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ASEAN – The next PRD?<br />
Special Report: Shop Talk – China, ASEAN and robotics<br />
One in seven manufacturers in<br />
China prefer to move their<br />
operations outside<br />
ASEAN – Poised to benefit<br />
Opportunities for ASEAN<br />
ASEAN is the preferred destination for manufacturing, outside China<br />
Relocating capacity outside China as manufacturing becomes more expensive in the<br />
PRD has become increasingly attractive over the years. While only 9% of clients<br />
were keen on moving their operations out of China in 2013, over 13% of respondents<br />
this year said they are keen on this option. The numbers seem low, partly because<br />
the survey only includes respondents who still have operations in the PRD region;<br />
manufacturers who have already moved their operating base outside the PRD, which<br />
would have boosted the share, are excluded. Nevertheless, we expect the share of<br />
corporates preferring to move out of China to increase along with rising wages in<br />
China as the country moves up the manufacturing value chain and other countries<br />
hone their manufacturing capabilities. Overall, the option to move capacity out of<br />
China has been the only increasingly preferred option in the past few years.<br />
ASEAN has consistently topped the list of preferred destinations among our clients<br />
who have expressed keenness to move their manufacturing operations out of China.<br />
Almost 80% of respondents preferred ASEAN as their manufacturing base, in line<br />
Figure 1: How do you respond to labour shortages?<br />
% of respondents, this and past surveys<br />
Figure 2: If you plan to move capacity out of China, to<br />
where?<br />
% of respondents<br />
Invest more in automation/<br />
streamlining processes*<br />
Invest more in<br />
capital equipment<br />
Move capacity<br />
inland<br />
2016<br />
2015<br />
2014<br />
2013<br />
Vietnam<br />
Cambodia<br />
Bangladesh<br />
Thailand<br />
India<br />
Philippines<br />
5%<br />
3%<br />
5%<br />
3%<br />
7%<br />
10%<br />
25%<br />
36%<br />
42%<br />
2016<br />
2015<br />
Move capacity<br />
out of China<br />
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%<br />
Sri Lanka<br />
Indonesia<br />
2%<br />
5%<br />
2%<br />
10%<br />
* Not an answer option before 2015; Source: Standard Chartered Research Source: Standard Chartered Research<br />
Figure 3: What are your cost savings from your potential<br />
action?<br />
% of respondents<br />
Figure 4: What are your cost savings from moving out?<br />
% of respondents<br />
Move out of China<br />
Move capacity inland<br />
More capex<br />
Invest in automation<br />
21%<br />
19%<br />
15%<br />
17%<br />
13%<br />
2016<br />
14%<br />
2015<br />
14%<br />
12%<br />
Vietnam<br />
Cambodia<br />
Bangladesh<br />
Thailand<br />
India<br />
22%<br />
19%<br />
19%<br />
20%<br />
23%<br />
23%<br />
20%<br />
23%<br />
28%<br />
2016<br />
2015<br />
31%<br />
Source: Standard Chartered Research<br />
Source: Standard Chartered Research<br />
19 July 2016 28