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Allana Potash Corp.<br />
Management’s Discussion and Analysis<br />
For the three months ended October 31, 2012<br />
ALLANA POTASH CORP.<br />
Management’s Discussion & Analysis<br />
For the three months ended October 31, 2012<br />
The following Management’s Discussion and Analysis (“MD&A”) relates to the financial condition and<br />
results of operations of Allana Potash Corp. (“we”, “our”, “us”, “Allana”, or the “Company”) for the three<br />
months ended October 31, 2012 and should be read in conjunction with the unaudited interim consolidated<br />
financial statements and related notes for the three months ended October 31, 2012. The unaudited interim<br />
consolidated financial statements and related notes of Allana have been prepared in accordance with<br />
International Financial Reporting Standards (“IFRS”). Certain non-IFRS measures are discussed in this<br />
MD&A which are clearly disclosed as such. Additional information, including our press releases, have<br />
been filed electronically through the System for Electronic Document Analysis and Retrieval (“SEDAR”)<br />
and are available online under our profile at www.sedar.com.<br />
This MD&A reports our activities through to December 14, 2012 unless otherwise indicated.<br />
References to the first quarter of 2013 and the first quarter of 2012 or Q1 2013 and Q1 2012 mean the three<br />
months ended October 31, 2012 and October 31, 2011 respectively.<br />
Unless otherwise noted all amounts are reported in Canadian dollars.<br />
Peter MacLean, Ph.D., P.Geo, Senior Vice President, Exploration of the Company, is a Qualified Person as<br />
defined under National Instrument 43-101 and has reviewed and approved the technical information<br />
disclosed in the MD&A.<br />
CAUTIONARY STATEMENTS<br />
Except for statements of historical fact relating to Allana, certain information contained herein constitutes<br />
‘‘forward-looking information’’ under Canadian securities legislation. Forward-looking information<br />
includes, but is not limited to, statements with respect to the development potential of the Company’s<br />
properties; the future price of potash and other minerals; the estimation of mineral reserves and mineral<br />
resources; conclusions of economic evaluation; the realization of mineral reserve estimates; the timing and<br />
amount of estimated future production; future costs of production; future capital expenditures; success of<br />
exploration activities; mining or processing issues; currency exchange rates; government regulation of<br />
mining operations; and environmental risks. Generally, forward-looking information can be identified by<br />
the use of forward-looking terminology such as ‘‘plans’’, ‘‘expects’’ or ‘‘does not expect’’, ‘‘is expected’’,<br />
‘‘budget’’, ‘‘scheduled’’, ‘‘estimates’’, ‘‘forecasts’’, ‘‘intends’’, ‘‘anticipates’’ or ‘‘does not anticipate’’, or<br />
‘‘believes’’, or variations of such words and phrases or statements that certain actions, events or results<br />
‘‘may’’, ‘‘could’’, ‘‘would’’, ‘‘might’’ or ‘‘will be taken’’, ‘‘occur’’ or ‘‘be achieved’’. Forward-looking<br />
statements are based on the opinions and estimates of management as of the date such statements are<br />
made. Estimates regarding the anticipated timing, amount and expenditures relating to the Ethiopian and<br />
Argentinean Projects are based on assumptions of underlying mineral reserve and mineral resource<br />
estimates, the results of feasibility and scoping studies on the properties and the realization of such<br />
estimates are set out herein. Capital and operating cost estimates are based on extensive research of the<br />
Company, costs incurred at the projects to date, purchase orders placed by the Company to date, recent<br />
estimates of construction and mining costs and other factors that are set out herein. Production estimates<br />
are based on mine plans and production schedules, which have been developed by the Company’s<br />
personnel and independent consultants. Forward-looking statements are subject to known and unknown<br />
risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause the actual results, level of activity, performance or<br />
achievements of the Company to be materially different from those expressed or implied by such forwardlooking<br />
statements, including but not limited to risks related to: unexpected events and delays during<br />
construction, expansion and start-up; variations in mineral grade and recovery rates; delay or failure to<br />
receive government approvals; timing and availability of external financing on acceptable terms; actual<br />
1
Allana Potash Corp.<br />
Management’s Discussion and Analysis<br />
For the three months ended October 31, 2012<br />
results of current exploration activities; changes in project parameters as plans continue to be refined;<br />
future prices of potash and other minerals; failure of plant, equipment or processes to operate as<br />
anticipated; accidents, labour disputes and other risks of the mining industry. Although management of the<br />
Company has attempted to identify important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially<br />
from those contained in forward-looking information, there may be other factors that cause results not to be<br />
as anticipated, estimated or intended. There can be no assurance that such statements will prove to be<br />
accurate, as actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such<br />
statements. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking information. The<br />
Company does not undertake to update any forward-looking information, except in accordance with<br />
applicable securities laws.<br />
The ability of Allana to produce one million tones of potash per year or to increase production beyond one<br />
million tones per year has not been the subject of a feasibility study and there is no certainty that the<br />
production rate or proposed expansion will be economically viable.<br />
The PEA is preliminary in nature and is based on a number of assumptions that may be changed in the<br />
future as additional information becomes available. Mineral resources that are not mineral reserves do not<br />
have demonstrated economic viability. The PEA includes inferred mineral resources that are considered<br />
too speculative geologically to have the economic considerations applied to them that would enable them to<br />
be categorized as mineral reserves, and there is no certainty that the PEA will be realized. The PEA is not<br />
based on and has not been amended to reflect the updated resource estimates published by the Corporation<br />
on April 30, 2012.<br />
OVERVIEW OF THE COMPANY<br />
Allana is a potash exploration company listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange (“TSX”) trading under the<br />
ticker symbol “AAA”. On January 13, 2010, the shareholders of the Company approved a name change<br />
from Allana Resources Inc. to Allana Potash Corp. to better reflect the nature of the Company. The<br />
Company is focused on the exploration and development of its previously explored Dallol Potash Project,<br />
located in the Danakil Depression, Ethiopia, one of the largest evaporite basins in the world. The Company<br />
also has a grass roots property in Argentina which is located near the Vale’s Rio Colorado potash solution<br />
mining project.<br />
The mineral exploration business is risky and most exploration projects will not become mines. The<br />
Company may offer an opportunity to a mining company to acquire an interest in a property in return for<br />
funding all or part of the exploration and development of the property. For the funding of property<br />
acquisitions and exploration that the Company conducts, the Company depends on the issue of shares from<br />
the treasury to investors. These stock issues depend on numerous factors including a positive mineral<br />
exploration environment, positive stock market conditions, a company’s track record and the experience of<br />
management.<br />
The Company’s unaudited condensed interim consolidated financial statements have been prepared in<br />
accordance with IFRS applicable to a going concern. Accordingly, they do not give effect to adjustments<br />
that would be necessary should the Company be unable to continue as a going concern and therefore be<br />
required to realize its assets and liquidate its liabilities and commitments in other than the normal course of<br />
business and at amounts different from those in consolidated financial statements.<br />
2
STRATEGY<br />
Allana Potash Corp.<br />
Management’s Discussion and Analysis<br />
For the three months ended October 31, 2012<br />
Allana is a junior mining company focused on potash exploration and development in Ethiopia and<br />
Argentina.<br />
Management’s objective for the Company is to transform Allana into one of the leading emerging potash<br />
exploration and development companies outside of the major potash regions in Canada and Russia.<br />
Allana has investigated open pit mining and solution mining at Dallol in the south-western portion of the<br />
claim block with processing using solar evaporation and flotation through a Preliminary Economic<br />
Assessment (“PEA”), of which a summary of such results was released November 22, 2011. The complete<br />
PEA was posted on SEDAR on January 16, 2012. A Feasibility Study (“FS”) is currently underway<br />
focusing on solution mining of the Sylvinite Member to produce 1 Million Tonnes per Year of Muriate of<br />
Potash (“MOP”) and completion of the FS is expected in beginning of 2013.<br />
Allana has conducted drilling and seismic programs in the last eighteen months. In March 2011, Allana<br />
engaged Ercosplan Ingenieurgesellschaft Geotechnik und Bergbau mbH (“Ercosplan”) to complete an<br />
updated mineral resource estimate on its Dallol Potash Project based on the Company’s drilling<br />
information. This estimate was completed in June 2011 (the ”Technical Report”) and comprised Measured<br />
and Indicated Mineral Resources totaling 673 Million tonnes grading 18.65% KCl and Inferred Mineral<br />
Resources totaling 596 Million tonnes grading 19.96% KCl (see News Release dated June 20, 2011 and<br />
page 10 of the Technical Report). In September 2011, Allana engaged Ercosplan to complete the FS for the<br />
project based on annual production of 1,000,000 tonnes per year (“TPY”) of MOP production. The initial<br />
phase of the FS was to determine, via a PEA, the optimal mining and processing methods for the potash<br />
deposits. In August 2011, the Company retained Environmental Resources Management (“ERM”) to<br />
complete an Environmental and Social Impact Assessment (“ESIA”) for the project in conjunction with the<br />
FS. In November 2011, the Company engaged Fugro Consult GmbH (“Fugro”) to perform a Hydrogeological<br />
investigation on its Danakil property in Ethiopia as a part of the Feasibility Study.<br />
In April 2012, Allana announced an updated NI 43-101 compliant mineral resource estimate based on over<br />
40 drillholes completed by Allana and 16 historic drill holes completed by Ralph M. Parsons Company<br />
(”Parsons”) as well as the seismic data. This mineral resource estimate, completed by Ercosplan, includes<br />
Measured and Indicated Minerals Resources of 1,297,529,000 tonnes grading 19.32% KCl and an<br />
additional Inferred Mineral Resource of 588,150,000 tonnes of 18.56% KCl. The foregoing mineral<br />
resource estimates are effective April 30, 2012. For more information with respect to data verification and<br />
parameters and risks, please refer to the technical report, supporting this updated mineral resource estimate,<br />
which was filed on SEDAR on June 13, 2012.<br />
The Company plans to raise its required project financing through debt and equity. It is intended that the<br />
equity will come from existing and new strategic investors. The Company also intends to secure supporting<br />
offtake agreements.<br />
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND OPERATIONAL OVERVIEW:<br />
Allana continued exploration and development of its Danakil Depression potash project in Ethiopia during<br />
the period ended October 31, 2012.<br />
During the three months ended October 31, 2012 and to the date of this MD&A the following significant<br />
activities occurred:<br />
� On November 1, 2012, the Company announced that it has closed a definitive agreement (the<br />
“Merger Agreement”) to acquire all of the issued and outstanding common shares of Nova-Ethio<br />
Potash Corporation (“Nova”), a private company, which indirectly holds a 100% interest in a potash<br />
3
Allana Potash Corp.<br />
Management’s Discussion and Analysis<br />
For the three months ended October 31, 2012<br />
license adjacent to the Company’s potash project in the Danakil Depression in Ethiopia (the “Nova<br />
Property”).<br />
� Pursuant to the terms of the Normal Course Issuer Bid (“NCIB”), and in accordance with the policies<br />
of the TSX, during the period ended October 31, 2012, the Company purchased 1,719,400 common<br />
shares pursuant to the block purchase exception. These shares were cancelled on November 1, 2012<br />
(see Other and Subsequent events sections).<br />
� On September 11, 2012, the Company announced that it has signed a Memorandum of Understanding<br />
(“MOU”) for the development and operation of a potash terminal at the Tadjourah Port to be<br />
constructed by the Djibouti Port and Free Zones Authority (“DPFZA”). The MOU defines the terms<br />
and intent of the parties regarding:<br />
o specific allocation and use of lands within Tadjourah Port for the Company’s potash terminal;<br />
o integration of designs, construction plans and operating plans for the Company’s potash terminal;<br />
