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The return of Luna and Gbagbo<br />
THE former Lat<strong>in</strong> American<br />
labour leader and past<br />
Brazilian President, Luiz Inacio<br />
Lula da Silva, and African<br />
<strong>in</strong>tellectual and ex-President of<br />
Cote d’Ivoire, Laurent Gbagbo,<br />
have returned from years <strong>in</strong> prison<br />
to be the hope of their various<br />
countries. Both are victims of<br />
<strong>in</strong>ternational conspiracy executed<br />
by local lackeys employ<strong>in</strong>g<br />
dubious judicial processes<br />
designed to work to a given<br />
answer.<br />
Luna and Gbagbo are<br />
courageous men who challenged<br />
decades of subservience<br />
to <strong>in</strong>ternational powers and<br />
profiteers; their leadership gave<br />
hope to their people. Both<br />
men have just survived vicious<br />
schemes to quash them.<br />
Luna had led the<br />
Brazilian Workers Party to<br />
victory <strong>in</strong> 2003. The trade<br />
unionist who had been<br />
imprisoned for oppos<strong>in</strong>g military<br />
rule, secured 39 million votes or<br />
46.4 per-cent of the votes to<br />
become president said after his<br />
victory: “I, who so many times<br />
was accused of not hav<strong>in</strong>g a<br />
university diploma, won my first<br />
diploma as president of the<br />
Republic of Brazil.”<br />
He had tried to reverse the<br />
exploitative relations between the<br />
state and the Brazilian people.<br />
He <strong>in</strong>troduced massive social<br />
works, lifted 19 million<br />
Cybersecurity <strong>in</strong> 2021 – What to expect<br />
By JASON IKEGWU<br />
YEAR 2020 was a significant one for all<br />
people worldwide with the outbreak of<br />
the COVID-19 pandemic. It was a year <strong>in</strong><br />
which all aspects of our lives were drastically<br />
affected, expos<strong>in</strong>g our collective fragility and<br />
<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g feel<strong>in</strong>gs of fear and uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty. The<br />
arrival of COVID-19 forced people’s lives to<br />
move onl<strong>in</strong>e, both at work and <strong>in</strong> person, and<br />
digital transformation accelerated.<br />
Technology helped to ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong> social and<br />
emotional well-be<strong>in</strong>g and helped many<br />
organisations stay afloat. However, this new<br />
reality has also led to an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> the<br />
number of cyber-attacks.<br />
As cyber-attacks <strong>in</strong>crease and new<br />
cybersecurity trends cont<strong>in</strong>ue to emerge,<br />
organisations must take a proactive IT security<br />
stance to keep their operations safe. They must<br />
become more agile, flexible, and collaborative<br />
as they strive to protect their critical assets and<br />
<strong>in</strong>frastructure. They need to <strong>in</strong>crease their<br />
digital security <strong>in</strong>itiatives, change strategies,<br />
and educate employees about cybersecurity<br />
to deal with this <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> cyber-threats. The<br />
year came with an optimistic outlook<br />
consider<strong>in</strong>g the current strides <strong>in</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g<br />
vacc<strong>in</strong>es for COVID-19. As bus<strong>in</strong>esses seek to<br />
transition to a new normal <strong>in</strong> 2021, we will<br />
exam<strong>in</strong>e some of the projections and<br />
expectations <strong>in</strong> the cybersecurity landscape<br />
and what will underp<strong>in</strong> organisations’<br />
cybersecurity priorities <strong>in</strong> 2021.<br />
•There will be <strong>in</strong>creased demand for remote<br />
work<strong>in</strong>g security. As organisations embrace<br />
remote and smart work<strong>in</strong>g, remote access to<br />
