klimatis cvlileba
klimatis cvlileba
klimatis cvlileba
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B scenaris ganxorcielebis SemTxvevaSi<br />
analogiur cvlilebebs dasWirdeba vakeSi 2,0-2,5,<br />
xolo mTebSi - daaxloebiT 3,0-3,5 saukune. C da D<br />
scenarebis ganxorcielebis pirobebSi ki<br />
landSaftTa tipebis igive TanmimdevrobiT<br />
gadanawileba mosalodnelia vakeSi 4-5, xolo mTebSi<br />
7-10 saukunis Semdeg. ra Tqma unda es mxolod<br />
Teoriuli gaTvlebia da maTi prognozuli<br />
mniSvneloba ar aris didi.<br />
saqarTveloSi gasuli saukunis ganmavlobaSi da<br />
mimdinare saukunis dasawyisSi mimdinare klimaturi<br />
cvlilebebis gaTvaliswinebiT m.elizbaraSvilma(2006)<br />
SeimuSava <strong>klimatis</strong> cvlilebis 3 scenari:<br />
I scenari gulisxmobs, rom <strong>klimatis</strong> <strong>cvlileba</strong><br />
momavalSi warimarTeba im saSualo tendenciebs<br />
Sesabamisad, rac daikvirveboda mTeli gasuli<br />
saukunis ganmavlobaSi da mimdinare saukunis<br />
dasawyisSi. aseTi daSvebiT Savi zRvis sanapiro<br />
zolisaTvis temperaturis cvlilebis siCqare<br />
Seadgens 0,03 0 –s yovel !0 weliwadSi, xolo naleqebi<br />
izrdeba daaxloebiT 6mm-iT yovelwliurad. am<br />
scenaris mixedviT qvemo svaneTSi temperatura<br />
gaizrdeba siCqariT 0,07 0 –iT yovel 10 weliwadSi,<br />
naleqebi ki yovelwliurad gaizrdeba 7mm-iT. amave<br />
siCqariT gaizrdeba temperatura dedofliswyaros<br />
raionSi, xolo naleqebi ucvleli darCeba an<br />
daiklebs. es pirobebi Seesabameba globaluri<br />
<strong>klimatis</strong> cvlilebis D scenars.<br />
II scenari <strong>klimatis</strong> zomier cvlilebebs<br />
gulisxmobs da ZiriTadad Seesabameba bolo 40 wlis<br />
periods (1966-2006), rodesac meteorologiuri<br />
dakvirvebebi 8-vadian dakvirvebaTa sistemaze gadavida.<br />
am SemTxvevaSi Savi zRvis sanapiro zolisaTvis<br />
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