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WINFO Issue #30

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KYLE’S PICKS<br />

TAR HEELS ROLL!<br />

by Kyle Clifton<br />

The Final Four is all set! We have<br />

had an up and down betting tournament<br />

so far, but no fear, as we<br />

look at booking a 2-0 Final Four!<br />

South Carolina vs. Gonzaga<br />

In the first matchup, the Cinderella’s<br />

of the tourney, South Carolina, take<br />

on the #1 seed of the West Region,<br />

Gonzaga. Many had the Gamecocks<br />

losing in their opening round match<br />

against Marquette, but South Carolina<br />

had other ideas as they’ve knocked<br />

off not only Marquette but Duke,<br />

Baylor and Florida to reach Glendale,<br />

Arizona. Gonzaga has finally reached<br />

the Final Four, albeit never playing an<br />

opponent higher than a 4 seed this<br />

tournament.<br />

South Carolina comes into this game<br />

as quite big underdogs; it currently<br />

sits at Gonzaga -6.5. If the line stays<br />

there, this would be the 4th biggest<br />

spread against South Carolina all<br />

year. South Carolina is 4-0 against the<br />

spread in this tournament, while Gonzaga<br />

is just 1-2-1 against the spread<br />

in the tournament. Being the most talented<br />

Gonzaga team Mark Few has<br />

had, I still think the Gamecocks have<br />

the best player on the court, Sindarius<br />

Thornwell. Thornwell is averaging<br />

nearly 26 points per game in the tournament,<br />

along with 7.5 rebounds and<br />

2.25 steals per game.<br />

South Carolina hasn’t pulled off these<br />

upsets by buzzer beaters either; they<br />

are winning by over 13 points per<br />

game in the tournament. They have<br />

a better defense than Gonzaga, and<br />

the best player on the court. March<br />

Madness is all about being hot at the<br />

right time, give me South Carolina. I<br />

think they have a very good chance<br />

of winning this game, but the spread<br />

makes this an easy decision.<br />

Kyle’s Pick: South Carolina +6.5<br />

Oregon Ducks vs. North Carolina<br />

Tar Heels<br />

In the final matchup of the Final Four,<br />

the North Carolina Tar Heels take<br />

on the Oregon Ducks. I was a huge<br />

fan of this Oregon team all season,<br />

multiple times blogging about how<br />

they are a Final Four team, but I’ll<br />

admit I took at least one foot off the<br />

bandwagon when they lost Chris<br />

Boucher late in the season. Despite<br />

my pessimism and thinking they had<br />

no chance to beat Kansas, the Ducks<br />

now find themselves one game from<br />

the Championship.<br />

North Carolina was one of the favorites<br />

coming into the tournament,<br />

and they haven’t disappointed. They<br />

did almost lose to Arkansas in the<br />

second round, but they have bounced<br />

back to destroy Butler in the Sweet 16<br />

and beat a really talented Kentucky<br />

team in the Elite 8.<br />

Oregon is just 3-3 against the spread<br />

in the last 6 games, while UNC is not<br />

much better at 2-2-2 in their last 6<br />

games against the spread. Oregon<br />

has only been going 6 players deep for<br />

the most part this tournament, while<br />

North Carolina goes at least 7 deep.<br />

Too be honest, I think the National<br />

Championship was played in the<br />

evening last Sunday when North<br />

Carolina played Kentucky. UNC<br />

survived that matchup, and I think this<br />

current Oregon team is a solid step<br />

down from Kentucky. With the spread<br />

at just -4.5, I think North Carolina will<br />

comfortably cover this and then win<br />

the National Title on Monday Night.<br />

Kyle’s Pick: North Carolina -4.5<br />

Season Record: 7-6 ATS<br />

Aside from being a diehard fan of the<br />

Indiana Pacers, Chicago Cubs, Duke<br />

Blue Devils, Green Bay Packers and<br />

FC Dallas – Kyle is also a college<br />

basketball handicapper with a proven<br />

record of success. You can get more<br />

of Kyle’s picks daily by following him<br />

on Twitter @KyleCliffy and checking<br />

out his blog http://kylecliftonsports.<br />

weebly.com/<br />

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