tmp_13261-201612_Nigeria-in-2017941746745

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Our position regarding the pastoral conflict was that that tension would continue in the Middle Belt between nomadic herdsmen and farmers. We believed that the FG would continue to devote its attention and resources on the North East and not pay enough consideration to the pastoral conflict. 2016 was the year of Agatu, Ukpabi-Nimbo, Godogodo and other massacres which resulted in an increase in retaliatory attacks. Eventually as things began to get out of hand, the FG began to pay some attention to the crisis - not nearly enough in our opinion. “There will continue to be emigration from cities in the North-East caused not just by the insurgency but by overall worsening economic conditions,” we said at the end of 2015. “Cities such as Lagos, Abuja, Jos and Kano will be net recipients of the migrants.” The IDP crises, beginning to emerge in locations removed from the Boko Haram crisis, and increasing communal tensions between ethnic Northern communities, and their hosts across Southern Nigeria, made this prediction sadly true. On the Shiite crisis which began in December 2015, we predicted an escalation in the North West without reaching the levels of a full blown insurgency in 2016. Sadly, this prediction has proven accurate, with Kaduna 8
leading the way in banning and suppressing the IMN, followed by Kano, Zamfara, Katsina and Kebbi in the North West and Plateau in the North Central. The leader of the group is also being held by the government in spite of court orders to release him with a ₦50 million compensation. 9
Page 1 and 2: NIGERIA IN 2017 A review of 2016 Ou
Page 3 and 4: DISCLAIMER The data contained in th
Page 5 and 6: PAINTING A GLOBAL CONTEXT There wer
Page 7: ASSESSING OUR PREDICTIONS FOR 2016,
Page 11 and 12: Efforts to control the value of the
Page 13 and 14: 2016 REVIEW - SECURITY 2016 saw sec
Page 15 and 16: Region Operations Notes North East
Page 17 and 18: National Assembly in Abuja. The sta
Page 19 and 20: The activities of militants in the
Page 21 and 22: 2016 REVIEW - JOBS From foreign exc
Page 23 and 24: has revealed plans to relocate to G
Page 25 and 26: 2016 REVIEW - POLITICS AND DEMOCRAC
Page 27 and 28: 2016 REVIEW - POWER 2016 was suppos
Page 29 and 30: credit committee about the viabilit
Page 31 and 32: $751 million for all federal univer
Page 33 and 34: ECONOMY We believe that the economy
Page 35 and 36: SECURITY With the impending liberat
Page 37 and 38: in larger numbers, smaller villages
Page 39 and 40: too little to positively impact the
Page 41 and 42: POLITICAL REALIGNMENTS WILL HAPPEN
Page 43 and 44: The hollowing out of Nigerian manuf
Page 45: ABOUT SBM INTEL SBM Intel is an Afr

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