corporate environments br<strong>in</strong>gs quite<br />
significant constra<strong>in</strong>ts for enterprises to protect<br />
and ensure secure access to their networks.<br />
There is an urgent need for organisations to<br />
reimag<strong>in</strong>e their cybersecurity approaches and<br />
evolve countermeasures of protect<strong>in</strong>g<br />
Brazilians from extreme poverty<br />
and vastly expanded access to<br />
education. His government<br />
gave poor families a monthly<br />
subsidy of between $12 and $117<br />
per child which covered 12<br />
million homes, and moved 30<br />
million people from the lower<br />
classes <strong>in</strong>to the middle class.<br />
Luna was re-elected <strong>in</strong><br />
the October 2006 elections, this<br />
time secur<strong>in</strong>g 46 million votes<br />
or 48.6 per-cent of total vote cast.<br />
He was succeeded <strong>in</strong> 2010<br />
by fellow party member, Dilma<br />
Rousseff who cont<strong>in</strong>ued <strong>in</strong> his<br />
steps. S<strong>in</strong>ce their opponents could<br />
not muster the needed votes to<br />
defeat them at the polls, they<br />
hatched a ‘constitutional coup’ <strong>in</strong><br />
2016.<br />
Rousseff was accused <strong>in</strong><br />
parliament that back <strong>in</strong> 2014,<br />
she did not disclose the true size<br />
of the country’s budget deficit<br />
and that this was tantamount to<br />
an abuse of office and, therefore,<br />
impeachable. On that basis, she<br />
was removed from office.<br />
Simultaneously, Luna was set up<br />
for political <strong>in</strong>c<strong>in</strong>eration by<br />
hav<strong>in</strong>g what turned out to be false<br />
cases of corruption brought<br />
aga<strong>in</strong>st him. As a result, <strong>in</strong> 2017,<br />
he was sentenced to a dozen years<br />
imprisonment on allegation<br />
of receiv<strong>in</strong>g a seaside<br />
apartment as part of a contract<br />
award kickback. On the basis of<br />
this, he was banned <strong>in</strong> 2018 from<br />
teleworkers <strong>in</strong> the emerg<strong>in</strong>g future of work. In<br />
2021, there will be <strong>in</strong>creased adoption of<br />
remote and smart work<strong>in</strong>g models, and<br />
organisations must proactively embrace the<br />
zero-trust architecture to combat remote<br />
work<strong>in</strong>g threats.<br />
•Multi-Factor Authentication, MFA, will be<br />
critical. Nowadays, there are daily<br />
occurrences of authentication attacks and<br />
cybercrim<strong>in</strong>als have perfected measures of<br />
us<strong>in</strong>g stolen usernames and passwords on<br />
underground forums to compromise<br />
organisations, us<strong>in</strong>g password spray<strong>in</strong>g and<br />
credential stuff<strong>in</strong>g attacks. Over time,<br />
cybercrim<strong>in</strong>als have perfected the act of<br />
syphon<strong>in</strong>g billions of credentials from<br />
breached <strong>in</strong>teractions and systems across the<br />
dark web and underground forums.<br />
•These databases, paired with the ease of<br />
automat<strong>in</strong>g authentication attacks, means no<br />
<strong>in</strong>ternet-exposed service is safe from cyber<br />
<strong>in</strong>trusion if it is not us<strong>in</strong>g MFA. MFAs will be<br />
mandated as authentication requirements by<br />
regulators <strong>in</strong> many countries <strong>in</strong> 2021 and will<br />
be used to enforce and ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong> security levels.<br />
Organisations should, therefore, make<br />
adequate preparations for implement<strong>in</strong>g<br />
different variants of MFAs to cope with<br />
emerg<strong>in</strong>g trends and challenges.<br />
•The challenges around cloud security will<br />
<strong>in</strong>crease. Even though organisations were<br />
gradually migrat<strong>in</strong>g to cloud before 2020, the<br />
advent of the COVID-19 pandemic<br />
accelerated cloud adoption and empowered<br />
