MISO Energy Storage Study Phase 1 Report - Utility Wind ...
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<strong>MISO</strong> <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> <strong>Phase</strong> 1<br />
<strong>Report</strong><br />
Product ID # 1024489<br />
Final <strong>Report</strong>, November 2011<br />
EPRI Project Manager<br />
Dan Rastler<br />
ELECTRIC POWER RESEARCH INSTITUTE<br />
3420 Hillview Avenue, Palo Alto, California 94304-1338 PO Box 10412, Palo Alto, California 94303-0813 USA<br />
800.313.3774 650.855.2121 askepri@epri.com www.epri.com
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PROCESS, OR SIMILAR ITEM DISCLOSED IN THIS DOCUMENT.<br />
THE FOLLOWING ORGANIZATION(S), UNDER CONTRACT TO EPRI, PREPARED THIS REPORT:<br />
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NOTE<br />
For further information about EPRI, call the EPRI Customer Assistance Center at 800.313.3774 or<br />
e-mail askepri@epri.com.<br />
Electric Power Research Institute, EPRI, and TOGETHER…SHAPING THE FUTURE OF ELECTRICITY<br />
are registered service marks of the Electric Power Research Institute, Inc.<br />
Copyright © 2011 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS<br />
The following organizations, under contract to the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI),<br />
prepared this report:<br />
Hoffman Power Consulting<br />
The Electric Power Writing Experts<br />
322 Digital Drive<br />
Morgan Hill, CA 95037<br />
<br />
EPRI<br />
3412 Hillview Avenue<br />
Palo Alto, CA 94304<br />
www.epri.com<br />
Principal Investigator<br />
D. Rastler<br />
This report describes research conducted by <strong>MISO</strong>.<br />
EPRI gratefully acknowledges<br />
The <strong>MISO</strong> and its staff for conducting this research and the stakeholders in the Technical<br />
Review Group who provided comments.<br />
Dan Rastler<br />
November 2011<br />
iii
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />
Introduction<br />
<strong>MISO</strong> is a non-profit member based organization regulated by the federal energy regulatory<br />
commission (FERC). As a Regional Transmission Organization (RTO), <strong>MISO</strong> provides<br />
electricity consumers in 13 states with regional grid management and open access to<br />
transmission facilities through a tariff closely regulated by FERC.<br />
State legislated renewable portfolio standards (RPS) within the <strong>MISO</strong> footprint in Montana,<br />
Minnesota, Wisconsin, Iowa, Missouri, Illinois, Michigan, Ohio, and Pennsylvania require<br />
varying percentages of electrical energy be met from renewable energy resources starting in<br />
2010. These mandates resulted in initiatives to integrate renewable energy generation, primarily<br />
from wind, into the <strong>MISO</strong> market. <strong>Wind</strong> resources now account for 6 percent of installed<br />
capacity (approximately 9.2 GW) and 3.5 percent of generation, producing hourly capacity up to<br />
6.7 GW 1 . Economic electricity generation from wind typically occurs some distance from load<br />
centers, requiring new transmission be constructed to reach consumers. Typical wind patterns<br />
produce higher energy at times when electricity demand is low. <strong>Wind</strong> generation is also variable<br />
and has to be carefully balanced with conventional resources in order to maintain system<br />
reliability.<br />
As significant variable generation resources are added to the transmission grid the system<br />
complexities associated with balancing generation and demand increase. Greater flexibility is<br />
required to maintain reliable service. In this circumstance, the role that energy storage plays in<br />
systems planning becomes important. Long-term energy storage is attractive because it can be<br />
used to shift electricity generated during low demand periods for use during peak demand. Shortterm<br />
energy storage also has potential value in providing a frequency regulating resource to<br />
maintain system stability. <strong>MISO</strong> currently accommodates long-term storage resources in its<br />
markets in the form of pumped hydro storage (PHS). Short-term storage is accommodated as a<br />
regulating reserve resource in the <strong>MISO</strong> ancillary services market (ASM).<br />
To better understand the role of energy storage, the <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> was initiated by <strong>MISO</strong><br />
to model several hypotheses around battery, compressed air, and pumped hydro energy storage<br />
technologies. The study explores reliability, market, and planning benefits that storage<br />
technologies could potentially provide. The study seeks to determine economic potential for<br />
storage technologies in <strong>MISO</strong>. It will estimate the price inflection point at which energy storage<br />
may become economically feasible. Finally, the study will suggest potential <strong>MISO</strong> energy and<br />
operating reserve markets enhancement products.<br />
1 2010 <strong>MISO</strong> State of the Markets Market Monitor <strong>Report</strong> June 2011, Potomac Economics<br />
v
Project Objectives<br />
The <strong>MISO</strong> <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> objectives are to:<br />
• Provide stakeholders with recommendations based on analysis from modeling three key<br />
energy storage technologies.<br />
• Identify the economic potential for energy storage technologies with longer-term<br />
capabilities in the <strong>MISO</strong> footprint.<br />
• Review storage treatment in the existing <strong>MISO</strong> ancillary services market (ASM) for<br />
adjustments that could be considered to encompass additional short-term storage<br />
technologies (e.g. battery).<br />
• Highlight potential enhancements to existing tariffs that complement storage<br />
technologies.<br />
• Provide <strong>MISO</strong> transmission planners with a better understanding of storage technology<br />
modeling, in order to recommend future guidelines for the MTEP process. The simulation<br />
studies will also identify key market impacts from storage and future sensitivity to<br />
regulatory and fuel price scenarios that emerge from the analysis.<br />
Three drivers underpin the <strong>MISO</strong> <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong>. The first is the State RPS mandates that<br />
require <strong>MISO</strong> to respond to increased renewable energy integration. The second driver concerns<br />
the way that storage is treated in the <strong>MISO</strong> tariff. Ongoing discussions and rulings between the<br />
FERC and <strong>MISO</strong> since the start of the ASM in 2009 have centered on how short and long-term<br />
storage resources should be treated in the tariff. <strong>MISO</strong> and its stakeholders benefit from the<br />
greater understanding that the <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> brings to these discussions.<br />
A third study driver is the need for <strong>MISO</strong> to improve its capabilities in energy storage modeling.<br />
<strong>MISO</strong> is a leader among regional transmission organizations in enhancing transmission planning<br />
to meet regional and interregional objectives. The <strong>MISO</strong> Transmission Expansion Plan (MTEP)<br />
extends traditional bottom up planning to incorporate wind integration and to consider<br />
neighboring regions as well as multiple future scenarios. The <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> provides<br />
<strong>MISO</strong> with better understanding about how energy storage technologies can be modeled as a<br />
component in transmission and generation planning.<br />
Approach<br />
The <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> is a targeted study assigned to the <strong>MISO</strong> Transmission Expansion<br />
Plan 2011 (MTEP11) cycle. MTEP targeted studies begin as efforts to identify particular<br />
problems or explore planning, reliability and/or market enhancements. The study approach is to<br />
model energy storage for the three storage technologies that <strong>MISO</strong> has experience with. The first<br />
technology is pumped hydro storage (PHS) that stores energy pumped into a water reservoir.<br />
Current registered <strong>MISO</strong> PHS capacity is 2500 MW. The second technology is compressed air<br />
energy storage (CAES) that stores energy in the form of compressed air in a cavern or above<br />
ground pipe system. There are no CAES plants in <strong>MISO</strong> but an economic feasibility analysis was<br />
recently conducted for a proposed plant in Iowa. The first two technologies offer long-term<br />
energy storage capability that can be used to store energy during low demand periods and release<br />
energy during high demand, periods – a process known as energy arbitrage. The third<br />
technology is battery storage that typically provides storage for shorter time periods and has
greater potential value in supporting system frequency and regulation. <strong>MISO</strong> has experience with<br />
battery storage working with the Xcel project that uses solid-state dry cell batteries.<br />
During the <strong>Phase</strong> 1 study, <strong>MISO</strong> seeks first to understand whether there is economic potential for<br />
energy storage in their footprint and second to start to understand how that energy storage is best<br />
utilized. Two existing <strong>MISO</strong> planning models are used to identify these energy storage impacts.<br />
The first model is the electric generation expansion analysis system (EGEAS), which is designed<br />
by EPRI to find the optimum (least cost) integrated resource plan for a given demand level. The<br />
EGEAS model is used to identify circumstances when adding energy storage resources to the<br />
<strong>MISO</strong> footprint is justified economically. The second model is a production cost model called<br />
PLEXOS that offers co-optimization functionality and models system constrained economic<br />
dispatch in day ahead and real time markets with intra-hourly granularity. PLEXOS is used for<br />
deeper analysis to understand how energy storage resources can best be utilized in the <strong>MISO</strong><br />
market. The <strong>Phase</strong> 1 study concentrated on modeling with EGEAS and did some preliminary<br />
calibration and testing with PLEXOS.<br />
Key Findings<br />
By using the EGEAS model in <strong>Phase</strong> 1, <strong>MISO</strong> gained experience with modeling energy storage<br />
technologies and is able to relate this experience directly to existing transmission planning using<br />
EGEAS. The <strong>Phase</strong> 1 EGEAS model runs allowed sensitivity analysis around several different<br />
future scenarios. These scenarios match the future cases used in MTEP11 planning including fuel<br />
costs (natural gas prices), EPA regulations, a carbon tax and RPS mandate percentages. The<br />
EGEAS model identifies economic benefits from energy arbitrage storage in several cases and<br />
thus fulfills a primary study objective to prove economic benefit is available from energy storage<br />
in <strong>MISO</strong>.<br />
The study team recognizes that EGEAS has limitations for modeling energy storage<br />
technologies, particularly short-term storage from batteries because the model does not capture<br />
any benefit from the ASM. There are other shortcomings to the EGEAS model with regard to<br />
storage benefits from energy arbitrage because the price data used may not have the granularity<br />
to capture optimal energy arbitrage economics. EGEAS also does not model the congestion<br />
market. The EGEAS model can, however run a large number of scenarios in a short time and<br />
highlights cases where energy storage has the greatest economic benefit. Since PLEXOS only<br />
models energy storage resources that already exist, EGEAS plays a critical role in selecting the<br />
cases that are appropriate for PLEXOS analysis. This allows the study group to choose<br />
appropriate cases for <strong>Phase</strong> 2 analysis.<br />
The PLEXOS <strong>Phase</strong> 1 analysis was designed to provide a framework in which a fully functional<br />
model could be developed for use in the <strong>Phase</strong> 2 PLEXOS analysis. The major findings for<br />
PLEXOS in <strong>Phase</strong> 1 were insights gained from calibrating the model assumptions and variables.<br />
These insights are invaluable to <strong>MISO</strong> and an expected learning curve from modeling a new<br />
technology. The limited PLEXOS results obtained in <strong>Phase</strong> 1 did show economic benefit from<br />
energy storage in all three technologies. The analysis was limited to the day-ahead market in<br />
<strong>Phase</strong> 1 so that real time benefits from short-term energy resources were not captured. The<br />
PLEXOS cases to be modeled in <strong>Phase</strong> 2 were defined during the <strong>Phase</strong> 1 analysis.<br />
The <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> provides valuable feedback and lessons learned about the modeling<br />
tools used (EGEAS and PLEXOS) and their suitability for assessing potential <strong>MISO</strong> benefits<br />
vii
from energy storage. The lessons learned in <strong>Phase</strong> 1 owe a lot to the complexities that surround<br />
modeling energy storage technologies in the <strong>MISO</strong> environment.<br />
Conclusions and Recommendations<br />
<strong>Phase</strong> 1 of the <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> has allowed <strong>MISO</strong> to become familiar with challenges<br />
inherent in modeling energy storage technology in a complex nodal market with an ASM. The<br />
study group has gained a good understanding about storage modeling using EGEAS, which is the<br />
primary <strong>MISO</strong> tool for transmission resource planning.<br />
The study results demonstrate that there is economic potential for energy storage in the <strong>MISO</strong><br />
footprint. Benefits were observed in cases using both EGEAS and PLEXOS. These benefits will<br />
be explored in greater depth during <strong>Phase</strong> 2.<br />
The <strong>Phase</strong> 1 results show that EGEAS is not the right tool to properly understand energy storage<br />
potential. The critical role for EGEAS is in identifying cases where storage is beneficial so that<br />
these cases can be analyzed further by PLEXOS in the <strong>Phase</strong> 2 study.<br />
The PLEXOS experience during <strong>Phase</strong> 1 allowed for fine-tuning the model parameters and<br />
important lessons were learned regarding storage model setup.<br />
The cases to be modeled in <strong>Phase</strong> 2 have been selected.<br />
<strong>Phase</strong> 2 of the <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> will provide richer analysis from which to make<br />
conclusions and recommendations. Considerable groundwork has been accomplished in <strong>Phase</strong> 1.<br />
This report will provide extremely useful reference material for industry transmission planners.<br />
<strong>Report</strong> Organization<br />
This report covers <strong>Phase</strong> 1 of the <strong>MISO</strong> <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong>. The first chapter provides an<br />
introduction and background to the <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong>. Chapter 2 introduces the <strong>MISO</strong><br />
transmission-planning environment. The MTEP process is described as well as the recent<br />
Regional Generation Outlet <strong>Study</strong> (RGOS) and subsequent adoption into MTEP of<br />
portfolio/scenario analysis to identify multi-value projects (MVPs). The future scenarios and<br />
sensitivities used by MTEP are reviewed because they form the basis for the modeling scenarios<br />
in the energy storage study.<br />
Chapter 3 reviews the energy storage technology landscape and then provides more detailed<br />
technology descriptions for the three key storage technologies - compressed air energy storage<br />
(CAES), pumped hydro storage (PHS) and battery that <strong>MISO</strong> is evaluating in the <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong><br />
<strong>Study</strong>. Chapter 4 describes the current <strong>MISO</strong> ASM for storage including unresolved differences<br />
between the FERC and the <strong>MISO</strong> concerning stored energy resource treatment.<br />
Chapter 5 reviews the modeling tools and methodology that <strong>MISO</strong> used for the <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong><br />
<strong>Study</strong>. The use cases and parameters for the EGEAS and PLEXOS models are provided, together<br />
with the assumptions for model scenarios.