o services to be provided by DPFZA to the Company at the Tadjourah port; and<br />
o co-operation in advancing discussions and agreements with governments regarding regulatory,<br />
import/export and other sovereign terms, and completion of road and rail infrastructure serving<br />
Tadjourah Port in time to meet the operational needs of DPFZA and the Company.<br />
� The Company continued talks with a number of potential strategic partners regarding strategic<br />
investment, a joint venture and/or other potential structures for its Danakil Depression potash project.<br />
Danakil Depression Properties, Dallol area, Afar Region, Ethiopia<br />
On October 24, 2008, as subsequently amended, the Company entered into an acquisition agreement to<br />
purchase a 100% interest in three mineral concessions with the potential to host potash deposits in the<br />
Danakil Depression Afar region, Ethiopia from SB Management, Forbes & Manhattan Inc. and Ethio-Gibe.<br />
As consideration for the property, the Company agreed to an aggregate of $2,500,000 in cash payments<br />
which were completed in 2011.<br />
The vendors have retained an aggregate of 3.0% net smelter return royalty on the property (the “NSR”).<br />
The Company has the option, exercisable at any time, to buyout 50% of the NSR (thereby reducing the<br />
NSR to 1.5%) for $5,000,000.<br />
At the time of the transaction, both Forbes & Manhattan Inc. and SB Management were non-arms-length<br />
parties to the transaction as a result of an insider of each, being a 10% shareholder of Allana. This<br />
shareholding has been subsequently diluted and both Forbes & Manhattan Inc. and SB Management are no<br />
longer non-arms length to Allana. During 2010, the president of Ethio-Gibe became an officer of the<br />
Company.<br />
In July 2011, following the completion of all conditions pursuant to the acquisition agreements and as per<br />
Company’s policy, licenses were transferred to Allana Potash Afar PLC (“Allana Afar”), a wholly owned<br />
subsidiary of the Company registered in Ethiopia. The exploration licenses were consolidated into one<br />
license which is valid until July 18, 2014 and may be extended twice for an additional term of one year<br />
each, subject to the terms of the licenses.<br />
On October 12, 2010, subsequently amended on January 19, 2011 and on April 5, 2012, the Company<br />
entered into an agreement with Haro Petroleum Corporation, a private company operating in Ethiopia, to<br />
acquire a 100% interest in the Haro concession, a potash mining license within the greater Allana land<br />
package. The Haro concession is approximately 11 km 2 and is located between the Sainik mining and<br />
exploration concessions. The Haro concession has no historic drill holes but occupies a strategic location<br />
between the historic Musley Deposit and the Crescent Carnallite deposit. In addition, the concession is<br />
4
Allana Potash Corp.<br />
Management’s Discussion and Analysis<br />
For the three months ended October 31, 2012<br />
approximately one kilometre from Allana drill holes DK-10-02 and DK-10-03 which returned 5.5 metres of<br />
25.8 % KCl and 9.95 metres of 19.5 % KCl respectively (see Press Releases dated June 15, 2010 and July<br />
7, 2010).<br />
As consideration for the Haro Property, the Company agreed to an aggregate of $4,000,000 in cash<br />
payments as set out below:<br />
� $500,000 as a deposit on or before January 31, 2011 (paid January 28, 2011); and<br />
� $3,500,000 on or before closing date (paid April 18, 2012);<br />
This acquisition was completed on April 18, 2012 and the underlying exploration license was transferred to<br />
Allana Potash Afar PLC. The exploration license is valid until July 22, 2013 and may be extended twice for<br />
an additional term of one year each, subject to the terms of the licenses. Upon closing, the Company paid<br />
$200,000 finder’s fee to an arm’s length party.<br />
The Danakil Depression potash project is located in one of the largest evaporite basins in the world<br />
comparable to the evaporite basins in Saskatchewan and the Urals, Russia. The entire Danakil Depression<br />
was extensively explored in the 1950’s and 1960’s. The US-based Ralph Parsons Company (“Parsons”)<br />
drilled nearly 300 potash holes in the 1960’s.<br />
The Company’s land position consists of one concession totalling approximately 157 square kilometres<br />
surrounding the historic Musley Deposit. The Houston Formation, host to the potash-bearing horizons,<br />
extends on to the Company concessions and sixteen historic drill holes are located on the concessions.<br />
In June 2011, Ercosplan completed an updated National Instrument 43-101 (“NI 43-101”) compliant<br />
mineral resource estimate, based primarily on Company exploration efforts but also including some<br />
Parsons data. The Measured and Indicated Mineral Resources for the project as at June 20, 2011 are<br />
approximately 673 million tonnes grading 18.65% KCl. The Inferred Mineral Resources for the project as<br />
at June 20, 2011 are approximately 596 million tonnes grading 19.96% KCl (See News Release dated June<br />
20, 2011).<br />
In April 2012, Allana announced an updated resource estimate based on over 40 drillholes completed by<br />
Allana and 16 historic drill holes completed by Parsons as well as the seismic data. This mineral resource<br />
estimate includes Measured and Indicated Minerals Resources of 1,297,529,000 tonnes grading 19.32%<br />
KCl and an additional Inferred Mineral Resource of 588,150,000 tonnes of 18.56% KCl and was completed<br />
by Ercosplan. The technical report, supporting this updated mineral resource estimate, was filed on<br />
SEDAR on June 13, 2012.<br />
The climate of the Danakil Depression may allow Allana to use solar evaporation for the solution mining<br />
method. As part of the ongoing FS test solution mining caverns and evaporation ponds are being<br />
constructed to determine the nature of the salt product derived from solar evaporation. The use of solar<br />
evaporation instead of thermal evaporation using natural gas, coal, etc. will significantly lower operating<br />
expenses of the potential future potash mine.<br />
On November 1, 2012 Allana completed its acquisition of the Nova. Nova Property is located west of the<br />
main Allana exploration license. Exploration on the Nova license has been ongoing since 2011 and 21 drill<br />
holes totalling 2122 metres of drilling have been completed. Drill hole locations and survey information are<br />
outlined in Table 1.<br />
5
Table 1. Nova drill hole locations.<br />
Allana Potash Corp.<br />
Management’s Discussion and Analysis<br />
For the three months ended October 31, 2012<br />
Hole-ID Easting Northing Elevation (m) Depth (m) Azimuth Dip<br />
DM-11-01 626572.00 1581111.00 -109.00 134.00 0 -90<br />
DM-11-02 627128.00 1580866.00 -109.00 110.00 0 -90<br />
DM-11-03 627229.00 1580402.00 -109.00 132.00 0 -90<br />
DM-11-04 629956.00 1575672.00 -109.00 84.45 0 -90<br />
DM-11-05 630944.00 1574293.00 -109.00 81.65 0 -90<br />
DM-11-06 630416.00 1575172.00 -109.00 87.60 0 -90<br />
DM-11-07 629413.00 1576755.00 -109.00 90.40 0 -90<br />
DM-11-08 627882.00 1579930.00 -109.00 96.70 0 -90<br />
DM-12-09 627499.00 1580459.00 -109.00 105.40 0 -90<br />
DM-12-10 631305.00 1573139.00 -109.00 90.65 0 -90<br />
DM-12-11 628938.00 1575259.00 -109.00 108.50 0 -90<br />
DM-12-12 631632.00 1571965.00 -109.00 71.10 0 -90<br />
DM-12-13 629937.00 1574983.00 -109.00 102.45 0 -90<br />
DM-12-14 632176.00 1571176.00 -109.00 64.80 0 -90<br />
DM-12-15 638407.00 1563782.00 -120.00 127.60 0 -90<br />
DM-12-16 637402.00 1563518.00 -120.00 86.00 0 -90<br />
DM-12-17 637837.00 1562531.00 -120.00 82.85 0 -90<br />
DM-12-18 630929.00 1572984.00 -109.00 99.30 0 -90<br />
DM-12-19 639068.00 1562585.00 -120.00 163.00 0 -90<br />
DM-12-20 631776.00 1570900.00 -109.00 81.30 0 -90<br />
DM-12-21 628402.00 1578946.00 -109.00 121.85 0 -90<br />
Nova drilling was concentrated on the western portion of its license and the program was designed to<br />
delineate extensions of the Musley Deposit as well as outline the limits of the evaporite basin. Generally<br />
Nova intersected similar stratigraphy to drilling on the Allana license and intersected potash in most holes<br />
(see Table 2). All holes were drilled vertically and true widths of the potash zones are estimated to be very<br />
similar to drilled widths due to the flat-lying nature of the potash horizons.<br />
6
Table 2. Nova drill hole results<br />
Allana Potash Corp.<br />
Management’s Discussion and Analysis<br />
For the three months ended October 31, 2012<br />
HOLE FROM (m) TO (m) DRILLED WIDTH (m) KCl (%) ZONE<br />
DM-11-01 95.30<br />
DM-11-02 84.85<br />
DM-11-03 86.50<br />
DM-11-04 61.65<br />
67.75<br />
DM-11-05 62.89<br />
DM-11-06 52.04<br />
67.40<br />
DM-11-07 76.16<br />
DM-11-08 61.20<br />
68.96<br />
77.45<br />
81.70<br />
DM-12-09 76.40<br />
86.20<br />
DM-12-10 60.15<br />
DM-12-11 NSV<br />
65.65<br />
73.90<br />
DM-12-12 54.72<br />
DM-12-13 NSV<br />
56.82<br />
DM-12-14 33.70<br />
41.20<br />
DM-12-15 69.25<br />
104.12<br />
DM-12-16 57.60<br />
61.90<br />
DM-12-17 65.28<br />
DM-12-18 77.32<br />
DM-12-19 NSV<br />
DM-12-20 NSV<br />
DM-12-21 NSV<br />
(NSV-No Significant Values)<br />
Exploration Program 2010-2012<br />
99.87<br />
93.90<br />
89.45<br />
62.60<br />
73.95<br />
69.65<br />
57.91<br />
77.10<br />
78.68<br />
68.96<br />
70.89<br />
81.70<br />
90.22<br />
78.60<br />
98.80<br />
65.65<br />
72.25<br />
80.90<br />
56.42<br />
64.82<br />
35.20<br />
50.20<br />
102.95<br />
108.12<br />
58.60<br />
69.40<br />
66.60<br />
78.42<br />
Allana’s exploration program began in April 2010 and has been ongoing. To date 59 drill holes have been<br />
completed, and the results for 59 holes have been released. The Company has completed approximately<br />
26,000 metres of drilling and Table 3 provides survey data for the drill holes completed on the project.<br />
Table 4 outlines selected drill results and Figure 1 shows drill hole locations.<br />
In addition to completing exploration drill holes, the Company completed approximately 48 kilometres of<br />
2D seismic work on the southern portion of its property.<br />
Allana engaged Meridian Drilling to complete 10,000 metres of additional drilling on its Ethiopian potash<br />
project. This drilling is in addition to the Phase I program (2500 meters - 3000 meters) and has been part of<br />
the overall program announced by the Company in its presentations and other public communications. The<br />
drilling is being done in conjunction with 2D seismic and down-hole geophysical surveys and is part of the<br />
7<br />
4.57<br />
9.05<br />
1.95<br />
0.95<br />
6.20<br />
6.76<br />
5.87<br />
9.70<br />
2.52<br />
7.76<br />
1.93<br />
4.25<br />
8.52<br />
2.20<br />
12.60<br />
5.50<br />
6.60<br />
7.00<br />
1.68<br />
8.00<br />
1.50<br />
9.00<br />
33.70<br />
4.00<br />
1.00<br />
7.50<br />
1.32<br />
1.10<br />
-<br />
13.40<br />
-<br />
14.47<br />
19.40<br />
18.30<br />
23.00<br />
15.50<br />
14.70<br />
25.00<br />
17.90<br />
13.20<br />
16.20<br />
27.00<br />
15.20<br />
33.70<br />
21.00<br />
17.40<br />
28.47<br />
17.38<br />
21.80<br />
15.90<br />
7.60<br />
18.30<br />
27.70<br />
18.30<br />
9.90<br />
6.50<br />
NSV<br />
KAIN<br />
NSV<br />
SYL<br />
KAIN<br />
KAIN<br />
SYL<br />
KAIN<br />
SYL<br />
SYL<br />
UC<br />
LC<br />
KAIN<br />
SYL<br />
KAIN<br />
SYL<br />
UC<br />
KAIN<br />
SYL<br />
KAIN<br />
SYL<br />
KAIN<br />
UC<br />
KAIN<br />
SYL<br />
KAIN<br />
KAIN<br />
KAIN
Allana Potash Corp.<br />
Management’s Discussion and Analysis<br />
For the three months ended October 31, 2012<br />
Phase II drilling program designed to establish sufficient resource to support a feasibility study. A second<br />
drill rig and equipment capable of drilling to a depth of 800 metres was mobilized out of the UK. The<br />
exploration drilling program has ended with the completion of Hole DK-12-59. Drill hole location data are<br />
shown in Table 3 and drill results for holes DK-10-01 to DK-12-59 shown in Table 4.<br />
Drilling by the Company has confirmed the widespread presence of potash mineralization in the basin.<br />
Geological interpretations based on core logging and down-hole geophysical testing indicates 4 potash<br />
horizons are typically present. The most widespread of these is the Kainitite Zone, which is present in<br />
almost every drill hole, averages approximately 7 metres in thickness and typically yields 20% KCl. The<br />
Kainitite Zone forms the basal potash horizon and is overlain in some areas by a Lower Carnallitite Zone<br />
and an Upper Carnallitite Zone. These two zones are locally prominent but are not as widespread as the<br />
Kainitite Zone. Overlying the Upper Carnallitite Zone is the Sylvinite Zone which averages approximately<br />
4 metres in thickness and grades about 30% KCl. This unit is fairly widespread and may reach grades of up<br />
to 52% KCl.<br />
Below is the terminology being used to describe mineral composition and grades in this MD&A:<br />
Name Chemical Formula<br />
Halite NaCl<br />
Sylvite KCl<br />
Carnallite KMgCl 3 x 6 H 2O<br />
Bischofite MgCL 2 x 6 H 2O<br />
Anhydrite CaSO 4<br />
Kieserite MgSO 4 x H 2O<br />
Dolomite CaMg(CO 3) 2<br />
Kainite 4KMg(SO 4)Cl x 11H 2O<br />
In June 2011, Ercosplan completed a mineral resource estimate update based on the first 23 drill holes<br />
completed by the Company and historic drill results (see below). Drilling continued throughout 2011 and<br />
2012 to expand the potash resources and to increase the confidence level of the mineral resources such that<br />
Inferred resources can be re-classified as Measured and Indicated. In April 2012 Ercosplan completed an<br />
updated mineral resource estimate based on 45 drill holes completed by Allana and 16 historic drill holes<br />
