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Active Shooter - NYPD Shield

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The <strong>NYPD</strong> chose to restrict quantitative analysis to cases that took place within the<br />

United States because the <strong>NYPD</strong> limited its internet searches to English-language sites,<br />

creating a strong sampling bias against international incidents. Table 4 presents the<br />

number of cases in the Compendium by country.<br />

Table 4: Number of Incidents by Country<br />

Country Number of Incidents Country Number of Incidents<br />

U.S. 271 Bosnia 1<br />

Canada 8 Brazil 1<br />

Germany 7 Denmark 1<br />

Australia 5 Egypt 1<br />

Israel 3 Greece 1<br />

United Kingdom 4 Norway 1<br />

Finland 2 Slovakia 1<br />

France 2 Somalia 1<br />

India 2 South Korea 1<br />

Italy 2 Spain 1<br />

The Netherlands 2 Sweden 1<br />

Argentina 1 Thailand 1<br />

Austria 1 Yemen 1<br />

Belgium 1<br />

The <strong>NYPD</strong> chose to restrict quantitative analysis to cases with one or more documented<br />

casualties to compensate for a strong sampling bias. Although the <strong>NYPD</strong> identified in<br />

the Compendium 40 foiled attacks and three attacks resulting in zero casualties, this<br />

portion of the Compendium is not comprehensive, given the comparatively limited<br />

amount of news coverage these attacks received. 11<br />

As a general rule, the ability to make generalizations regarding a group of events<br />

improves as the number of events in the sample increases. Accordingly, it is difficult to<br />

make precise statistical judgments with limited data. For this reason, many research<br />

questions that would have been interesting to investigate, such as the average number of<br />

deaths in active shooter incidents in each state, cannot be answered with this data set.<br />

11 Incidents in which the attacker was the only casualty may also suffer from limited news reporting,<br />

making this portion of the data set incomplete.<br />

11

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