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2020-12 -- Real Estate of Northern Virginia Market Report - December 2020 Real Estate Trends - Michele Hudnall

2020 - End of the Year Clearance Sale!! This is a monthly report of the Northern Virginia Real Estate market regarding current market conditions with the blog, report and video conversation. The numbers come from the MLS (Bright), opinions are my own. This represents the market up to 5 Bedrooms keeping the numbers sub $1.5M and out of the luxury, custom market.

2020 - End of the Year Clearance Sale!!

This is a monthly report of the Northern Virginia Real Estate market regarding current market conditions with the blog, report and video conversation.

The numbers come from the MLS (Bright), opinions are my own. This represents the market up to 5 Bedrooms keeping the numbers sub $1.5M and out of the luxury, custom market.

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|| NORTHERN VIRGINIA OVERVIEW NOVEMBER <strong>2020</strong><br />

NORTHERN VIRGINIA<br />

Year Over Year<br />

DECEMBER<br />

Number<br />

<strong>of</strong> Sales<br />

YoY Chg<br />

Sales<br />

AVG DOM<br />

YoY Chg<br />

DOM<br />

AVG Sale<br />

to Orig<br />

List Ratio<br />

YoY Chg<br />

Price<br />

Ratio<br />

AVG Close<br />

Price<br />

YoY Chg<br />

Close<br />

Price<br />

2019 2,592 29 98.30% $ 522,871<br />

<strong>2020</strong> 3,326 28.32% 19 -35.32% 99.58% 1.29% $ 551,969 5.57%<br />

Alexandria City, VA 214 24.42% 22 9.27% 98.49% 0.30% $ 570,782 0.14%<br />

Arlington, VA 242 28.04% 28 10.16% 97.82% -0.65% $ 651,622 5.70%<br />

Fairfax City, VA 28 -15.15% 19 -49.60% 99.69% 2.11% $ 575,275 4.83%<br />

Fairfax, VA 1,303 24.81% 18 -34.87% 99.47% 1.31% $ 594,042 4.45%<br />

Falls Church City, VA 9 <strong>12</strong>.50% 31 2.48% 97.85% -0.19% $ 563,789 -25.00%<br />

Fauquier, VA <strong>12</strong>1 55.13% 45 -21.03% 97.51% 2.04% $ 493,847 4.99%<br />

Loudoun, VA 610 31.75% 17 -45.52% 100.26% 1.27% $ 575,651 6.47%<br />

Manassas City, VA 69 15.00% 18 -23.42% 100.41% 1.93% $ 350,630 0.09%<br />

Manassas Park City, VA 24 100.00% 11 -73.50% 98.58% 2.75% $ 348,971 14.61%<br />

Prince William, VA 706 32.46% 13 -56.19% 100.80% 2.46% $ 449,461 13.46%<br />

NORTHERN VIRGINIA<br />

YTD AVGs with<br />

Change % YoY<br />

DECEMBER<br />

Number<br />

<strong>of</strong> Sales<br />

YTD YoY<br />

Chg Sales<br />

AVG DOM<br />

The traditional measure <strong>of</strong> looking at change on a Year-Over-Year basis to see how the year is going and how it compares to<br />

the same month <strong>of</strong> the previous year is not comparing apples to apples currently. Even with the disruption this year, this has<br />

been a fair measure until September.<br />

The market is still very active over previous years when the market tends to seasonally cool. Now that folks are working and<br />

learning from home, the market continues to be very active creating what I would call “hype news” regarding percentages <strong>of</strong><br />

change in volume and price, however, price represents current conditions.<br />

I have added a YoY YTD measure <strong>of</strong> change to compare the current year to the previous year that you will only find in this report.<br />

The YoY YTD measure is a comparison <strong>of</strong> January to the current month <strong>of</strong> the previous year to January to the current month <strong>of</strong><br />

the current year to check the year as a whole against the previous year given the shifting, seasonal market.<br />

- 2 -<br />

YTD YoY<br />

Chg DOM<br />

AVG Sale<br />

to Orig<br />

List Ratio<br />

YTD YoY<br />

Chg Price<br />

Ratio<br />

AVG Close<br />

Price<br />

YTD YoY<br />

Chg Close<br />

Price<br />

2019 36,734 25 89.11% $ 516,871<br />

<strong>2020</strong> 39,449 7.39% 18 -25.13% 99.68% 11.86% $ 551,094 6.62%<br />

Alexandria City, VA 2,466 6.16% 16 -8.76% 99.22% -0.16% $ 581,656 5.61%<br />

Arlington, VA 2,444 -2.47% 17 -17.32% 98.97% -0.53% $ 668,413 6.61%<br />

Fairfax City, VA 356 -4.56% 24 -24.71% 100.17% 2.03% $ 577,562 4.51%<br />

Fairfax, VA 16,224 6.62% 18 -23.36% 99.81% 11.66% $ 592,839 6.79%<br />

Falls Church City, VA 158 -8.67% 14 -50.65% 100.33% 1.17% $ 735,495 -9.54%<br />

Fauquier, VA 1,341 14.13% 42 -7.68% 97.67% 1.81% $ 470,713 9.73%<br />

Loudoun, VA 7,470 <strong>12</strong>.15% 18 -25.70% 99.79% 34.14% $ 567,000 6.23%<br />

Manassas City, VA 692 6.63% 17 -33.96% 99.95% 1.57% $ 353,323 7.93%<br />

Manassas Park City, VA 256 -1.16% 19 -20.77% 99.82% 3.80% $ 343,777 5.11%<br />

Prince William, VA 8,042 8.71% 17 -37.70% 100.03% 1.52% $ 439,304 8.84%

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