Chapters 6 and 7 contain the results and analysis from modeling. Chapter 6 covers the EGEAS<br />
model and Chapter 7, PLEXOS. In this first <strong>Phase</strong> study report, the PLEXOS results are only<br />
preliminary. Chapter 8 presents conclusions from the study results, a preview of <strong>Phase</strong> 2 analysis<br />
to-date and potential next steps for <strong>MISO</strong> including recommendations for future adjustments to<br />
the MTEP process.<br />
Keywords<br />
Midwest Independent Transmission System Operator<br />
<strong>MISO</strong><br />
Compressed air energy storage<br />
CAES<br />
Electric energy storage<br />
Renewable energy<br />
CO 2 emission reduction<br />
Renewable Portfolio Standards<br />
Ancillary Services<br />
Regulation<br />
Contingency Reserves<br />
<strong>Energy</strong> Arbitrage<br />
ix
CONTENTS<br />
1 INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................................... 1-1 <br />
Background and Objectives .................................................................................................. 1-1 <br />
<strong>Study</strong> Objectives ................................................................................................................... 1-4 <br />
2 THE <strong>MISO</strong> PLANNING ENVIRONMENT ............................................................................... 2-1 <br />
Background and Recent Challenges..................................................................................... 2-1 <br />
Variable Generation Resource Challenges ........................................................................... 2-1 <br />
Ancillary Service Markets...................................................................................................... 2-2 <br />
The <strong>MISO</strong> Transmission Planning Process .......................................................................... 2-4 <br />
The <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> .................................................................................................... 2-6 <br />
3 ENERGY STORAGE TECHNOLOGIES ................................................................................ 3-1 <br />
The <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> Landscape ........................................................................................... 3-1 <br />
<strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> Technology Overviews................................................................................ 3-4 <br />
Pumped Hydro <strong>Storage</strong> .................................................................................................... 3-4 <br />
Compressed Air <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> (CAES)......................................................................... 3-6 <br />
CAES Technology ....................................................................................................... 3-6 <br />
The Iowa Stored <strong>Energy</strong> Park Case <strong>Study</strong> .................................................................. 3-8 <br />
Battery <strong>Storage</strong> ................................................................................................................ 3-9 <br />
Lead Acid Batteries...................................................................................................... 3-9 <br />
NAS (Sodium Sulfur) Batteries .................................................................................... 3-9 <br />
Zinc-Bromine and Halogen Flow Batteries ................................................................ 3-10 <br />
Vanadium Redox Flow Battery .................................................................................. 3-10 <br />
4 STORED ENERGY RESOURCE TREATMENT IN THE <strong>MISO</strong> TARIFF................................ 4-1 <br />
Current <strong>MISO</strong> Tariff............................................................................................................... 4-1 <br />
Pumped Hydro <strong>Storage</strong> Tariff ...................................................................................... 4-2 <br />
Short Term <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> Resources ........................................................................... 4-3 <br />
xi
Real Time (5 minute) Security Constrained Economic Dispatch (SCED) <strong>Energy</strong><br />
Dispatch ........................................................................................................................... 4-4 <br />
Ramp Capability For Load Following in <strong>MISO</strong>.................................................................. 4-5 <br />
FERC Correspondence Regarding <strong>MISO</strong> Tariff SER Treatment...................................... 4-6 <br />
<strong>Phase</strong> 2 Opportunities for Tariff Enhancements .............................................................. 4-7 <br />
5 ENERGY STORAGE MODELS AND ASSUMPTIONS ......................................................... 5-1 <br />
Planning Models.................................................................................................................... 5-1 <br />
<strong>MISO</strong> <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> Models .................................................................................... 5-1 <br />
<strong>Study</strong> Models – EGEAS ........................................................................................................ 5-2 <br />
EGEAS Model Functionality ........................................................................................ 5-3 <br />
EGEAS Benefits .......................................................................................................... 5-5 <br />
EGEAS Drawbacks...................................................................................................... 5-5 <br />
EGEAS <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> Model Assumptions .............................................................. 5-5 <br />
EGEAS Sensitivities .................................................................................................... 5-6 <br />
EGEAS Assumptions................................................................................................... 5-6 <br />
<strong>Study</strong> Models – PLEXOS ...................................................................................................... 5-9 <br />
PLEXOS Benefits ...................................................................................................... 5-12 <br />
PLEXOS Assumptions............................................................................................... 5-12 <br />
<strong>Phase</strong> 2 Recommendations to Improve <strong>Storage</strong> Modeling ............................................ 5-12 <br />
6 EGEAS ANALYSIS RESULTS .............................................................................................. 6-1 <br />
Results Summary for EGEAS ............................................................................................... 6-1 <br />
<strong>Phase</strong> 1 EGEAS Results....................................................................................................... 6-1 <br />
<strong>Energy</strong> Arbitrage Analysis Based on EGEAS Results...................................................... 6-4 <br />
EGEAS Model Takeaways.................................................................................................... 6-5 <br />
7 INITIAL PLEXOS ANALYSIS ................................................................................................ 7-1 <br />
PLEXOS <strong>Phase</strong> 1.................................................................................................................. 7-1 <br />
Challenges Uncovered During <strong>Phase</strong> 1 PLEXOS Analysis .................................................. 7-1 <br />
Modeling Challenges Identified Using PLEXOS ................................................................... 7-3 <br />
Initial Conclusions from <strong>Phase</strong> 1 PLEXOS Analysis ............................................................. 7-4 <br />
Lessons Learned FROM <strong>Phase</strong> 1 PLEXOS Analysis ........................................................... 7-7 <br />
PLEXOS Next Steps – Pre <strong>Phase</strong> 2...................................................................................... 7-7 <br />
PLEXOS Next Steps – <strong>Phase</strong> 2 ............................................................................................ 7-8
8 STUDY CONCLUSIONS ........................................................................................................ 8-1 <br />
A TECHNICAL REVIEW GROUP WORKSHOP AGENDAS AND TAKEAWAYS...................A-1 <br />
B ACRONYMS ..........................................................................................................................B-5 <br />
C STAKEHOLDER FEEDBACK ...............................................................................................C-1 <br />
xiii
LIST OF FIGURES<br />
Figure 1-1: RPS Mandates and Goals Within the <strong>MISO</strong> Footprint (Source <strong>MISO</strong>).................... 1-3 <br />
Figure 2-1: Average Hourly <strong>Wind</strong> Generation and Prices in <strong>MISO</strong> 2008-2011 (Source<br />
Iowa Stored <strong>Energy</strong> Park Analysis).................................................................................... 2-2 <br />
Figure 2-2: Operational Planning Timeframes in ISO Balancing Markets (Source EPRI) ......... 2-4 <br />
Figure 2-3: <strong>MISO</strong> <strong>Wind</strong> Curtailment 2008-2010 (Source <strong>MISO</strong> State of Market Monitor) ......... 2-7 <br />
Figure 3-1: Representative Positioning of <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> Technologies (Source EPRI) ......... 3-3 <br />
Figure 3-2: FERC Registered Pumped <strong>Storage</strong> Projects, July 2011 ......................................... 3-4 <br />
Figure 3-3: Pumped <strong>Storage</strong> Capacity Worldwide (GW) Source <strong>MISO</strong>..................................... 3-5 <br />
Figure 3-4: Fast Response Capabilities for Adjustable Speed PHS (Source <strong>MISO</strong>) ................. 3-5 <br />
Figure 3-5: Advanced CAES Plant Schematic (Source:EPRI)................................................... 3-7 <br />
Figure 4-1: <strong>MISO</strong> RT SCED Dispatch Algorithm........................................................................ 4-5 <br />
Figure 5-1: EGEAS and PLEXOS Model Interaction ................................................................. 5-2 <br />
Figure 5-2: EGEAS Screening Curve with PSH and CAES (PHS and CAES are “mid”<br />
values - $2250/kW and $1250/kW respectively, CO2 tax= 0 in this case, Source<br />
<strong>MISO</strong>)................................................................................................................................. 5-6 <br />
Figure 5-3: 2011 Installed Capacities by Fuel Category Assumption for <strong>MISO</strong> <strong>Energy</strong><br />
<strong>Study</strong> .................................................................................................................................. 5-9 <br />
Figure 5-4: PLEXOS CAES <strong>Storage</strong> Model Output (Source <strong>Energy</strong> Exemplar) ...................... 5-11 <br />
Figure 6-1: One Branch of the EGEAS <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> Analysis Decision Tree....................... 6-2 <br />
Figure 6-2: Results from <strong>Phase</strong> 1 EGEAS <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> Analysis Showing<br />
Circumstances Where CAES is Selected .......................................................................... 6-2 <br />
Figure 6-3: Simple Load Duration Curve Illustration Showing <strong>Wind</strong> Impact on <strong>Storage</strong><br />
Charging and Generation................................................................................................... 6-4 <br />
Figure 7-1: Detailed vs Aggregated Transmission Areas for PLEXOS Simulation .................... 7-2 <br />
Figure 7-2: Three Stage Process to Decompose Long-Term <strong>Storage</strong> Constraints into the<br />
Real Time Market with PLEXOS ........................................................................................ 7-4 <br />
Figure 7-3: PLEXOS Initial Results – CAES. Higher Variable Costs and Efficiency<br />
Losses Cause CAES to Only Operate for Limited Periods ................................................ 7-5 <br />
Figure 7-4: PLEXOS Initial Results – PHS. At a Lower Variable Cost Than CAES, PHS<br />
Operates more Frequently ................................................................................................. 7-5 <br />
xv
Figure 7-5: Initial PLEXOS Results - CAES Revenue Components. The Reserve Pricing<br />
Method Used causes reserve Revenue Spikes for This Run............................................. 7-6 <br />
Figure 7-6:Initial PLEXOS Results - PHS Revenue Components. The Reserve Pricing<br />
Method Used causes reserve Revenue Spikes in this Analysis ........................................ 7-6 <br />
<br />
LIST OF TABLES<br />
Table 3-1: Definition of <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> Applications (Source EPRI 1020676) ......................... 3-3 <br />
Table 3-2: ISEPA Net Benefit CAES Plant Economic Comparison (Source ISEPA) ................. 3-8 <br />
Table 4-1 : Stored <strong>Energy</strong> Resource Operating Parameter Data Summary (Source <strong>MISO</strong><br />
BPM-002)........................................................................................................................... 4-4 <br />
Table 5-1: EGEAS <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> Plant Assumptions .................................................. 5-8 <br />
Table 6-1: EGEAS Model <strong>Storage</strong> Selection Cases .................................................................. 6-3 <br />
Table 7-1: PLEXOS <strong>Phase</strong> 1 Analysis Lessons Learned .......................................................... 7-7
1<br />
INTRODUCTION<br />
Background and Objectives<br />
The Midwest Independent Transmission System Operator (<strong>MISO</strong>) is a non-profit member based<br />
organization regulated by the federal energy regulatory commission (FERC). As a Regional<br />
Transmission Organization (RTO), <strong>MISO</strong> provides electricity consumers in 13 states with<br />
regional grid management and open access to transmission facilities at a tariff closely regulated<br />
by FERC.<br />
The guiding philosophy behind RTO’s is to deliver safe and reliable wholesale energy markets<br />
for utility members. <strong>MISO</strong> does not own generation capacity or transmission so its planning<br />
activities center on ensuring that transmission capacity delivers generation at the best price for<br />
consumers. <strong>MISO</strong> is required to engage in comprehensive planning in order to meet reliability<br />
criteria in its region and with its neighbors. In addition, <strong>MISO</strong> runs the wholesale energy and<br />
ancillary market for electricity. The balancing market price mechanism (locational marginal<br />
pricing, LMP) is designed to attract investment in new generation when congestion raises prices.<br />
The <strong>MISO</strong> transmission-planning process accommodates new generation interconnections.<br />
When RTO’s were first created in the early 2000’s, the transmission planning emphasis was<br />
purely on reliability and security. During the past ten years there has been a change in emphasis<br />
for <strong>MISO</strong> and other RTO’s to expand their transmission planning activities beyond a pure focus<br />
on reliability and security in order to meet economic planning goals (FERC Order 890) as well as<br />
broader public policy goals.<br />
<strong>MISO</strong> currently follows a top-down (regional) and bottoms-up (local) transmission planning<br />
process intended to address reliability, economic, and public policy driven transmission issues 2 .<br />
<strong>MISO</strong>’s guiding principles in transmission planning are as follows:<br />
• Provide access to the lowest possible delivered electric energy cost<br />
• Reliability<br />
• Support for State and Federal renewable energy objectives<br />
• Provide an appropriate transmission cost allocation mechanism<br />
• Develop a transmission system scenario model and make it available to stakeholders in<br />
general.<br />
2 See http://www.midwestiso.org/Planning/TransmissionExpansionPlanning<br />
1-1
Introduction<br />
<strong>MISO</strong> follows a cycle known as the <strong>MISO</strong> transmission expansion plan (MTEP) that results in<br />
annual recommendations to proceed with expansion projects, subject to approval by the<br />
independent <strong>MISO</strong> board of directors. The planning process is open to stakeholder participation<br />
and its deliberations are disseminated via the <strong>MISO</strong> website.<br />
State legislated renewable portfolio standards (RPS) within the <strong>MISO</strong> footprint in Montana,<br />
Minnesota, Wisconsin, Iowa, Missouri, Illinois, Michigan, Ohio, and Pennsylvania require<br />
varying percentages of electrical energy be met from renewable energy resources starting in<br />
2010. These mandates resulted in initiatives to integrate renewable energy generation, primarily<br />
from wind, into the <strong>MISO</strong> market (see Figure 1-1). <strong>Wind</strong> resources now account for 6 percent of<br />
installed capacity (approximately 9.2 GW) 3 . Economic electricity generation from wind typically<br />
occurs some distance from load centers, requiring new transmission be constructed to reach<br />
consumers. <strong>Wind</strong> generation is also variable and has to be carefully balanced with conventional<br />
resources in order to maintain system reliability.<br />
In January 2009, <strong>MISO</strong> started an ancillary services market (ASM) to introduce competition to<br />
services that ensure system reliability. The ASM market allows generators to bid as operating<br />
and contingency reserves in the real time market. A transparent market for these resources opens<br />
up the possibility that unconventional resources such as demand side resources and various<br />
storage technologies can be encouraged by receiving additional compensation for ancillary<br />
services. The ASM in turn attracts resources that will be needed to balance increased variable<br />
generation from resources such as wind and solar power. The 2010 MTEP10 transmission<br />
planning cycle included a regional generation outlet study (RGOS) that focused on planning<br />
scenarios necessary to integrate increased electricity generated from wind resources.<br />
Also since 2009 <strong>MISO</strong> has allowed a portion of the intermittent wind resources to be counted<br />
toward resource adequacy requirements. In 2012 the effective capacity portion will allow about<br />
14 percent of the installed wind capacity to be treated as resource capacity; however the actual<br />
realized capacity is less than this because the transmission system is the limiting factor. The<br />
balance between how much transmission should be expanded as the benefits might diminish is an<br />
on-going aspect of transmission planning. In 2011 <strong>MISO</strong> introduced an ASM product called<br />
Dispatchable Intermittent Resources (DIR), where rather than wind resources simply being<br />
curtailed, those resources can get paid to reduce output and contribute to mitigating congestion.<br />
While curtailment or price signaled DIR manages reliability, the corresponding reduced output<br />
represents a marginal decrease toward achieving renewable energy mandate targets.<br />
As significant variable generation resources are added to the transmission grid, long-term energy<br />
storage becomes a potentially attractive option because it can be used to shift electricity<br />
generated during off-peak periods for use during peak demand. Short-term energy storage is also<br />
valuable for contingency reserves and as a frequency regulating resource (operating reserves).<br />
<strong>MISO</strong> currently accommodates long-term storage resources in its markets in the form of pumped<br />
hydro storage (PHS). PHS technology involves pumping water up a gradient using low price offpeak<br />
electricity and discharging the water through turbines to produce electricity during peak<br />
consumption periods. These resources have participated in <strong>MISO</strong> markets since April 2005 and<br />
are treated in a comparable manner to generators and price sensitive loads. There is<br />
3 2010 <strong>MISO</strong> State of the Markets Market Monitor <strong>Report</strong> June 2011, Potomac Economics<br />
1-2
Introduction<br />
approximately 2500 MW of pumped storage resource registered in <strong>MISO</strong>. Short-term energy<br />
storage is currently only accommodated as a regulating resource in the ASM tariff, a provision<br />
that was added to facilitate the use of flywheel energy storage technology. This stored energy<br />
resource provision is the subject of ongoing debate between the FERC and <strong>MISO</strong> 4 . The FERC is<br />
requesting equitable market treatment for any stored energy resource technology including<br />
longer-term resources.<br />
The <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> is a targeted study carried out during the 2011 MTEP cycle. The<br />
<strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> models several hypotheses around battery, compressed air, and pumped<br />
hydro energy storage technologies. The study explores reliability, market, and planning benefits<br />
that storage technologies provide. <strong>Study</strong> objectives are to determine the economic potential and<br />
feasibility of storage technologies for <strong>MISO</strong> and to suggest potential <strong>MISO</strong> energy and operating<br />
reserve market enhancement products, if appropriate.<br />
Figure 1-1: RPS Mandates and Goals Within the <strong>MISO</strong> Footprint (Source <strong>MISO</strong>)<br />
Three drivers underpin the <strong>MISO</strong> <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> as follows:<br />
• The first is the open question on short and long-term storage treatment in the ASM. The<br />
FERC expresses concern that any short-term energy storage technology (not just<br />
flywheel) should be accommodated by the ASM tariff and able to participate in other<br />
4 See FERC Docket Nos. ER07-1372-014 and ER09-1126-000<br />
1-3
Introduction<br />
1-4<br />
markets besides regulation. In addition, longer-term stored energy resources should be<br />
able to participate fully in ASM, day ahead and real time markets.<br />
• Second, increasing renewable portfolio standards (RPS) in <strong>MISO</strong> footprint states<br />
encourages wind penetration that storage resources may complement. Current state RPS<br />
mandates average out over <strong>MISO</strong> territory to 13 percent by 2020 (see Figure 1-1).<br />
• Third, <strong>MISO</strong> needs to improve storage modeling. The 2010 MTEP identifies plans to<br />
consider energy storage as a resource option in planning (section 9.5, MTEP10). <strong>MISO</strong><br />
requires a better understanding about how energy storage technologies can be modeled as<br />
a component in transmission and generation planning. Several complexities exist around<br />
storage products with regard to their optimization in ASM markets and how storage<br />
owners are compensated for storage benefits.<br />
<strong>Study</strong> Objectives<br />
The <strong>MISO</strong> <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> objective is to provide stakeholders with recommendations<br />
based on analysis from modeling three key energy storage technologies. The study is expected to<br />
identify the economic potential for energy storage technologies with longer-term capabilities in<br />
the <strong>MISO</strong> footprint. Stakeholders also want to identify storage value in the existing <strong>MISO</strong><br />
ancillary services market (ASM) including adjustments to encompass additional short-term<br />
storage technologies (e.g. battery). <strong>MISO</strong> would like to identify enhancements to existing tariffs<br />
to complement storage technologies. Such tariff changes will involve <strong>MISO</strong> stakeholder inputs<br />
and ultimately new filings with the FERC. An important driver for the <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> is<br />
to provide improved understanding around storage treatment in the <strong>MISO</strong> tariff. <strong>MISO</strong> has been<br />
engaged in ongoing discussions about storage treatment with the FERC over the past two years.<br />
Another major goal for <strong>MISO</strong> transmission planners from the study is to better understand<br />
storage technology modeling in order to recommend future guidelines for the MTEP process.<br />
The simulation studies will also identify key market impacts from storage and future sensitivity<br />
to regulatory and fuel price scenarios that emerges from the analysis.
