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“Coming Soon: Free tools and data for<br />

heat network planning”<br />

Joshua Thumim, Head of<br />

Research at the Centre for<br />

Sustainable Energy in Bristol,<br />

introduces a new initiative<br />

designed to dramatically reduce<br />

the cost of planning local heat<br />

networks in Europe.<br />

Planning a local heat network is<br />

an expensive and complex business. This is hardly surprising,<br />

since district heating schemes are place-specific systems<br />

designed for the individual neighbourhoods they serve. There’s<br />

no off-the-shelf option.<br />

The networks themselves are conceptually straightforward; the<br />

top-level decisions are where the heat supply will be located<br />

and which buildings will be connected, and what is the most<br />

technically and economically efficient route to join the two.<br />

In practice however, and even in a relatively small<br />

neighbourhood, these choices can combine to produce a<br />

mind-boggling number of possibilities of which only a fraction<br />

are likely to be viable. And that’s assuming that you have good<br />

information on factors such as local heat demand and the likely<br />

cost of digging up the roads, but also the ability to use that<br />

information to model the techno-economic performance of a<br />

proposed network.<br />

So the challenge can be framed as a ‘search problem’: out of<br />

the hundreds of possible heat networks that you could build<br />

in a particular area, which is the best? Which buildings should<br />

be included, where should the energy centre go, how should<br />

we route the pipes that connect them, and – something often<br />

forgotten by planners – what does all this mean in practice for<br />

the occupants of the buildings being connected?<br />

The first step is to identify a small number of sensible<br />

candidates from the large set of possible networks. This is<br />

known as pre-feasibilty work. Once complete, more detailed<br />

analysis is undertaken to refine the list and identify a preferred<br />

option. This is known as feasibilty work, and only once this stage<br />

is fulfilled can full engineering design work be undertaken.<br />

The pre-feasibility stage is of critical importance, since it is here<br />

that potential solutions are identified or ruled out. However,<br />

public authorities often lack the tools and capacity to do this<br />

themselves, so typically commission this work from a limited<br />

number of consultancies who tend to undertake it more or less<br />

‘manually’ – for example, selecting areas of high spatial heat<br />

demand density from heat demand maps, and then looking<br />

for potential network solutions within these areas using various<br />

rules of thumb.<br />

This process is expensive, inefficient and slow, and does not<br />

tend to build capacity within the public authorities. It also fails<br />

to consider the full range of possible networks in a given area.<br />

What if it didn’t have to be like this? What if the energy system<br />

maps, software and modelling tools for identifing the best<br />

heat-network options were freely available to local authorities,<br />

energy companies and other agencies?<br />

We believe that this would reduce planning costs and<br />

development time, and bring the benefits of heat networks<br />

to more people, sooner. And this is exactly what THERMOS is<br />

attempting to do.<br />

Thermal Energy Resource Modelling and Optimisation System<br />

is a £3m EC Horizon 2020 funded research project which<br />

will provide the methods, data, and tools to enable public<br />

authorities and other stakeholders to undertake sophisticated<br />

thermal energy system planning far more rapidly and cheaply<br />

than they can today.<br />

In a nutshell, THERMOS aims to make local heat networks<br />

cheaper to develop by providing high resolution energy system<br />

maps, free software for identifying viable heat networks, and<br />

perhaps most importantly, sharing experiences between city<br />

energy planners, during and after the development of these<br />

tools.<br />

Of course, this won’t make the actual building of district<br />

heating networks cheaper or quicker, but it should dramatically<br />

accelerate the pace and reduce the cost of identifying the most<br />

promising networks in a given area, and help ensure that the<br />

systems that do go ahead are the right ones.<br />

What THERMOS offers<br />

Specifically, THERMOS will:<br />

• Develop and publish a state-of-the-art methodology for<br />

developing address-level energy system maps, to enable<br />

