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Chemicals Trends Report - Cefic

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Embargoed for release: Friday, February 24, 2012, at 12 noon CEST (Brussels)<br />

<strong>Chemicals</strong> <strong>Trends</strong> <strong>Report</strong><br />

Monthly short summary, February 2012<br />

EUROPEAN CHEMICAL INDUSTRY COUNCIL<br />

EU chemicals sector posts full-year 1.1 per cent growth in 2011<br />

December monthly production data show fourth monthly decline last year<br />

BRUSSELS, February 24, 2012 – EU chemicals production recorded a 1.1 per cent increase in 2011 compared to<br />

2010, according to the latest <strong>Cefic</strong> <strong>Chemicals</strong> <strong>Trends</strong> <strong>Report</strong>. The monthly data for December 2011 showed a<br />

1.8 per cent decline compared with December 2010, a significant drop in EU chemicals industry production<br />

after an impressive performance by the sector during the first quarter of 2011.<br />

The level of EU chemicals production in December 2011 was 4.3 per cent below its 2007 peak. Data also show a<br />

year-on-year price increase in December, up 6.2 per cent for the month against the comparable period in 2010<br />

and led again by an overall price increase in basic inorganics. The EU chemicals sector net trade surplus reached<br />

€39.3 billion through November, off by €2.6 billion when compared with the same 11-month period in 2010.<br />

December 2011 chemicals output<br />

lower compared with December 2010<br />

The EU production index for December<br />

2011 was down 1.8 per cent compared<br />

with December 2010. Consumer<br />

chemicals production climbed, however,<br />

by 6.4 per cent on a year-on-year basis<br />

in December 2011. Polymers and<br />

petrochemicals production were down<br />

by 7.5 per cent and 6.7 per cent<br />

respectively during the month, while<br />

specialty chemicals production and basic<br />

inorganics fell by 1.5 per cent each.<br />

EU trade surplus reached €39.3 billion through November<br />

The EU net trade surplus with the Rest of<br />

Europe in the first 11 months of 2011<br />

reached €12.1 billion, more than 30 per<br />

cent of the overall trade surplus for the<br />

EU chemicals sector. The overall EU<br />

chemicals net trade surplus reached<br />

€39.3 billion from January to November<br />

2011, down €2.6 billion compared with<br />

the comparable period in 2010. The EU-<br />

27 posted a €10.4 billion net trade<br />

surplus with the NAFTA region during<br />

the 11-month period and a €5.5 billion<br />

surplus with Asia, excluding Japan and<br />

China. The European Union ran a €2.4<br />

billion net trade deficit for chemicals<br />

with China during the same period.<br />

Prices for basic organics, continue climb<br />

Basic inorganics prices climbed 10.7 per cent year-on-year during December. Prices for petrochemicals<br />

increased by 4.9 per cent, while consumer chemicals prices continued to increase modestly, up 2.8 per cent<br />

year-on-year in December.<br />

more


EU chemicals sector posts full-year 1.1 per cent growth in 2011…add one<br />

November 2011 chemicals sales up<br />

compared with November 2010<br />

November 2011 chemicals sales were 1.3<br />

per cent higher compared with November<br />

the year prior. For the first eleven months<br />

of 2011, total sales were 11.5 per cent<br />

higher as compared to the same period in<br />

2010. The overall sales level continues to<br />

surpass the pre-crisis peak reached in the<br />

beginning of 2008. Sales values during the<br />

period from January to November 2011<br />

were 4.1 per cent higher compared to the<br />

same period in 2008.<br />

Economic sentiment increases in both the EU and euro area (excerpt)<br />

In January, the Economic Sentiment Indicator (ESI) rose<br />

by 1.2 points in the EU and by 0.6 points in the euro<br />

area, to 92.8 and 93.4, respectively – the first pick-up in<br />

sentiment since March 2011. The improvement was<br />

mainly driven by increasing confidence in the services<br />

sector and - to a lesser extent - among consumers and in<br />

the construction sector. The ESI is above its long-term<br />

average only in Germany. According to the quarterly<br />

survey of the manufacturing sector, capacity utilization<br />

increased marginally. At 80.2% in the EU and 79.9% in<br />

the euro area, capacity utilization still remains below its<br />

long-term average.<br />

Ifo World Economic Climate brightens slightly (excerpt)<br />

According to the results from first quarter 2012, the Ifo<br />

World Economic Climate Indicator showed a slight<br />

upturn in the first quarter of 2012 after two successive<br />

decreases, but remains significantly below its long-term<br />

average. The improvement was entirely driven by a<br />

slightly more optimistic six-month outlook. Appraisals of<br />

the current situation, on the other hand, were poorer<br />

than in last quarter’s survey. The survey results confirm<br />

that the situation of the world economy remains<br />

difficult. The economic climate in Asia points to an<br />

economic slowdown. Significantly poorer appraisals of<br />

the current situation pushed the climate indicator<br />

further below its long-term average. Positive signs,<br />

however, came from North America, and especially from the USA, where a clear improvement was seen,<br />

especially in the current economic situation.<br />

Contact information:<br />

To schedule an interview with <strong>Cefic</strong> Chief Economist Dr. Moncef Hadhri, contact James Pieper, media relations,<br />

<strong>Cefic</strong>, on +32 2 676 73 98 or via email at jpi@cefic.be. For details of the report, e-mail Dr Hadhri directly at<br />

mha@cefic.be or call him on +32 2 676 72 82. Those who are not media or members of <strong>Cefic</strong>, please contact<br />

<strong>Cefic</strong> Director of Business Development Dr. Fabrice Tabankia on +32 2 676 72 95 or at fta@cefic.be.<br />

Notes to editor:<br />

About the <strong>Chemicals</strong> <strong>Trends</strong> <strong>Report</strong><br />

The <strong>Cefic</strong> <strong>Chemicals</strong> <strong>Trends</strong> summary report is a condensed version of a full report, in slide presentation form, issued each month to<br />

members of <strong>Cefic</strong>, which includes chemical industry associations and member companies. Both the short summary and full report provide a<br />

snapshot of the chemical industry performance in the 27 countries in the European Union and are based on available data released by<br />

Eurostat. The scope of the two-page summary report distils Eurostat data into four areas: chemicals production, trade, prices and total<br />

sales.<br />

About <strong>Cefic</strong><br />

<strong>Cefic</strong>, the European Chemical Industry Council, is the Brussels-based organisation representing the European chemical industry. Created in<br />

1972, it represents 29,000 companies that produce 21 per cent of the world’s chemicals and employ 1.2 million people. To learn more<br />

about <strong>Cefic</strong>, visit its website at www.cefic.org.<br />

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