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Credit Management October 2018

The CICM magazine for consumer and commercial credit professionals

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PAYMENT TRENDS<br />

The great summer slowdown<br />

The latest monthly business to business payment<br />

performance statistics.<br />

AUTHOR – Jason Braidwood FCICM(Grad)<br />

YOU could argue that it’s<br />

been a pretty good summer<br />

by most accounts. Record<br />

temperatures have meant<br />

people across the UK have<br />

been better able to enjoy<br />

some of the country’s much-loved activities.<br />

When it comes to payments, however, the<br />

story has been rather different.<br />

Looking at the late payments data,<br />

our analysis shows that the average<br />

Days Beyond Term (DBT) has increased<br />

dramatically between the last two months.<br />

When breaking down the data by sector,<br />

the average DBT across industries has shot<br />

up to 16.4 days, the highest since May 2016.<br />

The regional data paints a similar picture,<br />

with an average DBT of 15.2 days, the<br />

second highest since December 2016.<br />

Why is this? Well, there are likely<br />

to be a multitude of factors that have<br />

contributed to this trend. One thought<br />

is that the summer months are always a<br />

challenge for businesses as employees<br />

take time off to spend with their families<br />

or go on holiday. With people often away<br />

during the transaction process, reduced<br />

capacity makes it much harder to chase<br />

late payments. One could speculate that<br />

this has been exacerbated by the record<br />

temperatures we’ve seen this summer,<br />

leading to more people taking time off<br />

work to take advantage of the sun.<br />

However, when comparing August’s<br />

data to the same period last year, the<br />

difference is striking. The average DBT by<br />

sector in August 2017 was just 10.2 days.<br />

Perhaps it’s not surprising that, according<br />

to the Met Office, last summer was the<br />

11th wettest on record, despite warmer<br />

than average temperatures. Coincidence?<br />

Perhaps, but nevertheless, this year there<br />

has clearly been a substantial impact on<br />

businesses suffering from late payments.<br />

There is also likely to be a greater<br />

impact on SMEs as late payments make it<br />

particularly difficult to maintain a robust<br />

and healthy cashflow. When your team is<br />

small, one person’s summer holiday can<br />

have major implications for the financial<br />

health of a small company. According to<br />

research from online payments provider<br />

GoCardless, 57 percent of small business<br />

owners have had to cancel personal<br />

holidays this summer in order to chase<br />

late invoice payments. Furthermore, two<br />

thirds of the businesses surveyed agreed<br />

that summer was the worst time for<br />

late payments, with more invoices paid<br />

beyond the agreed terms than any other<br />

time of year.<br />

Businesses of all sizes should therefore<br />

take note when managing their supplier<br />

relationships. Paying invoices later than<br />

the agreed terms has a negative impact<br />

not just on businesses, but also on the<br />

individuals who keep small businesses<br />

running effectively all year round.<br />

SECTOR SPOTLIGHT<br />

With the cross-sector average at its<br />

highest for more than two years, let’s<br />

take a look at which industries are most<br />

at fault. Surprisingly, ‘Businesses from<br />

home’ paid suppliers on average 20.2<br />

DBT, an increase of 10.1 days when<br />

compared to July, the largest rise across<br />

all sectors. Elsewhere, the Education<br />

and Professional and Scientific sectors<br />

also performed poorly, increasing their<br />

average DBT by seven and 6.3 days<br />

respectively. The Energy Supply sector<br />

was the worst performing of all, taking 21<br />

days DBT on average to pay its suppliers.<br />

On a more positive note, the<br />

International Bodies and Entertainment<br />

sectors still possess a relatively healthy<br />

DBT of 9.1 and 13 days respectively.<br />

Indeed, the International Bodies sector<br />

was the only sector to come under the<br />

ten-day mark. Meanwhile, the Education<br />

sector saw a noticeable decline, with its<br />

average DBT climbing to 15.4, an increase<br />

of seven days when compared to the<br />

previous month.<br />

Perhaps most disappointing of all,<br />

only three of the 20 sectors monitored<br />

bettered their average DBT in August,<br />

with Public Administration, Mining and<br />

the Agricultural industries each modestly<br />

improving their score from the month<br />

before. Let’s hope this isn’t an indication<br />

of things to come.<br />

REGIONAL SPOTLIGHT<br />

When breaking down the data by region,<br />

only Wales managed to improve its DBT<br />

from last month, with the remaining ten<br />

regions all performing worse. Indeed,<br />

Wales’ average DBT only decreased by 0.3<br />

days, enough to take fourth place overall<br />

for August.<br />

East Anglia can be satisfied in retaining<br />

the top spot, possessing an average DBT of<br />

13.1 days, a small decline from the month<br />

before. Yorkshire and Humberside (13.7<br />

days DBT) along with Northern Ireland<br />

(13.8 days) closely follow behind along<br />

with Wales (14.1 DBT) and the South East<br />

(14.3 DBT).<br />

Scotland continues its miserable late<br />

payments run, once again taking home<br />

the wooden spoon. London also fared<br />

badly, holding onto second-to-last place,<br />

paying its suppliers 18.8 DBT, a fall of 2.5<br />

days. The West Midlands is the third worst<br />

performing region, taking on average<br />

15.2 days to pay its suppliers.<br />

Looking forward, it will be interesting<br />

to see if next month’s results improve<br />

from the current standings. Scotland<br />

and London in particular have often<br />

languished towards the bottom of the<br />

rankings, so let’s hope there are signs of<br />

progress to come.<br />

Jason Braidwood FCICM(Grad),<br />

Head of <strong>Credit</strong> and Collections at<br />

<strong>Credit</strong>safe Business Solutions.<br />

The Recognised Standard / www.cicm.com / <strong>October</strong> <strong>2018</strong> / PAGE 34

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