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The 1451 Review (Volume 1) 2021

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Lattice End-States for Different Values of αα

Figure 8.

From left to right: lattice end-state for super-critical outbreak (αα = 0.1), outbreak at the

critical value (αα = 0.83) and contained outbreak (αα = 0.95). White points are humans,

black points are zombies and grey points represent removed zombies. The simulations

were carried out with 10,000 individuals on a 100 x 100 grid. The patient zero zombie is

placed in the centre of the lattice.

In the supercritical outbreak case zombies dominate the entire lattice, with large

connected regions demonstrating how effectively they were able to infect the lattice.

While there are numerous patches of the removed state, these are small and mostly

isolated indicating a poor fight back by the human population. Significantly, there are

surviving humans in the end-state which is a notable deviation from the previous

models where either humans or zombies are eliminated. Unfortunately for these

survivors their existence is very much a post-apocalyptic one, with only 234 surviving

humans (2% of the initial population) limited to single sites.

In the contained case, large populations of humans untouched by the spread of the

disease are present, with over 5000 survivors in total. These patches dominate the

lattice and represent areas where humans have been particularly effective in fighting

zombies. A non-trivial number of zombies are still present, mostly concentrated in the

centre of the grid due to the disease originating from this area. However, for each

zombie they are matched, if not exceeded by the number of defeated zombies that

surround them. In each case, we observe ‘emergent behavior’ as the agents on the

lattice interact to form complex fractal patterns, despite their individual interactions

being governed by simple rules.

Small World Inhomogeneous Lattice Approach

Utilising an inhomogeneous lattice is an alteration of the simulation that results in

another step towards realism. The previous approach results in an extremely high

population density that favours the density dependent zombie disease. Furthermore

the ‘barriers’ of dead zombies that protect humans seem far-fetched, as zombies are

often presented as adept at breaking down or circumventing physical impediments in

film and literature.

Zombie Progression Across the Inhomogeneous Lattice

The critical value case presents a far more balanced picture between the three subpopulations.

Although the number of zombies is still large, the number of terminated

zombies is very similar. The parity between these states demonstrates how even the

conflict between human and zombie is at the critical value. The most pronounced

difference between the supercritical and critical values is the greater number of

surviving humans, with significant communities observed at the edges of the lattice.

Numerous pockets of human survival are also observed towards the center of the

lattice, a common feature of these pockets is that they are surrounded by terminated

zombies. This draws parallels to the forest fire model, where fire breaks and burned

trees are used to prevent the spread of a fire, dead zombies are used as a morbid

protective barrier for humans.

Figure 9.

The progression of the zombie infection in the small world inhomogeneous lattice. Left

image is the initial lattice with 199 susceptible agents (light grey circles) and 1 zombie

(black circle). Middle is an intermediate state of the lattice; at this point the susceptible

population have failed to contain the outbreak. Right is the final state of the lattice

comprised entirely of zombies and removed agents (dark grey circles). The grid was 20

x 20 in size and αα = 0.6.

The inhomogeneous lattice corrects for this by introducing empty lattice nodes

that allow the human population to be more spread out, areas of greater density are

also possible as multiple individuals can inhabit one point. Zombies are now able to

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