(see below).<br />
In August 2010, Allana engaged Tesla-IMC International Ltd. to complete approximately 48 kilometres of<br />
surface 2D seismic surveys on the property. The 2D survey was completed on November 29, 2010 and<br />
preliminary interpretative data was presented to Allana in March 2011. As drilling continued through the<br />
spring interpretations were optimized and a final interpretation report was presented to the Company in July<br />
2011. A follow-up report with updated interpretation based on additional drilling was presented to the<br />
Company in February 2012.<br />
Exploration work on the Nova exploration license was initiated in November, 2012. To date 6 holes have<br />
been completed on the southern portion of the license. Geological logging and sampling of the core are in<br />
progress and samples will be shipped to the SRC lab in Saskatoon for analysis.<br />
8
Table 3. Drill hole locations.<br />
Allana Potash Corp.<br />
Management’s Discussion and Analysis<br />
For the three months ended October 31, 2012<br />
Hole-ID Easting Northing Elevation (m) Depth (m) Azimuth Dip<br />
DK-10-01 631596.10 1576205.40 -118.20 194.40 0 -90<br />
DK-10-02 632523.80 1576812.70 -122.20 190.80 0 -90<br />
DK-10-03 632547.20 1576199.40 -122.20 207.70 0 -90<br />
DK-10-04 640242.10 1569994.90 -124.10 842.00 0 -90<br />
DK-10-05 641131.20 1568050.00 -124.20 680.50 0 -90<br />
DK-10-06 639136.60 1567358.40 -124.10 585.00 0 -90<br />
DK-10-07 633090.80 1575846.30 -122.60 236.30 0 -90<br />
DK-10-08 636773.10 1568999.00 -121.70 200.30 0 -90<br />
DK-10-09 634888.50 1575114.30 -123.50 242.30 0 -90<br />
DK-10-10 635961.10 1571869.80 -123.00 368.00 0 -90<br />
DK-10-11 637884.00 1565527.70 -122.50 164.20 0 -90<br />
DK-10-12 638460.40 1569703.50 -123.40 587.30 0 -90<br />
DK-10-13 635538.90 1573066.00 -123.20 378.20 0 -90<br />
DK-10-14 634438.00 1569211.00 -121.00 173.20 0 -90<br />
DK-11-15 635271.00 1574122.00 -123.40 393.30 0 -90<br />
DK-11-16 635887.60 1568619.60 -120.60 201.20 0 -90<br />
DK-11-17 636601.00 1565006.00 -120.00 118.20 0 -90<br />
DK-11-18 636336.00 1566263.00 -120.00 116.20 0 -90<br />
DK-11-19 639400.00 1566098.00 -120.00 663.50 0 -90<br />
DK-11-20 645997.00 1568863.00 -123.00 497.10 0 -90<br />
DK-11-21 647691.00 1566602.00 -116.00 509.20 0 -90<br />
DK-11-22 644258.00 1570781.00 -110.00 501.60 0 -90<br />
DK-11-23 644871.00 1569639.00 -110.00 533.40 0 -90<br />
DK-11-24 637466.00 1567150.00 -120.00 215.60 0 -90<br />
DK-11-25 637122.00 1566072.00 -120.00 188.60 0 -90<br />
DK-11-26 635975.00 1567340.00 -120.00 194.30 0 -90<br />
DK-11-27 635025.00 1572995.00 -120.00 281.40 0 -90<br />
DK-11-28 634398.00 1574069.00 -120.00 290.60 0 -90<br />
DK-11-29 634056.00 1575166.00 -118.00 254.50 0 -90<br />
DK-11-30 635273.00 1571704.00 -118.00 240.20 0 -90<br />
DK-11-31 634863.00 1570169.00 -116.00 117.20 0 -90<br />
DK-11-32 635293.00 1570819.00 -120.00 231.20 0 -90<br />
DK-11-33 636731.00 1571010.00 -118.00 507.00 0 -90<br />
DK-11-34 635959.00 1569851.00 -119.00 243.10 0 -90<br />
DK-11-35 636912.00 1568028.00 -119.00 197.20 0 -90<br />
DK-11-36 637661.00 1564383.00 -119.00 116.30 0 -90<br />
9
Table 3. Drill hole locations (Continued).<br />
Allana Potash Corp.<br />
Management’s Discussion and Analysis<br />
For the three months ended October 31, 2012<br />
Hole-ID Easting Northing Elevation (m) Depth (m) Azimuth Dip<br />
DK-11-37 637034.00 1570046.00 -120.00 380.20 0 -90<br />
DK-11-38 638180.00 1568039.00 -118.00 536.20 0 -90<br />
DK-11-39 639070.00 1568504.00 -118.00 632.20 0 -90<br />
DK-11-40 637568.00 1568048.00 -120.00 245.30 0 -90<br />
DK-11-41 638470.00 1566630.00 -120.00 386.60 0 -90<br />
DK-11-42 638900.00 1564794.00 -120.00 443.50 0 -90<br />
DK-12-43 640135.00 1565078.00 -120.00 608.40 0 -90<br />
DK-12-44 648248.00 1569411.00 -87.00 311.30 0 -90<br />
DK-12-45 649056.00 1568354.00 -110.00 299.30 0 -90<br />
DK-12-46 647917.00 1568002.00 -103.00 368.30 0 -90<br />
DK-12-47 646780.00 1567584.00 -110.00 530.50 0 -90<br />
DK-12-48 633638.00 1579043.00 -121.00 443.20 0 -90<br />
DK-12-49 647050.00 1569160.00 -120.00 416.50 0 -90<br />
DK-12-50 633989.00 1578023.00 -120.00 428.20 0 -90<br />
DK-12-51 633993.00 1578026.00 -120.00 116.60 0 -90<br />
DK-12-52 634716.00 1576436.00 -120.00 362.30 0 -90<br />
DK-12-53 633001.00 1576947.00 -120.00 251.20 0 -90<br />
DK-12-54 636138.00 1573117.00 -120.00 422.40 0 -90<br />
DK-12-55 633839.00 1577260.00 -120.00 284.10 0 -90<br />
DK-12-56 635459.00 1575154.00 -120.00 350.40 0 -90<br />
DK-12-57 633275.00 1580035.00 -120.00 461.40 0 -90<br />
DK-12-58 638460.00 1565067.00 -120.00 197.30 0 -90<br />
DK-12-59 640680.00 1564240.00 -120.00 602.30 0 -90<br />
10
Table 4. Selected drill results.<br />
Allana Potash Corp.<br />
Management’s Discussion and Analysis<br />
For the three months ended October 31, 2012<br />
HOLE FROM (m) TO (m) DRILLED WIDTH (m) KCl (%)<br />
DK-10-01 110.80<br />
including 114.15<br />
DK-10-02 150.10<br />
including 150.10<br />
DK-10-03 151.25<br />
including 152.35<br />
DK-10-04 744.00<br />
DK-10-05 Target not reached<br />
DK-10-06 495.30<br />
567.30<br />
including 580.80<br />
DK-10-07 136.00<br />
including 142.00<br />
214.14<br />
DK-10-08 164.30<br />
including 165.40<br />
172.70<br />
DK-10-09 210.00<br />
including 210.00<br />
224.30<br />
DK-10-10 257.00<br />
including 263.40<br />
303.40<br />
350.70<br />
DK-11-11 115.85<br />
including 117.25<br />
including 117.25<br />
125.20<br />
including 128.70<br />
DK-11-12 344.00<br />
including 349.00<br />
418.42<br />
DK-11-13 224.40<br />
including 224.40<br />
342.00<br />
DK-11-15 254.40<br />
including 255.40<br />
DK-11-16 125.20<br />
including 125.20<br />
168.20<br />
11<br />
117.35<br />
116.15<br />
155.65<br />
152.10<br />
161.20<br />
154.35<br />
776.40<br />
498.30<br />
585.00<br />
585.00<br />
145.20<br />
144.00<br />
220.80<br />
168.40<br />
167.40<br />
180.20<br />
217.10<br />
213.50<br />
228.30<br />
269.40<br />
266.20<br />
322.80<br />
357.20<br />
119.20<br />
119.20<br />
118.25<br />
132.50<br />
132.50<br />
359.20<br />
353.10<br />
425.25<br />
227.20<br />
225.40<br />
350.70<br />
257.10<br />
256.20<br />
131.70<br />
129.20<br />
173.20<br />
6.55<br />
2.00<br />
5.50<br />
2.00<br />
9.95<br />
2.00<br />
32.40<br />
3.00<br />
17.70<br />
4.20<br />
9.20<br />
2.00<br />
6.66<br />
4.10<br />
2.00<br />
7.50<br />
7.10<br />
3.50<br />
4.00<br />
12.40<br />
2.80<br />
19.40<br />
6.50<br />
3.35<br />
1.95<br />
1.00<br />
7.30<br />
3.80<br />
15.20<br />
4.10<br />
6.83<br />
2.80<br />
1.00<br />
8.70<br />
2.70<br />
0.80<br />
6.50<br />
4.00<br />
5.00<br />
17.65<br />
19.94<br />
25.80<br />
34.80<br />
19.52<br />
28.90<br />
8.00<br />
30.87<br />
17.25<br />
24.51<br />
23.41<br />
37.75<br />
22.04<br />
24.60<br />
31.58<br />
22.08<br />
22.80<br />
28.00<br />
14.60<br />
23.71<br />
37.64<br />
16.90<br />
21.30<br />
33.77<br />
38.85<br />
44.48<br />
17.62<br />
22.00<br />
26.17<br />
37.84<br />
22.30<br />
45.86<br />
47.81<br />
22.91<br />
39.38<br />
52.40<br />
24.79<br />
29.28<br />
20.29
Table 4. Selected drill results (Continued).<br />
Allana Potash Corp.<br />
Management’s Discussion and Analysis<br />
For the three months ended October 31, 2012<br />
HOLE FROM (m) TO (m) DRILLED WIDTH (m) KCl (%)<br />
DK-11-17 73.20<br />
including 74.20<br />
77.70<br />
DK-11-18 64.50<br />
DK-11-19 263.50<br />
547.35<br />
625.47<br />
DK-11-20 472.34<br />
DK-11-21 Target not reached<br />
DK-11-22 261.80<br />
DK-11-23 491.15<br />
DK-11-24 135.83<br />
143.30<br />
DK-11-25 101.23<br />
113.31<br />
DK-11-26 105.00<br />
117.50<br />
DK-11-27 159.90<br />
259.23<br />
DK-11-28 198.74<br />
266.43<br />
DK-11-29 124.50<br />
including 124.50<br />
227.30<br />
DK-11-30 193.70<br />
215.30<br />
DK-11-31 73.50<br />
including 73.50<br />
82.30<br />
DK-11-32 194.89<br />
including 197.05<br />
including 197.05<br />
203.20<br />
DK-11-33 56.80<br />
444.73<br />
467.50<br />
471.50<br />
including 473.00<br />
DK-11-34 174.00<br />
183.89<br />
12<br />
75.20<br />
75.20<br />
85.20<br />
66.50<br />
270.80<br />
550.40<br />
632.70<br />
478.90<br />
277.80<br />
498.20<br />
138.64<br />
149.60<br />
106.65<br />
119.20<br />
106.00<br />
125.50<br />
163.35<br />
266.90<br />
201.30<br />
274.82<br />
131.30<br />
127.00<br />
233.50<br />
199.05<br />
222.20<br />
79.20<br />
74.50<br />
88.40<br />
200.20<br />
200.20<br />
198.40<br />
206.50<br />
58.30<br />
446.23<br />
469.00<br />
479.00<br />
479.00<br />
177.00<br />
191.81<br />
2.00<br />
1.00<br />
7.50<br />
2.00<br />
7.30<br />
3.05<br />
7.23<br />
6.60<br />
16.00<br />
7.05<br />
2.81<br />
6.30<br />
5.42<br />
5.89<br />
1.00<br />
8.00<br />
3.45<br />
7.67<br />
2.56<br />
8.39<br />
6.80<br />
2.50<br />
6.20<br />
5.35<br />
6.90<br />
5.70<br />
1.00<br />
6.10<br />
5.31<br />
3.15<br />
1.35<br />
3.30<br />
1.50<br />
1.50<br />
1.50<br />
7.50<br />
6.00<br />
3.00<br />
7.92<br />
19.38<br />
31.03<br />
17.68<br />
12.80<br />
37.74<br />
30.85<br />
22.09<br />
23.70<br />
9.24<br />
24.02<br />
35.12<br />
21.03<br />
29.33<br />
19.98<br />
20.26<br />
18.54<br />
37.70<br />
23.05<br />
40.27<br />
21.95<br />
20.51<br />
33.84<br />
23.13<br />
32.02<br />
22.54<br />
15.76<br />
20.10<br />
21.41<br />
18.54<br />
21.09<br />
29.60<br />
15.37<br />
22.00<br />
13.90<br />
30.08<br />
22.82<br />
23.85<br />
38.41<br />
22.29
Table 4. Selected drill results (Continued).<br />
Allana Potash Corp.<br />
Management’s Discussion and Analysis<br />
For the three months ended October 31, 2012<br />
HOLE FROM (m) TO (m) DRILLED WIDTH (m) KCl (%)<br />
DK-11-35 142.50<br />
including 143.50<br />
153.38<br />
including 154.13<br />
DK-11-36 82.99<br />
89.89<br />
including 90.89<br />
DK-11-37 344.54<br />
DK-11-38 396.37<br />
including 396.37<br />
DK-11-39 470.10<br />
including 470.10<br />
611.00<br />
including 612.00<br />
DK-11-40 190.87<br />
193.00<br />
194.70<br />
DK-11-41 352.47<br />
including 355.77<br />
361.22<br />
13<br />
148.20<br />
146.52<br />
160.92<br />
159.92<br />
86.95<br />
95.02<br />
95.02<br />
349.82<br />
403.33<br />
397.75<br />
473.20<br />
472.20<br />
619.30<br />
618.00<br />
192.00<br />
206.30<br />
203.70<br />
357.91<br />
357.05<br />
366.92<br />
DK-12-42 NSV FAULT ZONE<br />
DK-12-43 503.40<br />
586.60<br />
DK-12-44 281.30<br />
DK-12-45 215.30<br />
276.00<br />
DK-12-46 345.48<br />
DK-12-47 490.59<br />
DK-12-48 326.20<br />
419.20<br />
DK-12-49 351.97<br />
400.00<br />
DK-12-50 385.30<br />
386.80<br />
411.70<br />
DK-12-51 330.30<br />
333.50<br />
469.30<br />
DK-12-52 284.20<br />
285.20<br />
506.30<br />
592.61<br />
289.00<br />
225.80<br />
282.50<br />
350.58<br />
494.71<br />
329.20<br />
425.20<br />
384.10<br />
405.75<br />
386.80<br />
392.20<br />
420.70<br />
333.50<br />
345.30<br />
479.30<br />
285.20<br />
302.20<br />
5.70<br />
3.02<br />
7.54<br />
5.79<br />
3.96<br />
5.13<br />
4.13<br />
5.28<br />
6.96<br />
1.38<br />
3.10<br />
2.10<br />
8.30<br />
6.00<br />
1.13<br />
13.10<br />
9.00<br />
5.44<br />
1.28<br />
5.70<br />
2.90<br />
6.01<br />
7.70<br />
10.50<br />
6.50<br />
5.10<br />
4.12<br />
3.00<br />
6.00<br />
32.13<br />
5.75<br />
1.50<br />
5.40<br />
9.00<br />
3.20<br />
11.80<br />
10.00<br />
1.00<br />
15.00<br />
31.29<br />
39.10<br />
20.33<br />
21.24<br />
24.63<br />
20.19<br />
20.29<br />
19.73<br />
9.00<br />
12.63<br />
33.85<br />
41.60<br />
25.32<br />
27.92<br />
16.62<br />
21.22<br />
23.16<br />
33.24<br />
49.86<br />
21.79<br />
36.89<br />
23.68<br />
23.13<br />
16.51<br />
22.59<br />
25.99<br />
22.52<br />
28.02<br />
21.01<br />
19.96<br />
22.01<br />
37.20<br />
19.64<br />
20.67<br />
23.87<br />
20.41<br />
23.45<br />
29.60<br />
13.71
Table 4. Selected drill results (Continued).<br />
Allana Potash Corp.<br />
Management’s Discussion and Analysis<br />
For the three months ended October 31, 2012<br />
HOLE FROM (m) TO (m) DRILLED WIDTH (m) KCl (%)<br />
DK-12-53 151.20<br />
156.40<br />
225.55<br />
DK-12-54 289.40<br />
291.25<br />
405.80<br />
DK-12-55 251.53<br />
255.47<br />
DK-12-56 233.85<br />
including 237.06<br />
237.91<br />
331.52<br />
DK-12-57 365.70<br />
455.40<br />
DK-12-58 174.30<br />
DK-12-59 501.30<br />
584.30<br />
14<br />
156.40<br />
162.80<br />
233.20<br />
291.25<br />
294.90<br />
412.40<br />
255.47<br />
260.55<br />
237.06<br />
237.91<br />
243.64<br />
338.70<br />
371.40<br />
461.40<br />
175.30<br />
506.30<br />
590.30<br />
5.20<br />
6.40<br />
7.65<br />
1.85<br />
3.65<br />
6.60<br />
3.94<br />
5.08<br />
4.06<br />
0.85<br />
5.73<br />
7.18<br />
5.70<br />
6.00<br />
1.00<br />
5.00<br />
6.00<br />
18.71<br />
11.66<br />
19.29<br />
39.71<br />
21.02<br />
24.85<br />
39.65<br />
11.20<br />
10.88<br />
35.46<br />
19.61<br />
21.90<br />
16.86<br />
19.95<br />
10.70<br />
9.41<br />
23.76
Figure 1. Drill hole locations.<br />
Allana Potash Corp.<br />
Management’s Discussion and Analysis<br />
For the three months ended October 31, 2012<br />
15
Mineral Resource Estimate Update 2012<br />
Allana Potash Corp.<br />
Management’s Discussion and Analysis<br />
For the three months ended October 31, 2012<br />
As previously discussed, Ercosplan completed a revised NI 43-101 compliant mineral resource estimate<br />
update in April, 2012. The exploration drilling on the project area confirmed previous geological<br />
interpretations of the potash horizons and the geology of the deposit. Four potash-bearing horizons are<br />
confirmed in the basin: Sylvinite Member, Upper Carnallitite Member, Lower Carnallitite Member, and<br />
Kainitite Member.<br />
The updated mineral resource estimate includes all four potash bearing beds (sylvinite, upper and lower<br />
carnallite and kainitite) in the project and is comprised of estimated Measured and Indicated Mineral<br />