2<br />
THE <strong>MISO</strong> PLANNING ENVIRONMENT<br />
Background and Recent Challenges<br />
This chapter describes the <strong>MISO</strong> planning environment from which the <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong><br />
requirement emerged. As a regional transmission organization, <strong>MISO</strong> is required to produce<br />
regular long term transmission expansion plans to provide continued reliable and secure electric<br />
service to its members under its FERC tariff terms. Transmission plans are generally designed to<br />
meet reliability needs, to provide connection to new generators, to meet a particular stakeholder<br />
local need or to improve transmission efficiency. New renewable energy drivers make the<br />
planning process more complex. <strong>MISO</strong> is responding with additional analysis and modeling to<br />
evaluate more sophisticated scenarios including increased generation from renewable resources.<br />
The <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> uses similar scenario analysis to evaluate how and when energy<br />
storage technologies can provide economic value to <strong>MISO</strong> stakeholders.<br />
In the <strong>MISO</strong> region, installed generation capacity is approximately 50 percent coal, 30 percent<br />
gas, 10 percent nuclear and 10 percent renewables. However, based on production costs in the<br />
region, the energy being produced is approximately 75 percent from coal, 15 percent from<br />
nuclear, and 10 percent from other sources. State RPS programs mandate increases in energy use<br />
from renewable sources such as wind. Environmental mandates are placing pressure on the life<br />
expectancy of coal plants. These social choices are not based purely on production costs. As a<br />
consequence, <strong>MISO</strong> planners are being challenged to engage in more complex transmission<br />
studies that take regional and public policy variables into account. The <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong><br />
forms one part of this expanding agenda<br />
<strong>MISO</strong> planning is therefore evolving from an emphasis on reliability and resource adequacy to<br />
respond to new market and regulatory challenges. Key challenges confronting <strong>MISO</strong> include<br />
implementing new renewable energy policies, reducing grid congestion, and incorporating new<br />
generation and demand side resources—all while still meeting load growth requirements.<br />
Overlying these newer challenges are an aging transmission infrastructure, as well as the need to<br />
keep cost allocation fair.<br />
Variable Generation Resource Challenges<br />
The challenges posed by variable renewable resources (e.g. wind and solar) arise from their<br />
energy characteristics. Unlike a coal-fired power plant, for example, that can be dispatched for<br />
dependable output up to its nameplate capacity, a 200-MW wind farm can only generate up to<br />
the level that can be captured from the wind energy source, and cannot be predictably defined by<br />
capacity. <strong>Wind</strong> and solar energy vary with the underlying energy sources. This variation results<br />
in daily variability over any 24-hour period due to heating and cooling effects, as well as<br />
seasonal changes. Variability can also result from specific weather system movements,<br />
turbulence, shadow affect, and high-speed cutout. Finally, prevailing wind patterns do not<br />
2-1
THE <strong>MISO</strong> PLANNING ENVIRONMENT<br />
coincide with peak energy usage hours (i.e. when load and price are high). In fact, wind<br />
generation is often greatest during off-peak hours when prices are low (see Figure 2-1).<br />
2-2<br />
Figure 2-1: Average Hourly <strong>Wind</strong> Generation and Prices in <strong>MISO</strong> 2008-2011 (Source Iowa<br />
Stored <strong>Energy</strong> Park Analysis)<br />
The need to integrate renewable energy presents system planners with additional complexities.<br />
Since wind resources are typically located in remote areas away from population centers,<br />
electricity generated from wind requires that new transmission be built to deliver the power to<br />
market. Traditional planning and analysis required to justify new transmission to meet local<br />
needs does not accommodate building expensive transmission to deliver remotely generated<br />
renewable power. Economically building a local plant using conventional fuel is usually less<br />
expensive, but it does not consider wider political and regulatory issues posed by RPS mandates.<br />
Another complication for <strong>MISO</strong> planners arises because EPA regulations to limit emissions and<br />
an aging generation fleet lead to coal plants being retired and replaced by gas fired generation.<br />
The coal plants perform an important role in <strong>MISO</strong> by providing regulation services. Regulation<br />
ensures that the system frequency is kept at or near a constant 60 HZ. Coal plants have more<br />
flexibility to absorb system shocks and maintain regulation. With the coal fleet reduced, the<br />
overall system becomes less stable and more back-up reserve units (ancillary services) are<br />
required. Adding large wind generation quantities to the system increases the instability because<br />
wind is not dispatchable and is variable over time. The net result is an increase in the need for<br />
ancillary services such as regulation and contingency.<br />
Ancillary Service Markets<br />
In January 2009, <strong>MISO</strong> began operating an ancillary services market (ASM) to introduce<br />
competition to services that ensure system reliability. Any energy market requires ancillary<br />
services, but they are often controlled by the ISO unilaterally directing the necessary system<br />
resources. An ASM market allows generators to bid resources as operating and contingency
THE <strong>MISO</strong> PLANNING ENVIRONMENT<br />
reserves in the day ahead and real time markets in addition to bidding resources for energy<br />
dispatch. In <strong>MISO</strong> day ahead and real time energy markets, prices are cleared at the intersection<br />
of supply and demand based on the marginal cost for the last generation unit required. In the<br />
same way, ASM’s clear prices at a zonal or system wide level based on reliability and<br />
contingency requirements in each zone. By making ancillary services subject to market forces,<br />
<strong>MISO</strong> encourages market participants to provide adequate services to ensure reliability in a cost<br />
effective manner. Operations planning timeframes dictate the resources needed (see Figure 2-2).<br />
The following ancillary services are observed in <strong>MISO</strong>:<br />
• Regulation: automated second by second system balancing<br />
• Frequency Regulation: maintains the power system frequency within a predetermined<br />
range. This service requires the unit to be very flexible at short notice. Ranges from<br />
inertial response that may be 1-2 seconds following a frequency disturbance, to primary<br />
frequency response (5-10 seconds) and regulation (10 seconds to several minutes).<br />
Mostly implemented by automated generator control (AGC).<br />
• VAR (Volts-Amp-Reactive): maintains the electrical transmission system power factor<br />
at a level close to 1.0, reducing losses.<br />
• Contingency: energy supply available at short notice to meet unexpected system changes<br />
• Spinning reserve: provides contingency generation that can be switched into use<br />
immediately in order to respond to a system outage or sudden power loss. Spinning<br />
reserves are designated synchronous if they are in sync with the transmission system (and<br />
can be called upon more quickly) or non-synchronous. Sufficient reserves are required to<br />
counter an “N-1” contingency meaning the largest expected unit outage from a system<br />
failure. Supplemental spinning reserves are 10-minute start – meaning that they can be<br />
dispatched in 10 minutes.<br />
• Ramping: provides rapid ramping power (up ramp and down ramp) when demand<br />
increases or decreases at a high rate (minutes to hours). Ramping is also referred to as<br />
load following (see Figure 2-2). It is typically used during the shoulder hours either side<br />
of the peak daily load. The <strong>MISO</strong> tariff does not fully recognize ramping resource value<br />
although a separate <strong>MISO</strong> study group is analyzing the issue.<br />
Ancillary services are an important component in estimating the benefits that energy storage<br />
provides. Because energy storage can be switched on and off quickly, it is an attractive resource<br />
for contingency and regulation. Where storage technology is less flexible, (e.g. when a pumped<br />
storage system changes from pumping mode to storage mode it may take several minutes to<br />
respond), then ancillary benefits are lower. For storage technologies such as batteries that only<br />
have short-term power, the current cost is hard to justify without including ancillary benefits.<br />
One ancillary service that energy storage could potentially provide in <strong>MISO</strong> is ramping. A<br />
separate <strong>MISO</strong> study is reviewing the existing ramp resource Tariff treatment and this initiative<br />
is explained in more detail in Chapter 4. RPS mandated variable generation and coal plant<br />
retirement because of EPA regulation increase the ramping requirements on natural gas fired<br />
generation. The result is that CC and CT units will be cycled more frequently than they were<br />
designed to be. As a result, there is good potential benefit in using energy storage for ramp<br />
services to reduce this cycling.<br />
2-3
THE <strong>MISO</strong> PLANNING ENVIRONMENT<br />
Because energy storage may provide ancillary service benefits during both the charging cycle<br />
(e.g. by providing load to help smooth ramping down) and the discharge cycle (e.g. by providing<br />
energy during ramping up), the optimization algorithm required to dispatch energy storage<br />
ancillary services is complex. These complexities extend to modeling ancillary services since the<br />
relative benefit to using storage is quite often due to rapid response capability (in the seconds)<br />
where models may only optimize on an hourly basis. In addition, current FERC tariff treatment<br />
places no value on rapid performance in ASM’s and this seems biased against short-term storage<br />
providers. FERC is currently reviewing this treatment (see FERC Docket RM11-7, February<br />
2011).<br />
2-4<br />
Figure 2-2: Operational Planning Timeframes in ISO Balancing Markets (Source EPRI)<br />
The <strong>MISO</strong> Transmission Planning Process<br />
<strong>MISO</strong> and its stakeholders engage in continuous transmission expansion planning through the<br />
<strong>MISO</strong> Transmission Expansion Planning (MTEP) process. The MTEP process objectively<br />
evaluates expansion issues and opportunities, identifies economic savings and operational<br />
efficiencies, and tracks regulatory requirements to ensure compliance. Under the MTEP planning<br />
process, transmission extension plans are accepted under the following five categories:<br />
• Baseline Reliability Projects: required to meet North American Electric Reliability<br />
Corp. (NERC) standards.<br />
• Generator Interconnection Projects: upgrades that ensure system reliability when new<br />
generators interconnect.<br />
• Transmission Service Delivery Projects: required to satisfy a stakeholder transmission<br />
service request. The costs are assigned to the requestor.<br />
• Market Efficiency Projects: meeting Attachment FF (of the <strong>MISO</strong> Tariff) requirements<br />
for reduction in market congestion.
THE <strong>MISO</strong> PLANNING ENVIRONMENT<br />
• Multi Value Projects (MVP): meeting Attachment FF requirements to provide regional<br />
public policy economic and/or reliability benefits<br />
MTEP projects are prioritized based on their documentation, justification and approval. Each<br />
annual MTEP plan lists projects in appendices according to these priorities. Projects start in<br />
Appendix C when submitted into the MTEP process, transfer to Appendix B when <strong>MISO</strong> has<br />
documented the project need and effectiveness, then move to Appendix A after approval by the<br />
<strong>MISO</strong> board of Directors.<br />
<strong>MISO</strong> planning efforts expanded in 2010 to meet the challenges associated with integrating<br />
renewable energy. The MVP project category represents new transmission that provides regional<br />
public policy economic and/or reliability benefits. The MVP category requires extensive analysis<br />
and modeling to determine which transmission expansions best meet regional public policy goals<br />
under different future economic and regulatory scenarios. The Regional Generation Outlet <strong>Study</strong><br />
(RGOS) and the Regional Economic Criteria and Benefits (RECB) task force were created to<br />
determine the transmission needed to meet <strong>MISO</strong> stakeholder RPS policy goals as well as how to<br />
fairly allocate costs associated with these projects.<br />
The RGOS analysis includes refining future generation and load scenarios, and modeling<br />
transmission values under a full range of future possibilities. The study produced three reliable<br />
transmission portfolios based on different scenarios. Elements common between these three<br />
portfolios, and common with previous reliability, economic and generation interconnection<br />
analyses were identified to produce a 2011 candidate MVP portfolio.<br />
The 2011 MTEP studies 5 evaluate the candidate MVP portfolio to identify near-term, robust<br />
transmission solutions that fulfill multiple transmissions and reliability needs. This represents a<br />
first step towards a truly regional transmission solution to integrate wind resources into the<br />
<strong>MISO</strong> footprint.<br />
The future resource and load planning scenario detail used during the MTEP11 MVP analysis is<br />
presented here to explain the model environment that <strong>MISO</strong> transmission planners currently use<br />
to evaluate wind integration projects. The <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> uses similar future scenarios and<br />
assumptions to model the additional impact that using energy storage might have on the <strong>MISO</strong><br />
resource and load plan.<br />
The MTEP11 MVP modeling analysis uses the following alternative future scenarios and<br />
parameters:<br />
• Future Policy Scenarios<br />
o Business as usual with continued low demand and energy growth (assumes that<br />
current energy policies will be continued, with continuing, recession-level low<br />
demand and energy growth projections).<br />
o Business as usual with historic demand and energy growth (assumes that current<br />
energy policies will be continued, with demand and energy returning to prerecession<br />
growth rates).<br />
5 The MTEP2011 Planning Cycle is still in progress<br />
2-5
THE <strong>MISO</strong> PLANNING ENVIRONMENT<br />
2-6<br />
o Carbon constraint (assumes that current energy policies will be continued with the<br />
addition of a carbon cap modeled on the Waxman-Markey bill).<br />
o Combined energy policy (assumes a myriad of energy policies are enacted,<br />
including a 20 percent federal RPS, a carbon cap modeled on the Waxman-<br />
Markey bill, the implementation of a smart grid, and the widespread adoption of<br />
electric vehicles).<br />
• Time horizon: 20 – 40 years from portfolio in-service date<br />
• Discount rate: (capital borrowing cost) 3.00 - 8.2 percent<br />
• <strong>Wind</strong> Turbine Capital Cost: $2.0 – $2.9 Million / MW<br />
• Operating Reserve Optimization Benefit: $5 - $7 / MWh<br />
• Natural Gas Prices:<br />
o Business as Usual Scenarios: $5 - $8 / MMBtu<br />
• Carbon and Combined Policy Scenarios: $8 - $10 / MMBtu<br />
• A natural gas price of $5 was used for the base business case analysis. Higher natural gas<br />
prices were used as sensitivities.<br />
The <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong><br />
The <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> is a targeted study assigned to the <strong>MISO</strong> Transmission Expansion<br />
Plan 2011 (MTEP11) cycle. MTEP targeted studies begin as efforts to identify particular<br />
problems or explore planning, reliability and/or market enhancements. The study objectives<br />
include improved understanding about how to represent energy storage in <strong>MISO</strong> models. The<br />
future resource and load planning scenarios used to model energy storage technologies are<br />
similar to those used for MTEP 11.<br />
While <strong>MISO</strong>’s renewable energy production is growing, new generation sources are complicated<br />
to integrate into the existing network. <strong>Wind</strong> production in <strong>MISO</strong> as a percentage of total energy<br />
increased from 0.65 percent in 2006 to 3.8 percent in 2010. There were however, 2,117 wind<br />
curtailments in 2010 where potential wind generation was backed down either because it could<br />
not reach a load due to congestion or because the wind generation was surplus to requirements<br />
(see Figure 2-3). Providing additional transmission is one way to alleviate wind curtailment but<br />
although this eliminates congestion, it does not guarantee that wind energy can be consumed.<br />
<strong>Wind</strong> energy is typically greatest during off-peak hours when demand for electricity is low.<br />
Additional wind generated electricity during off-peak hours therefore often attracts low or<br />
negative prices. <strong>Energy</strong> storage technologies have the potential to consume wind energy at low<br />
off-peak prices
THE <strong>MISO</strong> PLANNING ENVIRONMENT<br />
Figure 2-3: <strong>MISO</strong> <strong>Wind</strong> Curtailment 2008-2010 (Source <strong>MISO</strong> State of Market Monitor)<br />
during their charge cycle and deliver electricity to the market during peak periods when prices<br />
are higher. This phenomenon, known as energy arbitrage, alleviates wind curtailment and<br />
potentially reduces the need for new transmission and generation to meet peak demand. The<br />
<strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> will increase <strong>MISO</strong> understanding about whether, where and how energy<br />
storage resources can be applied to reduce transmission costs and wind curtailment.<br />
2-7
3<br />
ENERGY STORAGE TECHNOLOGIES<br />
The <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> Landscape<br />
A confluence of industry drivers—including increased renewable generation, higher costs for<br />
serving peak demands, and capital investments in grid infrastructure for reliability, efficiency<br />
and smart grid initiatives—is creating new interest in electric energy storage technologies. The<br />
EPRI report: Electricity <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> Technology Options: A White Paper Primer on Applications,<br />
Costs and Benefits 1020676, Final <strong>Report</strong>, December 2010 provides a good reference to the current<br />
energy storage landscape and a summary is provided below.<br />
Key benefits to energy storage in the Regional Transmission Organization environment include:<br />
• <strong>Energy</strong> storage compensates for variable energy sources and congestion by absorbing the<br />
excess energy when generation exceeds demand levels and providing it back to the grid<br />
when generation levels fall short 6.<br />
• By enabling variable renewable penetration from resources such as wind and solar power,<br />
storage helps reduce the electricity sector’s carbon footprint and satisfies regulatory<br />
requirements such as RPS– if the additional renewables that would be enabled offset the<br />
carbon footprint attributed to the storage device carbon footprint<br />
• <strong>Storage</strong> improves system efficiency and return on investment (ROI) by shifting peak load<br />
to off-peak hours and potentially reducing new investment in transmission infrastructure<br />
– if the storage is properly located with respect to transmission system constraints.<br />
• Providing regulation support at a time when variable generation and coal plant<br />
retirements make balancing supply and demand with conventional plants quite resource<br />
intense.<br />
• <strong>Storage</strong> provides quick response to system contingencies such as equipment failure or<br />
power plant outages<br />
• Stored energy can be used to help ramp up (during discharge) and ramp down (during<br />
charging) system loads when demand increases or falls rapidly. This smoothing process<br />
avoids cycling thermal plants in a way that they have not been designed to be run.<br />
Understanding the value of these benefits and using modeling tools to quantify these benefits is a<br />
key industry research activity for stakeholders and ISO planners.<br />
6 <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> for Power System Applications: A Regional Assessment for the Northwest Power Pool, DOE,<br />
April 2010<br />
3-1
ENERGY STORAGE TECHNOLOGIES<br />
While many different energy storage technologies are installed and operating worldwide,<br />
pumped hydro systems (127,000 MW) are the most widely deployed. Compressed air energy<br />
storage (CAES) installations are the next largest with 440 MW, followed by sodium-sulfur<br />
batteries with approximately 316 MW installed and 606 MW planned or announced. All<br />
remaining energy storage resources worldwide total less than 85 MW combined, and are<br />
typically one-off installations 7 .<br />
EPRI identifies ten key energy storage applications along the electrical system value chain from<br />
end user to system operation (see Table 3-1). Different energy storage technology characteristics<br />
lend themselves to different applications along the electricity value chain. Comparing system<br />
power ratings and module size to the discharge time at rated power indicates generally where<br />
particular technologies will be valuable (see Figure 3-1).<br />
Despite the large anticipated need for energy storage solutions within the electric enterprise, very<br />
few grid-integrated storage installations are in actual operation in the United States today. This<br />
landscape is expected to change during 2012-2013 as new storage demonstrations supported by<br />
more than $250 million in U.S. stimulus funding emerge. In general, based on present-day<br />
technology, some energy storage systems are not cost effective since their capital costs are too<br />
high. Technology costs and application benefits are very sensitive to configuration and location<br />
with respect to both discharge and energy storage.<br />
7 1020676 Electricity <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> Technology Options, December 2010 EPRI<br />
3-2
ENERGY STORAGE TECHNOLOGIES<br />
Table 3-1: Definition of <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> Applications (Source EPRI 1020676)<br />
Figure 3-1: Representative Positioning of <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> Technologies (Source EPRI)<br />
3-3
ENERGY STORAGE TECHNOLOGIES<br />
<strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> Technology Overviews<br />
Pumped Hydro <strong>Storage</strong><br />
Pumped storage hydro (PSH) has been a proven energy storage technology for over 40 years.<br />
PSH utilizes large, aboveground reservoirs to store water at different elevations. The facility<br />
draws energy from the grid to pump water from the lower to the higher reservoir, and supplies<br />
energy to the grid when the water that is allowed to run back down to the lower reservoir drives a<br />
water turbine that powers the generator. Current worldwide PSH capacity is around 100 GW (see<br />
Figure 3-3). US capacity is 16 GW at FERC licensed plants (see Figure 3-2) with a further 33<br />
GW in currently permitted proposed projects.<br />
3-4<br />
Figure 3-2: FERC Registered Pumped <strong>Storage</strong> Projects, July 2011<br />
Pumped hydro systems are customarily used for energy arbitrage opportunities. At low demand<br />
periods (off-peak), low cost electric power is used to pump water from a lower reservoir to a<br />
higher reservoir. At peak demand periods, when the electricity price is high, water is released<br />
through a turbine to generate electricity. Only when the differential between peak and off-peak<br />
prices is sufficiently large to compensate for the energy losses incurred during round-trip<br />
charge/discharge cycle, does it make economic sense to dispatch PSH. Besides the energy<br />
arbitrage potential, energy storage can provide operating reserves (contingency reserves) and<br />
system balancing services to the grid because of its fast response characteristics.
