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65°W<br />

64°W<br />

63°W<br />

62°W<br />

61°W<br />

60°W<br />

Upper Churchill River Watershed<br />

Lower Churchill River Watershed<br />

Lower Churchill Hydroelectric<br />

Project Aquatic Assessment Area<br />

Smallwood Reservoir<br />

54°N 54°N<br />

<strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Melville</strong><br />

Muskrat<br />

53°N Falls<br />

53°N<br />

Gull<br />

Island<br />

0 25 50 100 150 200<br />

Kilometres<br />

52°N 52°N<br />

65°W<br />

64°W<br />

63°W<br />

62°W<br />

61°W<br />

60°W<br />

Figure 1.3. Aquatic Environment Assessment Area in the Lower Churchill EIS was the main stem of the<br />

Churchill River (dark green filled area). Source: Adapted from Nalcor Energy (2009a, Fig. 2–2, p. 2–16).<br />

in 2012, and Fisheries and Oceans Canada (now the<br />

Department of Fisheries, Oceans and the Canadian<br />

Coast Guard) and the province issued authorizations in<br />

2013 to construct the Muskrat Falls reservoir and dam.<br />

Construction cost estimates for Muskrat Falls were $7.65<br />

billion in fall of 2015, up from $6.2 billion at the time of<br />

project sanction (Fitzpatrick, 2015), with more increases<br />

expected (Antle, 2016). None of the power from the<br />

Lower Churchill project will be used for meeting energy<br />

needs in Labrador; all of it is being exported out of the<br />

region to the island portion of the province and Nova<br />

Scotia.<br />

Predictions of downstream effects during the EA<br />

Nalcor predicted that, “there will be no change in flow<br />

or salinity, water temperature, ice or other physical<br />

disturbance beyond the mouth of the Churchill River<br />

from this Project” and consequently established the<br />

EA boundary to exclude <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Melville</strong> and Nunatsiavut<br />

(Nalcor Energy, 2009a, p. 2-16). Figure 1.3 shows the<br />

aquatic assessment area employed by Nalcor in the<br />

Environmental Impact Statement (EIS), which was<br />

limited to the Churchill River main stem. Based on<br />

this decision, baseline sampling of <strong>Lake</strong> <strong>Melville</strong><br />

and detailed study regarding downstream impacts,<br />

including the fate, transport, and bioaccumulation of<br />

methylmercury, was not carried out.<br />

Nalcor’s prediction was based on two main reported<br />

premises: 1) that the mouth of the river is the end of<br />

the riverine habitat, and 2) that with few potential<br />

exceptions, “Goose Bay dilutes any effects originating<br />

from upstream to ‘no measureable effects’ level on the<br />

key indicators” (Nalcor Energy, 2011, p. 3). The term “no<br />

measurable effects” was defined as changes occurring<br />

within the range of natural variability. Nalcor predicted<br />

that:<br />

8

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