Resources totaling 1,298 million tonnes with an average grade 19.3% KCl (composite of all four potash<br />
beds) and estimated Inferred Mineral Resources totaling 588 million tonnes with an average grade of<br />
18.6% KCl (composite of all four potash beds). A summary of the resources is presented in Table 5.<br />
Table 5. Summary of estimated Measured, Indicated and Inferred Mineral Resources as of April 30, 2012,<br />
completed by Ercosplan.<br />
CATEGORY POTASH MEMBER IN-SITU TONNAGE (MT) KCl (%) CONTAINED KCI (MT)<br />
MEASURED Sylvinite 60.78 30.70 18.66<br />
Upper Carnallitite 49.94 17.49 8.74<br />
Lower Carnallitite 137.67 11.12 15.31<br />
Kainitite 319.43 20.15 64.37<br />
Total 567.82 18.86 107.08<br />
INDICATED Sylvinite 110.58 31.05 34.34<br />
Upper Carnallitite 105.60 16.70 17.62<br />
Lower Carnallitite 131.42 10.58 13.90<br />
Kainitite 382.12 20.36 77.79<br />
Total 729.72 19.69 143.65<br />
TOTAL MEASURED AND INDICATED<br />
16<br />
1,297.53 19.32 250.73<br />
INFERRED Sylvinite 46.62 30.25 14.10<br />
Upper Carnallitite 89.67 13.82 12.39<br />
Lower Carnallitite 78.15 8.48 6.63<br />
Kainitite 373.71 20.35 76.05<br />
Total 588.15 18.56 109.17<br />
TOTAL INFERRED<br />
588.15 18.56 109.17<br />
Notes:<br />
1. MT=Million Tonnes, tonnage is for in-situ resource with no discount for recovery as mining method is to be determined.<br />
2. The numbers for tonnage, average KCl per cent are rounded figures.<br />
3. Mineral resources that are not mineral reserves do not have demonstrated economic viability. Due to the uncertainty of measured,<br />
indicated or inferred mineral resources, these mineral resources may never be upgraded to proven and probable mineral reserves.<br />
4. Average densities used in resource calculations are 2.14, 1.81, 1.91, and 2.10 for the Sylvinite, UC, LC and Kainitite members<br />
respectively.<br />
The resource estimate is based on drilling conducted by Allana in 2010-2012 (45 holes) and the 16 historic<br />
drill holes completed by the Ralph M. Parsons Company (“Parsons”) in the 1950’s and 1960’s.<br />
Interpretation of the Allana data and drill core at the project by Ercosplan has refined the potash<br />
stratigraphy originally defined by Parsons. The top of the potash sequence is identified by the Sylvinite<br />
Member, followed by the Upper Carnallitite Member (“UC”), the Bischofitite Member, the Lower<br />
Carnallitite Member (“LC”) and the Kainitite Member.
Allana Potash Corp.<br />
Management’s Discussion and Analysis<br />
For the three months ended October 31, 2012<br />
To be included in the resource estimate, drill hole intersections must meet the following criteria:<br />
� Sylvinite Member > 20% KCl, the combined minimum width of Sylvinite and UC<br />
Members over 4 metres<br />
� UC Member > 40% Carnallite, the combined minimum width of Sylvinite and UC<br />
Members over 4 metres<br />
� LC Member > 60% Carnallite+Kieserite, minimum width of 5 metres<br />
� Kainitite Member > 50% Kainite, minimum width of 5 metres<br />
Allana has drilled 45 holes prior to the resource evaluation all of which provided geological information for<br />
the report, but several holes did not meet these criteria and consequently were not included in the resource.<br />
The resource estimates were calculated by extrapolating grades and widths using the radius of influence<br />
(“ROI”) from each Allana drill hole and historical drill holes based on industry standards for potash<br />
exploration. This process starts with the interpretation of the Radius of Influence of each exploration hole.<br />
The following ROIs were used for the calculation of the area of mineralized material in each of the<br />
resource categories:<br />
� Sylvinite, Upper Carnallitite Members<br />
� Measured Resource 350 metres<br />
� Indicated Resource 750 metres<br />
� Inferred Resource 1500 metres<br />
� Lower Carnallitite, Kainitite Members<br />
� Measured Resource 500 metres<br />
� Indicated Resource 1000 metres<br />
� Inferred Resource 2000 metres<br />
For historical drill holes a ROI of 750 metres was used for Inferred Mineral Resources in the different<br />
members.<br />
The difference in ROI between the two groups is directly related to the geology of the evaporite<br />
mineralization. The Sylvinite and UC members are interpreted to be secondary deposits formed from<br />
carnallite and therefore not as uniform as a primary evaporite deposit. The Kainitite and LC members are<br />
formed by primary evaporite deposition and are relatively consistent throughout the Allana property. Due<br />
to this consistency there is a greater degree of confidence in the lateral extent of the mineralization of the<br />
Kainitite and LC members and the ROI can be increased.<br />
Analytical results for exploration drill holes DK-12-46 to DK-12-59 have been compiled and are included<br />
in Table 4. These new results will be combined with previous drill hole information for the calculation of a<br />
revised mineral resource estimate that will accompany the FS.<br />
Mineral Resource 2011<br />
Prior to the 2102 resource estimate, Ercosplan completed a resource estimate in 2011 based on 23 Allana<br />
drillholes and historic drill results from Parsons. This estimate was released in June 2011 and the results<br />
are summarized below.<br />
The updated mineral resource estimate includes all four potash bearing beds (sylvinite, upper and lower<br />
carnallite and kainitite) in the project and is comprised of Measured and Indicated Mineral Resources<br />
totaling 673 million tonnes with an average grade 18.65% KCl (composite of all four potash beds) and<br />
Inferred Mineral Resources totaling 596 Million tonnes with an average grade of 19.96% KCl (composite<br />
of all four potash beds). A summary of the resources is presented in Table 6.<br />
17
Allana Potash Corp.<br />
Management’s Discussion and Analysis<br />
For the three months ended October 31, 2012<br />
Table 6. Summary of 2011 Measured, Indicated and Inferred Mineral Resources, effective as of June 13,<br />
2011.<br />
CATEGORY POTASH MEMBER IN-SITU TONNAGE (MT) KCl (%)<br />
MEASURED Sylvinite 16.00 29.09<br />
Upper Carnallitite 14.93 19.88<br />
Lower Carnallitite 77.96 12.00<br />
Kainitite 98.73 19.77<br />
Total 207.62 17.57<br />
INDICATED Sylvinite 81.84 30.23<br />
Upper Carnallitite 63.52 18.02<br />
Lower Carnallitite 134.68 12.05<br />
Kainitite 185.49 19.76<br />
Total 465.53 19.13<br />
TOTAL MEASURED AND INDICATED 673.15 18.65<br />
INFERRED Sylvinite 108.25 31.32<br />
Upper Carnallitite 85.61 17.05<br />
Lower Carnallitite 130.69 11.68<br />
Kainitite 271.17 20.33<br />
Total 595.72 19.96<br />
TOTAL INFERRED 595.72 19.96<br />
Notes:<br />
1. MT=Million Tonnes, tonnage is for in-situ resource with no discount for recovery as mining method is to be determined.<br />
2. The numbers for tonnage, average KCl per cent are rounded figures.<br />
3. Mineral resources that are not mineral reserves do not have demonstrated economic viability. Due to the uncertainty of measured,<br />
indicated or inferred mineral resources, these mineral resources may never be upgraded to proven and probable mineral reserves.<br />
4. Average densities used in resource calculations are 2.14, 1.81, 1.91, and 2.10 for the Sylvinite, UC, LC and Kainitite members<br />
respectively.<br />
To be included in the resource estimate, drill hole intersections must meet the following criteria:<br />
� Sylvinite Member > 20% KCl, minimum width of 2 metres<br />
� UC Member > 40% Carnallite, minimum width of 2 metres<br />
� LC Member > 60% Carnallite+Kieserite, minimum width of 5 metres<br />
� Kainitite Member > 50% Kainite, minimum width of 5 metres<br />
Allana has drilled 23 holes prior to the resource evaluation all of which provided geological information for<br />
the report, but several holes (14, 18, 4) did not meet these criteria and consequently were not included in<br />
the resource.<br />
The resource estimates were calculated by extrapolating grades and widths using the radius of influence<br />
(“ROI”) from each Allana drill hole and historical drill holes based on industry standards for potash<br />
exploration. This process starts with the interpretation of the Radius of Influence of each exploration hole.<br />
The following ROIs were used for the calculation of the area of mineralized material in each of the<br />
resource categories:<br />
� Sylvinite, Upper Carnallitite Members<br />
� Measured Resource 250 metres<br />
� Indicated Resource 750 metres<br />
� Inferred Resource 1500 metres<br />
18
Allana Potash Corp.<br />
Management’s Discussion and Analysis<br />
For the three months ended October 31, 2012<br />
� Lower Carnallitite, Kainitite Members<br />
� Measured Resource 500 metres<br />
� Indicated Resource 1000 metres<br />
� Inferred Resource 2000 metres<br />
For historical drill holes a ROI of 750 metres was used for Inferred Mineral Resources in the different<br />
members.<br />
Preliminary Economic Assessment and Feasibility Study 2011<br />
In July 2011, the Company engaged Ercosplan to complete a Feasibility Study (“FS”) on its Danakil potash<br />
project. The initial investigation of the FS was to be a Preliminary Economic Assessment (“PEA”) to<br />
determine the optimal mining and processing methods for the potash deposits. The PEA is based on<br />
commercial operations that produce one million tonnes per year (“MTPY”) of a standard Muriate of Potash<br />
(“MOP”) product over an initial estimated operating life of 30 years. The PEA examined open pit and<br />
solution mining methods. Following a review of the costs and other operating considerations, solution<br />
mining with processing using solar evaporation and standard flotation yielded significant advantages and<br />
was therefore the preferred mining method selected for the Project. The PEA yielded, on an unlevered<br />
basis, an after-tax IRR of 36.8% and an after-tax NPV of US$1.85 Billion based on a 12% discount rate.<br />
The mineral resource estimate used for the PEA was completed by Ercosplan in June 2011 and includes insitu<br />
Measured and Indicated Resources of 126 Million tonnes of KCl and Inferred Resources of 119<br />
Million Tonnes of KCl as set out in the Technical Report (see News Release, June 20, 2011 and “About<br />
Allana” section at the end of the news release). The current mineral resource estimate completed in April<br />
2012 was not the base data used for this PEA. Production of more than one million tonnes per year will be<br />
evaluated during the Feasibility Study as the management intends to start production with one million<br />
tonnes at the initial stage and then ramp it up to two million tonnes.<br />
The key economic highlights of the PEA are outlined in the table below (all dollar amounts are stated in<br />
US$):<br />
After-tax NPV@12% $1.85 billion<br />
After-tax IRR (based on 30% income tax rate) 36.8%<br />
Estimated Total Capital Expenditures (including<br />
$796 million<br />
production, port and logistics)<br />
Estimated Total Operating Expenditures (Production,<br />
transportation, port, FOB on vessel)<br />
$90.54/tonne KCl<br />
Payback period 3.5 years<br />
For the purpose of the PEA, CAPEX were estimated for three main categories: Production using solution<br />
mining, solar evaporation and flotation (“Production”); Transportation and handling of product between the<br />
production site and port; and Port facilities in Djibouti. The Production CAPEX includes costs associated<br />
with cavern development, the solar evaporation ponds, brine processing, and infrastructure including<br />
power. Solar evaporation of the saturated brine solution is possible at the Danakil Project due to the yearround<br />
hot temperatures averaging 40°C and very little rainfall. Salts harvested from the ponds will be<br />
processed by standard flotation to create an MOP product. Transportation CAPEX costs are based on a<br />
company owned fleet of trucks and all support such as maintenance. Port CAPEX costs are based on<br />
Allana constructing its own port terminal in Djibouti including product unloading and storage, shipping<br />
facilities and supporting infrastructure such as power and minor road construction. The table below outlines<br />
the estimated capital expenditures in US$ for all categories.<br />
Estimated Production CAPEX $664 million<br />
Estimated Transportation/Handling CAPEX $39 million<br />
Estimated Port CAPEX $93 million<br />
19
Allana Potash Corp.<br />
Management’s Discussion and Analysis<br />
For the three months ended October 31, 2012<br />
Estimated OPEX were also calculated for Production, Transportation/Handling, and Port. The OPEX costs<br />
in US$ per tonne are outlined in the table below:<br />
Estimated Production OPEX $70.24/tonne<br />
Estimated Transportation/Handling OPEX $8.85/tonne<br />
Estimated Port OPEX $2.88/tonne<br />
Estimated general & administrative and contingency costs were also calculated in US$ per tonne and are<br />
outlined in the table below:<br />
Estimated G&A $5.70/tonne<br />
Estimated Contingency $2.87/tonne<br />
The main assumptions used in the PEA are as follows:<br />
Production: One million tonnes MOP per year<br />
Mine life: 30 years<br />
Mining method: Solution mining<br />
Processing: Solar evaporation and flotation<br />
Transport: Trucking to Djibouti<br />
Power: Diesel generation with fuel shipped to site<br />
Water: Water on site<br />
Potash Price: US$500 per tonne in 2013<br />
Sustaining CAPEX: US$44 million (before cavern or process design optimization)<br />
Feasibility Study work is ongoing and on schedule for completion in yearly 2013. In the PEA, Ercosplan<br />
recommends hydro-geological studies to identify large water sources, dissolution testwork, rock<br />
mechanical testwork, a pilot solution mining operation and solar evaporation ponds tests. Allana initiated<br />
these studies in November 2011 and the work is proceeding. Five geotechnical drill holes have been<br />