ENERGY STORAGE TECHNOLOGIES<br />
Newer, adjustable speed pumped hydro storage (ASH) units have been in commercial operation<br />
since 1995 and six units are currently going through FERC licensing in the US. ASH units are<br />
more flexible than conventional PSH. The adjustable speed mechanism supports fast response<br />
frequency regulation and load following in both the pumping (charge) and discharging modes,<br />
increasing the revenue potential from ancillary services (see Figure 3-4).<br />
Figure 3-3: Pumped <strong>Storage</strong> Capacity Worldwide (GW) Source <strong>MISO</strong><br />
Figure 3-4: Fast Response Capabilities for Adjustable Speed PHS (Source <strong>MISO</strong>)<br />
3-5
ENERGY STORAGE TECHNOLOGIES<br />
Compressed Air <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> (CAES)<br />
CAES facilities utilize large underground caverns to store air that is compressed during off-peak<br />
hours. The compressed air is then fed into a natural gas fired expander or combustion turbine<br />
(CT) to provide power back to the grid during peak demand periods. Key benefits of CAES<br />
include relatively lower capital costs (versus other storage technologies), lower carbon emissions<br />
(versus conventional combined-cycle facility) and greater options for siting (versus pumped<br />
hydro).<br />
CAES Technology<br />
CAES plants use off-peak electricity to compress air into an underground reservoir, surface<br />
vessel, or a piping air storage system. In one approach, when electricity is needed, the air is<br />
withdrawn from storage, heated via recuperation, and passed through an expansion turbine to<br />
drive an electric generator. Such plants burn about one-third the premium fuel of a conventional<br />
combustion turbine and produce about one-third the pollutants per kWh generated.<br />
In another approach (called a “chiller option”), no fuel is used to heat the air before it is passed<br />
through the expansion turbine, since the air is heated with stored energy from the waste heat<br />
produced during the off-peak compression process and/or it is heated from the exhaust of a<br />
combustion turbine, which is part of the CAES plant (see Figure 3-5). The compressed air can be<br />
stored in several types of underground media, including porous rock formations, depleted gas/oil<br />
fields, and salt or rock cavern formations. The compressed air can also be stored in above ground<br />
or near surface pressurized air vessels/pipelines, including those used to transport high-pressure<br />
natural gas.<br />
3-6
Figure 3-5: Advanced CAES Plant Schematic (Source: EPRI)<br />
ENERGY STORAGE TECHNOLOGIES<br />
CAES plants can be built in modular fashion by adding capacity in 100 MW increments—such<br />
as 100 MW, 200 MW, or 400 MW sizes with ten hours of storage. Additionally, capital costs are<br />
less than for pumped storage—$1374/kW in 2010 dollars 8 . The standard configuration with ten<br />
hours of storage can be easily enhanced to facilitate twenty or thirty hours of storage if the<br />
operating economics allow. Additional storage can be charged during weekends or holidays<br />
when electricity prices are off-peak. Lack of cavern space is usually not considered a barrier to<br />
expanding the storage hours, since the volume required to store compressed air for a CAES plant<br />
is usually only a small part of the typical geological cavern structure used. <strong>Storage</strong> volumes on<br />
the order of tens of millions of cubic feet are required for CAES plants. Natural gas storage that<br />
uses similar geological structures usually contains on the order of billions of cubic feet of<br />
capacity.<br />
8 Total Capital Cost estimate from Iowa Stored <strong>Energy</strong> Project Economics Analysis 2010<br />
www.isepa.com<br />
3-7
ENERGY STORAGE TECHNOLOGIES<br />
The Iowa Stored <strong>Energy</strong> Park Case <strong>Study</strong> 9<br />
The Iowa Stored <strong>Energy</strong> Park Agency (ISEPA) developed a CAES proposal for a 270 MW plant<br />
located in Dallas Center, Iowa, in 2010-11 due in service during 2015. The plant, however did<br />
not proceed owing to problems with the rate that the compressed air could be extracted from the<br />
geological cavern. Before the project ended, however, analysis was carried out to determine plant<br />
economics. This economic analysis informs the <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> because ISEPA is located<br />
within the <strong>MISO</strong> footprint and represents 57 <strong>MISO</strong> member utilities.<br />
The ISEPA scheme relied initially on harnessing low cost off-peak wind power and reselling that<br />
power during peak hours at higher prices to provide intrinsic value. However, economics<br />
analysis showed that the proposed CAES plant procured 20-30 percent of revenues from<br />
extrinsic value by providing contingency reserves and ramping services. The ISEPA economics<br />
study looked at forecast <strong>MISO</strong> market prices for energy and reserves, from 2015 to 2034. The<br />
plant design included a very fast 10 minute ramp rate from cold steel to full 270 MW load and a<br />
very low 15 percent minimum output (allowing greater down ramping than other <strong>MISO</strong><br />
generation units). The plant capital cost was estimated to be $1547 /KW and higher than an<br />
equivalent size combined cycle ($1205 KW) or a combined cycle gas turbine ($805/KW) but<br />
producing similar benefits (see Table 3-2).<br />
3-8<br />
Table 3-2: ISEPA Net Benefit CAES Plant Economic Comparison (Source ISEPA)<br />
The ISEPA economic analysis indicated plant benefit would reduce by $140 KW if cap and trade<br />
markets were introduced for carbon emissions in the <strong>MISO</strong> market, because the latter would<br />
increase off-peak prices relative to on peak and thus reduce energy arbitrage. The ISEPA project<br />
“lessons learned” indicate that the plant would benefit from improved treatment of energy<br />
storage in the <strong>MISO</strong> ASM. The study concluded that current <strong>MISO</strong> tariffs do not fully recognize<br />
the value of fast ramping resources and generally tend to undervalue ancillary services. In<br />
particular, CAES would benefit from relaxing spinning reserve requirements during shortage<br />
9 www.isepa.com
ENERGY STORAGE TECHNOLOGIES<br />
periods and increasing the limited 5-minute “look ahead” capability to dispatch fast-ramping<br />
resources.<br />
In addition, the ISEPA study suggested <strong>MISO</strong> consider a tariff that recognizes and rewards fully<br />
dispatchable, fast ramping off-peak loads. This would be similar to a demand side resource tariff,<br />
but for off-peak load rather than on peak load reduction.<br />
Battery <strong>Storage</strong><br />
Long-term energy storage using batteries can involve many different types of electro-chemical<br />
batteries, including, but not limited to, advanced lead acid, flow batteries, liquid-metal batteries<br />
(i.e. NaS and NaNiCl2), Ni-Cd and Li-ion batteries. The battery is charged when excess power<br />
generation is available and then discharged as needed when alternative power sources are not<br />
available or constrained (e.g. during peak hours). Batteries have several key benefits including<br />
very few locational constraints, very rapid response times and high power efficiency levels (often<br />
90 percent or higher). Many different battery storage technologies are currently available or<br />
being developed and demonstrated as fully integrated ac power systems. The four relatively<br />
mature technologies that are suitable for use in a grid setting are reviewed briefly below.<br />
Lead Acid Batteries 10<br />
Lead-acid batteries are the prevalent electrical energy storage system in use today. They have a<br />
commercial history of well over a century, and are applied in every area of the industrial<br />
economy, including portable electronics, power tools, transportation, materials handling,<br />
telecommunication, emergency power, and auxiliary power in stationary power plants.<br />
Because of their low cost and ready availability, lead-acid batteries have come to be accepted as<br />
the default choice for energy storage in new applications. Advanced lead acid batteries, which<br />
include technology for improving durability and number of discharge cycles area also beginning<br />
to be deployed and demonstrated.<br />
NAS (Sodium Sulfur) Batteries<br />
The Japanese company NGK is the only vendor of sodium sulfur batteries for utility<br />
applications. The company uses the NAS® trademark, registered in Japan.<br />
NGK markets two NAS battery models. The NAS Peak Shaving (PS) Module is designed for<br />
energy management up to ~20 MW AC. This battery is used for load leveling, broad peak<br />
demand reduction and mitigating power disturbances and outages for up to several hours. The<br />
NAS Power Quality (PQ) Module is designed for pulse power applications up to ~100 MW AC<br />
such as prompt spinning reserve, voltage and frequency support, short duration power quality<br />
protection and short peak demand reduction. NAS battery costs are quite high and a key<br />
challenge is the scale-up of mass production facilities to achieve lower unit costs and prices.<br />
10 1001834 EPRI DOE Handbook of <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> for Transmission & Distribution Systems Dec 2003<br />
3-9
ENERGY STORAGE TECHNOLOGIES<br />
Zinc-Bromine and Halogen Flow Batteries<br />
Rechargeable zinc battery technology is attractive for large-scale energy storage systems,<br />
because it has high energy density and relatively low cost. Flow batteries are a favorable<br />
technology for large systems, because they are eminently scalable and allow flexibility in system<br />
design. The zinc-bromine flow battery combines these two technologies and thus has significant<br />
potential for use in large-scale utility applications. The zinc-bromine battery has undergone<br />
major development and field-testing efforts. <strong>Utility</strong> scale zinc-bromine systems have very limited<br />
deployment history and are still at a relatively early maturity level. Advanced Zn-halogen<br />
systems are also under development and may be suitable for bulk storage system applications.<br />
Vanadium Redox Flow Battery<br />
Vanadium redox batteries are the most technically mature of all flow battery systems available.<br />
When electricity is needed, the electrolyte flows to a redox cell with electrodes, and current is<br />
generated. The electrochemical reaction can be reversed by applying an over potential, allowing<br />
the system to be repeatedly discharged and recharged. Like other flow batteries, many variations<br />
of power capacity and energy storage are possible depending on the size of the electrolyte tanks.<br />
3-10
4<br />
STORED ENERGY RESOURCE TREATMENT IN THE<br />
<strong>MISO</strong> TARIFF<br />
This chapter describes how both long term and short-term stored energy resources are treated in<br />
the current <strong>MISO</strong> tariff. Recent FERC correspondence with <strong>MISO</strong> and the electricity market<br />
regarding the treatment of stored energy resources is also reviewed. During <strong>Phase</strong> 2 of the<br />
<strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong>, discussion about potential changes to the <strong>MISO</strong> tariff to encourage energy<br />
storage will be added.<br />
Current <strong>MISO</strong> Tariff<br />
The current <strong>MISO</strong> Tariff treats long-term and short-term energy storage devices separately and<br />
differently. Short-term resources are defined as being able to provide energy for one hour or less.<br />
Long-term resources can provide sustained energy for more than one hour.<br />
Long Term <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> Resources<br />
In response to FERC requests for information regarding the <strong>MISO</strong> Tariff treatment of long-term<br />
storage resources in December 2009, <strong>MISO</strong> submitted an informational report in March 2010 11 .<br />
The report describes how <strong>MISO</strong> treats long-term storage resources in detail as follows:<br />
“The Midwest ISO currently accommodates long-term storage resources in its markets in the<br />
form of pumped storage resources. These resources have participated in the Midwest ISO<br />
markets since implementation of the energy market in April 2005 and are treated in a comparable<br />
manner to generators and price sensitive loads in the markets. To this end, there is approximately<br />
2500 MW of pumped storage resources registered in Midwest ISO.<br />
Such long-term storage resources are able to participate in both the Day-Ahead and Real-Time<br />
markets. A participant with a pumped storage resource has the option of defining a generator<br />
commercial pricing node (CPnode), a Load Zone CPnode, and/or a demand side resource Type II<br />
CPnode, or I for the pumped storage resource. In the Day-Ahead market, the participant can<br />
submit bids or schedule load, to purchase energy from the market at the Load Zone CPnode to<br />
store in hours of its choice, or submit offers or self-schedules to reduce demand to provide<br />
energy or reserves at the demand side resource CPnode. The participant can submit offers or selfschedules<br />
to sell energy or reserves into the market at the generation CPnode in other hours. The<br />
participant takes into account its forecasts of market conditions while using these mechanisms to<br />
11 Informational <strong>Report</strong> of the Midwest Independent Transmission System Operator, Inc.,<br />
Docket Nos. ER07-1372-014 and ER09-1126-000 March 2010<br />
4-1
STORED ENERGY RESOURCE TREATMENT IN THE <strong>MISO</strong> TARIFF<br />
schedule pumping and generation. Similarly, the participant may adjust its bids, offers and/or<br />
schedules in the Real-Time market. From January 6, 2009, through December 31, 2009, pumped<br />
storage facilities used 2,353,300 MWh of energy to pump, produced 1,647,124 MWh of energy,<br />
and provided 94,836 MWh of regulating reserves, 309,390 MWh of spinning reserves and 7,942<br />
MWh of supplemental reserves in real-time.”<br />
The <strong>MISO</strong> Business Process Model (BPM) describes the current operating procedure for pumped<br />
storage as follows: 12<br />
“Load at a pumped storage facility when operating in pumping mode should be included in the<br />
load forecast supplied by the load balancing authority for the reliability assessment commitment<br />
(RAC) processes. Inter-control center communications protocol (ICCP) values for the load and<br />
generator should be sent to <strong>MISO</strong>. The load measurement would be a positive value and the<br />
generator measurement would be “zero” when pumping and vice versa when generating. During<br />
real-time, load served by the pumped storage facility can be handled by either the load balancing<br />
authority and or <strong>MISO</strong> continuously updating the load forecast to include load from pumping.”<br />
Pumped Hydro <strong>Storage</strong> Tariff<br />
There are two challenges in operating storage under the existing <strong>MISO</strong> tariff. The first is that<br />
charging and discharging are treated separately by <strong>MISO</strong>. This means that when the plant offers<br />
generation and load into the day ahead energy market, the Locational Marginal Price (LMP) for<br />
electricity purchases to charge the storage is not linked to the generation price (LMP for<br />
electricity sales). This allows for the possibility that when generation clears in the day ahead<br />
market and load does not, the storage owner is left committed to provide power at an unknown<br />
cost. It is possible to hedge both load and generation positions using financial virtual bids 13 but<br />
the virtual bids are also not guaranteed to clear in the day ahead market. The second challenge is<br />
that plant turbines are treated as separate units in the market, increasing energy arbitrage<br />
calculation complexity for the plant operator.<br />
If the storage plant could be treated as one unit with both generation and load, then stored energy<br />
could be linked to the generation to optimize revenue. In addition, the unit dispatch model could<br />
incorporate a look-ahead horizon to forecast when stored energy arbitrage is optimal. This is<br />
particularly useful in periods when peak prices are low, since cycling the storage every day may<br />
not be the optimal asset utilization throughout the year.<br />
These operational shortcomings are not, however reflected in the modeling for the <strong>Energy</strong><br />
<strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong>. Both the EGEAS and PLEXOS models used in this study optimize over longer<br />
time periods, allowing for the energy arbitrage to be maximized.<br />
12 <strong>MISO</strong> BPM-002 June 2011<br />
13 Virtual bids allow market participants to hedge day ahead market positions (load or generation) by entering an<br />
opposite financial position to their physical bids to eliminate price risk<br />
4-2
Short Term <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> Resources<br />
STORED ENERGY RESOURCE TREATMENT IN THE <strong>MISO</strong> TARIFF<br />
Short term energy storage resources, known as stored energy resources (SER’s) are only eligible<br />
to be bid as regulation resources in the ASM day ahead and real time operating reserve markets<br />
as follows 14 :<br />
• Stored Resources are Resources capable of supplying Regulating Reserve, but not <strong>Energy</strong><br />
or Contingency Reserve, through the short-term storage and discharge of electrical<br />
<strong>Energy</strong> in response to Setpoint Instructions 15 .<br />
• “Stored <strong>Energy</strong> Resource Offers consist of data submitted by MPs for consideration in<br />
commitment and dispatch activities. Such Offer data may be submitted for the Day-<br />
Ahead and Real-Time <strong>Energy</strong> and Operating Reserve Markets. Regulating reserves in<br />
DA and RT (hourly) and self-scheduled regulation in DA hourly market. In all cases, the<br />
minimum offer submitted per hour is 1MW. A number of storage device parameters are<br />
submitted with the resource offer. All stored energy resources are registered as<br />
Regulation Qualified Resources, and may submit Regulating Reserve Offers in $/MW for<br />
use in the <strong>Energy</strong> and Operating Reserve Markets.”<br />
The <strong>MISO</strong> Business Process Manual (BPM) for SER operating parameters provides the<br />
following definitions (see also Table 4-1):<br />
• Hourly Bi-directional Ramp Rate: only applicable for use in real-time and will apply to<br />
all Stored <strong>Energy</strong> Resources to limit the change in <strong>Energy</strong> Dispatch Target and/or limit<br />
the total amount of Regulating Reserve that can be cleared on the Resource.<br />
• Hourly Ramp Rate: used in the day ahead market and all RAC processes but not within<br />
the operating hour.<br />
• Hourly Regulation Minimum Limit: the minimum operating level in MW at which the<br />
resource can operate (varying hourly if required)<br />
• Hourly Regulation Maximum Limit: the maximum operating level in MW at which the<br />
resource can operate (varying hourly if required)<br />
• Hourly Maximum <strong>Energy</strong> Charge Rate: the maximum rate in MWh/minute at which<br />
the energy storage level of a stored energy resource can increase (charge)<br />
• Hourly Maximum <strong>Energy</strong> Discharge Rate: the maximum rate in MWh/minute at<br />
which the energy storage level of a stored energy resource can decrease (discharge)<br />
• Hourly Maximum <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> Level: the maximum storage level in MWh to which<br />
a stored energy resource can be charged<br />
• Hourly <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> Loss Rate: the rate in MWh/min at which energy must be<br />
consumed to maintain a stored energy resource at its maximum energy storage level<br />
14 <strong>MISO</strong> BPM-002 Section 4.2.6<br />
15 Midwest ISO FERC Electric Tariff, Fourth Revised Volume No. 1, Section 1.628, Second Revised Sheet No. 282.<br />
4-3
STORED ENERGY RESOURCE TREATMENT IN THE <strong>MISO</strong> TARIFF<br />
4-4<br />
• Hourly Full Charge <strong>Energy</strong> Withdrawal Rate: the rate in MWh/min at which a stored<br />
