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Nigeria in 2017 by SB Morgen

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2016 REVIEW – POWER<br />

2016 was supposed to be a transitional year<br />

for the power sector <strong>in</strong> <strong>Nigeria</strong>. At the end of<br />

2015 the problems that faced the sector were<br />

well known. The issues <strong>in</strong>cluded <strong>in</strong>adequate<br />

fuel supplies (primarily natural gas) for some<br />

power generation stations and a constra<strong>in</strong>ed<br />

transmission network that were limit<strong>in</strong>g the<br />

amount of energy that could be delivered to<br />

households as well as a shortage of <strong>in</strong>stalled<br />

meters which left plenty of power consumers<br />

pay<strong>in</strong>g electricity bills for <strong>in</strong>accurate,<br />

estimated consumption.<br />

In addition, electricity tariffs that were too<br />

low meant that distribution companies<br />

(Discos), responsible for ultimately deliver<strong>in</strong>g<br />

electrical power to end users, could not<br />

adequately pay for electricity they purchased<br />

from power generation companies (Gencos).<br />

Discos also compla<strong>in</strong>ed of almost ₦200<br />

billion <strong>in</strong> unpaid bills from mostly government<br />

and its agencies, severely hamper<strong>in</strong>g<br />

cashflow and ability of the Discos to <strong>in</strong>vest.<br />

The comb<strong>in</strong>ation of these issues meant that<br />

power supplied to households cont<strong>in</strong>ued to<br />

be <strong>in</strong>adequate, consumers were frustrated<br />

with bills for estimated consumption, and<br />

operat<strong>in</strong>g companies <strong>in</strong> the sector were<br />

<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly reluctant to make <strong>in</strong>vestments<br />

required to improve service delivery.<br />

The power m<strong>in</strong>ister, Tunde Fashola,<br />

recognized most of these issues <strong>in</strong> his<br />

<strong>in</strong>augural media brief<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> December 2015,<br />

and provided an <strong>in</strong>itial overview of his<br />

approach to solv<strong>in</strong>g them. In a detailed policy<br />

speech <strong>in</strong> May 2016, he ref<strong>in</strong>ed those ideas<br />

and set out a roadmap to solv<strong>in</strong>g the issues<br />

<strong>in</strong> the <strong>in</strong>dustry. Strangely, the roadmap was<br />

lack<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> specific milestones or timel<strong>in</strong>es, a<br />

clear attempt by the m<strong>in</strong>ister to avoid be<strong>in</strong>g<br />

held to account for missed milestones or slips<br />

<strong>in</strong> schedule of the roadmap. Unfortunately,<br />

the end of 2016 sees the <strong>in</strong>dustry largely <strong>in</strong><br />

the same position that it was at the end of<br />

2015 despite best attempts by stakeholders<br />

to resolve the issues. Inadequate power,<br />

frustrated consumers and unpaid bills<br />

cont<strong>in</strong>ue to be the hallmarks of the sector.<br />

Gas supplies to power plants that had been<br />

steadily <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at the beg<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g of the year<br />

dropped by a massive 55% from 734 mmscf<br />

per day <strong>in</strong> January to 327 mmscf per day<br />

<strong>in</strong> June and rema<strong>in</strong>ed limited through most<br />

of the year due to the bomb<strong>in</strong>g of pipel<strong>in</strong>e<br />

<strong>in</strong>frastructure <strong>in</strong> the Niger Delta region by<br />

the Niger Delta Avengers militant group. The<br />

<strong>in</strong>cidents have not fully abated, despite a<br />

seem<strong>in</strong>g truce reached between the federal<br />

government and the group, further <strong>in</strong>hibit<strong>in</strong>g<br />

the amount of electrical power that can be<br />

delivered to households. Improvement <strong>in</strong> the<br />

transmission network has also been marg<strong>in</strong>al.<br />

Transmission Company of <strong>Nigeria</strong>, the Federal<br />

Government of <strong>Nigeria</strong> owned operator of the<br />

transmission network, needed about ₦205<br />

billion <strong>in</strong> 2016 to fund grid re<strong>in</strong>forcement and<br />

27

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