completed to supply large diameter (PQ) core for rock mechanic testwork which is underway in Germany.<br />
Pilot solar evaporation ponds are complete and preliminary evaporation tests on synthetic brine indicate<br />
evaporation rates of approximately 1 cm per day. The crystal crop from this brine serves as preliminary<br />
test material and 1000 kg were shipped to Germany for flotation studies to prepare the processing flow<br />
sheets.<br />
Pilot solution mining is also underway on the project. A trial well has completed sump leaching and<br />
undercut leaching. Production leaching of the Sylvinite Zone was initiated in December and the resulting<br />
crystal crop will be utilized to optimize processing.<br />
In addition, hydrogeological studies are underway throughout the Allana license. To date, 18 holes have<br />
been drilled and all have encountered water. Pump down tests and recharge tests are ongoing but<br />
preliminary data indicated flow rates of up to 150 m 3 per hour from some wells. .<br />
Ercosplan is evaluating the costs and benefits of increasing production of MOP to two MTPY after the third<br />
year of full production. The potential increase would coincide with the planned completion of rail capacity<br />
for potash transport in the area.<br />
The PEA, with a target accuracy of +/- 35%, was completed as an initial scope within Allana’s full<br />
Feasibility Study program currently being undertaken by Ercosplan, a widely recognized world leader in<br />
potash exploration techniques and potash mining and processing.<br />
20
Allana Potash Corp.<br />
Management’s Discussion and Analysis<br />
For the three months ended October 31, 2012<br />
The PEA is preliminary in nature and is based on a number of assumptions that may be changed in the<br />
future as additional information becomes available. Mineral resources that are not mineral reserves do not<br />
have demonstrated economic viability. The PEA includes inferred mineral resources that are considered too<br />
speculative geologically to have the economic considerations applied to them that would enable them to be<br />
categorized as mineral reserves, and there is no certainty that the PEA will be realized. The PEA is not<br />
based on and has not been amended to reflect the updated resource estimates published by the Company<br />
effective April 30, 2012.<br />
Latin American Potash Corporation, Neuquen Province, Argentina<br />
On May 28, 2008, the Company announced that it had acquired 100% of Latin American Potash Corp.<br />
(“LAPC”), a company which holds potash prospective assets in Argentina. The purchase transaction was<br />
subsequently amended to an acquisition of 100% of the assets of LAPC. The Company acquired mineral<br />
concessions totaling 154,000 hectares in the potash-rich Neuquen province of Argentina (the concessions<br />
are under application and have not yet been granted). Some properties adjoin Rio Tinto’s Potasio Rio<br />
Colorado potash project, which is scheduled for production in 2011. The Company acquired these<br />
properties for cash consideration of $130,000 and by issuing 3,000,000 common shares of the Company.<br />
The LAPC properties are located in the same evaporite basin as the Rio Colorado project and display the<br />
correct stratigraphy to host potash. Potash in the Neuquen basin is found at depths varying from 500 metres<br />
to 2,500 metres below surface. The potash beds do not outcrop on the properties; however the insoluble<br />
remnants of Sylvite, the main potash mineral, have been identified in outcrop.<br />
The Company has engaged Engineer Luis Martin Arce to complete work program recommendations and<br />
Environmental Impact Assessments reports for the concessions. The concession applications are currently<br />
under review by the Neuquen government.<br />
In May 2011, the Company engaged Geomnia Natural Resources SLNE (“Geomnia”) to complete data<br />
compilation for the Neuquen projects. Geomnia has extensive experience in the Neuquen evaporite basin<br />
and have worked extensively with Rio Tinto, previous owners of the nearby Rio Colorado potash project.<br />
Geomnia has an extensive database comprised of geological information, seismic survey data and oil well<br />
information which it will compile for the project areas and define drill targets. This compilation work has<br />
been expanded to include reprocessing of selected seismic lines completed by various petroleum<br />
exploration companies working in the area.<br />
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS<br />
The following were key results of operations for the three months ended October 31, 2012.<br />
The Company recorded a net loss and comprehensive loss for the three months ended October 31, 2012 of<br />
$1.22 million compared to $0.90 million during the comparative period ended October 31, 2011.<br />
Allana is an exploration and development stage company and has no revenue at this point in time.<br />
Expenses for the three months ended October 31, 2012 were $1.43 million. Comparative expenses for the<br />
three months ended October 31, 2011 were $1.06 million, representing an increase of $0.37 million or 35%<br />
for three months ended October 31, 2012.<br />
The primary reasons for the decrease in expenses are described below.<br />
The Company grants stock options to officers, directors and consultants of the Company and applies the<br />
Black–Scholes option pricing model to estimate the fair value of the options granted as at the date of grant.<br />
21
Allana Potash Corp.<br />
Management’s Discussion and Analysis<br />
For the three months ended October 31, 2012<br />
During the three months ended October 31, 2012, 150,000 (October 31, 2011 – 100,000) options were<br />
granted. The Company uses options as an integral component of its remuneration packages.<br />
Stock-based compensation expense recorded was $0.04 million for the three months ended October 31,<br />
2012 (October 31, 2011 – $0.17 million) for the vested portion of the options granted. The decrease in<br />
stock-based compensation expenses is derived from a lower strike price of options granted during the<br />
period. The Company uses stock-based compensation to attract and maintain quality personnel. The mining<br />
industry has been very competitive and this type of compensation is an attractive incentive. The timing of<br />
grants varies from year to year based on milestones achieved and plan availability. Consequently, the<br />
quarterly and annual expense can vary widely. When estimating the value of the options using the Black-<br />
Scholes option pricing model the following assumptions were used: expected dividend yield of 0%<br />
(October 31, 2011 – 0%); expected life of 5 years (October 31, 2011 – 5 years); expected volatility of 103%<br />
(October 31, 2011 – 100%); and a risk-free interest rate of 1.28% (October 31, 2011 – 1.35%).<br />
Expenses excluding stock-based compensation increased by $0.51 million for the three months ended<br />
October 31, 2012 compared to the three months ended October 31, 2011.<br />
Consulting and professional fees increased by $0.44 million or by 124% for the three months ended<br />
October 31, 2012 compared to the three months ended October 31, 2011. The Company recorded increase<br />
in legal costs related to the now completed Nova transaction that closed on November 1, 2012 (see<br />
Subsequent events section). Also the Company engaged broader number of consultants this period to carry<br />
out activities related to the ongoing business and operational expansion. Typically in the more junior stages<br />
of growth, the Company utilizes part-time consultants. As the Company moves towards the completion of<br />
the Feasibility Study and towards the development phase more time is utilized related to various<br />
consultants and consequently the expenses increase.<br />
As discussed the Company is currently completing its FS and is moving towards the development phase of<br />
the Danakil project. With this, it is generally experiencing higher overhead expenses including general and<br />
office, travel and shareholder communications.<br />
General office expenses increased during the three months ended October 31, 2012 by $0.13 million or by<br />
136% compared to the same periods in 2011. The expenses have risen primarily due to more promotional<br />
activities, higher insurance costs and increased office costs. As the Company grows these costs are<br />
expected to continue to increase. The Company engages in promotional activities in order to raise potential<br />
and current investors’ awareness regarding its development and exploration activities.<br />
Travel expenses during the three months ended October 31, 2012 compared to the same periods in 2011<br />
increased by $0.14 million. As the Company grows its project more travel is required not only to the<br />
exploration site, but also for meetings with major contractual parties involved in the project, particularly<br />
during Feasibility Study phase.<br />
Shareholder communication and filing costs decreased by $0.20 million for the three months ended October<br />
31, 2012 compared to the three months ended October 31, 2011. The decrease is primarily due to the higher<br />
fees associated with Company’s graduation to the TSX in September during the prior period.<br />
Other significant items include an interest income of $0.16 million during the three months ended October<br />
31, 2012 compared to $0.19 million during the three months ended October 31, 2011 due to higher cash<br />
and cash equivalent balances in the comparable period.<br />
22
Summary of Quarterly Results<br />
Net (loss) for<br />
the period<br />
Loss per<br />
share<br />
Total<br />
Assets<br />
Total<br />
Liabilities<br />
Allana Potash Corp.<br />
Management’s Discussion and Analysis<br />
For the three months ended October 31, 2012<br />
31-Oct 31-Jul 30-Apr 31-Jan 31-Oct 31-Jul 30-Apr 31-Jan<br />
2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011<br />
(1,219,659)<br />
(0.01)<br />
104,319,976<br />
5,354,230<br />
(853,716)<br />
(0.01)<br />
103,893,296<br />
2,875,798<br />
(919,937)<br />
(0.01)<br />
105,916,978<br />
4,599,959<br />
(2,186,282)<br />
23<br />
(0.01)<br />
79,856,576<br />
1,615,531<br />
LIQUIDITY, CAPITAL RESOURCES AND CASH FLOWS<br />
(902,516)<br />
(0.00)<br />
80,790,315<br />
1,717,144<br />
(1,253,375)<br />
(0.01)<br />
(3,261,641)<br />
(0.02)<br />
81,513,404 66,148,219<br />
2,220,461 1,180,285<br />
(1,608,875)<br />
(0.01)<br />
28,877,629<br />
1,157,496<br />
As at October 31, 2012, the Company had working capital of $36.38 million compared to working capital<br />
of $46.68 million at July 31, 2012 (see Non-IFRS Performance Measures). The Company is well funded to<br />
complete its exploration program and the Feasibility Study which was started in the summer of 2011.<br />
The viability of the Company through its development phase and into production will be dependent on the<br />
Company’s ability to secure sufficient funding to finance its operations.<br />
The Company will be required to raise additional funds either through debt, equity or a joint venture and/or<br />
other potential structures in order to develop its projects.<br />
The Company used $0.88 million in operating activities during the three months ended October 31, 2012<br />
compared to a use of $0.92 million during comparable period in 2011 as generally described in the Results<br />
of Operations section of this report. Included in the cash used in operating activities is an amount of $0.30<br />
million provided for the three months ended October 31, 2012 versus $0.19 million used in the same period<br />
in 2011 due to the changes in non-cash working capital. The net change in non-cash working capital<br />
reported on the consolidated statements of cash flows identifies the changes in current assets and current<br />
liabilities that occurred during the period. An increase in a liability (or a decrease in an asset) is a source of<br />
cash; while a decrease in a liability (or an increase in an asset) is a use of cash. The changes relate<br />
primarily to the timing with respect to the payment of accounts payable.<br />
During the three months ended October 31, 2012, the Company used $5.96 million in investing activities<br />
compared to $5.68 million used during comparable period in 2011. The Company continued to focus on its<br />
Ethiopian assets as described in the Executive Summary and Operational Overview section of this report<br />
under the Danakil properties. The funds were used to facilitate Feasibility Study activities, acquisition of<br />
new property and expansion of the field camp at the site. The Company plans to explore its Argentinean<br />
assets when it obtains the licenses from the Argentinean government to do so.<br />
During the three months ended October 31, 2012, the Company used $0.96 million in financing activities<br />
compared to generating $0.51 million during the comparable period in 2011. During the three months<br />
ended October 31, 2012, the Company purchased and settled 1,719,400 common shares at an average price<br />
of $0.515 per share under the NCIB approved by the TSX. These shares were held in treasury as at October<br />
31, 2012 and were subsequently cancelled. The Company generated $0.51 million in proceeds from the<br />
exercise of 1,023,000 warrants at an average price of $0.50 during the three months ended October 31,<br />
2011. The warrants are granted typically as a part of a unit in a private placement and as broker<br />
compensation. They are exercised by holders as they see fit in relation to their financial goals and<br />
perceptions. They are contractual and exercised as dictated by the holders.<br />
OFF-BALANCE SHEET ARRANGEMENTS<br />
The Company has no off-balance sheet arrangements.