energy resource can continue to absorb energy while the storage level is at the resource’s<br />
maximum energy storage level.<br />
Table 4-1 : Stored <strong>Energy</strong> Resource Operating Parameter Data Summary (Source <strong>MISO</strong> BPM-<br />
002)<br />
The defaults for these parameters are set through the tariff when the storage asset is registered. If<br />
the parameter is updated in the resource offer, the updated value overrides the defaults.<br />
Real Time (5 minute) Security Constrained Economic Dispatch (SCED) <strong>Energy</strong><br />
Dispatch<br />
As stated above, SER’s can only be bid as regulation and the resource offer includes parameter<br />
values describing the resource storage level and ramp rate etc. SER is then dispatched as energy<br />
by the real time SCED dispatch model as follows:<br />
• Dispatched MW is limited to a value that is the mean of MaxLimit and MinLimit based<br />
on the latest telemeter data from the SER.<br />
• The dispatch MW value indicates whether SER requires charging (negative MW) or has<br />
available stored energy to dispatch (positive MW)
STORED ENERGY RESOURCE TREATMENT IN THE <strong>MISO</strong> TARIFF<br />
• A SER energy penalty variable is set at the current cleared regulation demand price. The<br />
penalty screens out charging the SER when the current energy price is above the penalty<br />
or discharging the SER when the current energy price is below the penalty. This<br />
screening variable is designed to minimize uneconomic use of the SER resource.<br />
Figure 4-1: <strong>MISO</strong> RT SCED Dispatch Algorithm<br />
In this model, SER dispatch is deliberately limited by the MaxLimit and MinLimit parameters<br />
due to concern about the risk to system reliability when a short term SER is not sustainable.<br />
There is however special provision for overriding the SER dispatch limits where the system<br />
operator identifies value for example to relive transmission constraint. In this case a SER <strong>Energy</strong><br />
Slack variable is added to the objective function (see Figure 4-1).<br />
Ramp Capability For Load Following in <strong>MISO</strong> 16<br />
Recent <strong>MISO</strong> research proposes a ramp capability model that can be applied from the day-ahead<br />
market through real-time dispatch. The proposed ramp capability model manages the available<br />
resources responding to dispatch instructions in a way that better positions them to be able to<br />
respond to variations and uncertainty in the net load forecast. The goal is to increase<br />
responsiveness to maintain system reliability and reduce the frequency of scarcity events.<br />
16 Ramp Capability for Load Following in the <strong>MISO</strong> Markets Navid, Rosenwald and Chaterjee, <strong>MISO</strong> July 2011<br />
4-5
STORED ENERGY RESOURCE TREATMENT IN THE <strong>MISO</strong> TARIFF<br />
The key proposed model features include:<br />
4-6<br />
• Ramp capability requirements (system-wide and zonal if required), which are determined<br />
to be large enough to address the desired level of expected variability and uncertainty in<br />
the net load within a defined response time<br />
• Resource contribution to ramp capability including allowance for availability offers and<br />
contributions from offline units if desired<br />
• Ramp capability demand curve to model the costs of not meeting the desired level<br />
variability coverage<br />
• Simultaneous co-optimization of the ramp capability with energy and ancillary services<br />
The ramp capability model reserves rampable capacity in one interval’s dispatch to provide<br />
response capability to expected and/or uncertain changes in the future net load.<br />
The ramp capability model research opens the way for pricing ramp services to be considered<br />
which might permit energy storage to be bid as a ramping resource.<br />
FERC Correspondence Regarding <strong>MISO</strong> Tariff SER Treatment<br />
In 2007 <strong>MISO</strong> filed a proposal with FERC for the setting up of an Ancillary Services Market. In<br />
agreeing to the <strong>MISO</strong> proposal, FERC sought further details from <strong>MISO</strong> including specifics<br />
regarding the treatment of stored resources 17 . Further correspondence followed between FERC<br />
and <strong>MISO</strong> on stored resource treatment. On May 12, 2009 in Docket No. ER09-1126-000, the<br />
Midwest ISO filed proposed modifications to provisions in its currently effective Tariff. The<br />
proposed changes characterize Stored Resources as short-term storage devices where Stored<br />
Resources would be limited to offering Regulating Reserves, and not <strong>Energy</strong> or Contingency<br />
Reserves, in the Midwest ISO markets. This filing also describes the method for dispatching a<br />
Stored Resource, where unlike other Resource types the <strong>Energy</strong> dispatch on a Stored Resource is<br />
not to be included in the co optimization algorithm, but instead, the <strong>Energy</strong> dispatch will be<br />
determined in a way that maximizes the Resource's capability to provide Regulating Reserve.<br />
On December 31, 2009 FERC accepted the May 12, 2009 <strong>MISO</strong> proposed Tariff modifications<br />
regarding SER treatment, to come into effect in January 2010, but requested an informational<br />
report from <strong>MISO</strong> about the treatment of long term energy storage which was not included in the<br />
<strong>MISO</strong> ASM provision (SER’s specifically apply to short term storage). The FERC also required<br />
further clarification from <strong>MISO</strong> regarding the calculation of the reference energy storage loss<br />
rate. In May 2010 the FERC accepted <strong>MISO</strong>’s revision to clarify the calculation of the reference<br />
energy storage loss rate. In March 2010 <strong>MISO</strong> submitted an informational report about current<br />
and proposed long term energy storage resource treatment 18 .<br />
The informational report describes the current treatment for pumped hydro (see the Current<br />
<strong>MISO</strong> Tariff section above). The report further stated that <strong>MISO</strong> is currently investigating both<br />
internally and through discussions with its stakeholders the potential need for Tariff<br />
17 See FERC Docket Nos. ER07-1372-014 and ER09-1126-000<br />
18 Informational <strong>Report</strong> of the Midwest Independent Transmission System Operator, Inc., Docket Nos. ER07-1372-<br />
014 and ER09-1126-000 March 2010
STORED ENERGY RESOURCE TREATMENT IN THE <strong>MISO</strong> TARIFF<br />
modifications that might enhance the ability of alternative long-term storage resources to<br />
participate in its markets.<br />
On February 17, 2011, FERC issued a Notice of Proposed Rulemaking 19 that will require each of<br />
the grid operators under its jurisdiction to structure their regulation market tariffs to provide payfor-performance.<br />
Under pay-for-performance tariffs, grid operators would implement a pricing<br />
structure that pays faster-ramping resources a higher price for their service.<br />
The proposal is designed to favor energy resources that are available for rapid frequency<br />
regulation service (such as SER’s). Commercial manufacturers of fast storage devices such as<br />
Beacon Power Corporation have requested this rulemaking. Beacon's flywheel systems react in<br />
seconds to a grid operator's control signal -- a response that is exponentially faster than<br />
conventional fossil fuel-based regulation resources, pay-for-performance tariffs would enable the<br />
company to earn increased revenue from any regulation services it provides in those markets.<br />
Such markets include the New York ISO, where Beacon is already operating a regulation facility<br />
that is expected to reach its full 20 megawatts of capacity in the second quarter of 2011. On<br />
October 20, 2011 FERC issued a ruling on frequency regulation treatment (effective December<br />
2011) as follows:<br />
“Specifically, this Final Rule requires RTOs and ISOs to compensate frequency regulation<br />
resources based on the actual service provided, including a capacity payment that includes the<br />
marginal unit’s opportunity costs and a payment for performance that reflects the quantity of<br />
frequency regulation service provided by a resource when the resource is accurately following<br />
the dispatch signal. 20 ”<br />
This ruling confirms the performance payment concept based on the degree to which frequency<br />
regulation service follows the dispatch signal accurately. The assumption being that fast ramping<br />
regulation will receive a higher performance payment.<br />
<strong>Phase</strong> 2 Opportunities for Tariff Enhancements<br />
During <strong>Phase</strong> 2 the <strong>MISO</strong> <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> will investigate opportunities for tariff<br />
enhancement and make recommendations. These will include potentially adding contingency<br />
reserve payments for stored energy resources as well as extending the ASM to compensate longterm<br />
storage resources. Other possible areas where the tariff could be amended include capturing<br />
stored energy resource value in reducing congestion and offsetting new transmission investment<br />
costs. Note, the study scope is to make recommendations, not to change the tariff.<br />
In addition, integrating increased variable generation resources will require additional ramp<br />
management capability. Acquiring ramp capability through a market mechanism so that a price<br />
signal can be sent to the market could alleviate this requirement (see Ramp Capability for Load<br />
Following section above).<br />
19 Frequency Regulation Compensation in the Organized Wholesale Power Markets, Notice of Proposed<br />
Rulemaking, IV FERC Stats. & Regs., Proposed Regs. 32,672 (2011) Docket Nos. RM11-7 and AD10-11<br />
20 Frequency Regulation Compensation in the Organized Wholesale Power Markets Docket Nos. RM11‐7‐000 , AD10‐11‐000 Oct 20, <br />
2010<br />
4-7
STORED ENERGY RESOURCE TREATMENT IN THE <strong>MISO</strong> TARIFF<br />
Although it is easy for modeling software to use hindsight to optimize time sensitive<br />
opportunities, these are not so easy to integrate into the tariff. For example, optimizing energy<br />
arbitrage requires looking ahead to forecast the best (most profitable) time to dispatch a stored<br />
resource. Deciding when to charge is equally time sensitive. The current <strong>MISO</strong> operational<br />
dispatch does not include a look-ahead capability that may improve stored resource optimization.<br />
Ongoing storage tariff review includes changing FERC requirements to handle regulation and<br />
<strong>MISO</strong>’s interpretation of FERC requests to incorporate specific long-term energy storage<br />
treatment in the ASM.<br />
4-8
5<br />
ENERGY STORAGE MODELS AND ASSUMPTIONS<br />
The <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> is using two commercial models to evaluate the potential economic<br />
benefits that stored energy resources can offer <strong>MISO</strong>. These two models are known by their<br />
acronyms as EGEAS and PLEXOS and will both be discussed in detail in this Chapter. Each<br />
model has different characteristics and capabilities that help increase understanding about the<br />
economic and system benefits that energy storage can provide.<br />
Planning Models<br />
The available model choices for electricity market planners are increasing in range and<br />
sophistication. <strong>MISO</strong> uses several models in the MTEP process described in Chapter 2. As has<br />
been discussed, providing adequate resources in a large RTO market such as <strong>MISO</strong> has increased<br />
in complexity. New environmental emission requirements and RPS mandates increase the<br />
variables in models. The traditional “classic” approach to resource planning was to use separate<br />
models to determine capacity requirements, system operating costs and economics. These<br />
models would be run iteratively for different expansion plans to find the least cost solution.<br />
Newer resource planning models use an optimization approach that includes all the possible<br />
inputs and combinations in one large model. Shorter-term economic dispatch models require<br />
significant data at an hourly or sub-hourly level for many thousand nodes on the grid.<br />
<strong>MISO</strong> <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> Models<br />
The models that <strong>MISO</strong> is using to model energy storage for this study have distinctly different<br />
capabilities. The EGEAS model is used by <strong>MISO</strong> for long term resource adequacy planning. The<br />
EGEAS model identifies when a particular resource (generation, storage or demand side)<br />
provides economic benefit in a future market scenario being analyzed. The economic benefit is<br />
recognized when a storage resource has the lowest cost to benefit ratio (including long term<br />
construction costs). EGEAS can therefore be used in the <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> to identify future<br />
scenarios where energy storage is beneficial. EGEAS only recognizes benefits from energy<br />
arbitrage and ignores ancillary services. PLEXOS on the other hand is a production cost model<br />
that is able to combine analysis of day ahead and real time markets and to model data in higher<br />
granularity (e.g. intra hourly). PLEXOS can therefore identify and co-optimize ancillary service<br />
market benefits as well as energy arbitrage. It is necessary to use EGEAS during <strong>Phase</strong> 1in order<br />
to identify the future scenario cases where energy storage is beneficial using PLEXOS for more<br />
in-depth analysis because the latter can only analyze a known resource case in detail (see Figure<br />
5-1).<br />
Both model types provide insight into energy storage benefits. Longer-term energy storage<br />
resources such as PHS and CAES units rely primarily on energy arbitrage to justify their<br />
investment. These units are built on a larger scale with a 30 year expected life. Investment<br />
decisions are made based on long term performance assumptions with changing environmental<br />
5-1
ENERGY STORAGE MODELS AND ASSUMPTIONS<br />
scenarios. Long-term resource adequacy models provide the economic perspectives and<br />
scenarios required to justify large-scale storage. For shorter term energy storage resources it is<br />
more important to be able to model sophisticated intraday RTO markets and economic dispatch<br />
over shorter time periods. The short term planning models can mimic sophisticated ASM<br />
scenarios.<br />
<strong>Study</strong> Models – EGEAS<br />
5-2<br />
Figure 5-1: EGEAS and PLEXOS Model Interaction<br />
The electric generation expansion analysis system (EGEAS) is designed by EPRI as a model to<br />
find the optimum (least cost) integrated resource plan for meeting a given demand level. EGEAS<br />
expands supply-side and demand-side resources to identify the best resource fit, including<br />
storage. EGEAS strengths are rapid analysis for long time scales (30-40 years) and the ability to<br />
identify the least cost resource fit for given input parameters. The EGEAS model weaknesses are<br />
that transmission constraint (congestion) is not considered and that the model data is not more<br />
than daily granularity.<br />
The primary reason for <strong>MISO</strong> to use the EGEAS model is for resource planning to identify<br />
future capacity needs beyond the typical 5-year project-planning horizon. The model is used to<br />
find the optimized capacity expansion plan to meet demand (load + losses + planning reserve<br />
margin target), by adding supply-side and demand-side resources based on assumptions provided<br />
to the model.<br />
For the <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong>, the EGEAS model can be used with pre-existing data assembled<br />
for the MTEP11 planning process to compare model results in different scenarios with or without<br />
storage available as a resource. The analysis is expected to indicate where stored energy units<br />
can produce economic value in the <strong>MISO</strong> resource mix over a twenty-year horizon. EGEAS<br />
provides a capability to rapidly analyze multiple future scenarios over many years to identify the
ENERGY STORAGE MODELS AND ASSUMPTIONS<br />
cases where energy storage proves to be economically beneficial. These cases will then be<br />
analyzed in further detail using the PLEXOS model.<br />
EGEAS Model Functionality<br />
The EGEAS optimization process is based on a dynamic programming method where all<br />
possible resource addition combinations that meet user-specified constraints are enumerated and<br />
evaluated.<br />
The EGEAS objective function minimizes the present value (PV) of revenue requirements. The<br />
revenue requirements include both carrying charges for capital investment and system operating<br />
costs. The EGEAS optimization uses the following tools 21 :<br />
• Generalized Bender’s Decomposition: a non-linear technique based on an iterative<br />
interaction between a linear master problem and a non-linear probabilistic production<br />
costing sub problem<br />
• Dynamic Program: based on the enumeration of all possible resource additions to<br />
identify those units that are superfluous<br />
• Screening Curve Option: produces {cost by capacity factor} results for evaluating many<br />
alternatives<br />
• Prespecified Pathway Option: provides more detailed analysis of a plan than is<br />
computationally feasible within an optimization. Also allows user defined plans to be<br />
analyzed<br />
The following optimization constraints are used:<br />
• Reliability<br />
• Economic<br />
o Reserve margin – maximum or minimum<br />
o Unmet energy – maximum<br />
o Loss-of-load probability – maximum<br />
o Low earnings asset ratio<br />
o Low interest coverage ratios<br />
o Large increase in system average rate<br />
• Tunneling: used to specify the upper and lower limits for the annual and or cumulative<br />
resources available for consideration<br />
• Environmental<br />
21 Resource Planning and EGEAS Overview, NG Planning, October 2010<br />
5-3
ENERGY STORAGE MODELS AND ASSUMPTIONS<br />
5-4<br />
o Optimize to a pollutant cap level<br />
o Incorporate system site or unit limits<br />
• Limited Fuel<br />
The EGEAS model considers supply and demand side resources as follows:<br />
• Supply side alternatives<br />
o Thermal units<br />
o Retirements<br />
o Staged resources<br />
o Life extensions<br />
o Hydro<br />
o <strong>Storage</strong><br />
o Non-dispatchable (e.g. wind, solar)<br />
• Demand side alternatives<br />
o Conservation/energy efficiency<br />
o Load management / demand side resource<br />
� Peak shaving<br />
� Load shifting<br />
� <strong>Storage</strong><br />
� Rate design<br />
o Strategic marketing or load building<br />
Additional EGEAS capabilities include:<br />
• Purchase and Sale Contracts<br />
• Interconnections With 9 Other Systems<br />
• Avoided Capacity and Operating Costs<br />
• Customer Class Revenue and Sales<br />
• Environmental Tracking and Emissions Dispatch for up to 8User Defined Variables<br />
• Production costing details<br />
o Capacity levels – rated, operating, emergency and reserve – varied by year and<br />
month<br />
o Five loading points or blocks including heat rates, capacities and forced outages<br />
o Automatic and fixed maintenance scheduling
o Spinning reserve designations and options<br />
o Monthly fuel pricing and target limitations<br />
o Operating and maintenance costs<br />
o Dispatch modifier costs<br />
o Monthly limited energy data<br />
• Demand side management (DSM) resource capabilities<br />
EGEAS Benefits<br />
o Customer costs<br />
o Rebound benefits<br />
o Direct customer benefits<br />
o Rate change related benefits<br />
o Transmission and distribution costs/savings<br />
o Price elasticity by customer class<br />
o Customer class rates<br />
ENERGY STORAGE MODELS AND ASSUMPTIONS<br />
A considerable benefit to using EGEAS is that the model commonly runs in one hour or less for<br />
20-year planning studies, with most runs taking less than 15 minutes. Quick run times allow<br />
<strong>MISO</strong> staff to analyze wide sensitivity ranges and generation options. EGEAS inputs data can<br />
be easily changed to perform various sensitivity analyses using different fuel price, regulatory<br />
