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The economics of ecosystem services - Potsdam Institute for Climate ...

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Scenario E:<br />

„Big on small units“<br />

Description: Focus on technologies <strong>for</strong><br />

local energy supply from individual and<br />

communal production units.<br />

Key technologies: Biomass (indiv and<br />

communal CHP), biogas, heat pumps,<br />

wind, solar thermal, PV<br />

23.8<br />

1'016<br />

Strom, Wärme, Zuwachs relativ zu zu BAU (GWh) (TJ) - - Szenario E<br />

2.5<br />

0.6<br />

2'424<br />

124<br />

2.7<br />

175<br />

61 11<br />

1'950<br />

13.6<br />

9.6<br />

0.3<br />

3'964<br />

Kleinwasserkraft (< 10 MW)<br />

Solarthermie, gesamt<br />

Windkraft, gesamt<br />

Biogas-KWK (absetzbare Wärme)<br />

PV (nur Geb.+ Fassaden)<br />

Biomasse, KWK, gesamt<br />

Biogas, KWK, gesamt<br />

Biomasseverbrenn., Wärmeerz.<br />

Biomasse, KWK, gesamt<br />

Klärgas, KWK<br />

Biomasse, Verstrom., ges.<br />

Geothermie, Wärmeerz.<br />

Klärgas, KWK<br />

Wärmepumpen<br />

Geothermie, Verstrom.<br />

Increase <strong>of</strong> renewables<br />

compared to 2002:<br />

Additional supply from<br />

renewables by 2020<br />

+71%<br />

electricity 9,725 GWh<br />

heat 53 PJ<br />

(A) Time horizon <strong>for</strong> decision<br />

Short term Lang term<br />

Systems<br />

innovations<br />

Use existing<br />

institutions<br />

(B) Innovationen<br />

(C) Institutionen<br />

Technological<br />

innovations<br />

Need <strong>for</strong> new<br />

institutions<br />

(D) Production system<br />

Decentral Central

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