Trader Dale Volume Profile
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Macroeconomic news<br />
I personally don't really care about "yellow" (low impact) or "orange" (medium impact) news<br />
because this news doesn't have that strong impact on the markets (except US governors speeches<br />
- those are sometimes significant, and I treat them like "red news"). They don't usually cause<br />
significant spikes in volatility or anything else I should be concerned about. Because of this, I don't<br />
mind trading during these release times of "yellow" and "orange" news.<br />
What I do care about is the "red news." Those are the most significant, and I recommend avoiding<br />
them for the most part. However, the problem with red news is that some are “more red“ than<br />
others. Don't get me wrong, the color is the same, but the importance and possible impact of<br />
different red news can vary significantly. Being able to distinguish between various red news<br />
could appear not so important, but in fact, this knowledge can help you a lot. Why?<br />
Let me give you an example: There is a red news called "Crude Oil Inventories." There is another<br />
red news called "Rate Decision." Both are marked red as important news. The first one hardly<br />
ever makes any real impact on the USD while the other one is usually a start of a crazy ride that<br />
can last hours or days! In my trading, I know that if the price doesn't really move during the "Crude<br />
Oil Inventories" everything is okay and I can start trading again basically 1-2 minutes after the<br />
event. When there is "Rate decision," I know that I won't be trading at least few hours after the<br />
news release and if the news causes a one-sided trend to develop, I definitely won't be taking any<br />
levels that would go against this trend. I hope this illustrates that there is a clear difference<br />
between items marked red.<br />
To give you something to hold onto, let me distinguish the red news into three categories.<br />
1. Weak red news<br />
If you feel like being aggressive, then you can hold your intraday trade even through such news.<br />
This news probably won't cause any major volatility spike or sudden price change. If you quit<br />
your trade before this news, you can re-enter the trade quite soon (let's say 1-5 minutes) after<br />
the release. If your support/resistance level gets hit during the news, you can take it (if you feel a<br />
bit aggressive) or you can wait a bit and then take the trade few minutes after the news.<br />
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