that a percentage point increase in FDI as a share of GDP is<br />
associated with a subsequent increase in annual GDP growth of between 0.30 and 0.71<br />
percentage points. This positive correlation is consistent with the findings of other studies<br />
on FDI and growth, such as Borensztein et al (2003), Wang (2002) and Brambila-Macias<br />
and Massa (2010).<br />
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