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KORREKTION FOR FEJLKILDER AF DAGLIGE ... - DMI

KORREKTION FOR FEJLKILDER AF DAGLIGE ... - DMI

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INDHOLDS<strong>FOR</strong>TEGNELSE<br />

1 INDLEDNING............................................................................................................................................. 3<br />

2 METODER TIL AT KORRIGERE MÅLT NEDBØR <strong>FOR</strong> <strong>FEJLKILDER</strong> ........................................... 6<br />

2.1 MODEL TIL <strong>KORREKTION</strong> <strong>AF</strong> FLYDENDE NEDBØR............................................................................................ 7<br />

2.2 MODEL TIL <strong>KORREKTION</strong> <strong>AF</strong> FAST NEDBØR .................................................................................................... 8<br />

2.3 MODEL TIL <strong>KORREKTION</strong> <strong>AF</strong> BLANDET NEDBØR ............................................................................................10<br />

2.4 <strong>KORREKTION</strong> <strong>FOR</strong> LÆEFFEKT.......................................................................................................................13<br />

2.5 <strong>KORREKTION</strong> <strong>FOR</strong> WETTING I PRAKSIS..........................................................................................................14<br />

2.6 <strong>KORREKTION</strong> HVIS V, T OG I ER UDEN<strong>FOR</strong> GYLDIGHEDSOMRÅDE <strong>FOR</strong> MODEL ................................................15<br />

3 SYSTEM TIL <strong>KORREKTION</strong> <strong>AF</strong> <strong>DAGLIGE</strong> NEDBØRMÅLINGER..................................................16<br />

3.1 STATIONSNETTET I DANMARK - HVILKE VARIABLE MÅLES PÅ STATIONERNE?.................................................17<br />

3.2 REGIONSOPDELING <strong>AF</strong> DANMARK ................................................................................................................18<br />

3.3 DEFINITION <strong>AF</strong> BASISSTATIONER..................................................................................................................18<br />

3.4 HVORDAN HAR DATAGRUNDLAGET ÆNDRET SIG TILBAGE I TIDEN? ................................................................19<br />

3.5 PROGRAM- OG FILSYSTEMET .......................................................................................................................20<br />

3.5.1 Oversigt..............................................................................................................................................20<br />

3.5.2 Generelt om programsyntaks ..............................................................................................................23<br />

3.5.3 Fase 1 - datakontrol (program: OK_LIST) ..........................................................................................23<br />

3.5.4 Fase 2 - kontrol af nettet af basisstationer (program: BAS_LIST) .......................................................29<br />

3.5.5 Fase 3 - beregning af afledede variable (program: BER_KORR) ........................................................34<br />

3.5.6 Fase 4 - kontrol af nedbørstationer (program: NED_LIST) .................................................................38<br />

3.5.7 Fase 5 - korrektion af punktnedbør (program: KORR_MAN) ..............................................................40<br />

4 BEREGNING <strong>AF</strong> METEOROLOGISKE VARIABLE............................................................................42<br />

4.1 BESTEMMELSE <strong>AF</strong> NEDBØRTYPEN ................................................................................................................42<br />

4.1.1 Nedbørtypen ud fra vejrkoder .............................................................................................................43<br />

4.1.2 Nedbørtypen på basis af temperatur....................................................................................................46<br />

4.1.3 Nedbørtypen ved en automatisk klimastation ud fra vejrkoder ............................................................46<br />

4.2 REGNINTENSITET........................................................................................................................................47<br />

4.3 SNEPROCENT..............................................................................................................................................48<br />

4.4 MIDDELVÆRDI UNDER NEDBØR <strong>AF</strong> VINDHASTIGHED OG LUFTTEMPERATUR ....................................................50<br />

4.5 SNETYKKELSE, WETTING OG <strong>FOR</strong>DAMPNING.................................................................................................50<br />

4.6 FAKTORER DER INDVIRKER PÅ USIKKERHEDEN PÅ ESTIMATET........................................................................51<br />

5 EKSEMPLER PÅ <strong>KORREKTION</strong>...........................................................................................................55<br />

5.1 CASE STUDY: SNESTORMEN 1996 ................................................................................................................55<br />

5.2 <strong>KORREKTION</strong> <strong>AF</strong> EN NEDBØR TIDSSERIE SØNDERSØ 1979-1995 .....................................................................55<br />

6 <strong>AF</strong>RUNDING OG FREMTID....................................................................................................................58<br />

LITTERATUR<br />

APPENDIKS<br />

SAMMENLIGNING <strong>AF</strong> GAMLE OG NYE KODER <strong>FOR</strong> VEJRET (WW) OG VEJRETS <strong>FOR</strong>LØB (W1,W2)

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