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30<br />
Weight loss obsession is not too strong<br />
a phrase to describe the mania connected<br />
with the desire to be thin, and<br />
that obsession is verified by the $200<br />
billion annual expenditure to slim<br />
down by almost any means available.<br />
Everyone is America is estimated to<br />
know at least a dozen people who<br />
have expressed a desire to lose weight<br />
or who are engaged in activities that<br />
target weight loss. And who among us<br />
doesn’t have one or two “miracle”<br />
products stored in the attic, medicine<br />
cabinet, or in use, that purported to<br />
either “melt the pounds away, burn<br />
calories while you sleep, quadruple<br />
your metabolism, or flush the fat right<br />
down the toilet”?<br />
Because of the obsession of people,<br />
young and old, weighing anywhere<br />
from 50 to 500 pounds, this class of<br />
drugs is projected to have tremendous<br />
out-the-gate potential, due to the<br />
appeal of its indication. Everyone wants<br />
to lose weight (even those who don’t<br />
particularly need to) for motives ranging<br />
from health to peer pressure and vanity.<br />
The market for weight loss therapeutics<br />
is expected to explode upon arrival,<br />
inasmuch as the majority of Americans<br />
are already overweight or obese, and<br />
even a portion of the remaining percentage<br />
believe they could stand to<br />
lose a few pounds, even if just for aesthetic<br />
motives, rather than health-related<br />
ones. Although the current therapeutics<br />
are generally prescribed to critically<br />
obese people, some experts<br />
believe that future drugs in this space<br />
may be more widely prescribed, possibly<br />
treating patients who have only 10<br />
to 20 pounds to lose. Market growth is<br />
spurred by afflicted patients who can’t<br />
help themselves and by people affected<br />
by social and personal mores who<br />
just want to help themselves to look or<br />
feel better. Driving this market is not<br />
only a hunger binge trend in developed<br />
nations, but an impulsive consumer<br />
base that is either anxious to be thin or<br />
determined to be healthy.<br />
THE BIOWORLD AND MEDICAL DEVICE DAILY OBESITY REPORT<br />
The expected market boom could<br />
trump the market head starts experienced<br />
by other two broadly anticipated<br />
markets that had lifestyle implications<br />
as well as medical applications:<br />
erectile dysfunction and sleep disorders.<br />
The trend for market success in<br />
the weight loss sector is projected to<br />
exceed the market debut runs of those<br />
cohort sectors that also had lifestyle<br />
implications that help to boost product<br />
revenue opportunities by incorporating<br />
a degree of consumer appeal<br />
with its semi-cosmetic application, to<br />
go along with the more critical medical<br />
application for severely-stricken<br />
patients.<br />
This is a market-in-waiting that is<br />
poised to gallop through the pharmacy<br />
upon approval. This forecast is comparable<br />
to when millions lined up in anticipation<br />
of ED drug market releases, not<br />
entirely for chronic conditions, rather to<br />
experience the promise of increased<br />
sexual stamina, and when many people,<br />
some with dubiously marginal<br />
affliction, overstated their cases in order<br />
to obtain the instant relief of a chemically<br />
induced good night’s sleep rather<br />
than affect a lifestyle change that might<br />
require sacrifice.<br />
Both classes of drugs have serious<br />
medical applications, but both have<br />
lifestyle appeal also. Weight loss<br />
obsession among the socially conscious<br />
and trendy is estimated to<br />
exceed the prurient appeal of even sex<br />
and sleep and is apt to increase market<br />
penetration for the impending round<br />
of obesity products.<br />
The Weight of the World to Come:<br />
Challenges and Issues of the<br />
Future Market<br />
There is little doubt that if everyone<br />
adhered to the BMI, the world’s population<br />
would benefit from the general<br />
and individual weight loss. It wouldn’t<br />
be absolved of disease and health<br />
afflictions, rather it would be just<br />
decidedly healthier than it is now.<br />
However, to supporters of the Disease<br />
Theory, such acknowledgement is not<br />
validation of the BMI or its validity to<br />
identify or predict disease.<br />
Debate may persist regarding how to<br />
define obesity, but the statistics bear<br />
out unmistakable facts: It is costing a<br />
lot of money to treat; it is an onset factor<br />
in most Type II diabetes cases; and<br />
more people are falling into the group,<br />
which has become the largest and<br />
fastest-growing health affliction category<br />
in the world.<br />
There is debate regarding whether or<br />
not obesity warrants the conventionally<br />
defined epidemic label ascribed to it<br />
by many authorities; however obesity<br />
is, at the least, an uncontrolled, spiraling<br />
problem.<br />
The ineffectiveness (on a meaningful,<br />
curative scale) of any individual, voluntary,<br />
organized or government resolution<br />
initiative to curtail or reverse the<br />
obesity problem puts the onus on a clinical<br />
response to address the problem.<br />
Biotechnology is on the forefront of that<br />
battle with innovative research, candidates<br />
poised to tackle the pervasive epidemic<br />
conditions, while med-tech is<br />
already a player with effective products<br />
and services, as well as a roster of novel<br />
technologies in development.<br />
Why hasn’t pharma stirred up a latestage<br />
partnering frenzy for biotech’s<br />
leading candidates? BioWorld concludes<br />
that the poor performance of<br />
the prescription drug market, as well<br />
as the significant number of clinical<br />
near-misses and failures, to date in<br />
the anti-obesity space would still<br />
require too big a leap of faith in<br />
biotech’s R&D at this point for big<br />
pharma to take. The most likely scenario<br />
will be an eleventh-hour Phase<br />
III deal or post-approval M&A activity.<br />
Also, if one of the candidates succeeds<br />
in getting FDA approval, the<br />
other two could then draw a lot of<br />
partnering attention. The three leading<br />
candidates show promise, but are