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Soil-stored seed abundance (seeds m –2 )<br />

(a)<br />

5000<br />

4000<br />

3000<br />

2000<br />

1000<br />

(b)<br />

Soil-stored seed germination (%)<br />

(c)<br />

Seed germination (%)<br />

0<br />

12<br />

10<br />

8<br />

6<br />

4<br />

2<br />

0<br />

50<br />

45<br />

40<br />

35<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

2008<br />

2009<br />

2010<br />

standard error<br />

Farm Forest (grazing) Forest (burning) Hoop pine plantation<br />

Site<br />

2008<br />

2009<br />

2010<br />

standard error<br />

Farm Forest (grazing) Forest (burning) Hoop pine plantation<br />

Site<br />

fresh seeds<br />

1-year-old seeds<br />

2-year-old seeds<br />

standard error<br />

Significance<br />

Site p < 0.02<br />

Year p < 0.02<br />

Site × year p < 0.001<br />

Significance<br />

Site<br />

Year<br />

Site × year<br />

Significance<br />

Site<br />

Year<br />

Site × year<br />

p < 0.05<br />

Not significant<br />

p < 0.05<br />

Farm Forest (grazing) Forest (burning) Hoop pine plantation<br />

Site<br />

Periodic but slow/moderate burning <strong>of</strong><br />

a lantana infestation as a management<br />

tool appears not to tilt the population<br />

to negative growth, although it can<br />

reduce soil-stored seed viability and<br />

abundance (which can be as high as<br />

1000 seeds m –2 ). Approximately 25% <strong>of</strong><br />

fresh lantana seeds remain viable even<br />

after three years <strong>of</strong> burial, confirming<br />

that seed persistence <strong>of</strong> the weed can be<br />

long (Figure 22.4).<br />

Environmental variability is the norm<br />

rather than the exception. Over three<br />

years, our surveys across varying<br />

landscape and land-use types have<br />

enabled us to capture such variability.<br />

The next task is to build robust<br />

population growth models and then<br />

combine the demographic information<br />

collected with economic data<br />

(e.g. control cost per plant or per hectare)<br />

and environmental data (e.g. long-term<br />

rainfall trend). This will lead to better<br />

informed decisions on the feasibility <strong>of</strong><br />

local control/eradication <strong>of</strong> the weed.<br />

Funding in 2010–11<br />

• Queensland Government<br />

• Land Protection Fund ($37 000)<br />

Collaborators<br />

• S. Raghu (CSIRO Ecosystem Sciences,<br />

Brisbane)<br />

• Joe Scalan (Biosecurity Queensland,<br />

Toowoomba)<br />

More information<br />

Key publication<br />

Osunkoya, OO, Perrett, C & Fernando, C<br />

2010, ‘Population viability analysis<br />

models for Lantana camara L.<br />

(Verbenaceae): a weed <strong>of</strong> national<br />

significance’, in SM Zydenbos (ed.),<br />

Proceedings <strong>of</strong> the 17th Australasian<br />

Weeds Conference, New Zealand Plant<br />

Protection Society, Christchurch, New<br />

Zealand, pp. 99–102.<br />

For further information on this research<br />

project and access to key publications,<br />

visit the invasive plant and animal science<br />

pages on the Biosecurity Queensland<br />

website at www.biosecurity.qld.gov.au<br />

50 <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>highlights</strong>: research projects 2010–11<br />

p < 0.02<br />

p < 0.05<br />

p < 0.05<br />

Figure 22.4 Seed trait dynamics <strong>of</strong> lantana in each <strong>of</strong> the four populations surveyed: (a) soilstored<br />

seed abundance, (b) soil-stored seed germination and (c) seed germination in relation to<br />

time since soil burial

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