Understanding Iran’s Role in the Syrian Conflict
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Aniseh Bassiri Tabrizi and Raffaello Pantucci 35<br />
on a merger with Al-Nusra,12 but <strong>the</strong>se fell through because Al-Nusra would not cut ties with<br />
Al-Qa’ida.13 S<strong>in</strong>ce 2013, Islamist groups – mostly driven by <strong>the</strong>ir regional backers – have made<br />
frequent attempts to push Al-Nusra away from Al-Qa’ida.<br />
Given <strong>the</strong> extent of Iranian <strong>in</strong>volvement <strong>in</strong> Syria, it seems that all groups are engaged <strong>in</strong> fight<strong>in</strong>g<br />
Iranian troops <strong>in</strong> some form, be it Quds special forces or Iranian-backed militias. Iranian-backed<br />
Hizbullah and Iraqi militias have also spearheaded much of <strong>the</strong> fight<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> nor<strong>the</strong>rn and sou<strong>the</strong>rn<br />
Syria.14 A recent video produced by Al-Nusra purportedly shows Iranian special forces retreat<strong>in</strong>g<br />
from Al-Eis <strong>in</strong> sou<strong>the</strong>rn Aleppo.15 As fight<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> Aleppo <strong>in</strong>tensified <strong>in</strong> February and July, various<br />
rebel forces clashed with pro-government forces, which <strong>in</strong>cluded Iranian operatives and Iranianbacked<br />
foreign militias.16<br />
How Rebel Groups View <strong>Iran’s</strong> Policy <strong>in</strong> Syria<br />
Despite <strong>the</strong> difficulty opposition groups have had <strong>in</strong> reach<strong>in</strong>g agreement on a number of issues<br />
<strong>in</strong> relation to <strong>the</strong> <strong>Syrian</strong> civil war, <strong>the</strong>re are few differences <strong>in</strong> views on <strong>Iran’s</strong> presence <strong>in</strong><br />
Syria. While FSA factions that <strong>in</strong>clude military defectors from <strong>the</strong> <strong>Syrian</strong> army tend to be more<br />
accept<strong>in</strong>g of a long-term engagement with Iran, most rebel groups see Iran as a strategic and<br />
sectarian enemy. While <strong>the</strong> possibility that any group will ultimately engage with Iran cannot be<br />
ruled out, <strong>Iran’s</strong> <strong>in</strong>volvement <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> peace process is currently rejected by all opposition forces.<br />
Iran presents two ma<strong>in</strong> threats to opposition groups. First, its direct military support of <strong>the</strong> Assad<br />
regime, aimed at preserv<strong>in</strong>g his presidency, directly counters <strong>the</strong> objectives of rebel groups,<br />
which all seek to replace <strong>the</strong> regime <strong>in</strong> some way. <strong>Iran’s</strong> <strong>in</strong>volvement <strong>in</strong> battlefield successes not<br />
only weakens opposition groups, but gives Assad a stronger position from which to negotiate at<br />
peace talks. Second, <strong>Iran’s</strong> <strong>in</strong>volvement <strong>in</strong> Syria is perceived by rebel groups as part of its support<br />
for Shia across <strong>the</strong> region and an attempt to spread Shia <strong>in</strong>fluence. For example, Ahrar Al-Sham<br />
has pushed <strong>the</strong> sectarian rhetoric that <strong>Iran’s</strong> <strong>in</strong>volvement <strong>in</strong> Syria is part of a regional ‘Shia<br />
sickle’.17 The group has demanded ‘<strong>the</strong> complete cleans<strong>in</strong>g of <strong>the</strong> Russian-Iranian occupation<br />
of <strong>Syrian</strong> land, and <strong>the</strong> sectarian militias which support it’,18 and with 40 o<strong>the</strong>r Islamist groups,<br />
called for co-operation to counter <strong>the</strong> ‘Russian-Iranian alliance occupy<strong>in</strong>g Syria’.19<br />
12. Mariam Karouny, ‘Al-Qaeda <strong>in</strong> Syria Tried to Merge With a Major Rival Faction – But it Completely<br />
Backfired’, Bus<strong>in</strong>ess Insider UK, 31 January 2016, ,<br />
accessed 22 July 2016.<br />
13. On 28 July 2016, <strong>the</strong> group announced its split from Al-Qa’ida and its new name, Jabhat Fateh Al-<br />
Sham. This might have an impact on a potential merger with Ahrar Al-Sham or o<strong>the</strong>r rebel groups.<br />
14. Hassan Hassan, ‘Could <strong>the</strong> Iran Deal Lead to a Syria Deal?’, Foreign Policy, 15 July 2015.<br />
15. Maayan Groisman, ‘<strong>Iran’s</strong> Special Forces Reportedly Suffer<strong>in</strong>g Heavy Losses <strong>in</strong> Syria’, Jerusalem<br />
Post, 13 March 2016, ,<br />
accessed 22 July 2016.<br />
16. Sune Engel Rasmussen and Zahra Nader, ‘Iran Covertly Recruits Afghan Shias to Fight <strong>in</strong> Syria’,<br />
The Guardian, 30 June 2016.<br />
17. Ahmed, ‘Ahrar Al-Sham’s Apocalyptic Vision for Syria and Beyond’.<br />
18. Lund, ‘Riyadh, Rumeilan, and Damascus’.<br />
19. Sylvia Westall, ‘<strong>Syrian</strong> Rebels Call for Regional Alliance Aga<strong>in</strong>st Russia and Iran’, Reuters,<br />
5 October 2015.