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Environmental protection Process engineering Plant ... - DGE GmbH

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Why biogas?<br />

App. 3<br />

Nobody can tell exactly how large are the reserves that fossil energy bearers hold in store,<br />

and nobody can predict how these reserves will be consumed over time in the future. After<br />

all, it is entirely up to us, whether we consume a lot of energy or a little. The prospects, however,<br />

are such that the world consumption will be rising rather than falling. Enhanced industrialization<br />

is under way particularly in Asia and South America.<br />

It is possible to easily predict the statistical outlook for the reserves, well known to us. At the<br />

current rate of consumption, we must count on running out of petroleum and natural gas<br />

within the course of the next 40 to 50 years. Although there are reserves available for another<br />

extra 10 years, the problem remains the same. Shall the rate of consumption keep on<br />

rising, the reserves could be depleted earlier than expected. The supplies of petroleum are<br />

being reduced long before they are expected to be used up. The process of extracting petroleum<br />

will be getting more difficult and more expensive as well. That, in turn, will lead to a<br />

substantial increase in prices, and under certain circumstances, even to fights over how the<br />

reserves will be divided.<br />

Since there is still a lot of time available for the implementation of a change in the energysupply<br />

structure, it is the right time to consider the possible alternatives.<br />

The graphical representation of the statistical outlook for petroleum, gas and coal. (1994)<br />

Source: www.hyweb.de

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