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WHY EAST GERMANY DID NOT BECOME A NEW MEZZOGIORNO<br />

Andrea BOLTHO,<br />

Magdalen College, University of Oxford<br />

Wendy CARLIN,<br />

University College London and CEPR<br />

Pasquale SCARAMOZZINO,<br />

SOAS, University of London and Università degli Studi di Roma Tor Vergata<br />

Abstract – In an earlier paper (Journal of Comparative Economics, 1997) the authors<br />

argued, against the conventional wisdom of the time, that East Germany was unlikely to<br />

follow a development path similar to that of the Italian Mezzogiorno. This paper revisits<br />

the issue some 25 years after German reunification. Statistical tests show that the<br />

absence of income per capita convergence between South and North that has<br />

characterized Italy since the war, continued over the last two or more decades.<br />

Germany, on the other hand, has, over the same period, seen significant income<br />

convergence between East and West. The main explanations that are provided for such<br />

contrasting outcomes stress differences between the two countries (and within the two<br />

countries) in investment performance, in labour market flexibility, and, in particular, in<br />

developments in the tradable sector whose performance in East Germany has been much<br />

superior to that of the Mezzogiorno. These differences, in turn, are linked to very<br />

different standards of institutional quality and governance which are almost certainly<br />

rooted in the two “poor” regions’ longer-run history.<br />

JEL Classification: N10, O11, O57, P52, R11.<br />

Keywords: East Germany, Mezzogiorno, Investment performance, Labour market<br />

flexibility, Social capital, Competitiveness, Economic complexity.

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