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Energy - Allianz Global Corporate & Specialty

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Proven reserves<br />

NOC dominance<br />

60 % Middle East<br />

11 % Europe and Eurasia<br />

10 % Africa<br />

10 % South and Central America<br />

6 % North America<br />

3 % Asia Pacific<br />

78 % NOCs<br />

11 % NOCs (equity access)<br />

6 % Russian Companies<br />

6 % IOCs<br />

actually carry out operational and project work. “Oil companies<br />

are not attracting enough young people with experience<br />

to meet the needs of the industry,” says O’Neill.<br />

“The workforce needs to be constantly replen ished so<br />

that oil companies do not suffer a skills short age, particularly<br />

as global demand for oil is pushing them to look for<br />

reserves in riskier areas at greater depths.” O’Neill adds:<br />

“While this is a short-term problem, there is currently a<br />

higher risk of an accident or spill occurring as human<br />

error is still one of the main causes of losses, which<br />

means that insurance premiums become more expensive<br />

and the scale of potential liabilities also increases.”<br />

Political risks also come to the fore. In developing<br />

countries, political unrest or the nationalization of<br />

resources might lead to disruptions in supply. As<br />

governments have realized the benefits of securing<br />

their own oil supplies, some have taken “authoritarian”<br />

steps to ensure that they remain in control. For example,<br />

in 2006 Russia forced oil giant Shell to cede its majority<br />

control in the Sakhalin 2 project to Gazprom, majority-owned<br />

by the Russian government, slicing its stake<br />

in half down to 27,5 percent.<br />

In May 2007 the Venezuelan government nationalized<br />

the country’s Orinoco Oil Belt reserves so that the state<br />

had at least 60 percent stakes in all oil projects. State<br />

participation in the Orinoco River Belt has since<br />

increased from 39 percent to 78 percent. Six major<br />

companies were asked to hand over proportions of<br />

their stakes, and Chevron, Total, BP PLC and Statoil<br />

negotiated deals with Venezuela to continue on as<br />

minority partners. But ExxonMobil and ConocoPhillips<br />

rejected the terms, prompting Venezuela to<br />

nationalize Exxon’s 42 percent stake of the Cerro<br />

Negro project. Exxon went to the International Centre<br />

for Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID), a World<br />

Bank institution that arbitrates investment disputes<br />

between member countries and individual investors,<br />

demanding that projected profits be included so that<br />

the total compensation was $ 5 billion, rather than the<br />

$ 750 million on offer. However, in June 2010 the ICSID<br />

Tribunal concluded it had no jurisdiction to act.<br />

“Increased direct government involvement in oil and<br />

gas projects has always been on the risk register for<br />

insurers and IOCs,” says O’Neill. “However, the industry<br />

and insurers need to work more closely with NOCs and<br />

their governments so that best practices are followed,<br />

technical innovation and expertise is maintained, and<br />

risks are properly identified and managed,” he says.<br />

O’Neill believes that insurers need to make a greater<br />

effort to help oil companies understand that they plan to<br />

be involved in the industry for the long-term. “If insurers<br />

are going to promote greater openness to encourage<br />

better information sharing, then it is important that<br />

clients understand that we are committed to the<br />

industry for the long-term. This means that insurers<br />

need to invest in better training and recruitment so that<br />

underwriters have a better understanding of the oil and<br />

gas sector and the risks that it faces,” he says.<br />

PAUL O'NEILL<br />

<strong>Global</strong> Head of <strong>Energy</strong> Underwriting<br />

paul.oneill@allianz.com<br />

WWW.IEA.ORG<br />

WWW.AGCS.ALLIANZ.COM/SERVICES/ENERGY/<br />

Modern oil platforms<br />

still need raw muscle<br />

power to function.<br />

18 Special Topic – <strong>Energy</strong> Special Topic – <strong>Energy</strong> 19

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