regimes and other scenarios. EGEAS quickly narrows down cases suitable for further analysis<br />
using more detailed production costing models such as PLEXOS.<br />
EGEAS Drawbacks<br />
EGEAS does not model transmission constraints, pool-to-pool transactions, etc. EGEAS<br />
dispatches the generation system using a monthly duration curve method, whereas production<br />
cost models dispatch generation intra-hourly (PLEXOS).<br />
EGEAS <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> Model Assumptions<br />
For the <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong>, EGEAS models a 20-year capacity expansion starting in 2011<br />
with each year broken into 12 segments for generation. Since <strong>MISO</strong> already uses the EGEAS<br />
model in MTEP studies, the <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> is able to piggyback data from existing<br />
analysis. The MTEP studies have always included pumped hydro storage since <strong>MISO</strong> has these<br />
resources in use today. The MTEP 2011 analysis included CAES as a supply side alternative.<br />
The <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> added battery storage to PHS and CAES. The key sensitivities<br />
explored in the study are gas prices, RPS levels, carbon tax, coal retirements and storage unit<br />
construction costs. For the <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong>, <strong>MISO</strong> staff used the EGEAS dynamic<br />
programming tool. Screening curves were developed separately of the model for <strong>MISO</strong> staff to<br />
better understand the way EGEAS “looks” at various alternatives (see Figure 5-2).<br />
5-5
ENERGY STORAGE MODELS AND ASSUMPTIONS<br />
Figure 5-2: EGEAS Screening Curve with PSH and CAES (PHS and CAES are “mid” values -<br />
$2250/kW and $1250/kW respectively, CO2 tax= 0 in this case, Source <strong>MISO</strong>)<br />
EGEAS Sensitivities<br />
The following sensitivities are evaluated in the <strong>MISO</strong> <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong>:<br />
5-6<br />
• Natural gas prices @ $4, $6, $8, $10 and $12 / MMBTU<br />
• Coal plant retirements (known retirements, 3 GW, 12.6 GW)<br />
• RPS (State Mandates – 13 % by 2025, 20 % by 2025, 30 % by 2030) 1<br />
• Carbon tax ($0, $50, $100 per ton)<br />
• Overnight construction costs for storage units<br />
o Low: CAES $833/kW, PHS $1500/kW, Battery $1667/kW<br />
o Mid: CAES $1250/kW, PHS $2250/kW, Battery $2500/kW<br />
o High: CAES $1667/kW, PHS $3000/kW, Battery $3333/kW<br />
1 State RPS percentages are based on total generated energy<br />
EGEAS Assumptions<br />
The economic base case assumption used for the <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> is taken from the MTEP<br />
2010 future scenario analysis. The scenario chosen is the planning advisory committee (PAC)
ENERGY STORAGE MODELS AND ASSUMPTIONS<br />
scenario 8 - business as usual with mid-low demand and energy growth rates. This scenario is<br />
carried forward into MTEP 11 planning as the default business as usual scenario 22 . The detailed<br />
description for this scenario is as follows:<br />
“The PAC Business As Usual with Mid-low Demand and <strong>Energy</strong> Growth Rates future scenario<br />
(S8) is considered a status quo future scenario and continues the impact of the economic<br />
downturn on growth in demand, energy and inflation rates. This future scenario models the<br />
power system as it exists today with reference values and trends, with the exception of demand,<br />
energy and inflation growth rates, which are based on recent historical data and assumes that<br />
existing standards for resource adequacy, renewable mandates, and environmental legislation<br />
remains unchanged. Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS) requirements vary by state.” 23<br />
The study period for the EGEAS analysis is 20 years from 2011. The EGEAS model also<br />
includes an extension period from 20 to 30 years to counteract any “end effect”. The end effect is<br />
caused because asset-planning horizons exceed 5 years causing retirements, regulations and<br />
construction to taper off during the final study years.<br />
The demand and energy annual growth rate assumption is 1.26 percent. The starting value for<br />
demand is 103,845 MW and for energy 530,575 GW. Inflation is assumed to be 1.9% per annum<br />
and affects fuel prices and economic costs.<br />
Plant revenue assumptions (see Table 5-1) are based on low medium and high overnight<br />
construction costs and are calculated from capital and production costs over the twenty-year<br />
period. Overnight construction costs for CAES are about 55.5 percent of the values for PHS<br />
reflecting the higher infrastructure cost to build pumped hydro. Battery overnight costs are<br />
approximately double CAES in $kW terms. These cost assumptions are extremely important in<br />
the EGEAS energy study analysis since the model chooses new plant investment based on costs.<br />
The equivalent “mid” overnight construction costs assumed for CT and CC units are $665/kW<br />
and $1,003/kW. The CT and CC costs were not varied when the energy storage costs were raised<br />
or lowered (low and high values) because the estimates are more stable – using the latest EIA<br />
construction cost estimates 24 .<br />
The unit capacities input into EGEAS for PSH and CAES are equivalent at 2400 and 2160 MW<br />
respectively. Battery capacity is a much smaller 200 MW. Construction lead-time for PSH is the<br />
longest at 5 years, battery storage is given a 2-year lead-time and CAES is estimated at 3 years.<br />
The CAES heat rate is assumed to be 4000 btu/kWh, which is just over half the btu rate for an<br />
equivalent combined cycle or CT generating plant. This is because the compressed air in the<br />
CAES plant improves generation efficiency during the discharge cycle, although there are<br />
electricity costs incurred during charging.<br />
22 The Draft MTEP11 Plan EGEAS Assumptions are available here:<br />
https://www.midwestiso.org/Library/Repository/<strong>Study</strong>/MTEP/MTEP11/MTEP11%20Appendix%20E2%2<br />
0Draft%20for%20PAC%20Review.pdf<br />
23 <strong>MISO</strong> MTEP10 Final <strong>Report</strong>, p. 142<br />
24 http://205.254.135.24/oiaf/beck_plantcosts/pdf/updatedplantcosts.pdf<br />
5-7
ENERGY STORAGE MODELS AND ASSUMPTIONS<br />
Unit Max.<br />
Capacity<br />
PSH 2400<br />
MW<br />
CAES 2160<br />
MW<br />
5-8<br />
Heat<br />
Rate<br />
btu/k<br />
Wh<br />
Forced<br />
Outage<br />
Rate<br />
Fixed<br />
O&M<br />
$/kW/<br />
yr<br />
Overnight<br />
Construction<br />
Cost<br />
($/kW)<br />
Low/Mid/<br />
High<br />
Efficiency Variable<br />
O&M<br />
$/MWh<br />
Mainten<br />
ance<br />
Weeks<br />
per<br />
Year<br />
-- 1% $5 1500/2250/3000 75% $0.50 4 5<br />
4000 3.25% $15 833/1250/1667 123% $1.70 2 3<br />
BATTERY 200 MW -- 1% $10 1667/2500/3333 90% $1.00 1 2<br />
Table 5-1: EGEAS <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> Plant Assumptions<br />
Unit efficiency is highest for CAES at 123 percent (energy output versus energy used to charge)<br />
and lowest for PSH (75 percent) with battery efficiency assumed to be 90 percent. The study<br />
assumes that peak hours are Monday to Friday, 6:00 am to 8:00 pm.<br />
Maintenance is scheduled for low demand periods. Pumped storage average maintenance is<br />
based on historic averages at 4 weeks a year. CAES is assumed to have similar outages to a CC<br />
unit and battery outage is estimated as one week a year. Overhead and maintenance costs for<br />
CAES are highest at $15/kW year, with battery second at $10/kW year and PSH lowest at $5/kW<br />
year. Forced outage rates for CAES are higher at 3.25 percent than for PSH and battery storage,<br />
which are both 1 percent. This is because units operating with fuel are more vulnerable to outage.<br />
EGEAS <strong>Study</strong> Generation Mix Assumptions<br />
The study uses the following 2011 installed capacity (by fuel category in MW) as the baseline<br />
for resource planning (see Figure 5-3):<br />
• Coal 63757 (49%)<br />
• Gas 37214 (29%)<br />
• <strong>Wind</strong> 9581 (7%)<br />
• Nuclear 8176 (6%)<br />
• Oil 5696 (4%)<br />
• PHS 2490 (2%)<br />
• Hydro 1248 (1%)<br />
• Biomass 636 (0.49%)<br />
• Other 557 (0.43%)<br />
• Total 129354<br />
Constru<br />
ction<br />
Lead<br />
Time<br />
(years)
ENERGY STORAGE MODELS AND ASSUMPTIONS<br />
Figure 5-3: 2011 Installed Capacities by Fuel Category Assumption for <strong>MISO</strong> <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Study</strong><br />
The system planning reserve margin is assumed to be 17.4 percent of capacity.<br />
<strong>Study</strong> Models – PLEXOS<br />
<strong>Energy</strong> Exemplar (a software, consulting and information services company) owns the PLEXOS<br />
model. <strong>MISO</strong> is a licensee of the PLEXOS modeling software. <strong>Energy</strong> Exemplar has experience<br />
in CAES energy storage analysis for the Sacramento Municipal <strong>Utility</strong> District (SMUD) and has<br />
been engaged in many wind integration studies. PLEXOS is a mixed integer programming (MIP)<br />
based next-generation energy market simulation and optimization software. Co-optimization<br />
architecture is based on the Ph.D. work of Glenn Drayton. Advanced MIP is the core algorithm<br />
of the simulation and optimization. The model is the foundation for the mathematical<br />
formulation of the New Zealand, Australia, and Singapore energy and spinning reserve<br />
markets 25 .<br />
Utilities, ISO’s, consulting firms and regulatory agencies use PLEXOS for:<br />
• Operations<br />
o Day-ahead generation scheduling (unit commitment and economic dispatch) to<br />
minimize cost or maximize profit<br />
o Portfolio management<br />
• Planning and Risk<br />
25 Information in this overview based on <strong>Energy</strong> Exemplar presentation to <strong>MISO</strong> <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> Workshop, June<br />
29, 2011<br />
5-9
ENERGY STORAGE MODELS AND ASSUMPTIONS<br />
5-10<br />
o Resource Expansion and Valuation<br />
o <strong>Utility</strong> Planning and <strong>Energy</strong> budgeting<br />
• Market Analysis<br />
o LMP and AS Market Price Forecast<br />
o <strong>Energy</strong> Market Design and Monitoring<br />
• Transmission (Network) Analysis<br />
o Transmission Expansion<br />
o CRR (or) FTR Valuation<br />
o Bilateral contracts valuation<br />
PLEXOS algorithms co-optimize thermal, hydro, energy, contingency, regulation, and fuel<br />
markets. The model provides physical (primal) as well as financial (dual) output e.g. provides<br />
information on shadow prices. The model contains three algorithms providing long-term security<br />
assessment, mid term and short term simulation. The model contains a storage algorithm with the<br />
following features:<br />
• Simultaneous solution for all resources<br />
o All decision variables determined at same time<br />
o Perfectly arbitrage all available markets<br />
o Co-optimize energy, ancillary services, storage, DC-optimal power flow<br />
o Co-optimization includes limited resources: hydro energy, fuel, emissions, etc.<br />
• Can model 5-minute or greater time step<br />
o Real-time markets<br />
o Sequential Day-ahead and Real-Time market simulation to capture wind / load<br />
variability and uncertainty<br />
� DA simulation produces unit commitment schedules using forecasted<br />
wind generations and loads<br />
� RT simulation reveals the ramp capacity adequacy using “actual” wind<br />
generation and loads<br />
PLEXOS models the following energy storage characteristics:<br />
• Charging or pumping<br />
o Minimum and Maximum charge power (MW)<br />
o Ramp Rate (MW/minute)<br />
• Round trip efficiency percentage<br />
• Generating mode
o Minimum and maximum generation (MW)<br />
o Ramp rate (MW/minute)<br />
o Start-up costs (CAES)<br />
o Associated heat rate (CAES)<br />
• Ancillary services<br />
o In both charging and generating modes<br />
o Defined limits and ramp rates (MW/minute)<br />
• Reservoir or storage device 26<br />
o Minimum and maximum storage (MWh)<br />
o <strong>Storage</strong> natural inflow and losses modeled<br />
ENERGY STORAGE MODELS AND ASSUMPTIONS<br />
o Daily or weekly cycle or optimization storage targets for large storage<br />
These features allow PLEXOS to provide accurate modeling for sophisticated storage plant<br />
operation such as CAES. PLEXOS can model the pumped storage (air compression) costs as<br />
well as the combustion turbine costs and the generation efficiency for the CAES discharge. The<br />
CAES unit can be dispatched hourly with optimized sales for energy, regulation and contingency<br />
reserve markets (see Figure 5-4).<br />
Figure 5-4: PLEXOS CAES <strong>Storage</strong> Model Output (Source <strong>Energy</strong> Exemplar)<br />
26 PLEXOS is able to model ancillary service benefits from an adjustable speed pumped hydro storage system<br />
5-11
ENERGY STORAGE MODELS AND ASSUMPTIONS<br />
PLEXOS Benefits<br />
The PLEXOS model allows sophisticated energy storage unit analysis compared to EGEAS. The<br />
data granularity is as frequent as five-minute interval – mimicking the <strong>MISO</strong> real time market.<br />
PLEXOS can therefore capture benefits from ancillary services in addition to simple energy<br />
arbitrage. Ancillary service revenues are an important contribution to CAES storage and may<br />
become important for new adjustable speed pumped hydro storage units. Battery storage<br />
economics is likely to rely heavily on ancillary service revenues. The PLEXOS model<br />
accommodates details about transmission, generation characteristics and outages that are not<br />
available to EGEAS. PLEXOS has the ability to integrate long and short-term horizons to arrive<br />
at an optimal solution. One drawback to PLEXOS compared to EGEAS is the model run time.<br />
Analysis over a one-year study period can take a week or more.<br />
In the <strong>MISO</strong> <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> context, PLEXOS is used to complement EGEAS because<br />
EGEAS can run many long-term scenarios quickly to determine areas of interest for detailed<br />
granular analysis with PLEXOS. The goal with PLEXOS is to integrate the day ahead and real<br />
time markets into one simulation. With this capability <strong>MISO</strong> planners will be better able to<br />
model sudden changes in load, wind, or other system variations and determine the value of<br />
resources that are able to respond to these.<br />
PLEXOS Assumptions<br />
The PLEXOS analysis performed under <strong>Phase</strong> 1 of the <strong>MISO</strong> <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> is very<br />
limited (see Chapter 7). The assumptions for PLEXOS will be similar to or the same as the<br />
EGEAS MTEP11 base case “business as usual” scenario. EGEAS results will indicate the<br />
sensitivities (e.g. fuel price, carbon tax, coal retirements, RPS levels) where storage benefits the<br />
<strong>MISO</strong> system. PLEXOS will then be used to analyze these sensitivities further. In addition,<br />
PLEXOS will run an hourly analysis for one complete study period year (April 2012- March<br />
2013). Then more granular 5-minute analysis will be run for summer, winter and shoulder month<br />
periods.<br />
<strong>MISO</strong> has used EGEAS for MTEP study analysis and therefore already has a defined data set<br />
covering the <strong>MISO</strong> territory as a base case from which to compare performance after various<br />
storage units are added. In the same way, <strong>MISO</strong> can also reuse PLEXOS data from MTEP11<br />
transmission planning. PLEXOS has already been used by <strong>MISO</strong> to model PSH and a typical<br />
CAES unit. The data setup for PLEXOS is considerably more sophisticated than EGEAS since<br />
transmission and congestion are included.<br />
<strong>Phase</strong> 2 Recommendations to Improve <strong>Storage</strong> Modeling<br />
The EGEAS model is used in the <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> to identify the cases where storage is<br />
economically beneficial. EGEAS cannot identify storage benefits in ancillary service markets.<br />
EGEAS is therefore of little value in assessing the detailed benefit to operating energy storage in<br />
<strong>MISO</strong>. The value that energy storage resources bring to ancillary services makes using PLEXOS<br />
essential because the latter is able to co-optimize day ahead and real time markets. It is clear,<br />
however, from <strong>Phase</strong> 1 of the study, that energy storage modeling adds considerable complexity<br />
to the energy market modeling discipline. During <strong>Phase</strong> 2, the study group expects to increase<br />
5-12
ENERGY STORAGE MODELS AND ASSUMPTIONS<br />
knowledge and experience with PLEXOS in order to make recommendations to <strong>MISO</strong> for<br />
improvements in modeling energy storage resources.<br />
5-13
6<br />
EGEAS ANALYSIS RESULTS<br />
Results Summary for EGEAS<br />
The <strong>Phase</strong> 1 EGEAS modeling results for the <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> indicate that although there<br />
is overall opportunity for long-term storage resources in certain future scenarios, existing <strong>MISO</strong><br />
market and tariff conditions do not justify large-scale investment in storage. As noted in Chapter<br />
5, the EGEAS storage model has limitations that hide potential benefits from storage resources.<br />
In particular, because EGEAS did not model intraday ancillary services, any benefits from these<br />
are ignored. While this constraint is clearly identified upfront in the analysis, it effectively<br />
precludes the model from identifying economic benefits from short-term (e.g. battery) resources.<br />
Where the EGEAS model did identify economic benefit from energy arbitrage, it was restricted<br />
by two significant market factors. The first is that <strong>MISO</strong> has more than enough existing<br />
generation capacity, including abundant coal generation. A significant proportion of the coal<br />
plant fleet is considered must run and therefore runs during off-peak hours. The need to keep<br />
coal plants running off-peak reduces the impact that “free” wind generation has in bringing down<br />
the off-peak power price since the system operator curtails the wind if the capacity is not needed.<br />
The consequence is that higher off-peak prices reduce energy arbitrage (and that the reduction is<br />
magnified when carbon emission tax costs are added to coal prices). The second market factor<br />
that reduces economic benefit from energy arbitrage is that wind energy is treated as nondispatchable<br />
and, due to the wind profile, some wind penetration is experienced even during<br />
peak hours. The EGEAS model uses wind first whenever it is available before considering<br />
alternative resources such as stored energy. During peak hours the result is that wind generation<br />
is effectively ”netted out” of the load duration curve, which, in situations with higher wind<br />
penetrations, results in coal being the marginal unit. Lower peak prices squeeze energy arbitrage<br />
benefits from stored resources 27 .<br />
<strong>Phase</strong> 1 EGEAS Results<br />
The EGEAS analysis assumptions are described in Chapter 5 as well as the sensitivities that were<br />
chosen. Using a base case business as usual economic forecast and moderate growth in demand<br />
27 The <strong>MISO</strong> analysis did not take into account the effects of DIR. Preliminary internal discussions indicated that<br />
the DIR designation would be tough to capture in the EGEAS model because wind has no fuel cost associated and if<br />
the model dispatched wind it would almost certainly be dispatched on peak (at 100 percent, which is not correct for<br />
wind). Making the wind non-dispatchable allows for instructing EGEAS when the most wind is typically available,<br />
based on NREL historical data.<br />
6-1
EGEAS ANALYSIS RESULTS<br />
6-2<br />
Figure 6-1: One Branch of the EGEAS <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> Analysis Decision Tree<br />
Figure 6-2: Results from <strong>Phase</strong> 1 EGEAS <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> Analysis Showing Circumstances<br />
Where CAES is Selected<br />
over the twenty-year period, the analysis tested model sensitivity to gas price, carbon tax,<br />
construction cost, RPS levels and coal retirements due to EPA rules (see Figure 6-1).
