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BusinessDay 03 Apr 2018

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Tuesday <strong>03</strong> <strong>Apr</strong>il <strong>2018</strong><br />

C002D5556<br />

BUSINESS DAY<br />

29<br />

In association with<br />

Rising manufacturing PMI signposts<br />

opportunities for investors in industrial space<br />

CHUKA UROKO<br />

The rise in the<br />

manufacturing<br />

sector’s purchasing<br />

managers index<br />

(PMI) to 56.7<br />

percent in March, up from<br />

53.3 percent in February<br />

<strong>2018</strong>, sends strong signal to<br />

investors that opportunities<br />

exist in industrial space<br />

supply as manufacturers are<br />

expanding production and<br />

needing more factories and<br />

warehouses.<br />

Nigeria’s PMI is an indicator<br />

of the economic health<br />

of the manufacturing sector<br />

based on new orders,<br />

inventory levels, production,<br />

supplier deliveries and<br />

employment. In the last 2<br />

to 3 quarters, the PMI has<br />

shown a steady and rising<br />

trend. In the last 12 months,<br />

it has risen by almost 10 basis<br />

points from 47.7 percent in<br />

March 2017 to 56.7 percent<br />

in March <strong>2018</strong><br />

This may not be surprising<br />

as, according to Tayo<br />

Odunsi, CEO, Northcourt<br />

Real Estate, as manufacturing<br />

has enjoyed significant<br />

private and government<br />

intervention and patronage<br />

since the decision by<br />

the federal government to<br />

diversify from being a monoeconomy<br />

was reached at the<br />

turn of the recession.<br />

Northcourt in a <strong>2018</strong> real<br />

estate outlook notes that with<br />

international firms preferring<br />

to build their own factories<br />

and warehousing to<br />

specification, the demand<br />

for commercially available<br />

industrial space remained<br />

mostly from local firms,<br />

adding that more demand<br />

is expected over the next<br />

12 – 18 months as industrial<br />

space requests was high in<br />

Q4 2017 due to increased<br />

economic activity occasioned<br />

by relatively easier<br />

access to foreign exchange.<br />

“Demand for consumer<br />

goods is also growing as<br />

purchasing power improves.<br />

The recovery of oil prices<br />

and the consequent growth<br />

in demand for allied services<br />

has also fuelled the need for<br />

warehouse space”, Odunsi<br />

posited, adding, “Ikeja with<br />

its access to major nodes<br />

in Lagos currently ranks<br />

the most active market for<br />

industrial space as areas<br />

originally used for manufacturing<br />

are being converted<br />

to warehousing use”.<br />

For investors wishing to<br />

push money to this segment<br />

of the real estate market, the<br />

next most demanded area<br />

for space is the Isolo Industrial<br />

area where mostly<br />

smaller spaces are leased.<br />

Private firms with many<br />

employees are increasingly<br />

converting warehouses to<br />

office use to avoid the cost<br />

of conventional office space.<br />

Some investors are already<br />

taking position as a<br />

consortium of industrialists<br />

has so far made investments<br />

in excess of $150 million<br />

towards the development<br />

of four factories in the Lekki<br />

free trade zone. These<br />

include TG Arla, Palm Oil<br />

Refinery, Kellogg’s and Insignia<br />

Technology Prints.<br />

Odunsi recalls that Kellogg’s<br />

10,000 metric tons per<br />

year cereal factory was commissioned<br />

on December<br />

1, 2017. AB InBev outlined<br />

plans for a new brewery<br />

to cost an estimated $250<br />

million, its largest portfolio<br />

investment outside South<br />

Africa and also plans to<br />

list on the Nigerian Stock<br />

Exchange.<br />

Though this segment is<br />

struggling at the moment,<br />

close market watchers see<br />

hope in the immediate<br />

to the short term. But not<br />

without threats which the<br />

International Real Estate<br />

Partners (IREP) in its recent<br />

report listed as foreign<br />

exchange, import policies,<br />

poor electricity supply and<br />

inadequate transportation.<br />

In spite these, the report<br />

anticipates that as more<br />

facilities seek alternatives<br />

to help improve production,<br />

this in turn should boost<br />

the demand and supply of<br />

warehouse rentals which,<br />

denominated in Naira per<br />

square foot, have remained<br />

stable.<br />

Erjeuwa Gbadebo, the<br />

company’s CEO, added,<br />

“as the retail and industrial<br />

markets are closely linked,<br />

we expect that the anticipated<br />

growth in retail will cause<br />

a corresponding increase in<br />

industrial real estate”.<br />

Infrastructure is a major<br />

growth driver and the improvement<br />

in the manufacturing<br />

sector was boosted<br />

significantly by the improvement<br />

in infrastructure<br />

development at both state<br />

and federal government<br />

levels.<br />

2017 saw the revitalization,<br />

commencement and<br />

continuation of a few infrastructure<br />

projects. Odunsi<br />

pointed out that many of<br />

these projects are critical<br />

not only to opening up new<br />

real estate hot spots, but<br />

also driving key economic<br />

investments in the country<br />

as a whole.<br />

The Federal Government<br />

partnered with the Nigeria<br />

Liquefied Natural Gas<br />

(NLNG) and Julius Berger<br />