RELATED PARTY TRANSACTIONS<br />
Allana Potash Corp.<br />
Management’s Discussion and Analysis<br />
For the three months ended October 31, 2012<br />
The Company entered into the following transactions in the ordinary course of business with related<br />
parties:<br />
Sales of goods and services for the period ended Purchases of goods and services for the period ended<br />
October 31, 2012 October 31, 2011 October 31, 2012 October 31, 2011<br />
2227929 Ontario Inc. $ - $ - $ 101,700 $<br />
89,502<br />
The Company shares office space with other companies who may have officers or directors in common<br />
with the Company. The costs associated with this space, certain consulting, professional and general and<br />
administration services are administered by 2227929 Ontario Inc.<br />
The following balances were outstanding at the end of the reporting period:<br />
Amounts owed by related parties as at Amounts owed to related parties as at<br />
October 31, 2012 July 31, 2011 October 31, 2012 July 31, 2011<br />
2227929 Ontario Inc. $ 85,449 $ 123,013 $ - $<br />
-<br />
These amounts are unsecured, non-interest bearing with no fixed terms of repayment.<br />
On June 26, 2012, the Company acquired 1,000,000 units of Rodinia Lithium Inc. (“Rodinia”), at a price of<br />
$1.00 per unit. Each unit consists of one cumulative rate reset non-voting potash stream preferred share and<br />
one-half of a common share purchase warrant. Each whole warrant entitles the Company to acquire one<br />
common share of Rodinia at a price of $0.45 until December 26, 2013. The Company’s Director and CEO<br />
Mr. Farhad Abasov serves as a Director and Senior Officer of Rodinia.<br />
Compensation of key management personnel<br />
In accordance with IAS 24, key management personnel are those persons having authority and<br />
responsibility for planning, directing and controlling the activities of the Company directly or indirectly,<br />
including any directors (executive and non-executive) of the Company.<br />
The remuneration of directors and other members of key management personnel (officers) during the<br />
period were as follows:<br />
Three months ended<br />
October 31, 2012 October 31, 2011<br />
Short-term benefits $ 413,104 $ 880,158<br />
$ 413,104 $ 880,158<br />
OTHER<br />
On April 10, 2012, the Company instituted a NCIB, in respect of its common shares. Pursuant to the terms<br />
of the NCIB, and in accordance with the policies of the TSX, during the period commencing April 18, 2012<br />
and ending on April 17, 2013, the Company may purchase up to 19,314,862 common shares during the<br />
course of the NCIB. Purchases during any 30-day period shall not exceed 2% of the issued and outstanding<br />
common shares at the time of purchase. All common shares purchased under the NCIB are to be cancelled.<br />
During the three months ended October 31, 2012, the Company purchased, pursuant to the block purchase<br />
exception, and settled 1,719,400 common shares at an average price of $0.515 per share under the NCIB<br />
24
Allana Potash Corp.<br />
Management’s Discussion and Analysis<br />
For the three months ended October 31, 2012<br />
approved by the TSX. These shares were held in treasury as at October 31, 2012 and were subsequently<br />
cancelled (see Subsequent events section).<br />
COMMITMENTS AND CONTINGENCIES<br />
The Company is party to certain management contracts. These contracts require that additional payments of<br />
up to $7,245,000 be made upon the occurrence of certain events such as change of control. As a triggering<br />
event has not taken place, the contingent payments have not been reflected in these consolidated financial<br />
statements.<br />
In November 2009, the Company entered into a drilling contract with Emerson Moore Drilling Ltd.<br />
(“EMD”) to drill 2,500 metres at the Danakil Property in Ethiopia. In June, 2010 the Company entered into<br />
a drilling contract with Meridian Drilling Ltd. (“Meridian”), a sister company of EMD, to drill 10,000<br />
metres at the Danakil Property in Ethiopia. Simultaneously, in June 2010, the contract with EMD was<br />
assigned to Meridian. The total commitment under the contract is approximately $213,000 (US$ 200,000)<br />
for demobilization. As at July 31, 2012, the remaining balance of prepayments under this contract is<br />
approximately $213,000 (US$200,000) and is included in advances and deposits.<br />
On November 30, 2010, the Company completed a non-brokered private placement financing with Liberty<br />
Metals & Mining Holdings, LLC (“LMM”), subsidiary of Liberty Mutual Group. Pursuant to the terms of<br />
the financing, the Company and LMM entered into an Investor Rights Agreement which gives LMM<br />
certain rights, including, without limitation, participation and registration rights (in certain circumstances),<br />
as well as the right to nominate one director to the board of the Company, provided LMM continues to hold<br />
at least 7.5% of the Company's issued and outstanding shares. In addition, subject to certain conditions,<br />
LMM has the right to participate in any future equity or equity-linked financings by the Company in order<br />
to maintain its current ownership level in the Company.<br />
On May 10, 2011, the Company completed a non-brokered private placement with International Finance<br />
Corporation, a member of the World Bank Group (“IFC”). Pursuant to the terms of the financing, the<br />
Company and IFC entered into an Investor Rights Agreement which gives IFC certain rights, including,<br />
without limitation, participation and registration rights and subject to certain conditions, grants IFC the<br />
right to participate in future equity based financings in order to maintain its current ownership level in the<br />
Company.<br />
In August 2011, the Company engaged Environmental Resources Management ("ERM") to prepare an<br />
Environmental and Social Impact Assessment Study ("ESIA"). The ESIA is scheduled for completion in<br />
the last quarter of calendar year 2012 and will form an integral part of the Feasibility Study described<br />
below. As at July 31, 2012 the total commitment remaining under the contract is approximately $200,000<br />
(US$ 200,000).<br />
In September 2011, the Company engaged Ercosplan to prepare a Feasibility Study (“FS”) for its Danakil<br />
Property in Ethiopia. As at July 31, 2012, the total commitment under the contract is approximately<br />
$3,393,000 (EUR 2,620,000).<br />
In October 2011, the Company engaged BNP Paribas, as financial advisor for the arrangement and<br />
structuring of debt financings for the construction of the Company’s Ethiopian potash project. In<br />
consideration for providing financial advisory services, the Company pays BNP Paribas a monthly cash<br />
work fee of US$25,000 and has issued to BNP Paribas 1,400,000 common share purchase warrants of the<br />
Company (the "Warrants"). Each Warrant is exercisable to acquire one common share of Allana at $0.94<br />
per warrant for a period of five years from the date of issue; however, the warrants shall only vest and<br />
become exercisable upon the completion of various milestones. On March 27, 2012, the first milestone was<br />
achieved and first 500,000 warrants became fully vested and exercisable. Second tranche of 400,000<br />
warrants became fully vested and exercisable on September 27, 2012. Third tranche will become fully<br />
25
Allana Potash Corp.<br />
Management’s Discussion and Analysis<br />
For the three months ended October 31, 2012<br />
vested and exercisable within nine months from the first milestone date. In the event of termination of the<br />
agreement with BNP Paribas, Allana may be subject to a termination fee up to, but not exceeding,<br />
US$600,000.<br />
In November 2011, the Company engaged Fugro Consult GmbH (“Fugro”) to perform hydro-geological<br />
investigation on its Danakil property in Ethiopia. As at July 31, 2012, the total remaining commitment<br />
under the contract is approximately $520,000 (EUR 400,000).<br />
The Company’s mining and exploration activities are subject to various federal, provincial and<br />
international laws and regulations governing the protection of the environment. These laws and regulations<br />
are continually changing and generally becoming more restrictive. The Company believes its operations<br />
are materially in compliance with all applicable laws and regulations. The Company has made, and expects<br />
to make in the future, expenditures to comply with such laws and regulations.<br />
SUBSEQUENT EVENTS<br />
On November 1, 2012, the Company acquired all of the issued and outstanding common shares of Nova-<br />
Ethio Potash Corporation (“Nova”), a private company, which indirectly holds a 100% interest in a potash<br />
license adjacent to the Company’s potash project in the Danakil Depression in Ethiopia (the “Nova<br />
Property”).<br />
Pursuant to the terms of the Merger Agreement, the Company issued 12,716,655 common shares to the<br />
shareholders of Nova in exchange for all of the common shares of Nova (the “Merger Shares”). Further, the<br />
Company issued an additional 35,609,972 common shares to be held in escrow (the “Allana Escrowed<br />
Shares”). The Allana Escrowed Shares shall be released to Nova shareholders in accordance with certain<br />
escrow release conditions, which shall be based upon the amount of contained potassium chloride within<br />
the sylvinite zone of the Nova Property as set out in the Nova Resource Estimate. In the event the Nova<br />
Resource Estimate contains an amount equal to or greater than 29.2 million tonnes of potassium chloride<br />
within the sylvinite zone, all of the Allana Escrowed Shares shall be released. In the event the Nova<br />
Resource Estimate contains an amount less than 29.2 million tonnes of potassium chloride, the Allana<br />
Escrowed Shares shall be released on a pro rata basis to the amount of defined potassium chloride<br />
supported by the Nova Resource Estimate with all the remaining Allana Escrowed Shares being returned to<br />
the Company and cancelled.<br />
In addition, on closing, the parties entered into an agreement with BEMA Investment Holdings Corp.<br />
(“BEMA”), the largest shareholder of Nova, pursuant to which, in the event the Nova Resource Estimate<br />
exceeds 45 million tonnes of potassium chloride within the sylvinite zone, the Company shall pay BEMA<br />
an additional fee of $7.5 million, payable at the sole discretion of the Company, in cash or shares at the<br />
then current market price (the “Bonus Fee Shares”). In no event, however, shall the Merger Shares, the<br />
Allana Escrowed Shares or the Bonus Fee Shares exceed 25% of the issued and outstanding common<br />
shares of the Company.<br />
On November 1, 2012, 1,719,400 common shares of the Company that were previously purchased though<br />
the NCIB were cancelled.<br />
Subsequent to October 31, 2012, 600,000 options with expiration date of December 7, 2012 were exercised<br />
at a price of $0.14.<br />
Subsequent to October 31, 2012, the Company granted 180,000 options to consultants.<br />
26
Allana Potash Corp.<br />
Management’s Discussion and Analysis<br />
For the three months ended October 31, 2012<br />
DISCLOSURE CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES AND INTERNAL CONTROLS OVER<br />
FINANCIAL REPORTING<br />
Subject to the limitations, if any, described below, the Company’s CEO and CFO, have as at the end of the<br />
period ended October 31, 2012 designed Disclosure and Control Procedures, (“DC&P”) or caused it to be<br />
designed under their supervision, to provide reasonable assurance that:<br />
� material information relating to the issuer is made known to us by others, particularly during the<br />
period in which the interim filings are being prepared; and<br />
� information required to be disclosed by the issuer in its annual filings, interim filings or other<br />
reports filed or submitted by it under securities legislation is recorded, processed, summarized and<br />
reported within the time periods specified in securities legislation.<br />
Internal control over financial reporting has been designed, based on the framework established in Internal<br />
Control – Integrated Framework issued by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway<br />
Commission (“COSO”), to provide reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of our financial reporting<br />
and the preparation of financial statements for external purposes in accordance with accounting principles<br />
generally accepted in Canada.<br />
There have been no significant changes to the Company’s disclosure controls and procedures and internal<br />
controls over financial reporting that occurred during the period ended October 31, 2012 that have<br />
materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect, the Company’s disclosure controls and<br />
procedures and internal control over financial reporting.<br />
Because of inherent limitations, internal control over financial reporting and disclosure controls can<br />
provide only reasonable assurances and may not prevent or detect misstatements. Furthermore, projections<br />
of any evaluation of effectiveness to future periods are subject to the risk that controls may become<br />
inadequate because of changes in conditions, or that the degree of compliance with the policies or<br />
procedures may deteriorate.<br />
The Audit and Governance Committees of the Company have reviewed this MD&A, and the consolidated<br />
financial statements for the three months ended October 31, 2012, and the Company’s board of directors<br />
approved these documents prior to their release.<br />
RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES<br />
The operations of the Company are speculative due to the high-risk nature of its business, which are the<br />
acquisition, financing, exploration and development of mining properties. These risk factors could<br />
materially affect the Company’s future operating results and could cause actual events to differ materially<br />
from those described in forward-looking information relating to the Company.<br />
Liquidity Concerns and Future Financings<br />
The Company will require significant capital and operating expenditures in connection with the<br />
development of its properties. There can be no assurance that the Company will be successful in obtaining<br />
required financing as and when needed. Volatile markets may make it difficult for the Company to obtain<br />
debt financing or equity financing on favorable terms, if at all. Failure to obtain additional financing on a<br />
timely basis may cause the Company to postpone or slow down its development plans, forfeit rights in<br />
some or all of its properties or reduce or terminate some or all of its activities.<br />
27
Allana Potash Corp.<br />
Management’s Discussion and Analysis<br />
For the three months ended October 31, 2012<br />
Nature of Mining, Mineral Exploration and Development Projects<br />
Mining operations generally involve a high degree of risk. The Company’s operations are subject to the<br />
hazards and risks normally encountered in the mineral exploration, development and production, including<br />
environmental hazards, explosions, unusual or unexpected geological formations or pressures and periodic<br />
interruptions in both production and transportation due to inclement or hazardous weather conditions. Such<br />
risks could result in damage to, or destruction of, mineral properties or producing facilities, personal injury,<br />
environmental damage, delays in mining, monetary losses and possible legal liability. Mineral exploration<br />
is highly speculative in nature. There is no assurance that exploration efforts will be successful. Even when<br />
mineralization is discovered, it may take several years until production is possible, during which time the<br />
economic feasibility of production may change. Substantial expenditures are required to establish proven<br />
and probable mineral reserves through drilling. Because of these uncertainties, no assurance can be given<br />
that exploration programs will result in the establishment or expansion of mineral resources or mineral<br />
reserves. There is no certainty that the expenditures made by the Company towards the search and<br />
evaluation of mineral deposits will result in discoveries or development of commercial quantities of ore.<br />
Development projects have no operating history upon which to base estimates of future cash operating<br />
costs. For development projects, reserve and resource estimates and estimates of cash operating costs are,<br />
to a large extent, based upon the interpretation of geologic data obtained from drill holes and other<br />
sampling techniques, and feasibility studies, which derive estimates of cash operating costs based upon<br />
anticipated tonnage and grades of ore to be mined and processed, ground conditions, the configuration of<br />
the ore body, expected recovery rates of minerals from the ore, estimated operating costs, anticipated<br />
climatic conditions and other factors. As a result, actual production, cash operating costs and economic<br />
returns could differ significantly from those estimated. Current market conditions are forcing many mining<br />
operations to increase capital and operating cost estimates. Indeed, there have been a number of mining<br />
operations that have ceased or been suspended or delayed because operation costs are estimated to be<br />
greater than projected prices of product. It is not unusual for new mining operations to experience<br />
problems during the start-up phase, and delays in the commencement of production often can occur.<br />
No Revenues<br />
To date the Company has recorded no revenue from exploration operations and the Company has not<br />
