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April 2018

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Market Overview<br />

than mineral wool. Conversely, the market value<br />

of mineral wool products has fallen, mainly due to<br />

the fall in demand for such products under the<br />

Green Deal and ECO, but they still account for<br />

almost 30% of the total market in the UK.<br />

The impact of fire retardancy<br />

The issue of fire-retardancy has become<br />

increasingly prominent in the building industry,<br />

and this may be a factor influencing the<br />

insulation market to a greater extent going<br />

forward – particularly in shared accommodation<br />

applications – but whether there will be a<br />

material impact on the product mix remains to be<br />

seen.<br />

Supply structure<br />

The building and technical insulation products<br />

industry is reasonably fragmented in terms of<br />

supply structure and comprises a number of<br />

distinct sub-sectors. Some of the larger<br />

manufacturers and suppliers operate across<br />

several of these, while smaller companies tend to<br />

focus on just one or two. The key supply route for<br />

insulation products are specialist distributors.<br />

Builders merchants account for approximately<br />

one fifth of the market, while the remainder is<br />

split between direct sales to installers, direct<br />

sales to external wall insulation systems<br />

companies, converters and DIY stores.<br />

Market prospects<br />

In terms of market prospects, the market value of<br />

insulation products is likely to show only modest<br />

growth over the next few years, following a fairly<br />

flat market in 2017. Growth is likely to remain<br />

between 1-2% in the short term, with stronger<br />

growth expected towards the end of the forecast<br />

period, something which should help the building<br />

insulation market comfortably exceed its 2012<br />

value by 2020.<br />

Threats to growth<br />

Further falls in volume demand from the<br />

retrofitting sector will lead to lower growth<br />

levels going forward. A decline in output for key<br />

non-domestic construction sectors, such as<br />

offices, as well as slower growth in new<br />

housebuilding is also likely to limit growth, and<br />

Imported prices are expected to rise on both finished products and components<br />

Further falls in volume demand from the retrofitting sector<br />

could lead to lower growth levels going forward, whilst<br />

limited Government funding for this area of the market could<br />

also have a negative impact<br />

the market may also be negatively impacted by<br />

limitations in Government funding for<br />

retrofitting activity, with many homeowners<br />

reluctant to implement insulation-based energy<br />

saving measures without a strong financial<br />

incentive.<br />

Drivers for growth<br />

Of course, there are also positive factors which<br />

will help support growth. Demand for housing<br />

remains strong, and construction levels are<br />

expected to improve, albeit slowly. Rising gas and<br />

electric prices will stimulate demand for relatively<br />

inexpensive means of insulation in the domestic<br />

market such as loft and cavity wall insulation.<br />

“The deteriorating<br />

value of the pound<br />

Sterling will also have<br />

an impact with<br />

imported prices rising<br />

on both finished<br />

products and<br />

components”<br />

Added value solutions will also potentially add<br />

substance to the market, with the introduction<br />

and growth of certain products with claimed high<br />

thermal insulation values creating growth in some<br />

sectors.<br />

Rising imported prices<br />

The deteriorating value of the pound Sterling will<br />

also have an impact with imported prices rising<br />

on both finished products and components or<br />

chemicals, and in turn may lead to some market<br />

value growth, even if volume growth remains<br />

relatively depressed.<br />

Contact AMA Research<br />

01242 235724<br />

www.amaresearch.co.uk<br />

@AMAResearch<br />

58 TC APRIL <strong>2018</strong>

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