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The economics of ecosystem services - Potsdam Institute for Climate ...

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Scenario B:<br />

„Extending competitive advantage“<br />

Description: Focus on technologies that<br />

have been exported successfully in the<br />

past.<br />

Key technologies: Biomass, communal<br />

CHP, Solar thermal, geothermal, small<br />

hydro, wind<br />

0.6<br />

2'735<br />

124<br />

31.7<br />

6<br />

Strom, Zuwachs<br />

Wärme, Zuwachs<br />

relativ zu<br />

relativ<br />

BAU (GWh)<br />

zu BAU<br />

- Szenario<br />

(PJ) - Szenario<br />

A<br />

B<br />

6.3<br />

0.8121<br />

175<br />

11<br />

13.6 1'950<br />

0.3<br />

8.4<br />

3'964<br />

Solarthermie,<br />

Kleinwasserkraft<br />

gesamt<br />

(< 10 MW)<br />

Windkraft, gesamt<br />

Biogas-KWK (absetzbare Wärme)<br />

PV (nur Geb.+ Fassaden)<br />

Biomasse, KWK, gesamt<br />

Biogas, KWK, gesamt<br />

Biomasseverbrenn., Wärmeerz.<br />

Biomasse, KWK, gesamt<br />

Klärgas, KWK<br />

Biomasse, Verstrom., ges.<br />

Geothermie, Klärgas, KWK Wärmeerz.<br />

Wärmepumpen<br />

Geothermie, Verstrom.<br />

Increase <strong>of</strong> renewables<br />

compared to 2002:<br />

Additional supply from<br />

renewables by 2020<br />

+76%<br />

electricity 8,931 GWh<br />

heat 62 PJ<br />

(A) Time horizon <strong>for</strong> decision<br />

Short term Lang term<br />

Systems<br />

innovations<br />

Use existing<br />

institutions<br />

(B) Innovationen<br />

(C) Institutionen<br />

Technological<br />

innovations<br />

Need <strong>for</strong> new<br />

institutions<br />

(D) Production system<br />

Decentral Central

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