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Demanda y Capacidad de Aeropuertos - Air Transportation Systems ...

Demanda y Capacidad de Aeropuertos - Air Transportation Systems ...

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Mo<strong>de</strong>los Para Pre<strong>de</strong>cir la <strong>Demanda</strong>• Mo<strong>de</strong>los agregados - respon<strong>de</strong>n a salarios (GDP) yprecio (relativo a otras alternativas)– El pronóstico <strong>de</strong> <strong>de</strong>manda <strong>de</strong> la FAA (Terminal Area Forecast)y el pronóstico agregado aerospacial (Aerospace Forecasts)usan este tipo <strong>de</strong> causalidad– La mayoria <strong>de</strong> los metodos usados para prediccion usan estai<strong>de</strong>a• Individual choice mo<strong>de</strong>ling of travel <strong>de</strong>mand– People choose a mo<strong>de</strong> (airline, GA, auto, rail bus, etc.) basedon full price of travel, which inclu<strong>de</strong>s:– Travel time– Out of pocket travel costs– Access time and cost– Trip purpose (business vs. non-business)– The TSAM mo<strong>de</strong> choice mo<strong>de</strong>l employs this frameworkDerechos Reservados: A.A. Trani15

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