public authorities and other stakeholders to efficiently<br />

(and in some cases more rapidly) plan for the upgrading,<br />

refurbishment and expansion of existing heating and<br />

cooling network systems in any given area.<br />

• Produce a set of such maps for a series of four ‘pilot cities’<br />

(the local authority areas of Islington borough council in<br />

London in the United Kingdom, Warsaw in Poland, Jelgava in<br />

Latvia and Granollers in Spain.<br />

• Develop and publish models for analysing these maps to<br />

answer a range of questions required for thermal energy<br />

system planning by city, regional and national stakeholders.<br />

• Incorporate these models in a free, open-source software<br />

application tailored to the specific needs of different pilot<br />

city stakeholders.<br />

• Work closely with energy planning stakeholders to support<br />

the use of the new tools in real-world energy planning.<br />

• Support the implementation of the energy system mapping<br />

methodology, and subsequently the use of the software, in<br />

a further four ‘replication’ cities or regions (specifically Cascais<br />

in Portugal, Alba Iulia in Romania, Berlin and London).<br />

During and beyond the three-year lifetime of the programme<br />

itself, THERMOS will engage in a wider programme of<br />

dissemination and communication to maximise the impacts<br />

of the project. And after 2019, our hope is that we will leave a<br />

legacy through open-sourcing the methods data and tools, so<br />

that the benefits are spread far and wide.<br />

The four pilot cities were chosen because of their potential to<br />

plan and design a real-world system using the THERMOS tool.<br />

Each has different levels of experience and know-how with<br />

planning district heating. Between them, our pilot cities have<br />

a deep well of knowledge of the challenges facing thermal<br />

network planners. We’ll be using this to develop software that<br />

builds on real-world experience, and helps us understand<br />

what best-practice looks like - and how it can be replicated<br />

elsewhere.<br />

The four replication cities involved in the project – Cascais, Alba<br />

Iulia, Berlin and London - all have the desire and potential to<br />

expand, modernise or re-introduce<br />

They’ll play a crucial role in road-testing the THERMOS planning<br />

methodology and software to identify optimum areas for new<br />

networks and the best ways to refurbish existing ones. The<br />

replication cities will ensure that the tools THERMOS develops<br />

are fit-for-purpose and work to support real-world energy<br />

planning processes.<br />

And after that, the THERMOS resources will become available<br />

for everyone to use.<br />

Our plan is for local authorities and others to access the tools<br />

and data through an online software application which is<br />

simple to use, but which also reflects the detailed models<br />

required to underpin local network planning - an interesting<br />

design challenge in itself!<br />

At the moment the software is under development,<br />

progressing well in the capable hands of our software team<br />

here at CSE in Bristol, with the all important energy system<br />

modelling algorithms being created by THERMOS partner<br />

Imperial College London.<br />

We think THERMOS could be the key to unlocking the huge<br />

potential of district heating and cooling networks, and if we do<br />

our job well, many more parts of the UK and Europe will be in<br />

a position to benefit from an energy system which offers the<br />

much-needed low carbon and low cost energy supplies of the<br />

future.<br />

THERMOS CITIES<br />

Pilot City Replication City<br />

Granollers, Spain Cascais, Portugal<br />

Islington, UK London (GLA), UK<br />

Jelgava, Latvia Alba Iulia, Romania<br />

Warsaw, Poland Berlin (dena), Germany<br />

Working with CSE on THERMOS<br />

Our partners include universities, local authorities and city-wide<br />

authorities, energy and environmental agencies and specialist<br />

consultants:<br />

UK: Imperial College, London, Greater London Authority,<br />

London Borough of Islington; Spain: Creara Consultores<br />

SL, Ajuntament de Granollers; Poland: Krajowa Agencja<br />

Poszanowania Energii SA, Miasto Stoleczne Warszawa;<br />

Latvia: Vides Investiciju Fonds SIA; Jelgavas Dome; Denmark:<br />

Aalborg Universitet; Germany: ICLEI European Secretariat<br />

GMBH, Deutsche Energie-Agentur GMBH; Romania: Primaria<br />

Municipiului Alba Iulia; Portugal: Municipio de Cascais<br />

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