strategiuli marTvis kibernetikuli meTodi
strategiuli marTvis kibernetikuli meTodi
strategiuli marTvis kibernetikuli meTodi
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amdenad aris SesaZlebeli monografiaSi damuSavebuli<br />
<strong>kibernetikuli</strong> instrumentis (<strong>meTodi</strong>s) meSveobiT politikurekonomikuri<br />
procesebis ganviTarebis prognozireba? amdenad<br />
zusti iqneba aseTi prognozi?<br />
makroekonomikuri procesebis prognozirebaze muSaoben<br />
msoflios wamyvani ekonomistebi, safinanso institutebi, maTi<br />
rekomendaciebiT xorcieldeba sxvadasxva qveynebis ekonomikuri<br />
ganviTarebis dagegmva da marTva. am rekomendaciebiT miRweulia<br />
seriozuli warmatebebi. magram, mainc, ver xerxdeba msoflio<br />
ekonomikuri krizisebis Tavidan acileba, maT Soris XXI<br />
saukeneSic ki, rom araferi vTqvaT umsxvilesi korporaciebis<br />
gakotrebisa da sxvadasxva qveynis gaRatakebis Sesaxeb. ufro<br />
metic, aseTi krizisuli movlenebi TiTqos sruliad<br />
moulodnelad iCens xolme Tavs da iwvevs msoflio ekonomikuri<br />
mdgomareobis ryevas, ekonomikuri ganviTarebis daqveiTebas,<br />
umuSevrobas da a.S.<br />
rac Seexeba politikuri procesebis prognozirebas, aq saqme<br />
ufro rTulad aris. marqsistuli moZRvrebis (romelic Tavis<br />
mxriv hegelis filosofias eyrdnoba) mixedviT SesaZlebelia<br />
politikuri procesebisa da/an revoluciuri cvlilebebis da misi<br />
Sedegebis winaswarmetyveleba. praqtikulad es mosazreba<br />
`brwyinvaled~ daadastura 1917 wlis revoluciebma ruseTis<br />
imperiaSi da am `unikaluri eqsperimentiT~ amoiwura sazogadoebis<br />
ganviTarebis marqsistul-leninuri Teoriis damamtkicebeli<br />
magaliTebi.<br />
Tanamedrove politikuri filosofia ZiriTadad uaryofs<br />
politikuri procesebis met-naklebad zusti prognozirebis<br />
SesaZleblobas 25 . rogorc dimitri uznaZe aRniSnavda `arsebobs<br />
swored imdeni kulturuli mimdinareoba, ramdeni erovnebac<br />
cocxlobs. da es imitom, rom kulturuli Semoqmedebis subieqti<br />
SeiZleba mxolod gansazRvruli erovnuli erTeuli iyos...<br />
rodesac kulturis ganviTarebis Sesaxeb vlaparaobT, aucileblad<br />
saxeSi unda gvqondes erTi romelime gansazRvruli erovnebis<br />
25 ix. robert gilpini `saerTaSoriso politikuri cvlilebebis buneba~ wignSi<br />
`saerTaSoriso urTierTobebis Teoria~, qrestomaTia, samoqalaqo iniciativebis<br />
instituti, 2000 w. gv. 84-115.<br />
106
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