remote work<strong>in</strong>g and onl<strong>in</strong>e collaboration. This<br />
rapid migration and cloud adoption opened<br />
up new security threats and vulnerabilities<br />
across different comput<strong>in</strong>g systems, though<br />
the traditional cloud technology was premised<br />
around functionality and convenience and not<br />
security. Cybercrim<strong>in</strong>als exploit these gaps to<br />
perpetrate all k<strong>in</strong>ds of havoc, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g<br />
espionage and cross country cyber attacks. To<br />
contest<strong>in</strong>g the presidential<br />
election. The Supreme Court <strong>in</strong><br />
November 2019 allowed him to<br />
rema<strong>in</strong> free while his appeals<br />
were pend<strong>in</strong>g.<br />
This process led to the rise of<br />
<strong>in</strong>cumbent President Jair<br />
Bolsonaro who tried to reverse<br />
the Luna programmes and erase<br />
his legacy. Bolsario is not only<br />
runn<strong>in</strong>g an anti-people<br />
government but has led the<br />
country <strong>in</strong>to ru<strong>in</strong>s with his<br />
handl<strong>in</strong>g of the COVID-19<br />
pandemic. In ap<strong>in</strong>g then<br />
President Donald Trump of the<br />
United States, he had declared the<br />
coronavirus a ruse, a “fantasy”.<br />
He went far beyond the Trump<br />
tantrums by actually hold<strong>in</strong>g<br />
mass rallies of people without<br />
masks dur<strong>in</strong>g which he shook<br />
hands to demonstrate to<br />
Brazilians that that COVID-19 is<br />
a fiction. Even when these rallies<br />
Gbagbo’s welcome<br />
return will give hope to<br />
Ivorians as Ouattara,<br />
despite an<br />
unconstitutional third<br />
term <strong>in</strong> office has<br />
proven to be a disaster<br />
spread the virus, he dismissed it<br />
and assured Brazilians they are<br />
immune to COVID-19 because as<br />
he falsely claimed, they have<br />
antibodies. He also<br />
encouraged them to reject<br />
lockdowns by local state officials<br />
and went on as President, to<br />
declare the lockdowns illegal. The<br />
states had to approach the<br />
Supreme Court to reverse him.<br />
The result was that Brazilians<br />
began to die like flies. On March<br />
23, 2021, Brazil’s daily COVID-<br />
19 death toll soared past 3,000<br />
with many hospitals<br />
at break<strong>in</strong>g po<strong>in</strong>t. That day, the<br />
number of deaths were 3,251<br />
deaths br<strong>in</strong>g<strong>in</strong>g the overall death<br />
toll to nearly 299,000.<br />
protect their <strong>in</strong>formation assets, organisations<br />
will have to focus efforts on improv<strong>in</strong>g cloud<br />
security <strong>in</strong>itiatives. Prevention and detection<br />
strategies will be crucial for all organisations,<br />
large or small, to protect themselves aga<strong>in</strong>st<br />
these threats. Expand<strong>in</strong>g the use of the cloud<br />
will require organisations to improve the<br />
visibility of their cloud presence, assets and<br />
vendor relationships to manage risks.<br />
•The adoption of technology-driven security<br />
tools will be rapid. Today’s most effective<br />
cybersecurity measures centre around <strong>in</strong>sight<br />
and response. The mechanism for provid<strong>in</strong>g<br />
spontaneous response and data-driven <strong>in</strong>sights<br />
rests on technology. These technologies,<br />
<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g automated security tools and<br />
advanced mach<strong>in</strong>e learn<strong>in</strong>g technologies,<br />
support decision mak<strong>in</strong>g and provide alerts<br />
on risky thresholds <strong>in</strong> tackl<strong>in</strong>g threats and<br />
vulnerabilities. In 2021 the use of these<br />
technology-driven security tools will be at the<br />
centre of cybersecurity implementation.<br />
With grow<strong>in</strong>g data privacy awareness and<br />
