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Douglas T. Breeden - Duke University's Fuqua School of Business

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Leslie Marx Associate Pr<strong>of</strong>essor <strong>of</strong> Economics<br />

Research Focus: Anti-competitive behavior; contracting problems<br />

Courses: Managerial Economics (The <strong>Duke</strong> MBA—Cross Continent);<br />

Game Theory (PhD)<br />

As an associate pr<strong>of</strong>essor <strong>of</strong> economics, Leslie Marx focuses<br />

her research on anti-competitive behavior and vertical<br />

contracting between manufacturers and retailers. Her<br />

research results serve as guidance for the government<br />

and others on how to prevent, detect, and protect<br />

against anti-competitive practices. “I study bad behavior<br />

with the goal <strong>of</strong> learning when these behaviors should be a<br />

concern or not, and to help design institutions that are<br />

resistant to bad behavior,” says<br />

Marx. Marx and other economists<br />

play an important role in advising<br />

the Department <strong>of</strong> Justice and<br />

Federal Trade Commission, among<br />

others, on topics related to the functioning<br />

<strong>of</strong> the marketplace.<br />

One <strong>of</strong> Marx’s primary interests is<br />

the study <strong>of</strong> collusion. Collusion<br />

occurs when competitors cooperate<br />

in secret in order to try to circumvent<br />

the normal functioning <strong>of</strong> the marketplace.<br />

Marx recently authored the<br />

chapter “Lessons for Competition<br />

Policy from the Vitamins Cartel,” in the<br />

book The Political Economy <strong>of</strong> Antitrust.<br />

In their chapter Marx and co-authors,<br />

William Kovacic, Robert C. Marshall,<br />

and Matthew E. Raiff, examined collusion in the vitamin<br />

industry during the 1990s, a period <strong>of</strong> widespread collusion<br />

among vitamin manufacturers with the intent to maximize<br />

prices for vitamins.<br />

Marx and her co-authors were most interested in the sales<br />

practices <strong>of</strong> several vitamin manufacturers that were investigated<br />

by the federal government for price fixing and agreed<br />

to discontinue their anti-competitive agreements. The period<br />

immediately after a cartel is broken up, Marx points out, is a<br />

prime opportunity for companies to implicitly continue the<br />

agreements and practices they had ostensibly ended, without<br />

having any actual agreement to do so.<br />

Through their analysis <strong>of</strong> the vitamin industry, Marx<br />

and her collaborators demonstrated that the number <strong>of</strong><br />

firms operating in a particular marketplace is a strong<br />

26 exchange<br />

predictor <strong>of</strong> whether or not they will continue to act in<br />

tacit collusion after their scheme has been broken apart<br />

by regulators. Fewer competitors makes it easier for<br />

those companies to coordinate efforts to continue collusive<br />

behaviors. The team found that in cases where there<br />

were three or more competitors in a marketplace, prices<br />

dropped to pre-conspiracy pricing rather quickly after the<br />

end <strong>of</strong> collusive agreements. However, in markets with<br />

fewer than three competitors, the firms <strong>of</strong>ten continued<br />

to charge elevated prices, even after pledging to end<br />

their collusive behaviors.<br />

Their findings indicate that regulators should be<br />

concerned about the effects <strong>of</strong> proposed mergers that<br />

would reduce the number <strong>of</strong> competitors in a marketplace<br />

to two.<br />

In 2005–2006, Marx served a one-year appointment<br />

as the chief economist <strong>of</strong> the Federal Communications<br />

Commission. As chief economist, she worked at the<br />

intersection <strong>of</strong> research and practice on a daily basis,<br />

and serving as a liaison between the economists and<br />

commissioners, helping to put economic research into<br />

context for the commissioners. “Many <strong>of</strong> the situations<br />

facing the FCC are general economic issues that are<br />

applied to study telecom problems,” said Marx <strong>of</strong> her<br />

work on topics including auction design, à la carte pricing<br />

<strong>of</strong> cable television channels, and net neutrality.<br />

Back at <strong>Duke</strong>, Marx is currently studying the mechanisms<br />

<strong>of</strong> collusion at sealed-bid auctions, in which all <strong>of</strong><br />

the bidding parties determine their bids in advance and<br />

submit them in a confidential manner. These auctions<br />

remain open to many types <strong>of</strong> anti-competitive behavior,<br />

she notes. “One bidder could go to another and say they<br />

want to work together, and plan their bids together in<br />

advance,” she says, “but neither bidder ever knows for sure<br />

whether the other one kept their end <strong>of</strong> the agreement, or<br />

bid something different.” Cases <strong>of</strong> collusion at sealed-bid<br />

auctions should be detectable through careful review <strong>of</strong><br />

the bids, Marx says. Once collusion is detected, economists<br />

and others can work with agencies that host large<br />

auctions to create methods for detecting and preventing<br />

collusive behaviors.<br />

Marx and other academic economists play an important<br />

role by helping to supplement the government’s efforts to<br />

assess behaviors in the marketplace and recommend<br />

actions that may help to curb such practices.

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