commenced commercial production or development on any property. There can be no assurance that<br />
significant losses will not occur in the near future or that the Company will be profitable in the future. The<br />
Company’s operating expenses and capital expenditures may increase in subsequent years in relation to the<br />
engagement of consultants, personnel and equipment associated with advancing exploration, development<br />
and commercial production of the Company’s properties. The Company expects to continue incurring<br />
losses for the foreseeable future. The development of the Company’s properties will require the<br />
commitment of substantial resources to conduct time-consuming exploration. There can be no assurance<br />
that the Company will generate any revenues or achieve profitability.<br />
Foreign Exchange<br />
The Company is subject to foreign exchange risks relating to the relative value of the Canadian dollar as<br />
compared to the US dollar. The Company supports its operations by raising financing in Canadian dollars<br />
and mineral commodities are sold in US dollars. A decline in the US dollar would result in a decrease in<br />
the real value of Allana’s future revenues, if any, and adversely affect its financial performance.<br />
The Company is subject to limited foreign exchange risks relating to the relative value of the Ethiopian Birr<br />
as compared to the US dollar and Canadian dollar. The Company supports its project operations by<br />
financing in US dollars and Canadian dollars. A decline in the Ethiopian Birr would result in a decrease in<br />
the monetary asset values recorded on Allana Afar’s stand alone statement of financial position. The<br />
28
Allana Potash Corp.<br />
Management’s Discussion and Analysis<br />
For the three months ended October 31, 2012<br />
exposure is limited to an amount of cash that is being loaned through the intercompany accounts and being<br />
sent to an account in Ethiopian bank.<br />
Mineral Resource and Mineral Reserve Estimates May be Inaccurate<br />
There are numerous uncertainties inherent in estimating mineral resources and mineral reserves, including<br />
many factors beyond the control of the Company. Such estimates are subjective. The accuracy of any<br />
mineral resource or mineral reserve estimate is a function of the quantity and quality of available data and<br />
of the assumptions made and judgments used in engineering and geological interpretation. These amounts<br />
are estimates only and the actual level of mineral recovery from such deposits may be different.<br />
Differences between management’s assumptions, including economic assumptions such as commodity<br />
prices and market conditions, could have a material adverse effect on the Company’s financial position and<br />
results of operations.<br />
Differences between management’s assumptions, including economic assumptions such as commodity<br />
prices and market conditions, and actual events could have a material adverse effect on the Company’s<br />
mineral reserve estimates.<br />
Licenses and Permits, Laws and Regulations<br />
The Company’s exploration and development activities, including mine, mill, road, rail and other<br />
transportation facilities, require permits and approvals from various government authorities and are subject<br />
to extensive federal, provincial, state and local laws and regulations governing prospecting, development,<br />
production, exports, taxes, labour standards, occupational health and safety, mine safety and other matters.<br />
Such laws and regulations are subject to change, can become more stringent and compliance can therefore<br />
become more costly. In addition, the Company may be required to compensate those suffering loss or<br />
damage by reason of its activities. There can be no guarantee that Allana will be able to maintain or obtain<br />
all necessary licenses, permits and approvals that may be required to explore and develop its properties,<br />
commence construction or operation of mining facilities.<br />
Mineral Commodity Prices<br />
The profitability of the Company’s operations will be dependent upon the market price of mineral<br />
commodities. Mineral prices fluctuate widely and are affected by numerous factors beyond the control of<br />
the Company. The level of interest rates, the rate of inflation, the world supply of mineral commodities and<br />
the stability of exchange rates can all cause significant fluctuations in prices. Such external economic<br />
factors are in turn influenced by changes in international investment patterns, monetary systems and<br />
political developments. The price of mineral commodities has fluctuated widely in recent years, and future<br />
price declines could cause commercial production to be impracticable, thereby having a material adverse<br />
effect on the Company’s business, financial condition and result of operations.<br />
Environmental<br />
The Company’s activities are subject to extensive federal, provincial state and local laws and regulations<br />
governing environmental protection and employee health and safety. Environmental legislation is evolving<br />
in a manner that is creating stricter standards, while enforcement, fines and penalties for non-compliance<br />
are also increasingly stringent. The cost of compliance with changes in governmental regulations has the<br />
potential to reduce the profitability of operations. Further, any failure by the Company to comply fully<br />
with all applicable laws and regulations could have significant adverse effects on the Company, including<br />
the suspension or cessation of operations.<br />
29
Title to Properties<br />
Allana Potash Corp.<br />
Management’s Discussion and Analysis<br />
For the three months ended October 31, 2012<br />
The acquisition of title to resource properties is a very detailed and time-consuming process. The Company<br />
holds its interest in certain of its properties through mining claims. Title to, and the area of, the mining<br />
claims may be disputed. There is no guarantee that such title will not be challenged or impaired. There may<br />
be challenges to the title of the properties in which the Company may have an interest, which, if successful,<br />
could result in the loss or reduction of the Company’s interest in the properties.<br />
Foreign Operations<br />
At present, substantially all of the operations of Allana are in Ethiopia and, as a result, the operations of the<br />
Company are exposed to various levels of political, economic and other risks and uncertainties associated<br />
with operating in foreign jurisdictions. These risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to:<br />
currency exchange rates; high rates of inflation; labour unrest; war, terrorism, crime, famine, drought,<br />
illegal mining, corruption and uncertainty of the rule of law; renegotiation or nullification of existing<br />
concessions, licenses, permits and contracts; changes in taxation policies; restrictions on foreign exchange;<br />
changing political conditions; currency controls; and governmental regulations that may require the<br />
awarding of contracts to local contractors or require foreign contractors to employ citizens of, or purchase<br />
supplies from, a particular jurisdiction. Changes, if any, in mining or investment policies or shifts in<br />
political attitudes in Ethiopia may adversely affect the operations or profitability of the Company.<br />
Operations may be affected in varying degrees by government regulations including with respect to, but not<br />
limited to, restrictions on production, price controls, import or export controls, currency remittance, income<br />
taxes, foreign investment, maintenance of claims, environmental legislation, land use, land claims of local<br />
people, water use and mine safety. Failure to comply strictly with applicable laws, regulations and local<br />
practices relating to mineral right applications and tenure, could result in loss, reduction or expropriation of<br />
entitlements. The occurrence of these various factors and uncertainties cannot be accurately predicted and<br />
could have an adverse effect on the operations and profitability of Allana.<br />
The legal system in Ethiopia is not yet as developed as legal systems in Canada, which leads to a higher<br />
level of uncertainty in the application and determination of Ethiopian legal issues than would be expected<br />
in Canada, which can lead to regulatory delays, ill motivated use of courts or regulatory bodies and<br />
inconsistency in interpretation and enforcement of applicable Ethiopian laws. Such risks are part of overall<br />
risks of doing business in Ethiopia and should be taken into account by any investor in Ethiopian<br />
mineral projects.<br />
Uninsured Risks<br />
The Company maintains insurance to cover normal business risks. In the course of exploration and<br />
development of mineral properties, certain risks, and in particular, unexpected or unusual geological<br />
operating conditions including explosions, rock bursts, cave ins, fire and earthquakes may occur. It is not<br />
always possible to fully insure against such risks as a result of high premiums or other reasons. Should<br />
such liabilities arise, they could result in significant liabilities to the company and increase costs of<br />
projects.<br />
Competition<br />
Allana competes with many other mining companies that have substantially greater resources than the<br />
Company. Such competition may result in the Company being unable to acquire desired properties, recruit<br />
or retain qualified employees or acquire the capital necessary to fund its operations and develop its<br />
properties. The Company’s inability to compete with other mining companies for these resources would<br />
have a material adverse effect on the Company’s results of operation and business.<br />
30
Dependence on Outside Parties<br />
Allana Potash Corp.<br />
Management’s Discussion and Analysis<br />
For the three months ended October 31, 2012<br />
Allana has relied upon consultants, engineers and others and intends to rely on these parties for<br />
development, construction and operating expertise. Substantial expenditures are required to establish<br />
mineral reserves through drilling, to carry out environmental and social impact assessments, to develop<br />
processes to extract the commodity from the ore. If such parties’ work is deficient or negligent or is not<br />
completed in a timely manner, it could have a material adverse effect on Allana.<br />
Qualified Personnel<br />
Recruiting and retaining qualified personnel in the future is critical to the Company’s success. As the<br />
Company explores its Danakil Potash Project, the need for skilled labour will increase. The number of<br />
people skilled in the exploration and development of mining properties is limited, particularly in Ethiopia,<br />
and competition for this workforce is intense. The development of the Danakil Potash Project and other<br />
initiatives of the Company may be significantly delayed or otherwise adversely affected if the Company<br />
cannot recruit and retain qualified personnel as and when required.<br />
Current Global Financial Conditions<br />
Financial markets globally have been subject to increased volatility and numerous financial institutions<br />
have either gone into bankruptcy or have had to be rescued by governmental authorities. Access to<br />
financing has been negatively impacted by liquidity crises throughout the world. These factors may impact<br />
the ability of the Company to obtain loans and other credit facilities in the future and, if obtained, receive<br />
terms attractive to the Company. If these increased levels of volatility and market turmoil continue, the<br />
Company may not be able to secure appropriate debt or equity financing, any of which could affect the<br />
trading price of the Company’s securities in an adverse manner.<br />
Share Price Fluctuations<br />
The market price of securities of many companies, particularly exploration stage companies, experience<br />
wide fluctuations in price that are not necessarily related to the operating performance, underlying asset<br />
values or prospects of such companies. There can be no assurance that fluctuations in the Company’s share<br />
price will not occur.<br />
Conflicts of Interest<br />
Certain of the Company’s directors and officers serve or may agree to serve as directors or officers of other<br />
companies and, to the extent that such other companies may participate in ventures in which the Company<br />
may participate, the directors and officers of Allana may have a conflict of interest in negotiating and<br />
concluding terms respecting such participation.<br />
Litigation<br />
Allana has entered into legally binding agreements with various third parties on a consulting and<br />
partnership basis. The interpretation of the rights and obligations that arise from such agreements is open<br />
to interpretation and Allana may disagree with the position taken by the various other parties resulting in a<br />
dispute that could potentially initiate litigation and cause Allana to incur legal costs in the future. Given the<br />
speculative and unpredictable nature of litigation, the outcome of any such disputes could have a material<br />
adverse effect on Allana.<br />
Internal Controls<br />
Allana has invested resources to document and analyze its system of internal control over financial<br />
reporting. Internal control over financial reporting is a process designed to provide reasonable assurance<br />
31
Allana Potash Corp.<br />
Management’s Discussion and Analysis<br />
For the three months ended October 31, 2012<br />
regarding the reliability of financial reporting and the preparation of financial statements for external<br />
purposes in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles. A control system, no matter how<br />
well designed and operated, can provide only reasonable, not absolute, assurance with respect to the<br />
reliability of financial reporting and the financial statement preparation.<br />
PEA<br />
This document includes a discussion on the Company’s PEA with respect to the Danakil Potash Project. As<br />
disclosed herein, the Company has, since the date of the PEA, disclosed a new updated mineral resource<br />
estimate for the project. Although the PEA represents useful, accurate and reliable information based on the<br />
information available at the time of its publication, and provides an important indicator as to the economic<br />
potential of the Danakil Potash Project, the PEA is based on mineral resources estimates published in June<br />
2011, which do not reflect exploration conducted since their effective date, and the PEA does not reflect the<br />
latest mineral resource estimate published by Allana on April 30, 2012. Certain assumptions used in the<br />
PEA, some of which relate to the June 2011 mineral resource estimate, may have changed from those used<br />
for the new resource estimate, causing a variation of parameters. Moreover, the updated mineral resource<br />
estimate may have an impact on Allana’s plans on how it intends to develop the deposit.<br />
The PEA is partly based on inferred mineral resources that are considered too speculative geologically to<br />
have the economic considerations applied to them that would enable them to be categorized as mineral<br />
reserves, and there is no certainty that the PEA based on these mineral resources will be realized. The<br />
results depend on inputs that are subject to a number of known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other<br />
factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from those presented here. The reader should<br />
review carefully the technical report, relating to the PEA which can be found on SEDAR at<br />
www.sedar.com.<br />
SIGNIFICANT ACCOUNTING JUDGEMENTS, ESTIMATES AND ASSUMPTIONS<br />
The preparation of these consolidated financial statements in conformity with IFRS requires the Company’s<br />
management to make judgments, estimates and assumptions about future events that affect the amounts<br />
reported in the consolidated financial statements and related notes to the consolidated financial statements.<br />
Although these estimates are based on management’s best knowledge of the amount, event or actions,<br />
actual results may differ from those estimates and these differences could be material.<br />
The areas which require management to make significant judgments, estimates and assumptions in<br />
determining carrying values include, but are not limited to:<br />
� Assets’ carrying values and impairment charges<br />
In the determination of carrying values and impairment charges, management looks at the higher of<br />
recoverable amount or fair value less costs to sell in the case of assets and at objective evidence, significant<br />
or prolonged decline of fair value on financial assets indicating impairment. These determinations and their<br />
individual assumptions require that management make a decision based on the best available information at<br />
each reporting period.<br />
� Capitalization of exploration and evaluation costs<br />
Management has determined that exploration and evaluation costs incurred during the year have future<br />
economic benefits and are economically recoverable. In making this judgment, management has assessed<br />
various sources of information including but not limited to the geologic and metallurgic information,<br />
history of conversion of mineral deposits to proven and probable mineral reserves, scoping and feasibility<br />
studies, proximity of operating facilities, operating management expertise and existing permits. See Note<br />
10 of the consolidated financial statements for details of capitalized exploration and evaluation costs.<br />
