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BIOACID Programme - Natural Environment Research Council

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1. Project background<br />

6<br />

<strong>BIOACID</strong>: Biological Impacts of Ocean Acidification<br />

The world’s oceans help moderating climate change thanks to their extensive capacity to store<br />

anthropogenic carbon dioxide. Since pre-industrial times, the oceans have sequestered nearly half<br />

of the fossil fuel CO2 released into the atmosphere and presently take up approximately 30% of<br />

current CO2 emissions (Sabine et al. 2004). As CO2 enters the surface ocean it reacts with<br />

seawater and generates changes in carbonate chemistry already measurable today (Figure 1). In<br />

case of unabated CO2 emissions, the resulting changes in seawater chemistry will, in the course<br />

of this century, expose marine organisms to conditions which they may not have experienced<br />

during their recent evolutionary history (Raven et al., 2005). This raises concerns regarding the<br />

biological, ecological, biogeochemical, and societal implications of ocean acidification.<br />

Fig. 1: Measured changes in surface ocean CO 2 partial pressure (pCO 2) and pH at the European Station for<br />

Time-series in the Ocean off the Canary Islands (ESTOC), the Hawaii Ocean Time-series Station<br />

(HOT) and the Bermuda Atlantic Times Series station (BATS). Since 1750, surface ocean pH has<br />

decreased by 0.12 units (calculated). Since 1980, pH has decreased by 0.02 units per decade (measured).<br />

Source: IPCC 4 th Assessment Report (2007)<br />

In its Special Report “The Future Oceans – Warming up, Rising High, Turning Sour”, the<br />

German Advisory <strong>Council</strong> on Global Change (WBGU, Berlin 2006) states: “Because of the<br />

importance of the consequences of ocean acidification, research in this area should be intensified<br />

considerably. As long as there is no general scientific consensus about the tolerable limit for the<br />

effects of acidification, a margin of safety according to the precautionary principle should be<br />

observed. The suggestion of the WBGU to prevent a pH decrease of more than 0.2 is oriented<br />

toward the goal of avoiding an aragonite undersaturation in the ocean surface layer. If it is found<br />

that other intolerable damages already occur before reaching aragonite undersaturation, then the<br />

guard rail will have to be adjusted accordingly.” (see Fig. 2)

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