POLITICS GOVERNANCE STATE-SOCIETY RELATIONS
Politics_Governance_and_State-Society_Relations_web_1121
Politics_Governance_and_State-Society_Relations_web_1121
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<strong>POLITICS</strong>, <strong>GOVERNANCE</strong>, AND <strong>STATE</strong>-<strong>SOCIETY</strong> <strong>RELATIONS</strong><br />
Satellite dishes on building roofs in Cairo, Egypt provided new access to information, December 27, 2007.<br />
Photo credit: Paul Keller/Wikimedia.<br />
Perhaps it was inevitable that in this context of<br />
limited political and economic reforms determined<br />
by, and largely benefiting, a narrow slice of the<br />
society, the Arab world would see the emergence<br />
of new forms of bottom-up formal and informal<br />
political mobilization in the form of grassroots<br />
protest movements, new labor unions and wildcat<br />
labor actions, and new political parties, as well as<br />
new mobilization within and recruitment to longstanding<br />
non-state movements like the Muslim<br />
Brotherhood and Salafi groups.<br />
When these forces began to challenge state<br />
authority—both through formal political processes<br />
like elections and through nonviolent civil resistance<br />
like strikes and street protests—governments<br />
quickly found that the decades of declining state<br />
effectiveness meant that their non-coercive tools<br />
for reestablishing control were of limited value. This<br />
problem was compounded by the global recession<br />
of 2008, which raised inflation, raised food prices,<br />
and reduced the rents for non-oil-producing states;<br />
thus, public coffers were light when resources for<br />
co-optation were needed. In addition, the ideology<br />
of Arab nationalism trumpeted by leaders like<br />
Saddam Hussein had lost much of its luster in<br />
the wake of the two Iraq wars, both because of<br />
Hussein’s brutality toward his own people and<br />
because of the intra-Arab sectarian violence that<br />
emerged after 2003. So states increasingly turned<br />
to renewed attempts at coercion and manipulation<br />
of the political system. Increased state coercion<br />
produced the ultimate backlash in the form of mass<br />
popular mobilization against governments across<br />
much of the region. Where the army defected—<br />
as in Egypt and Tunisia—regime change was the<br />
result. But where leaders met popular protest with<br />
violence, they provoked civil conflict and created<br />
openings for violent non-state actors as well.<br />
It is no accident that the parts of the region that are<br />
most disordered today—Libya and Syria—are those<br />
where leaders, having failed to act in a manner that<br />
could have prevented uprisings, sought to repress<br />
popular dissent through the use of force. Instead<br />
of restoring order, these brutal, power-hungry, and<br />
shortsighted men broke their crumbling states to<br />
bits and drove their societies to civil war.<br />
As the state apparatus turned against its own<br />
citizens, those citizens turned elsewhere for<br />
protection—toward sectarian militias and extremist<br />
ATLANTIC COUNCIL<br />
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