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218 ATTILA VAJDA (1)<br />

long term projects. Researches like [6] based on historical data of 396 projects of IS-<br />

BSG data set, showed that there exist a relation between E and D, which is nonlinear<br />

in case of medium and large projects, but can be considered as linear in case of small<br />

projects. For small projects, simple duration estimation model is needed, which can<br />

be adjusted easily to the team, project type, and gives a correct result based on the<br />

estimated effort and team size. By using the model presented in this paper, we reduce<br />

the project uncertainty by allowing the manager to obtain more accurate project duration<br />

estimations. Based on the P id value the personal professional evaluation can<br />

be observed.<br />

The model can be further improved by taking into account external factors which<br />

can influence the team productivity factors like team experience, team motivation,<br />

technical knowledge, etc. and to develop a model for more accurate productivity<br />

predictions.<br />

References<br />

[1] A. W. Chow, B. D. Goodman, J. W. Rooney, C. D. Wyble, Engaging a corporate community<br />

to manage technology and embrace innovation, IBM Systems Journal, Vol. 46, No. 4, 2007<br />

[2] Steve McConnell, Rapid Development, Microsoft Press, Washington, 1996<br />

[3] Gibs.W.W. Software’s Chronic Crisis, Scientific American, September, 1994<br />

[4] Boehm B., Abts C. Software Development Cost Estimation Approaches - A Survey, University<br />

of Southern California, Los Angeles, March 2000<br />

[5] Temnenco V., Software Estimation, Enterprise-Wide, IBM The Rational Edge, Vol. June 2007<br />

[6] Olign S., Bourque P., Abran A., Fournie B., Exploring the Relation Between Effort and.<br />

Duration in Software Engineering Projects, World Computer Congress 2000, Beijing, China<br />

[7] Heemstra F.J, Softwae cost estimation, Information and Software technology 34 (10): 627-<br />

639,1992<br />

[8] Kitchenham B.A.,Empirical studies of assumptions that underlie software cost estimation models,<br />

Information and Software technology 34 (4): 211-218,1992<br />

(1) Sysgenic Group, Alunis 48, Targu Mures, Romania<br />

E-mail address: attila.vajda@sysgenic.com

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