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Table 5 – Regressions for trade and income per capita – 2.<br />

Germany<br />

Italy<br />

OLS IV OLS IV<br />

Dependent variable: lnYi<br />

Const. 2.677*** 2.751*** 3.474*** 4.375***<br />

(0.370) (0.282) (0.855) (0.822)<br />

Trade share 0.570*** 0.522*** 0.360 1.315*<br />

(0.074) (0.108) (0.222) (0.550)<br />

Ln population 0.147* 0.145*** -0.066 -0.075<br />

(0.062) (0.051) (0.035) (0.056)<br />

Ln area -0.086** -0.089*** 0.027 -0.106<br />

(0.026) (0.025) (0.064) (0.140)<br />

Dummy for<br />

poor region<br />

-0.083 -0.092 -0.417*** -0.231<br />

(0.085) (0.070) (0.081) (0.131)<br />

No. obs. 16 16 20 20<br />

Root MSE 0.111 0.093 0.109 0.139<br />

R̅2 0.857 0.855 0.862 0.701<br />

Note: Estimation methods: ordinary least squares (OLS) for Columns 1 and 3; instrumental<br />

variables (IV) for Columns 2 and 4. Endogenous variable: trade share. Heteroskedasticityrobust<br />

standard errors in brackets.<br />

* Significant at 5%.<br />

** Significant at 1%.<br />

*** Significant at 1‰.

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