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What is History / by Edward Hallett Carr - Universal History Library

What is History / by Edward Hallett Carr - Universal History Library

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WHAT IS HISTORY<br />

the future, to stay the advance of new d<strong>is</strong>coveries and inventions. <strong>What</strong> we have learned of<br />

the techniques and potentialities of mass propaganda cannot be simply obliterated. It <strong>is</strong> no<br />

more possible to return to the small-scale individual<strong>is</strong>t democracy of Lockeian or liberal<br />

theory, partially real<strong>is</strong>ed in Great Britain in the middle years of the nineteenth century,<br />

than it <strong>is</strong> possible to return to the horse and buggy or to early la<strong>is</strong>sez-faire capital<strong>is</strong>m. But<br />

the true answer <strong>is</strong> that these evils also carry with them their own corrective. The remedy<br />

lies not in a cult of irrational<strong>is</strong>m or a renunciation of the extended role of reason in modern<br />

society, but in a growing consciousness from below as well as from above of the role<br />

which reason can play. Th<strong>is</strong> <strong>is</strong> not a utopian dream, at a time when the increasing use of<br />

reason at all levels of society <strong>is</strong> being forced on us <strong>by</strong> our technological and scientific<br />

revolution. Like every other great advance in h<strong>is</strong>tory, th<strong>is</strong> advance has its costs and its<br />

losses, which have to be paid, and its dangers, which have to be faced. Yet, in spite of<br />

sceptics, and cynics, and prophets of d<strong>is</strong>aster, especially among the intellectuals of<br />

countries whose former privileged position has been undermined, I shall not be ashamed<br />

to treat it as a signal example of progress in h<strong>is</strong>tory. It <strong>is</strong> perhaps the most striking and<br />

revolutionary phenomenon of our time.<br />

The second aspect of the progressive revolution through which we are passing <strong>is</strong> the<br />

changed shape of the world. The great period of the fifteenth and sixteenth centuries, in<br />

which the medieval world finally broke up in ruins and the foundations of the modern<br />

world were laid, was marked <strong>by</strong> the d<strong>is</strong>covery of new continents and <strong>by</strong> the passing of the<br />

world centre of gravity hem the shores of the Mediterranean to those of the Atlantic. Even<br />

the lesser upheaval of the French revolution had its geographical sequel in the calling in of<br />

the new world to redress the balance of the old. But the changes wrought <strong>by</strong> the twentiethcentury<br />

revolution are far more sweeping than anything that has happened since the<br />

sixteenth century. After some 400 years the world centre of gravity has definitely shifted<br />

away from western Europe. Western Europe, together with the out- ,lying parts of the<br />

Engl<strong>is</strong>h-speaking world, has become an appenage of the North American continent, or, if<br />

you like, an agglomeration in which the United States serves both as power- house and as<br />

control-tower. Nor <strong>is</strong> th<strong>is</strong> the only, or perhaps the most significant, change. It <strong>is</strong> <strong>by</strong> no<br />

means clear that the world centre of gravity now resides, or will continue for long to<br />

reside, in the Engl<strong>is</strong>h-speaking world with its western European annex. It appears to be the<br />

great land-mass of eastern Europe and Asia, with its extensions into Africa, which today<br />

calls the tune in world affairs. The 'unchanging east' <strong>is</strong> nowadays a singularly - worn-out<br />

cliché.<br />

Let us take a quick look at what has happened to Asia in the present century. The story<br />

file:///C|/Documents and Settings/Vidula/Local Settings/Temp/Rar$EX00.750/carr.htm (91 of 97)7/20/2006 11:28:45 AM

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