the adoption of the GDPR globally come<br />
greater scrut<strong>in</strong>y from clients and consumers,<br />
who demand their sensitive <strong>in</strong>formation be<br />
kept safe. Legacy technologies built on static<br />
rules can simply not stand up to this pressure,<br />
and we are <strong>in</strong>stead go<strong>in</strong>g to see even greater<br />
adoption of <strong>in</strong>telligent security technologies<br />
that use contextual mach<strong>in</strong>e learn<strong>in</strong>g to keep<br />
data safe. Organisations will need to make<br />
conscious efforts to create security strategies<br />
and implement the same with <strong>in</strong>telligent<br />
technology-driven security tools and advanced<br />
mach<strong>in</strong>e learn<strong>in</strong>g technologies.<br />
•There will be an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> ransomware<br />
Vanguard, FRIDAY, APRIL 9, 2021—17<br />
Send Op<strong>in</strong>ions & Letters to:<br />
op<strong>in</strong>ions1234@yahoo.com<br />
On that same day, Bolsonaro<br />
appo<strong>in</strong>ted his fourth Health<br />
M<strong>in</strong>ister, a Cardiologist<br />
Marcelo Queiroga, 55. He<br />
replaced Eduardo Pazuello, an<br />
army general with no medical<br />
experience who had been<br />
appo<strong>in</strong>ted based on the<br />
President’s questionable<br />
conclusion that COVID-19 may<br />
require the handl<strong>in</strong>g of a strong<br />
hand. The first two Health<br />
M<strong>in</strong>isters, Doctors Luiz Henrique<br />
Mandetta and Nelson Teich had<br />
to go when Bolsonario rejected<br />
medical advice <strong>in</strong> handl<strong>in</strong>g the<br />
pandemic.<br />
Now, many Brazilians are<br />
turn<strong>in</strong>g back to Luna to save the<br />
country both from the pandemic<br />
and its political version:<br />
Bolsonaro. The coast for Luna was<br />
cleared when on Monday,<br />
March 8, 2021, the Supreme<br />
Court threw out most of the<br />
crim<strong>in</strong>al cases manufactured<br />
aga<strong>in</strong>st him and restored his<br />
political rights, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g those to<br />
contest the October 2, 2022<br />
Presidential elections.<br />
The set up aga<strong>in</strong>st Luna began<br />
to unravel when Justice Sergio<br />
Moro, the federal judge who<br />
sentenced him, left the bench to<br />
jo<strong>in</strong> Bolsanaro’s government as<br />
Justice M<strong>in</strong>ister <strong>in</strong> what appeared<br />
as a reward for send<strong>in</strong>g Luna to<br />
prison.<br />
Then <strong>in</strong> June 2019, leaked<br />
messages between Justice Moro<br />
and the prosecutors were<br />
published <strong>in</strong> which the judge<br />
gave the prosecutors tips and<br />
strategic guidance on how to<br />
make the case aga<strong>in</strong>st Luna<br />
appear credible. So the judge was<br />
also the prosecutor.<br />
A panicky President Bolsonaro<br />
vowed that despite Luna’s judicial<br />
victory, the “Brazilian people<br />
won’t want to have a candidate<br />
like him <strong>in</strong> 2022 and let’s not even<br />
th<strong>in</strong>k about his possible election.”<br />
But the decision is not <strong>in</strong> the<br />
Organisations will need to make<br />
conscious efforts to create security<br />
strategies and implement the<br />
same with <strong>in</strong>telligent technologydriven<br />
security tools<br />
hands of Bolsonaro, but that of<br />
the electorate.<br />
In the case of Gbagbo, a<br />
disputed election with French<br />
tool, Alassane Ouattara, <strong>in</strong> 2010<br />
led to violence <strong>in</strong> which<br />
some 3,000 people lost their lives.<br />
The French then abducted him,<br />
but s<strong>in</strong>ce they had no basis<br />
transferr<strong>in</strong>g him to their country,<br />
they hauled him before the<br />
International Crim<strong>in</strong>al Court,<br />
ICC, even when his country was<br />
not a member of that court. He<br />
