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Retail Mass - Old Mutual

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GDP per capita forecast to continue<br />

improving<br />

• Mexico, South Africa,<br />

Colombia close to<br />

USD10,000p.a in 2014<br />

from USD5,000-7,500p.a<br />

in 2009<br />

GDP, real GDP growth and GDP per capita compared across<br />

Emerging Market Countries for 2014<br />

• Other target markets are<br />

attractive given customer<br />

segmentation and<br />

<strong>Old</strong> <strong>Mutual</strong> footprint<br />

Average forecast Real GDP<br />

Growth (2010-14) (%)<br />

China<br />

Malawi<br />

2.5<br />

Colombia<br />

UK<br />

Sweden<br />

Swaziland<br />

Namibia<br />

0.0<br />

South Africa<br />

Germany<br />

0 10 20 30 40 50 60<br />

GDP per capita ($ 000’s)<br />

$1,000B<br />

GDP<br />

Source: IMF Website; World Bank Website; United Nations Human Development Report<br />

Note: Forecasts are from 2009 onwards, these forecasts are internal IMF forecasts; Gini Index data is not all<br />

taken at the same date, the dates range from 2000 to 2006 depending on the country<br />

12.5<br />

10.0<br />

7.5<br />

5.0<br />

India<br />

Mexico<br />

Zimbabwe<br />

Kenya<br />

8

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