EGEAS ANALYSIS RESULTS<br />
The results indicate the circumstances under which a storage resource could become economical<br />
(see Figure 6-2). In each sensitivity circumstance EGEAS identifies the operating savings that<br />
could accrue to <strong>MISO</strong> from energy arbitrage. If the operating savings exceed the capital cost of a<br />
storage plant, then EGEAS adds the plant to the optimized resource plan. Because the energy<br />
arbitrage estimates in the model are relatively low (see energy arbitrage analysis below), EGEAS<br />
only selected storage in 18 of the 405 sensitivity cases (see Table 6-1) and, in all 18 cases, only<br />
CAES was chosen due to it having the lowest modeled capacity cost of the three storage types.<br />
Furthermore, CAES was only selected when the lowest capital cost was used ($833 kW).<br />
Table 6-1: EGEAS Model <strong>Storage</strong> Selection Cases<br />
The CAES unit was only picked in cases where the CO 2 cost is zero, i.e. there is no carbon tax.<br />
As fuel costs (gas prices) went up, storage tended to get picked earlier in the study period<br />
because CAES storage uses less fuel (4000 MMBTU/MWh) than conventional CC or CT plants.<br />
As RPS levels went up, the general need for storage was pushed further out in the study horizon<br />
and the amount of installed storage reduced as RPS increased. This was caused by the negative<br />
impact on energy arbitrage resulting from high wind penetration (see the energy arbitrage<br />
analysis section below for an explanation regarding this counter intuitive result).<br />
6-3
EGEAS ANALYSIS RESULTS<br />
<strong>Energy</strong> Arbitrage Analysis Based on EGEAS Results<br />
The <strong>Phase</strong> 1 EGEAS results indicate that for long term resource planning, energy storage can<br />
only be justified in circumstance where energy arbitrage offsets storage plant capital costs. Since<br />
the storage technology with the lowest capital cost (CAES) was the only choice made by the<br />
model, there are clearly important assumptions in the EGEAS model that are reducing energy<br />
arbitrage.<br />
One factor reducing energy arbitrage is that the existing <strong>MISO</strong> generation mix is highly<br />
leveraged towards coal (approximately 50 percent of installed capacity and 75-80 percent of<br />
energy) and that there is excess capacity available. The 2010 State of the Market <strong>Report</strong> by the<br />
<strong>MISO</strong> independent market monitor estimates an actual reserve margin in the range of 28 percent<br />
to 37 percent which exceeds the <strong>MISO</strong> planning reserve margin requirement of 17.4 percent in<br />
2011.. Coal plants are run as baseload (i.e. 24 X 7) because their costs are low and a significant<br />
proportion (15,000 MW) of coal units are “must run” and are used for off-peak generation<br />
regardless of alternatives. In the EGEAS model, baseload off-peak is therefore using coal quite<br />
frequently (not wind) because the coal has to run. Baseload coal is quite inexpensive to run and,<br />
in fact, wind helps to lower the price even further. The arbitrage is lost when large amounts of<br />
6-4<br />
Figure 6-3: Simple Load Duration Curve Illustration Showing <strong>Wind</strong> Impact on <strong>Storage</strong><br />
Charging and Generation<br />
wind force coal to be on the margin during peak demand. When that happens, the only energy<br />
arbitrage available is the difference between cheap, must-run, efficient coal and more expensive,<br />
less efficient, on peak coal.<br />
A second factor is that increased wind penetration (model increases RPS) is run 100 percent<br />
before any other unit is considered because wind is not dispatchable in the same way as<br />
conventional generation 28 . The wind is therefore generating peak power and bringing down the<br />
marginal price for peak power to the coal price level. This is because EGEAS uses an annual<br />
28 The study did not take into account DIR. See Footnote 27
EGEAS ANALYSIS RESULTS<br />
hourly profile to indicate when the wind is available. Inevitably, some of the wind will be<br />
available on peak and if enough wind is forced in, this on peak wind will drive out the need to<br />
run conventional CT/CC plants that are more expensive. Increased amounts of wind effectively<br />
lower the load duration curve to the point that coal is setting LMP both on and off peak. (see<br />
Figure 6-3).<br />
EGEAS Model Takeaways<br />
The EGEAS model results point to how sensitive stored energy plant economics are to energy<br />
arbitrage. It is likely that in a production system, energy arbitrage will be reduced further since<br />
the model has the advantage of perfect hindsight in selecting arbitrage opportunities that would<br />
be more hit and miss in production.<br />
Two features of the <strong>MISO</strong> market play an important part in reducing arbitrage opportunities, the<br />
excess of coal generation capacity and the increasing penetration of wind generation over the<br />
next twenty years. If there are more coal plant retirements for environmental and end of life<br />
reasons, arbitrage will increase. If there are transmission constraints that curtail wind generation<br />
during peak hours (a factor that EGEAS does not take into account) then arbitrage will increase.<br />
EGEAS has identified the circumstances when energy arbitrage provides the best economic<br />
benefit for energy storage. PLEXOS analysis can provide more detail of intraday arbitrage<br />
opportunities and identify the as yet undetermined storage benefits from ancillary services.<br />
6-5
7<br />
INITIAL PLEXOS ANALYSIS<br />
PLEXOS <strong>Phase</strong> 1<br />
The PLEXOS <strong>Phase</strong> 1 analysis is designed to provide a framework in which a fully functional<br />
model is developed for use in <strong>Phase</strong> 2. The PLEXOS <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> model was jointly<br />
created with <strong>MISO</strong>’s work on the Manitoba Hydro <strong>Wind</strong> Synergy <strong>Study</strong>. To coordinate with<br />
that effort the modeled data used during <strong>Phase</strong> 1 is April 2012-March 2013.<br />
Three separate storage types are modeled in PLEXOS: CAES, PHS, and Battery. In PLEXOS,<br />
reservoir limits are used to account for non-electrical energy and this is how the model<br />
distinguishes a storage unit from a regular generating plant. The head reservoir is where energy<br />
is stored after charging and the tail reservoir is the location from which the unit is discharged.<br />
The CAES unit is modeled as two separate generators linked together with constraints. Two<br />
separate reservoirs are modeled for CAES representing the air storage cavern. Air is pumped into<br />
the reservoir (charging) using electricity from the grid and then later discharged. When CAES is<br />
discharged, gas is added and the unit supplies power to the grid. The storage unit is placed at a<br />
bus in the model which has exhibited larger than average price spreads and is affected by the<br />
transmission overlay. PHS and batteries are modeled in the same way as CAES without the<br />
second generating unit (which represents the gas fired portion of the CAES unit.) There is one<br />
generator with a head and tail reservoir. The unit charges energy during one time period and<br />
discharges during another with a slight lose in energy due to its efficiency characteristics.<br />
<strong>Energy</strong> storage resources are allowed to participate in both the ASM and energy markets and are<br />
co-optimized between the two.<br />
In <strong>Phase</strong> 1 only the day ahead (DA) market (24 steps of 1 hour in each optimization window for<br />
365 days) was run. The link between the DA and real time (RT) market in PLEXOS was not<br />
modeled in <strong>Phase</strong> 1. In <strong>Phase</strong> 2 the DA and RT will be linked together to approximate <strong>MISO</strong><br />
market simulation. The DA and RT link will pass the DA unit commitment, ASM allocations<br />
and stored energy values into the RT simulation. The RT simulation will be run at 5-minute<br />
intervals to reflect the <strong>MISO</strong> market.<br />
Challenges Uncovered During <strong>Phase</strong> 1 PLEXOS Analysis<br />
The on-off peak spread (energy arbitrage) in the shoulder months 29 is smaller than expected.<br />
This means storage devices do not run during these months. Further study will be conducted<br />
before <strong>Phase</strong> 2 analysis to understand this phenomenon.<br />
29 Shoulder months are before and after the Summer peak (April/May and September)<br />
7-1
INITIAL PLEXOS ANALYSIS<br />
7-2<br />
Figure 7-1: Detailed vs Aggregated Transmission Areas for PLEXOS Simulation<br />
The model runs very slowly. This led to <strong>MISO</strong> reducing the transmission detail to increase the<br />
execution speed. Companies not in <strong>MISO</strong>, Manitoba Hydro, MRO-US, and PJM-<strong>MISO</strong> border<br />
are aggregated (see Figure 7-1). Reserves are modeled for Manitoba Hydro and <strong>MISO</strong> only.<br />
More work is required to try to align ASM model values to reflect current market prices. In the<br />
<strong>MISO</strong> ASM market, each generator that is cleared for a reserve product is paid the marketclearing<br />
price (MCP) for reserves plus the opportunity cost to not generate energy. MCP<br />
represents optimized bidding offers from all generators, while opportunity cost is the energyclearing<br />
price.<br />
Each generator submitting a bid to a reserve product can use a different bidding strategy based<br />
on their specific cost to supply that reserve. Generally the costs considered include the<br />
opportunity cost to reserve the energy, generator wear and tear, and generator characteristics.<br />
Some generators (e.g. coal and nuclear) sustain higher maintenance costs for cycling output.<br />
These generators will probably either not participate in the ASM market or submit a high bid to<br />
cover possible maintenance cost. However, this may not be true for all coal plants since different<br />
plant technologies enable easier cycling. The challenge is that apart from the opportunity costs,<br />
other elements of ASM bids are highly unit specific.
Modeling Challenges Identified Using PLEXOS<br />
INITIAL PLEXOS ANALYSIS<br />
The greatest challenges to modeling with PLEXOS are data and run-time issues. To effectively<br />
model a future storage unit in PLEXOS it is necessary to model with and without the storage unit<br />
to identify the delta. To accomplish this accurately requires a model that simulates market prices<br />
for the storage unit to be evaluated against. A storage unit has the potential to reduce its own<br />
energy arbitrage value proposition by raising off-peak prices and lowering on-peak prices. To<br />
determine if this will happen, a simulation needs to be developed that evaluates the whole system<br />
once the unit is in place. This simulation needs to contain enough information to determine the<br />
response to the storage unit from other participants.<br />
The data requirement to meet this modeling challenge is especially large when simulating both<br />
day ahead and real time markets. Co-optimization of the energy and ASM markets increases the<br />
problem size further since a generator is required to decide between energy, regulation, spin<br />
and/or supplemental.<br />
<strong>MISO</strong> is attempting to use PLEXOS to get a close to actual market simulation engine while still<br />
retaining the flexibility needed for planning. A particular problem associated with this quest for<br />
“reality” is that of simulating companies outside the <strong>MISO</strong> footprint that affect <strong>MISO</strong> member<br />
operations. The real <strong>MISO</strong> market does not have this problem since it operates in normal time,<br />
but the planning group needs to be able to predict how external markets will react to an internal<br />
change in <strong>MISO</strong>.<br />
The interactions between the day ahead (DA) and real time (RT) markets are complex. <strong>MISO</strong> has<br />
worked extensively to devise a process to simulate this in planning. During the <strong>Phase</strong> I <strong>Energy</strong><br />
<strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> the team determined that the method devised in PLEXOS for this linkage was not<br />
adequate. For <strong>Phase</strong> 2, the team is working with <strong>Energy</strong> Exemplar to develop PLEXOS in a way<br />
that models the basic interactions between RT and DA as accurately as possible.<br />
Another challenge is including both long-term constraints and long-term opportunities for<br />
storage units in the RT market. In PLEXOS this is accomplished using a three stage process.<br />
Three separate simulations are conducted and key information is passed between them (see<br />
Figure 7-2). First an annual simulation decomposes the reservoir constraints into optimal values<br />
for the unit to run at over different days of the year. This creates end of day targets for the<br />
storage unit to meet so that it is best set up for the next day. The DA simulation is then run to<br />
identify the charge and discharge storage unit commitment status along with the reserve<br />
allocations and the value of the energy in storage. This data is passed to the RT simulation,<br />
where the storage unit follows a pre-defined generation profile unless the energy price deviates a<br />
given amount from the DA simulation in which case the unit will compensate. Using this three<br />
stage simulation process increases the potential value that a storage unit can extract from the RT<br />
market.<br />
7-3
INITIAL PLEXOS ANALYSIS<br />
Figure 7-2: Three Stage Process to Decompose Long-Term <strong>Storage</strong> Constraints into the Real<br />
Time Market with PLEXOS<br />
Initial Conclusions from <strong>Phase</strong> 1 PLEXOS Analysis<br />
<strong>Energy</strong> storage units are economically dispatched in the PLEXOS model and have positive net<br />
revenue throughout the year. Further analysis is needed to merge the PLEXOS results with<br />
EGEAS to yield a total cost/benefit for storage units. Pumped storage units have a greater<br />
revenue stream than CAES units in PLEXOS since they have lower operating costs. This is the<br />
opposite result to the EGEAS analysis because EGEAS takes into account the higher<br />
construction cost of PHS whereas PLEXOS is a marginal cost production model. In the first set<br />
of runs, PLEXOS showed annual operating net revenue of $15.2M for a 1080MW CAES unit<br />
and $24.6M for a 2040MW PS unit. Higher variable costs and efficiency losses caused CAES to<br />
only operate for limited periods during the study (see Figure 7-3). PHS operates more frequently<br />
because the variable costs are lower (see Figure 7-4). The revenue components from both CAES<br />
and PHS during ASM operation in the <strong>Phase</strong> 1 study could not be accurately assessed because<br />
the reserve pricing method in these model runs caused spikes in revenues (see Figures 7-5 and 7-<br />
6).<br />
7-4
INITIAL PLEXOS ANALYSIS<br />
Figure 7-3: PLEXOS Initial Results – CAES. Higher Variable Costs and Efficiency Losses<br />
Cause CAES to Only Operate for Limited Periods<br />
Figure 7-4: PLEXOS Initial Results – PHS. At a Lower Variable Cost Than CAES, PHS<br />
Operates more Frequently<br />
7-5
INITIAL PLEXOS ANALYSIS<br />
Figure 7-5: Initial PLEXOS Results - CAES Revenue Components. The Reserve Pricing Method<br />
Used causes reserve Revenue Spikes for This Run<br />
Figure 7-6: Initial PLEXOS Results - PHS Revenue Components. The Reserve Pricing Method<br />
Used causes reserve Revenue Spikes in this Analysis<br />
7-6
INITIAL PLEXOS ANALYSIS<br />
Moving into <strong>Phase</strong> 2 <strong>MISO</strong> will use the results and lessons learned (see Table 7-1) from <strong>Phase</strong> 1<br />
and implement them into a more complete PLEXOS analysis.<br />
PLEXOS has turned out to be a useful tool to identify problems and benefits for storage<br />
technology, but it has also shown that it is very complicated to build a robust and complete<br />
model that accurately mimics the real world system. At the conclusion to <strong>Phase</strong> I the model is<br />
very close to a good approximate representation and <strong>Phase</strong> 2 will yield more informative results.<br />
Lessons Learned FROM <strong>Phase</strong> 1 PLEXOS Analysis<br />
Challenges Driver/Root cause Work around/Solution<br />
PLEXOS model run time Run time per week ranges<br />
from 26 minutes to 54 hours<br />
depending on settings used<br />
PLEXOS determination of<br />
ASM prices<br />
Data validation on an<br />
Eastern Interconnection<br />
wide scale<br />
On-peak and Off-Peak price<br />
spread<br />
Realistic representation of<br />
<strong>MISO</strong> real time market in<br />
PLEXOS<br />
PLEXOS only prices ASM<br />
products at the opportunity<br />
cost of the generators<br />
Large systems have a lot of<br />
moving parts<br />
Spread is narrower than<br />
expected from historic<br />
market activity<br />
We found that the real time<br />
market simulation in<br />
PLEXOS needed a few<br />
tweaks<br />
Table 7-1: PLEXOS <strong>Phase</strong> 1 Analysis Lessons Learned<br />
PLEXOS Next Steps – Pre <strong>Phase</strong> 2<br />
Aggregate companies<br />
outside of <strong>MISO</strong>, MHEB,<br />
MRO and border PJM<br />
companies<br />
Currently using price adders<br />
from the 2010 historical<br />
<strong>MISO</strong> ASM prices<br />
Verified data with other<br />
models and general market<br />
trends<br />
Still under investigation<br />
The vendor created a more<br />
realistic representation of the<br />
market in the model<br />
• Include and test the new linkage between the Day Ahead and Real Time markets.<br />
• Determine why the price spread between on and off peak is so low in the shoulder<br />
months.<br />
7-7
INITIAL PLEXOS ANALYSIS<br />
7-8<br />
• Refine method used to determine ASM prices.<br />
• Find additional methods to reduce run time without reducing accuracy.<br />
PLEXOS Next Steps – <strong>Phase</strong> 2<br />
• Model defined cases with and without storage<br />
• Model defined cases with and without transmission<br />
• Model defined cases with and without market improvements<br />
• Merge results of the PLEXOS simulation with the EGEAS simulation to create a<br />
complete life cycle analysis for storage devices
8<br />
STUDY CONCLUSIONS<br />
The <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> <strong>Phase</strong> 1 forms the first part of analysis by <strong>MISO</strong>’s transmission<br />
planning group to evaluate the impact that additional stored energy resources could have on the<br />
<strong>MISO</strong> footprint. The three main study drivers were; State RPS mandates for renewable energy,<br />
ongoing discussions and rulings between the FERC and <strong>MISO</strong> since the start of the ASM in<br />
2009 regarding the <strong>MISO</strong> energy storage tariff and a desire by <strong>MISO</strong> transmission planners to<br />
increase their knowledge and understanding about energy storage modeling.<br />
Key Findings<br />
By using the EGEAS model in <strong>Phase</strong> 1, <strong>MISO</strong> gained experience with modeling energy storage<br />
technologies and is able to relate this experience directly to existing transmission planning using<br />
EGEAS. The <strong>Phase</strong> 1 EGEAS model runs allowed sensitivity analysis around several different<br />
future scenarios. These scenarios match the future cases used in MTEP11 planning including fuel<br />
costs (natural gas prices), EPA regulations, a carbon tax and RPS mandate percentages. The<br />
EGEAS model indicates economic benefits from energy arbitrage storage in several cases and<br />
thus confirms a primary study objective by proving that economic benefit exists from energy<br />
storage in <strong>MISO</strong>.<br />
The study team recognizes that EGEAS has limitations for modeling energy storage<br />
technologies, particularly short-term storage from batteries because the model does not capture<br />
any benefit from the ASM. There are other shortcomings to the EGEAS model with regard to<br />
storage benefits from energy arbitrage because the price data used may not have the granularity<br />
to capture optimal energy arbitrage economics. EGEAS also does not model the congestion<br />
market. The EGEAS model is however useful for running a large number of scenarios in a short<br />
time in the form of reserve capacity plans. These runs reveal when energy storage becomes<br />
economically viable. This helped the study group to choose appropriate cases for a deeper dive<br />
<strong>Phase</strong> 2 analysis using PLEXOS.<br />
The PLEXOS <strong>Phase</strong> 1 analysis is designed to provide a framework in which a fully functional<br />
model could be developed for use in the <strong>Phase</strong> 2 PLEXOS analysis. The major findings for<br />
PLEXOS in <strong>Phase</strong> 1 were insights gained from calibrating the model assumptions and variables.<br />
In particular, a number of challenges were noted in modeling the ASM markets for day ahead<br />
and real time reserves. The PLEXOS team engaged in a dialogue with the modeling software<br />
licensor to optimize the setup. These insights are invaluable to <strong>MISO</strong> and an expected learning<br />
curve from modeling a new technology. The limited PLEXOS results obtained in <strong>Phase</strong> 1 did<br />
show economic benefit from energy storage in all three technologies. The analysis was limited to<br />
the day-ahead market in <strong>Phase</strong> 1 so that real time benefits from short-term energy resources were<br />
not captured. The PLEXOS cases to be modeled in <strong>Phase</strong> 2 were defined during the <strong>Phase</strong> 1<br />
analysis.<br />
8-1
STUDY CONCLUSIONS<br />
The <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> provides valuable feedback and lessons learned about the modeling<br />
tools used (EGEAS and PLEXOS) and their suitability for assessing potential <strong>MISO</strong> benefits<br />
from energy storage. The lessons learned in <strong>Phase</strong> 1 owe a lot to the complexities that surround<br />
modeling energy storage technologies in the <strong>MISO</strong> environment.<br />
Conclusions and Recommendations<br />
<strong>Phase</strong> 1 of the <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> has allowed <strong>MISO</strong> to become familiar with challenges<br />
inherent in modeling energy storage technology in a complex nodal market with an ASM. The<br />
study group has gained a good understanding about storage modeling using EGEAS, which is the<br />
primary <strong>MISO</strong> tool for transmission resource planning.<br />
The study results demonstrate that there is economic potential for energy storage in the <strong>MISO</strong><br />
footprint. Benefits were observed in cases using both EGEAS and PLEXOS. These benefits will<br />
be explored in greater depth during <strong>Phase</strong> 2.<br />
The <strong>Phase</strong> 1 results show that EGEAS is not the right tool to properly understand energy storage<br />
potential. This was not unexpected however and the knowledge gained will illuminate the<br />
PLEXOS analysis in <strong>Phase</strong> 2.<br />
The PLEXOS experience during <strong>Phase</strong> 1 has allowed for fine-tuning the model parameters and<br />
important lessons were learned regarding storage model setup.<br />
The cases to be modeled in <strong>Phase</strong> 2 have been selected.<br />
<strong>Phase</strong> 2 of the <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> will provide richer analysis from which to make<br />
conclusions and recommendations. Considerable groundwork has been accomplished in<br />
<strong>Phase</strong> 1. This report will provide extremely useful reference material for transmission<br />
planners throughout the industry.<br />
8-2
A<br />
TECHNICAL REVIEW GROUP WORKSHOP AGENDAS<br />
AND TAKEAWAYS<br />
I would also like to add in the appendix to your report, our Technical review group agenda's and<br />
key take-aways from each meetings. Very high-level in a bullets fashion, so that we don't loose<br />
track of the stakeholder meetings we have had this year before going to <strong>Phase</strong> 2<br />
<strong>MISO</strong> <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> Workshop<br />
St. Paul, MN<br />
June 29, 2011<br />
9:00 am to 4:00 pm CPT<br />
Dial-in and WebEx information available at www.misoenergy.org<br />
Agenda<br />
Keynote Address, Principle Advisor Dale Osborne 9:00<br />
1. <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> PLEXOS <strong>Study</strong> Overview Rao Konidena 9:15<br />
2. Stored <strong>Energy</strong> Resources Overview Marc Keyser 9:30<br />
3. Manitoba Hydro Reservoir <strong>Storage</strong> Overview Manitoba Hydro 10:00<br />
Break 10:30<br />
4. Ludington Pumped <strong>Storage</strong> Overview Consumers <strong>Energy</strong> 10:45<br />
Detroit Edison<br />
5. Xcel <strong>Energy</strong> – EPRI <strong>Study</strong> Overview Xcel <strong>Energy</strong> / EPRI 11:15<br />
6. CTW <strong>Energy</strong> Development & CNA Consulting CTW <strong>Energy</strong> Dev. &<br />
Engineers <strong>Storage</strong> Overview CNA Consulting Eng. 11:45<br />
Lunch 12:15<br />
7. CMMPA <strong>Storage</strong> Overview CMMPA 1:00<br />
8. Electric Thermal <strong>Storage</strong> TM Systems - Steffes Overview Steffes Corporation 1:30<br />
9. Dynamic Power Sources TM - Xtreme Power Overview Xtreme Power 2:00<br />
10. Flywheel <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> – Beacon Power Overview Beacon Power Corp 2:30<br />
11. PLEXOS Model Overview PLEXOS Solution 3:00<br />
A-1
TECHNICAL REVIEW GROUP WORKSHOP AGENDAS AND TAKEAWAYS<br />
12. Wrap-up and Next Steps <strong>MISO</strong> 3:30<br />
13. Adjourn 4:00<br />
A-2<br />
<strong>MISO</strong> <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> Workshop<br />
Carmel, IN<br />
August 3, 2011<br />
9:00 am to 2:00 pm ET<br />
Dial-in and WebEx information available at www.misoenergy.org<br />
Agenda<br />
1. Preliminary Thoughts on EGEAS Analysis for <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>MISO</strong> 9:00<br />
2. Discussion of the Draft Scope, Comments Received All 9:30<br />
3. Lunch 12:00<br />
4. MH – <strong>Wind</strong> Hydro Synergy <strong>Study</strong> Update <strong>MISO</strong> 12:30<br />
5. Preliminary Thoughts on PLEXOS Analysis for <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>MISO</strong> 12:45<br />
6. Next Steps and Future Meeting All 1:30<br />
7. Adjourn 1:45<br />
Key Takeaways captured from <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> 1 st TRG 8/3/2011<br />
1 How is Capital construction costs of Pumped Hydro modeled?<br />
a. Upload EIA estimates for each year<br />
2 Should we go both directions with benefits to rerun EGEAS<br />
3 Does <strong>MISO</strong> study capture ramping correctly?<br />
4 When is PLEXOS going to be run, years, etc?<br />
5 Thoughts on how to model storage in EGEAS (profile etc.)<br />
6 How to model EPA coal retirements in this <strong>MISO</strong> <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong>?<br />
7 All inputs for storage options – <strong>MISO</strong> to receive feedback from TRGs<br />
8 <strong>MISO</strong> should think about two types of pumped storage: traditional and fast response<br />
