04.04.2013 Views

Download in PDF (2MB) here - Foreknowledge

Download in PDF (2MB) here - Foreknowledge

Download in PDF (2MB) here - Foreknowledge

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

● Analysis and collection are<br />

functional areas of activity<br />

performed with<strong>in</strong> all three<br />

pr<strong>in</strong>cipal discipl<strong>in</strong>es and as<br />

part of the collective all-discipl<strong>in</strong>e<br />

process. Notwithstand<strong>in</strong>g<br />

obvious<br />

similarities, t<strong>here</strong> are simultaneously<br />

significant differences<br />

<strong>in</strong> emphasis and<br />

methodology <strong>in</strong> the manner<br />

<strong>in</strong> which these functions are<br />

executed with<strong>in</strong> the respective<br />

primary discipl<strong>in</strong>es. In<br />

comparison with positive<br />

<strong>in</strong>telligence, counter<strong>in</strong>telligence<br />

analysis for one is<br />

more diverse <strong>in</strong> its scope,<br />

methodology and techniques.<br />

Cognisance is taken<br />

of the fact that some practitioners<br />

may categorise collection<br />

and analysis as<br />

‘discipl<strong>in</strong>es’ or ‘subdiscipl<strong>in</strong>es’.<br />

If so, then they are<br />

functional, not primary discipl<strong>in</strong>es.<br />

Be that as it may,<br />

functional areas are not limited<br />

to analysis and collection.<br />

The identification of<br />

further functional areas<br />

would require dedicated research<br />

and only ‘<strong>in</strong>telligence<br />

management’ is proposed as<br />

an addition <strong>here</strong>.<br />

● The <strong>in</strong>telligence process is<br />

performed by means of a<br />

multi-directional activity flow.<br />

The latter applies to the respective<br />

pr<strong>in</strong>cipal discipl<strong>in</strong>es,<br />

the functions and the<br />

comb<strong>in</strong>ation t<strong>here</strong>of <strong>in</strong> the<br />

all-discipl<strong>in</strong>e process.<br />

The contour provided above clearly<br />

requires considerable ref<strong>in</strong>ement<br />

and substantiat<strong>in</strong>g research. Notwithstand<strong>in</strong>g<br />

its cursory nature, the<br />

nexus holds out aga<strong>in</strong>st one of the<br />

litmus test for theories, namely conceptual<br />

clarification. The notional<br />

‘unclutter<strong>in</strong>g’ of the relationship<br />

between counter<strong>in</strong>telligence and<br />

transnational security concerns<br />

such as counter-proliferation (of<br />

Weapons of Mass Destruction –<br />

Conceptual nexus towards an all-discipl<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong>telligence process: Duvenage & Hough<br />

WMD), organised crime and counterterrorism<br />

serves as an example.<br />

While some scholars consider counterterrorism<br />

as part of counter<strong>in</strong>telligence,<br />

others assert<br />

counterterrorism to have “developed”<br />

<strong>in</strong>to a “separate <strong>in</strong>telligence<br />

discipl<strong>in</strong>e.” Counterterrorism is neither<br />

a separate <strong>in</strong>telligence discipl<strong>in</strong>e,<br />

nor is it part of<br />

counter<strong>in</strong>telligence. It is a security<br />

concern that <strong>in</strong>volves facets of positive<br />

<strong>in</strong>telligence, covert action as<br />

well as counter<strong>in</strong>telligence. The<br />

same applies to counter-proliferation<br />

and organised crime.<br />

Is this really helpful?<br />

This three part contribution demonstrated<br />

an abundance of fragmented<br />

knowledge of ‘what we know’ and<br />

‘what we th<strong>in</strong>k we know’ <strong>in</strong> as far<br />

as the <strong>in</strong>telligence process is concerned.<br />

What counter<strong>in</strong>telligence<br />

practitioners and scholars ‘do not<br />

know’ is how to structure these<br />

multi-facetted processes <strong>in</strong> a manner<br />

that satisfactorily meet model<br />

construction’s demand of reflect<strong>in</strong>g<br />

this reality <strong>in</strong> a simplified notional<br />

construct with real explanatory<br />

power.<br />

Similar to other contemporary models,<br />

the nexus above neither atta<strong>in</strong>s<br />

this evasive goal, nor does it escape<br />

several deficiencies cited <strong>in</strong> respect<br />

of other exist<strong>in</strong>g postulations. It<br />

should thus be viewed as part of<br />

the gradual progression towards to<br />

a viable <strong>in</strong>telligence process model.<br />

<strong>in</strong>sight<br />

Who knows perhaps it will be<br />

found to be a circle after all?<br />

1 Nolan, J A. 1997. “Confus<strong>in</strong>g Counter<strong>in</strong>telligence with<br />

Security Can Wreck Your Afternoon” Competitive<br />

Intelligence Review, 8(3)<br />

2 Article based on Petrus Duvenage and Mike Hough,<br />

2011, The conceptual structur<strong>in</strong>g of the <strong>in</strong>telligence<br />

and the counter<strong>in</strong>telligence processes: endur<strong>in</strong>g holy<br />

grails or crumbl<strong>in</strong>g axioms – quo vadis? Strategic<br />

Review for Southern Africa, vol. 33, no. 1, pp.29-77.<br />

<strong>Download</strong> <strong>here</strong>. (10MB pdf)<br />

3 The axiom of <strong>in</strong>telligence consist<strong>in</strong>g of the four pr<strong>in</strong>cipal<br />

discipl<strong>in</strong>es is thus contested. It is unclear how<br />

the common acceptance of ‘analysis’, ‘collection’,<br />

‘counter<strong>in</strong>telligence’ and ‘covert action’ as the pr<strong>in</strong>cipal<br />

<strong>in</strong>telligence subdiscipl<strong>in</strong>es orig<strong>in</strong>ated or evolved.<br />

Future studies by Intelligence Studies’ historians and<br />

historiographers might well f<strong>in</strong>d that it was <strong>in</strong>fluenced<br />

by the organisational structur<strong>in</strong>g of some post-World<br />

War II, Western statutory <strong>in</strong>telligence services.<br />

Whatever the reason, this axiom is <strong>in</strong>congruent with<br />

reality.<br />

International specialists with a proven<br />

global reach <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>telligence research, risk<br />

analysis, strategic assessment, classroom<br />

& distance education.<br />

*****<br />

Client list of over 90 agencies globally <strong>in</strong><br />

twenty years of active operation.<br />

*****<br />

Production of analysis programs designed<br />

to suit <strong>in</strong>dividual client agency concerns<br />

and needs, and delivery anyw<strong>here</strong> <strong>in</strong> the<br />

world.<br />

*****<br />

Publishers of benchmark texts on<br />

<strong>in</strong>telligence and risk analysis research<br />

methodology and application, with more<br />

than 50 articles, manuals and books<br />

written on <strong>in</strong>telligence.<br />

www.<strong>in</strong>tstudycen.com<br />

www.<strong>in</strong>telligencecollege.com<br />

October 2012 <strong>Foreknowledge</strong> 19

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!