32
Allana Potash Corp.<br />
Management’s Discussion and Analysis<br />
For the three months ended October 31, 2012<br />
� Mineral reserve estimates<br />
The figures for mineral reserves and mineral resources are determined in accordance with National<br />
Instrument 43-101, “Standards of Disclosure for Mineral Projects”, issued by the Canadian Securities<br />
Administrators. There are numerous uncertainties inherent in estimating mineral reserves and mineral<br />
resources, including many factors beyond the Company’s control. Such estimation is a subjective process,<br />
and the accuracy of any mineral reserve or mineral resource estimate is a function of the quantity and<br />
quality of available data and of the assumptions made and judgments used in engineering and geological<br />
interpretation. Differences between management’s assumptions including economic assumptions such as<br />
mineral prices and market conditions could have a material effect in the future on the Company’s financial<br />
position and results of operation.<br />
� Impairment of exploration and evaluation assets<br />
While assessing whether any indications of impairment exist for exploration and evaluation assets,<br />
consideration is given to both external and internal sources of information. Information the Company<br />
considers includes changes in the market, economic and legal environment in which the Company operates<br />
that are not within its control that could affect the recoverable amount of exploration and evaluation assets.<br />
Internal sources of information include the manner in which exploration and evaluation assets are being<br />
used or are expected to be used and indications of expected economic performance of the assets. Estimates<br />
include but are not limited to estimates of the discounted future after-tax cash flows expected to be derived<br />
from the Company’s mining properties, costs to sell the properties and the appropriate discount rate.<br />
Reductions in metal price forecasts, increases in estimated future costs of production, increases in estimated<br />
future capital costs, reductions in the amount of recoverable mineral reserves and mineral resources and/or<br />
adverse current economics can result in a write-down of the carrying amounts of the Company’s<br />
exploration and evaluation assets.<br />
� Estimation of decommissioning and restoration costs and the timing of expenditure<br />
The cost estimates are updated annually during the life of a mine to reflect known developments, (e.g.<br />
revisions to cost estimates and to the estimated lives of operations), and are subject to review at regular<br />
intervals. Decommissioning, restoration and similar liabilities are estimated based on the Company’s<br />
interpretation of current regulatory requirements, constructive obligations and are measured at fair value.<br />
Fair value is determined based on the net present value of estimated future cash expenditures for the<br />
settlement of decommissioning, restoration or similar liabilities that may occur upon decommissioning of<br />
the mine. Such estimates are subject to change based on changes in laws and regulations and negotiations<br />
with regulatory authorities.<br />
� Income taxes and recoverability of potential deferred tax assets<br />
In assessing the probability of realizing income tax assets recognized, management makes estimates related<br />
to expectations of future taxable income, applicable tax planning opportunities, expected timing of<br />
reversals of existing temporary differences and the likelihood that tax positions taken will be sustained<br />
upon examination by applicable tax authorities. In making its assessments, management gives additional<br />
weight to positive and negative evidence that can be objectively verified. Estimates of future taxable<br />
income are based on forecasted cash flows from operations and the application of existing tax laws in each<br />
jurisdiction. The Company considers whether relevant tax planning opportunities are within the Company’s<br />
control, are feasible and are within management’s ability to implement. Examination by applicable tax<br />
authorities is supported based on individual facts and circumstances of the relevant tax position examined<br />
in light of all available evidence. Where applicable tax laws and regulations are either unclear or subject to<br />
ongoing varying interpretations, it is reasonably possible that changes in these estimates can occur that<br />
materially affect the amounts of income tax assets recognized. Also, future changes in tax laws could limit<br />
the Company from realizing the tax benefits from the deferred tax assets. The Company reassesses<br />
unrecognized income tax assets at each reporting period.<br />
33
Allana Potash Corp.<br />
Management’s Discussion and Analysis<br />
For the three months ended October 31, 2012<br />
� Share-based payments<br />
Management determines costs for share-based payments using market-based valuation techniques. The fair<br />
value of the market-based and performance-based non-vested share awards are determined at the date of<br />
grant using generally accepted valuation techniques. Assumptions are made and judgment used in applying<br />
valuation techniques. These assumptions and judgments include estimating the future volatility of the stock<br />
price, expected dividend yield, future employee turnover rates and future employee stock option exercise<br />
behaviors and corporate performance. Such judgments and assumptions are inherently uncertain. Changes<br />
in these assumptions affect the fair value estimates.<br />
� Contingencies<br />
Refer to Commitments and Contingencies section of this MD&A.<br />
CAPITAL MANAGEMENT<br />
The capital of the Company consists of common shares, treasury shares, warrants and options.<br />
The Company manages and adjusts its capital structure based on available funds in order to support the<br />
acquisition, exploration and development of mining properties. The Company manages its capital structure<br />
and makes adjustments to it in light of changes in economic conditions and the risk characteristics of the<br />
underlying assets. In order to maintain or adjust its capital structure, the Company may issue new shares,<br />
seek debt financing, or acquire or dispose of assets. The Board of Directors does not establish quantitative<br />
return on capital criteria for management, but rather relies on the expertise of the Company's management<br />
to sustain future development of the business.<br />
The Company is not subject to any externally imposed capital requirements.<br />
Management reviews its capital management approach on an on-going basis and believes that this<br />
approach, given the relative size of the Company, is reasonable. There have been no changes in the risks,<br />
objectives, policies and procedures in 2012 or 2013.<br />
FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS<br />
Details of the significant accounting policies and methods adopted (including the criteria for recognition,<br />
the bases of measurement, and the bases for recognition of income and expenses) for each class of financial<br />
asset and financial liability are disclosed in Note 6 of the audited consolidated financial statements for the<br />
year ended July 31, 2012.<br />
34
Allana Potash Corp.<br />
Management’s Discussion and Analysis<br />
For the three months ended October 31, 2012<br />
The Company's financial assets and financial liabilities as at July 31, 2012 and October 31, 2012 were as<br />
follows:<br />
July 31, 2012<br />
Loans and<br />
receivables<br />
35<br />
Assets /<br />
(liabilities) at fair<br />
value through<br />
profit or loss<br />
Other financial<br />
assets/<br />
(liabilities)<br />
Cash and cash equivalents $ 8,656,411 $ 40,475,962 $ - $ 49,132,373<br />
Restricted cash 50,000<br />
-<br />
-<br />
50,000<br />
Amounts and other receivables 106,656<br />
-<br />
-<br />
106,656<br />
Other financial assets -<br />
1,000,000<br />
-<br />
1,000,000<br />
Accounts payable and accrued liabilities $ - $ - $ (2,875,798) $ (2,875,798)<br />
October 31, 2012<br />
Cash and cash equivalents $ 718,036 $ 40,615,911 $ - $ 41,333,947<br />
Restricted cash 50,000<br />
-<br />
-<br />
50,000<br />
Amounts and other receivables 118,276<br />
-<br />
-<br />
118,276<br />
Other financial assets -<br />
1,000,000<br />
-<br />
1,000,000<br />
Accounts payable and accrued liabilities $ - $ - $ (5,354,230) $ (5,354,230)<br />
At October 31, 2012, there are no significant concentrations of credit risk for loans and receivables<br />
designated at fair value through profit and loss. The carrying amount reflected above represents the<br />
Company’s maximum exposure to credit risk for such loans and receivables.<br />
FINANCIAL RISK FACTORS<br />
The Company's risk exposures and the impact on the Company's financial instruments are<br />
summarized below:<br />
Credit risk<br />
The Company's credit risk is primarily attributable to amounts receivable. The Company has no significant<br />
concentration of credit risk arising from operations. Financial instruments included in amounts receivable<br />
consist of harmonized sales tax due from the Federal Government of Canada. Management believes that the<br />
credit risk concentration with respect to these financial instruments is remote.<br />
Liquidity risk<br />
The Company's approach to managing liquidity risk is to ensure that it will have sufficient liquidity to<br />
meet liabilities when due. As at October 31, 2012, the Company had cash and cash equivalents balance of<br />
$41,333,397 (July 31, 2012 – $49,132,373) to settle current liabilities of $5,354,230 (July 31, 2012 –<br />
$2,875,798). Substantially all of the Company's financial liabilities have contractual maturities of less<br />
than 30 days and are subject to normal trade terms.<br />
Market risk<br />
(a) Interest rate risk<br />
The Company has cash balances subject to fluctuations in the prime rate. The Company's current<br />
policy is to invest excess cash in investment-grade short-term deposit certificates issued by its<br />
banking institutions. The Company periodically monitors the investments it makes and is satisfied<br />
Total
Allana Potash Corp.<br />
Management’s Discussion and Analysis<br />
For the three months ended October 31, 2012<br />
with the credit ratings of its banks. Management believes that interest rate risk is remote as<br />
investments are short-term, and the Company currently does not carry interest bearing debt at<br />
floating rates.<br />
(b) Foreign currency risk<br />
The Company's functional currency is the Canadian dollar. The Company also funds certain<br />
operations, exploration and administrative expenses in Ethiopia and Argentina on a cash call basis<br />
using the Argentine Peso, the Euro, the US dollar, the UK pound sterling, the Swiss franc and the<br />
Ethiopian Birr currencies converted from its Canadian dollar bank accounts held in Canada. The<br />
Company does not hedge its foreign exchange risk.<br />
The following assets and liabilities listed in Canadian dollars are subject to foreign currency rate<br />
fluctuations as at July 31, 2012 and October 31, 2012:<br />
ETB EUR<br />
Denominated in<br />
GBP CHF USD<br />
Cash and cash equivalents $ 371,582 $ - $ - $ - $ 3,463<br />
Advances and deposits 123,424<br />
-<br />
-<br />
-<br />
-<br />
Accounts payable and accrued liabilities (58,463) (273,960) (224,680)<br />
- (1,082,556)<br />
Net exposure as at July 31, 2012 $ 436,543 $ (273,960) $ (224,680) $ - $ (1,079,093)<br />
Cash and cash equivalents $ 378,162 $ - $ - $ - $ 11,060<br />
Advances and deposits 71,098<br />
-<br />
-<br />
-<br />
-<br />
Accounts payable and accrued liabilities (190,789) (2,654,384) (101,299) (12,882) (2,127,316)<br />
Net exposure as at October 31, 2012 $ 258,471 $ (2,654,384) $ (101,299) $ (12,882) $ (2,116,256)<br />
(c) Price risk<br />
The Company will be exposed to price risk with respect to commodity prices, specifically potash.<br />
The Company closely monitors commodity prices to determine the appropriate course of action to<br />
be taken by the Company. The Company’s future operations will be significantly affected by<br />
changes in the market price of this commodity. Prices fluctuate on a daily basis and are affected by<br />
numerous factors beyond the Company’s control. The supply and demand for potash, the level of<br />
interest rates, the rate of inflation, investment decisions by large holders of potash and stability of<br />
exchange rates can all cause significant fluctuations in prices. Such external economic factors may<br />
in turn be influenced by changes in international investment patterns and monetary systems and<br />
political developments.<br />
(d) Financial instrument classification as fair value<br />
The Company has designated its cash equivalents to be measured at fair value.<br />
The three levels of the fair value hierarchy are as follows:<br />
Level 1 - Unadjusted quoted prices in active markets for identical assets or liabilities;<br />
Level 2 - Inputs other than quoted prices included in Level 1 that are observable for the asset or<br />
liability, either directly (i.e. as prices) or indirectly (i.e. derived from prices); and<br />
Level 3 - Inputs for the asset or liability that are not based on observable market data<br />
(unobservable inputs).<br />
36
Allana Potash Corp.<br />
Management’s Discussion and Analysis<br />
For the three months ended October 31, 2012<br />
As at October 31, 2012 and July 31, 2012 the Company had the following financial instruments at<br />
fair value:<br />
October 31, 2012<br />
Level 1 Level 2 Level 3<br />
Cash equivalents $ - $40,615,911 $ -<br />
Other financial assets $ - $11,535 $988,465<br />
July 31, 2012<br />
Level 1 Level 2 Level 3<br />
Cash equivalents $ - $40,475,962 $ -<br />
Other financial assets $ - $11,535 $988,465<br />
(e) Sensitivity analysis<br />
The Company carries no interest bearing debt to give rise to exposure to interest rate risk. A 1%<br />
increase in interest rates would have a corresponding monthly impact on net loss of approximately<br />
$34,000 based on the cash and cash equivalents balance at October 31, 2012.<br />
A 10% increase in the value of each of the Argentine Peso, the Euro, the US dollar, the UK pound<br />
sterling, the Swiss franc and the Ethiopian Birr against the Canadian dollar would not have any<br />
significant impact on the net loss of the Company as a result of substantially all of the Company’s<br />
monetary assets and liabilities being held in Canadian dollars.<br />
Price risk is remote since the Company is not a producing entity.<br />
NON-IFRS PERFORMANCE MEASURES<br />
The Company has included the non-IFRS performance measure below in this document. This non-IFRS<br />
performance measure does not have any standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS and, therefore, may not<br />
be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. The Company believes that, in addition<br />
to conventional measures prepared in accordance with IFRS, certain investors use this information to<br />
evaluate the Company’s performance. Accordingly, they are intended to provide additional information<br />
and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared with<br />
IFRS. The definition for this performance measure and reconciliation of the non-IFRS measure to reported<br />
IFRS measures is as follows:<br />
Working Capital<br />
Current assets<br />
Cash and cash equivalents $ 41,333,947 $ 49,132,373<br />
Restricted cash 50,000 50,000<br />
Amounts receivable 118,276 106,656<br />
Prepaid expenses 229,339 267,756<br />
41,731,562 49,556,785<br />
Current liabilities<br />
Accounts payable and accrued liabilities 5,354,230 2,875,798<br />
Working capital $ 36,377,332 $ 46,680,987<br />
37<br />
October 31, 2012<br />
July 31, 2012
OUTLOOK<br />
Allana Potash Corp.<br />
Management’s Discussion and Analysis<br />
For the three months ended October 31, 2012<br />
The Company will continue to focus on its potash exploration and development projects in Ethiopia and<br />
Argentina and will continue to look for projects that complement its properties in Ethiopia and Argentina in<br />
order to accomplish its objective to become a leading emerging potash exploration company outside of the<br />
major potash regions in Canada and Russia.<br />
OTHER MD&A REQUIREMENTS<br />
Additional information relating to the Company is available under the Company’s profile on SEDAR at<br />
www.sedar.com.<br />
SUMMARY OF SECURITIES AS AT DECEMBER 14, 2012<br />
As at December 14, 2012 the following common shares, common shares purchase options, share purchase<br />
warrants and special performance shares were issued and outstanding:<br />
� 240,133,279 common shares;<br />
� 35,609,972 common shares placed in escrow under terms of Nova Merger Agreement;<br />
� 15,070,000 common share purchase options with exercise prices ranging from $0.15-$2.00 expiring<br />
between June 19, 2013 and December 4, 2017;<br />
� 6,368,910 share purchase warrants with exercise prices ranging from $0.88-$2.08 expiring between<br />
August 2, 2013 and October 18, 2016.<br />
LIST OF DIRECTORS AND OFFICERS<br />
Mark Stauffer Chairman of the Board<br />
Farhad Abasov Director, President and Chief Executive Officer<br />
Lewis MacKenzie Director<br />
Rick Lacroix Director<br />
Diana Walters Director<br />
Deborah Battiston Chief Financial Officer<br />
Peter MacLean Senior Vice President, Exploration<br />
Nejib Abba Biya Senior Vice President, Business Development<br />
Jack Scott Senior Vice President, Strategic Projects<br />
Richard Kelertas Senior Vice President, Corporate Development<br />
Jason Wilkinson Vice President, Danakil Operations<br />
Brianna Davies Corporate Secretary<br />
December 14, 2012<br />
38