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ey-africa-attractiveness-program-2016-staying-the-course
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Africa’s FDI sources:<br />
diversity supports ongoing<br />
resilience<br />
32<br />
According to the World Trade Organization (WTO), Africa<br />
accounted for merely 2% of global merchandise exports in<br />
2015. 33 Trade and FDI are interlinked, considering they are<br />
<br />
opportunity exists to strengthen Africa’s role in the global<br />
trade and investment order.<br />
At present, several mega-regional trade agreements are in<br />
progress around the world. First, among them, is the Trans-<br />
<br />
Brunei Darussalam, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico,<br />
New Zealand, Peru, Singapore and Vietnam. Signed in<br />
February 2016, the TPP affects 40% of the world economy.<br />
Besides the TPP, the US is also negotiating the Transatlantic<br />
Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) with the European<br />
Union (EU). Another mega-regional agreement under<br />
negotiations is the Trade in Services Agreement (TiSA),<br />
which will focus on liberalizing barriers to trade in services.<br />
Finally, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN)<br />
along with China, Japan, South Korea, India, Australia and<br />
New Zealand are negotiating the Regional Comprehensive<br />
Economic Partnership (RCEP) agreement.<br />
In this regard, the continent’s steps toward regional<br />
integration are a top priority. In June 2015, 26 African<br />
countries agreed to establish the Tripartite Free Trade<br />
Area (TFTA), comprising the EAC, the Common Market for<br />
Eastern and Southern Africa (COMESA) and the Southern<br />
African Development Community (SADC). The TFTA is<br />
expected to provide a US$8.5b boost to intra-African<br />
trade, with processed food, light manufacturing and heavy<br />
34 The TFTA is also<br />
the building block toward a Continental Free Trade Area<br />
(CFTA), likely by 2017, which could lift intra-African trade by<br />
52% or about US$35b by 2022. 35<br />
Several RECs, including the EAC and the Economic<br />
Community of West African States (ECOWAS) continue<br />
signing new trade agreements among their members. The<br />
US and the EU are also inking trade deals with the continent’s<br />
RECs. As such, policy is moving in the right direction, but<br />
efforts need to be stepped up to cement Africa’s position in<br />
the global trade order.<br />
Africa is not involved in any of these mega-regional trade<br />
negotiations, whose rules are expected to become de<br />
facto global standards. With new rules and market access<br />
preferences, African countries are likely to be impacted<br />
by increased competition and could experience erosion of<br />
preferences in markets that form part of mega-regional trade<br />
agreements.<br />
32<br />
Foresight Africa: Top priorities for the continent in 2016,” International Centre for Trade and<br />
Sustainable Development website, www.ictsd.org, accessed 7 June 2016<br />
33<br />
” World Trade Organization website, www.wto.org, 7 April 2016.<br />
34<br />
” United Nations Economic Commission for Africa website, www.uneca.org, accessed 7 June 2016.<br />
35<br />
” International Centre for Trade and Sustainable Development website, www.ictsd.org, accessed 7 June 2016.<br />
<br />
EY’s Africa Attractiveness Program 2016 Staying the <strong>course</strong>