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Nigeria in 2017 by SB Morgen

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CONCLUSION<br />

What life will look like for the average <strong>Nigeria</strong>n?<br />

2017 is a year that will start off tough<br />

for the <strong>Nigeria</strong>n state and we have not<br />

seen signs that the current government<br />

understands this, or has taken cognisance<br />

of this <strong>in</strong> their plann<strong>in</strong>g. It appears to us<br />

that the government has p<strong>in</strong>ned all of its<br />

hopes on oil prices ris<strong>in</strong>g. While we predict<br />

that this will happen <strong>in</strong> a short w<strong>in</strong>dow and<br />

provide some respite, this will be short-lived<br />

especially consider<strong>in</strong>g the fundamental crisis<br />

of confidence the government’s actions and<br />

policies have created <strong>in</strong> 2016. This, coupled<br />

with the <strong>in</strong>stability that the security issues<br />

will create makes the outlook for the <strong>Nigeria</strong>n<br />

state a gloomy one.<br />

2017 is a year <strong>in</strong> which the average <strong>Nigeria</strong>n<br />

will be forced to cut down. The key mantra<br />

will be to conserve cash, and cut down on<br />

excess spend<strong>in</strong>g as th<strong>in</strong>gs get tighter. Where<br />

payments can be structured so that they<br />

can be made <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>stalments over time, most<br />

will vigorously pursue this option <strong>in</strong> order to<br />

manage cash flow. Opportunities will present<br />

themselves to pick up assets for below<br />

market prices as people try to raise money,<br />

and it is those who have conserved their cash<br />

that will be <strong>in</strong> a position to take advantage of<br />

such opportunities.<br />

Key <strong>in</strong>vestments <strong>in</strong> enhanc<strong>in</strong>g job skills and<br />

alternate skills will be important as employees<br />

seek to improve their productivity and raise<br />

the chances of reta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g their jobs.<br />

Safety and a security consciousness will<br />

become the watchword as crimes such<br />

as kidnapp<strong>in</strong>g and armed robbery will rise<br />

as people become more desperate to make<br />

ends meet.<br />

The urbanization trend will cont<strong>in</strong>ue, driven<br />

by security concerns as well as economic<br />

pressures, and deliver<strong>in</strong>g goods or services to<br />

the grow<strong>in</strong>g urban population who typically<br />

move to the fr<strong>in</strong>ges of the urban centres<br />

<strong>in</strong>itially will provide such opportunities.<br />

The average <strong>Nigeria</strong>n will also f<strong>in</strong>d healthcare<br />

more challeng<strong>in</strong>g and will need to be wary<br />

of fake drugs. Ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g a healthy and fit<br />

lifestyle to avoid illness will be an advantage.<br />

It will be important to attempt to create, and<br />

grow, additional streams of <strong>in</strong>come as we<br />

predict that there will be more job losses.<br />

44

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