Вінніпеґ Український № 12 (36) (February 2018)

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OPINION. ДУМКА CHILDFREE Due Andrii Shcherbukha to one page restriction in our Opinions Column, the entirety of this article can be found online: http://ukrainianwinnipeg.ca/childless “If I had known what it meant to love, I wouldn’t have had children” his is a quote from “Ru” by Kim Thúy – a woman’s journey from a Saigon palatial residence to a crowded Ma- T laysian refugee camp and onto her new life in Canada. We were discussing the book with my book club mates when I thought of several couples who I know had decided to remain childfree. Their decision feels like a loss for humanity, as some of them would have made great parents. So how many Canadians are childless and is there a trend in the number of voluntary childfree Canadians? Human Fertility Database [Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (Germany) and Vienna Institute of Demography (Austria) and Statistics Canada confirm that Canada hasn’t reached the replacement rate of 2.1 children since 1971: in 1984, it was estimated that 5.4% of couples had experienced infertility; by 2009/2010, the estimate increased to 12% - 16%). Relatively new category is described as “perpetual postponers” – people who wait until they have completed their education, until they find lucrative employment, until they purchase a home, etc. Those people drive up the mean age at first birth, but waiting for the appropriate time to have a child often culminates in the acceptance of childlessness. Canada is not yet facing a declining population, only because of its progressive immigration policies. A number of factors have led to Canadians choosing to have smaller families: medical advances (infant mortality declined steadily since early 60), economy (global and national trends), and changes in law (birth control and therapeutic abortions were legalized in 1969). Data from the 1991 Census and the 2006 General Social Survey of Family Transitions, shows that the lowest level of childlessness are for cohorts of women born from around 1927 to 1941 – 12.5%. The levels of childlessness increased with the 1942-1946 birth cohorts (13.9%) and have continued to increase with the succeeding cohorts. In 1991 15.9% of 40-44 year-old women were childless. In 2007 - 18.94%. The reasons why people are childless are varied, complex and often overlapping. Some never wanted children, some never met the right person. Another factor of childlessness is infertility along with other health reasons (according to Statistics Canada, Even though the total rate of childlessness increases, estimates indicate that there is no apparent trend over the sixteen-year period (1990 to 2006): the proportion of people intending to remain childfree hovers at 6-9% for men and women ages 20-34. Will childlessness increase? Hard to say. Spike in childlessness among 30-and-35 year-old following the 2007 financial crisis in the USA suggests that economic stability will play a big role. The Government of Canada predicts a total fertility rate of 1.7 in 2018 and will increase to 1.79 (75th percentile) in 2038. With or without children, I hope all of us will know what it means to love. УВ 6 Український Вінніпеґ - ЛЮТИЙ 2018 -
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Вінніпеґ Український № 12 (36) (February 2018)

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