was charged with four counts of<br />
crimes aga<strong>in</strong>st humanity, murder,<br />
rape and other forms of sexual<br />
violence, persecution and “other<br />
<strong>in</strong>human acts”.<br />
In 2019 the ICC found him<br />
<strong>in</strong>nocent of all charges but under<br />
the guise of appeal<strong>in</strong>g the<br />
decision, Gbagbo was prevented<br />
from return<strong>in</strong>g home which would<br />
have allowed him contest the<br />
presidential election. He<br />
was forced to stay <strong>in</strong> Brussels<br />
pend<strong>in</strong>g the appeal.<br />
But the Presid<strong>in</strong>g Judge, Chile<br />
Eboe-Osuji, has now ruled that:<br />
“The appeals chamber, by<br />
majority, has found no error that<br />
could have materially affected the<br />
decision of the trial chamber. The<br />
appeals chamber hereby revokes<br />
all rema<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g conditions on the<br />
release of Mr. Gbagbo and Mr.<br />
Blé Goudé (co-defendant) as a<br />
result of this judgement.”<br />
The appeal judges said<br />
the evidence aga<strong>in</strong>st Gbagbo<br />
was extremely weak, and<br />
wondered why so much time and<br />
resources were wasted for such a<br />
long time. The simple reason is<br />
that it was a political trial<br />
designed to punish a vocal<br />
African president who had<br />
rejected French dictation,<br />
<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g on award of contracts.<br />
Gbagbo’s welcome return will<br />
give hope to Ivorians as<br />
Ouattara, despite an<br />
unconstitutional third term <strong>in</strong><br />
office has proven to be a disaster.<br />
attacks. COVID-19 brought some social<br />
challenges, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g latent economic<br />
exposures across the globe. Individuals who<br />
hitherto were dedicated to specific<br />
employment rel<strong>in</strong>quished these jobs or earned<br />
less than required. Of course, this <strong>in</strong>creased<br />
the number of cybercrim<strong>in</strong>als who attack<br />
databases and block user accesses to demand<br />
ransoms before provid<strong>in</strong>g access to legitimate<br />
users. These ransomware attackers will be<br />
target<strong>in</strong>g corporate entities, hold<strong>in</strong>g the<br />
company’s databases <strong>in</strong> exchange for cryptocurrency<br />
or other forms of f<strong>in</strong>ancial<br />
compensation.<br />
The greatest challenge with ransomware<br />
attacks is the reputational dent on the<br />
organisation and the transit data accumulated<br />
by the attackers. Even when the accesses are<br />
restored, the attackers can still use the reta<strong>in</strong>ed<br />
data to blackmail the organisation, make<br />
f<strong>in</strong>ancial demands and publicly expose the<br />
organisation. Ransomware is becom<strong>in</strong>g more<br />
technically advanced and sophisticated. In<br />
2021, ransomware attacks will be the most<br />
rampant attack across organisations.<br />
Several entities will be targeted and<br />
compromised. Organisations, therefore, must<br />
prepare for ransomware prevention and<br />
recovery. Networks should be segmented and<br />
components hardened. Disaster recovery,<br />
bus<strong>in</strong>ess cont<strong>in</strong>uity, and data recovery plans<br />
should be <strong>in</strong> place and tested periodically.<br />
•New forms of 5G vulnerabilities will<br />
emerge; 5G technology will be one of the<br />
greatest drivers and revolutions of this decade,<br />
enabl<strong>in</strong>g the fastest and broadest connectivity<br />
for humanity. As the 5G technology adoption<br />
set <strong>in</strong> as the standard form of cloud-based data<br />
transfer and communication, more<br />
vulnerabilities, compromises, and new<br />
cybersecurity threats will also emerge.<br />
Cont<strong>in</strong>ues onl<strong>in</strong>e: www.vanguardngr.com<br />
*Ikegwu, an IT expert and consultant, wrote<br />
from Lagos