to resume works on the<br />

34km Bonny – Bodo road<br />

construction. The ₦120.6<br />

billion project would be<br />

a landmark achievement<br />

seeing that it had been in<br />

the coolers for about 40<br />

years. Both parties would<br />

be sharing the construction<br />

costs 50-50.<br />

Lagos state completed<br />

the Ajah and the Abule-<br />

Egba bridges in less than<br />

two years. At 620 metres and<br />

1.3 kilometres long respectively,<br />

both projects were<br />

partly funded by a ₦85.1billion<br />

series 2 bond issuance.<br />

The 1,100 kilometre<br />

Standard Gauge Rail<br />

(SGR) will go a long way<br />

in increasing the current<br />

national capacity of 15,000<br />

metric tonnes per year. The<br />

Federal Government again<br />

signed up the China Civil<br />

Engineering Construction<br />

Company (CCECC () to build<br />

the four-dam, $5.79 billion<br />

Mambilla hydroelectric<br />

power project expected to<br />

take 72 months to complete.<br />

Other pipeline infrastructure<br />

projects expected<br />

to have far reaching impact<br />

on the economy and standard<br />

of living include the 35<br />

kilometre Apapa-Oshodi Expressway<br />

reconstruction and<br />

the Lagos-Ibadan standard<br />

rail project.<br />

Infrastructure<br />

Maintenance<br />

With<br />

TUNDE OBILEYE<br />

Weather conditions as<br />

consideration in FM<br />

The weather condition<br />

of an area generally has<br />

direct effect on activities<br />

as well as human behavior<br />

and most times, finance.<br />

Taking into account the<br />

climate means careful planning<br />

is inevitable if facilities<br />

managers are to ensure their<br />

tasks are well executed with<br />

little or no hitches. We cannot<br />

change the weather but<br />

we can control what we do<br />

and that’s when good planning<br />

comes into play.<br />

Facilities managers are<br />

responsible for ensuring<br />

that facilities under their<br />

care are in a good state at all<br />

times regardless of changes<br />

in their circumstances, the<br />

economy, or weather.<br />

As the planet warms, other<br />

forms of extreme weather,<br />

including heat waves, heavy<br />

downpours, and floods, are<br />

also expected to increase in<br />

frequency and intensity.<br />

Extreme weather can cost<br />

facilities managers a hefty<br />

sum. In the US, Hurricane<br />

Sandy alone inflicted $33<br />

billion in property damage.<br />

As a result, property managers<br />

and building owners are<br />

waking up, having realized<br />

that factoring climate change<br />

mitigation and adaptation<br />

into new construction and<br />

renovation projects is no<br />

longer “nice to have,” but an<br />

operational imperative.<br />

When taking up a facility,<br />

the weather changes<br />

associated with that location<br />

should be considered.<br />

For instance, we have two<br />

main climate seasons in<br />

Nigeria—dry season and wet<br />

season—and the harmattan<br />

period which forms part of<br />

the dry season, accompanied<br />

by heavy form of dust<br />

and extreme dryness. Not<br />

planning well enough can<br />

lead to avoidable extra cost<br />

and hassles between clients<br />

and facilities managers.<br />

The dry season is usually<br />

associated with heat,<br />

low rainfall and sometimes<br />

extreme dust. Things to consider<br />

are:<br />

1. Ensure the air conditioning<br />

systems are fully<br />

serviced- this happens to be<br />

one of the most important as<br />

people tend to need a cooler<br />

environment to survive this<br />

season<br />

2.Ensure the cleaning<br />

personnel are on point with<br />

their cleaning task; that<br />

every spot is wiped in the<br />

morning and before close of<br />

the day. Accumulated dust is<br />

worse to take off.<br />

3.Ensure plumbing systems<br />

are checked in readiness<br />

for the rainy season.<br />

4.Roofs should also be<br />

checked for holes to avoid<br />

water leakages during the<br />

wet season.<br />

5. Paint work and renovation<br />

can be done. It is easier<br />

to carry out renovations during<br />

the dry season as there is<br />

no form of disruption.<br />

The raining season is usually<br />

associated with heavy<br />

rainfall, cold, mud and at<br />

extreme times, flood. Things<br />

to consider are:<br />

1. Purchase of more<br />

cleaning products due to<br />

the rain and the mess it can<br />

cause. People get to bring in<br />

their muddy shoes into the<br />

building leading to dirty foot<br />

marks on the flooring. The<br />

cleaning team will likely use<br />

more floor cleaning products<br />

at times; and the cost<br />

should have been factored<br />

into the budget.<br />

2.Unclog gutters: Flooding<br />

is a high risk associated<br />

with the rainy season and<br />

this is usually fostered by<br />

lack of a proper drainage<br />

system or clogged gutters.<br />

Before the rain season starts<br />

with full force, inspect the<br />

gutters to make sure they<br />

can drain properly and that<br />

they do not cause water to<br />

back up. Also ensure they are<br />

constantly cleaned.<br />

3.Fumigation: This is really<br />

important as insects<br />

including mosquitoes breed<br />

well during this season.<br />

Obileye is a UK-trained lawyer and CEO,<br />

Great Heights Property and Facilities<br />

Management Limited<br />

Email:<br />

Tundeobileye@greatheightslimited.com

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