9 How is the capacity credit for an energy storage unit determined?
TECHNICAL REVIEW GROUP WORKSHOP AGENDAS AND TAKEAWAYS<br />
<strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> Technical Review Group<br />
St. Paul, MN<br />
August 31, 2011<br />
12:30 to 4:30 pm CT<br />
Dial-in and WebEx information available at www.misoenergy.org<br />
Agenda<br />
1. Lunch 11:30<br />
2. Welcome and Re-cap R. Konidena 12:30<br />
3. MwH Global Perspective on Hydro Power P. Donalek 12:45<br />
4. EGEAS Draft Results D. Van Beek 1:15<br />
5. Break 2:00<br />
6. PLEXOS Simulations – Modeling Details T. Gao 2:15<br />
7. MH – <strong>Wind</strong> Hydro Synergy <strong>Study</strong> Z. Zhou 3:15<br />
8. Action Items and Next Steps 3:30<br />
9. Adjourn 3:45<br />
<strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> Technical Review Group<br />
Carmel, IN<br />
September 22, 2011<br />
9:00 am to 2:00 pm ET<br />
Dial-in and WebEx information available at www.misoenergy.org<br />
Agenda<br />
1. Introduction and Re-cap R. Konidena 9:00<br />
2. Iowa Stored <strong>Energy</strong> Park – Lessons Learned IESPA Team 9:15<br />
3. Break 10:30<br />
4. Stored <strong>Energy</strong> Resources – Examples M. Keyser 10:45<br />
5. Lunch 11:30<br />
6. Ramp Management Modeling N. Navid 12:15<br />
7. EGEAS Results – Status D. Van Beek 1:30<br />
8. Recap and Next Steps R. Konidena 1:45<br />
A-3
TECHNICAL REVIEW GROUP WORKSHOP AGENDAS AND TAKEAWAYS<br />
A-4<br />
9. Adjourn 2:00<br />
<strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> Technical Review Group<br />
St. Paul, MN<br />
October 4, 2011<br />
12:30 – 2:45 pm CT<br />
Dial-in and WebEx information available at www.misoenergy.org<br />
Agenda<br />
1. Introduction R. Konidena 12:30<br />
2. Detailed EGEAS Results D. Van Beek 12:45<br />
3. PLEXOS Model Runs – Plan J. Bakke 1:45<br />
4. <strong>Phase</strong> 1 <strong>Report</strong> Outline R. Konidena 2:15<br />
5. Recap and Next Steps R. Konidena 2:30<br />
6. Adjourn 2:45<br />
TRG Date Agenda <br />
1 st – Carmel, IN 08/03/11 Discussed scope comments, initial thoughts on EGEAS and<br />
PLEXOS Models <br />
2 nd – St Paul, MN 08/31/11 Will discuss draft EGEAS results including sensitivities <br />
3 rd – Carmel, IN 09/22/11 Scheduled to discuss complementary efforts at <strong>MISO</strong> for<br />
storage (e.g. ramp management, Look Ahead<br />
Commitment), Stored <strong>Energy</strong> Resource <br />
Workshop 10/04/11 EPRI Hydro Power Workshop <br />
4 th – St Paul, MN 10/04/11 Finalized EGEAS results, Initial draft of PLEXOS results,<br />
Final draft of report outline <br />
5 th – Carmel, IN Mid-Nov Finalized PLEXOS results, draft report
B<br />
ACRONYMS<br />
$/kW Dollars per kilowatt<br />
$/kWh Dollars per kilowatt hour<br />
ASM Ancillary Services Market<br />
Btu British Thermal Unit, heat needed to raise one pound of water, one degree<br />
Fahrenheit at sea level<br />
CAES Compressed air energy storage<br />
CC Combined cycle<br />
CO2<br />
Carbon dioxide<br />
CT Combustion turbine<br />
DA Day ahead<br />
DOE Department of <strong>Energy</strong><br />
EGEAS Electric Generation Expansion Analysis System<br />
EPRI Electric Power Research Institute<br />
FERC Federal <strong>Energy</strong> Regulatory Authority<br />
GW Gigawatt<br />
ISO Independent System Operator<br />
Kg/sec Kilograms per second<br />
kW Kilowatt<br />
kWh Kilowatthour<br />
LMP Locational Marginal Price<br />
Acronyms<br />
B-5
Acronyms<br />
MCP Marginal Clearing Price<br />
<strong>MISO</strong> Midwest ISO<br />
MW Megawatt<br />
MWH Megawatthour<br />
MMBtu million Btu<br />
MTEP <strong>MISO</strong> Transmission Expansion Planning<br />
MVP Multi-Value Project<br />
NOx<br />
B-6<br />
Nitrogen oxides<br />
PHS Pumped Hydro <strong>Storage</strong><br />
RGOS Regional Generation Outlet <strong>Study</strong><br />
RPS Renewable portfolio standards<br />
RT Real time<br />
SER Stored <strong>Energy</strong> Resource<br />
TRG Technical Review Group
C<br />
STAKEHOLDER FEEDBACK<br />
Response to<br />
<strong>MISO</strong> <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Study</strong> <strong>Phase</strong> 1 <strong>Report</strong><br />
by<br />
CTW <strong>Energy</strong> Development, LLC and CNA Consulting Engineers<br />
Prepared by Max DeLong<br />
The focus of the subject study is reiterated numerous times in the report, with explicit language,<br />
as an effort to study how to model energy storage technologies. Less noticeable is the implicit<br />
notion that energy storage technologies are simply modeled and evaluated as just another<br />
generation source. True, the <strong>MISO</strong> grid serves and manages the load/demand on the grid by<br />
supplying generation capacity. But it also provides other services to achieve grid stability, grid<br />
reliability, demand-management, and access to electric energy markets with considerable<br />
concern for the economic and environmental aspects involved.<br />
However, <strong>MISO</strong> needs to focus on the use of storage technologies for more than just energy<br />
production. <strong>Storage</strong> technologies can provide other services already considered in the portfolio<br />
of <strong>MISO</strong> offerings, and also they can provide newly defined services for the grid. <strong>Storage</strong><br />
technologies can provide:<br />
1. Demand management (i.e., provide load at a time period when generation is available to<br />
avoid stranded renewable energy);<br />
2. Consolidation of variable and intermittent wind generation for re-delivery to periods<br />
when its cost best approaches its value (night to day arbitrage);<br />
3. Co-location platforms with wind production to<br />
a. Enhance transmission reconfiguration for the renewable energy-to-market<br />
pathways;<br />
b. Retain benefits within the jurisdiction and garner sufficient revenue to the wind<br />
production region to cover costs of wind, costs of transmission system operation<br />
and improvements, and avoid outsourcing the pricing function for exported<br />
energy (i.e., energy users outside the RPS jurisdiction boundary buy high value<br />
energy at low off-peak commodity pricing); and<br />
4. A more cost effective way to balance the variable and intermittent wind energy<br />
production compared with conventional fossil power production.<br />
C-1
STAKEHOLDER FEEDBACK<br />
As substantial quantities of renewable energy come on to the grid (from policy mandates), the<br />
report recognizes that the grid does not need additional generation capacity to meet energy<br />
demand. Yet storage technologies like CAES are applied and evaluated in the report primarily as<br />
generation capacity. It is not surprising that storage capability, as basic generation is not selected<br />
in the market place. However, storage technology, strategically applied, could provide<br />
alternatives of keen interest to policy and regulator groups since objectives and quotas will have<br />
optional approaches that should allow economic comparisons.<br />
Stranded wind energy should be used for charging and not simply dumped (potential for<br />
recovery of 15-20% of wind potential based on <strong>MISO</strong> data). When wind energy is not available<br />
for charging CAES, then the use of additional energy from must-run capacity will be available at<br />
just the incremental variable and fuel costs. The carbon emission impacts of utilizing CAES will<br />
be less than the use of conventional fossil generation for balancing.<br />
Further studies of storage technologies by <strong>MISO</strong> should incorporate the following features:<br />
A. A more precise representation of the grid load duration curve information ( report, Fig. 6-<br />
3) that include:<br />
a. The amount of must-run capacity for grid reliability, stability and response;<br />
b. The distribution of wind capacity (other than an annual-average) for the duration<br />
depicted that reveals stranded and undervalued wind energy that represent<br />
opportunities for CAES applications for extraction and redelivery of energy;<br />
B. An analysis of transmission system reconfiguration approaches that would benefit from<br />
CAES facility co-location with wind production;<br />
C. An analysis of how CAES facilities enable RPS jurisdictions to achieve energy<br />
penetration goals, (vs. the situation where stranded wind energy would prohibit reaching<br />
those goals);<br />
A full display of the <strong>MISO</strong> generation platform for the various runs and combinations. <strong>Wind</strong><br />
energy is being accommodated in all these runs, and the new generation capacity required, the<br />
old generating capacity being shed, the wind energy import/export amounts, the transmission<br />
systems losses all need to be considered and revealed to enable judgment of CAES and<br />
conventional generation balancing requirements for achieving grid operation objectives and<br />
political and regulatory policy goals.<br />
C-2
Comments and clarifications from Matthew Schuerger<br />
Matthew J. Schuerger, P.E.<br />
<strong>Energy</strong> Systems Consulting Services, LLC<br />
651-699-4971 (office)<br />
STAKEHOLDER FEEDBACK<br />
Thank you for the opportunity to review and comment on the draft <strong>MISO</strong> <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Storage</strong> <strong>Phase</strong> I<br />
<strong>Report</strong>.<br />
There are several errors in the draft report regarding the technical characterization of wind<br />
generation and how it works technically in the context of the power system.<br />
1. Page v and Page 1-2, last sentence of the second paragraph states: "<strong>Wind</strong> generation is also<br />
variable and has to be carefully balanced with conventional resources in order to maintain system<br />
reliability."<br />
It is correct to state that wind generation is variable. It is not correct to state that wind generation<br />
"has to be carefully balanced with conventional resources in order to maintain system<br />
reliability." We do not balance any individual resources (or classes of resources) on the system.<br />
In order to maintain system reliability, controllable resources must carefully balance net<br />
variability on the power system. This is often referred to as net load and is the net of variability<br />
due to load, Net Scheduled Interchange, wind generation, and conventional resources (e.g.<br />
sudden outages and/or failure to follow dispatch of conventional resources). Increasing wind<br />
generation on a system will increase the variability of the system but it is the overall net<br />
variability that must be balanced; this is done with both controllable supply resources and with<br />
controllable load resources. Key references which describe this issue include <strong>MISO</strong>'s white<br />
paper Ramp Capability for Load Following in the <strong>MISO</strong> Markets (July 2011) and the<br />
International <strong>Energy</strong> Agency's Harnessing Variable Renewables, A Guide to the Balancing<br />
Challenge (June 2011).<br />
This sentence (last sentence of the second paragraph on Page v and on Page 1-2) should be<br />
corrected by replacing it with "<strong>Wind</strong> generation is variable and, along with load, Net Scheduled<br />
Interchange, and conventional resources, adds to the variability of the power system. The overall<br />
net variability of the system must be carefully balanced in order to maintain system reliability."<br />
Or, "and has to be carefully balance with conventional resources in order to maintain system<br />
reliability" should be deleted.<br />
2. Page 2-2, second to last sentence of the second full paragraph states: "Adding large wind<br />
generation quantities to the system increases the instability because wind is not dispatchable and<br />
is variable over time." The preceding sentence states: "With the coal fleet reduced, the overall<br />
system becomes less stableS". The following sentence states: "The net result is an increase in<br />
the need for ancillary services such as regulation and contingency."<br />
It is not correct to state that "Adding large wind generation quantities to the system increases the<br />
instability because wind is not dispatchable and is variable over time." <strong>Wind</strong> turbine technology<br />
and capabilities have significantly matured and developed over recent years. The majority of<br />
wind turbines being installed currently and in coming years are Type 3 (doubly fed asynchronous<br />
generator) and Type 4 (full converter interface - asynchronous or synchronous generator).<br />
Modern wind turbines can now contribute to the reliability of the grid by offering the following<br />
C-3
STAKEHOLDER FEEDBACK<br />
capabilities: Voltage and var control and regulation, Fault ride through, Real power control,<br />
ramping, and curtailment, Primary frequency regulation, Inertia response, and Short circuit duty<br />
control. Key references which describe this issue include: IEEE PES's Balancing Act, NERC's<br />
Integration of Variable Generation Task Force (Lauby et al, November/December 2011) and<br />
NREL's Operating Reserves and Variable Generation (August 2011).<br />
This sentence (second to last sentence of the second full paragraph on Page 2-2) should be<br />
corrected by replacing it with "Although wind generation is variable over time, modern wind<br />
turbines can contribute to the reliability of the grid (e.g. by offering Voltage and var control and<br />
regulation, Fault ride through, Real power control, ramping, and curtailment, Primary frequency<br />
regulation, Inertia response, and Short circuit duty control)." Or, the sentence should be deleted.<br />
Also, it is misleading to state that "With the coal fleet reduced, the overall system becomes less<br />
stableS" and "The net result is an increase in the need for ancillary servicesS". Whether or not<br />
the system becomes less stable when the coal fleet is reduced depends on a number of factors<br />
including the characteristics of replacement resources (both supply side and demand side<br />
resources), the robustness of the regional and local transmission systems, and the market rules<br />
which can either facilitate or constrain access to existing system flexibility.<br />
The preceding sentence (third to the last sentence of the second full paragraph on Page 2-2)<br />
should be clarified / corrected by replacing it with "With the coal fleet reduced, the system must<br />
be carefully studied to determine whether there are system stability concerns." Or, the sentence<br />
should be deleted. The following sentence (last sentence of the second full paragraph on Page 2-<br />
2) should be clarified by replacing it with "The net result could be an increase in the need for<br />
ancillary services."<br />
These corrections and clarifications are important because, as we have discussed numerous times<br />
in the TRG meetings, this is a study of the potential benefits of storage to the <strong>MISO</strong> system.<br />
C-4