21.04.2019 Views

Trader Dale Volume Profile

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

Backtesting & getting started<br />

In this phase, you should keep a detailed track of results. You want them to be comparable to the<br />

results of Phase 3.<br />

Move to phase 5 only after these 3 conditions are met:<br />

1. You traded using this strategy long enough and with similar results as in phase 3.<br />

2. You trade it flawlessly (you eliminated psychological factors that messed up the trades<br />

and you don't make even the smallest mistakes in trade execution).<br />

3. You made enough money with it that you can psychologically withstand a series of losses<br />

with full trading volumes.<br />

Phase 5: full positions<br />

Now the training is over and it is time to fight! Phase 5 is no longer a "testing" phase. Here you<br />

use my normal trading position size. It happens quite often that when you start this phase you<br />

get few losses right in the beginning (cold shower). You should be prepared for it though and if it<br />

happens you should continue trading with full position sizes. I call it a trial by fire. My experience<br />

is that only if you make it through this – your first real series of losses (with full position sizes) you<br />

are really ready. Withstanding a series of losses is one of the hardest parts of this whole process.<br />

You need to remind yourself – your strategy made it through phases 1-4, your strategy is good<br />

and if you took few losses the strategy is probably having only a bad time. Every strategy has it<br />

from time to time. Only if your strategy is losing in the long-term you should go back to phase 4<br />

and if it doesn't help, move to phase 2 or 3. Don't dump it, just make some adjustments and make<br />

it profitable again.<br />

To sum these five phases up:<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Don’t waste too much time and do only a very rough and fast backtest in the beginning.<br />

Do a thorough backtest only after you see that your new idea looks promising.<br />

After you have done your backtest, go straight to trading your idea on a real account.<br />

Increase your position size in three steps.<br />

143

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!