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What is History / by Edward Hallett Carr - Universal History Library

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WHAT IS HISTORY<br />

been establ<strong>is</strong>hed in th<strong>is</strong> university. It would not, I feel sure, occur to any of those engaged<br />

in investigating the causes of crime to suppose that th<strong>is</strong> committed them to a denial of the<br />

moral responsibility of the criminal. Now let us look at the h<strong>is</strong>torian. Like the ordinary<br />

man, he believes that human actions have causes which are in principle ascertainable.<br />

H<strong>is</strong>tory, like everyday life, would be impossible if th<strong>is</strong> assumption were not made. It <strong>is</strong> the<br />

special function of the h<strong>is</strong>torian to investigate these causes. Th<strong>is</strong> may be thought to give<br />

him a special interest in the determined aspect of human behaviour: but he does not reject<br />

free will - except on the untenable hypothes<strong>is</strong> that voluntary actions have no cause. Nor <strong>is</strong><br />

he troubled <strong>by</strong> the question of inevitability. H<strong>is</strong>torians, like other people, sometimes fall<br />

into rhetorical language and speak of an occurrence as 'inevitable' when they mean merely<br />

that the conjunction of factors leading one to expect it was overwhelmingly strong.<br />

Recently I searched my own h<strong>is</strong>tory for the offending word, and cannot give myself an<br />

entirely clean bill of health: in one passage I wrote that, after the revolution of 1917, a<br />

dash between the Bolsheviks and the Orthodox Church was 'inevitable'. No doubt it would<br />

have been w<strong>is</strong>er to say 'extremely probable'. But may I be excused for finding the<br />

correction a shade pedantic? In practice, h<strong>is</strong>torians do not assume that events are<br />

inevitable before they have taken place. They frequently d<strong>is</strong>cuss alternative courses<br />

available to the actors in the story, on the assumption that the option was open, though<br />

they go on quite correctly to explain why one course was eventually chosen rather than the<br />

other. Nothing in h<strong>is</strong>tory <strong>is</strong> inevitable, except in the formal sense that, for it to have<br />

happened otherw<strong>is</strong>e, the antecedent causes would have had to be different. As a h<strong>is</strong>torian,<br />

I am perfectly prepared to do without 'inevitable', 'unavoidable', 'inescapable', and even<br />

'ineluctable'. Life will be drabber. But let us leave them to poets and metaphysicians.<br />

So barren and pointless does th<strong>is</strong> charge of inevitability appear, and so great the<br />

vehemence with which it has been pursued in recent years, that I think we must look for<br />

the hidden motives behind it. Its principal source <strong>is</strong>, I suspect, what I may call the 'mighthave-been'<br />

school of thought - or rather of emotion. It attaches itself almost exclusively to<br />

contemporary h<strong>is</strong>tory. Last term here in Cambridge I saw a talk to some society advert<strong>is</strong>ed<br />

under the title 'Was the Russian Revolution Inevitable ?' I am sure it was intended as a<br />

perfectly serious talk. But if you had seen a talk advert<strong>is</strong>ed on 'Were the Wars of the Roses<br />

Inevitable?' you would at once have suspected some joke. The h<strong>is</strong>torian writes of the<br />

Norman Conquest or the American War of Independence as if what happened was in fact<br />

bound to happen, and as if it was h<strong>is</strong> business simply to explain what happened and why;<br />

and nobody accuses him of being a determin<strong>is</strong>t and of failing to d<strong>is</strong>cuss the alternative<br />

possibility that William the Conqueror or the American insurgents might have been<br />

defeated. When, however, I write about the Russian revolution of 1917 in prec<strong>is</strong>ely th<strong>is</strong><br />

file:///C|/Documents and Settings/Vidula/Local Settings/Temp/Rar$EX00.750/carr.htm (58 of 97)7/20/2006 11:28:45 AM

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