April 2018
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Market Overview<br />
than mineral wool. Conversely, the market value<br />
of mineral wool products has fallen, mainly due to<br />
the fall in demand for such products under the<br />
Green Deal and ECO, but they still account for<br />
almost 30% of the total market in the UK.<br />
The impact of fire retardancy<br />
The issue of fire-retardancy has become<br />
increasingly prominent in the building industry,<br />
and this may be a factor influencing the<br />
insulation market to a greater extent going<br />
forward – particularly in shared accommodation<br />
applications – but whether there will be a<br />
material impact on the product mix remains to be<br />
seen.<br />
Supply structure<br />
The building and technical insulation products<br />
industry is reasonably fragmented in terms of<br />
supply structure and comprises a number of<br />
distinct sub-sectors. Some of the larger<br />
manufacturers and suppliers operate across<br />
several of these, while smaller companies tend to<br />
focus on just one or two. The key supply route for<br />
insulation products are specialist distributors.<br />
Builders merchants account for approximately<br />
one fifth of the market, while the remainder is<br />
split between direct sales to installers, direct<br />
sales to external wall insulation systems<br />
companies, converters and DIY stores.<br />
Market prospects<br />
In terms of market prospects, the market value of<br />
insulation products is likely to show only modest<br />
growth over the next few years, following a fairly<br />
flat market in 2017. Growth is likely to remain<br />
between 1-2% in the short term, with stronger<br />
growth expected towards the end of the forecast<br />
period, something which should help the building<br />
insulation market comfortably exceed its 2012<br />
value by 2020.<br />
Threats to growth<br />
Further falls in volume demand from the<br />
retrofitting sector will lead to lower growth<br />
levels going forward. A decline in output for key<br />
non-domestic construction sectors, such as<br />
offices, as well as slower growth in new<br />
housebuilding is also likely to limit growth, and<br />
Imported prices are expected to rise on both finished products and components<br />
Further falls in volume demand from the retrofitting sector<br />
could lead to lower growth levels going forward, whilst<br />
limited Government funding for this area of the market could<br />
also have a negative impact<br />
the market may also be negatively impacted by<br />
limitations in Government funding for<br />
retrofitting activity, with many homeowners<br />
reluctant to implement insulation-based energy<br />
saving measures without a strong financial<br />
incentive.<br />
Drivers for growth<br />
Of course, there are also positive factors which<br />
will help support growth. Demand for housing<br />
remains strong, and construction levels are<br />
expected to improve, albeit slowly. Rising gas and<br />
electric prices will stimulate demand for relatively<br />
inexpensive means of insulation in the domestic<br />
market such as loft and cavity wall insulation.<br />
“The deteriorating<br />
value of the pound<br />
Sterling will also have<br />
an impact with<br />
imported prices rising<br />
on both finished<br />
products and<br />
components”<br />
Added value solutions will also potentially add<br />
substance to the market, with the introduction<br />
and growth of certain products with claimed high<br />
thermal insulation values creating growth in some<br />
sectors.<br />
Rising imported prices<br />
The deteriorating value of the pound Sterling will<br />
also have an impact with imported prices rising<br />
on both finished products and components or<br />
chemicals, and in turn may lead to some market<br />
value growth, even if volume growth remains<br />
relatively depressed.<br />
Contact AMA Research<br />
01242 235724<br />
www.amaresearch.co.uk<br />
@AMAResearch<br />
58 TC APRIL <strong>2018</strong>