Download in PDF (2MB) here - Foreknowledge
Download in PDF (2MB) here - Foreknowledge
Download in PDF (2MB) here - Foreknowledge
You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles
YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.
● Analysis and collection are<br />
functional areas of activity<br />
performed with<strong>in</strong> all three<br />
pr<strong>in</strong>cipal discipl<strong>in</strong>es and as<br />
part of the collective all-discipl<strong>in</strong>e<br />
process. Notwithstand<strong>in</strong>g<br />
obvious<br />
similarities, t<strong>here</strong> are simultaneously<br />
significant differences<br />
<strong>in</strong> emphasis and<br />
methodology <strong>in</strong> the manner<br />
<strong>in</strong> which these functions are<br />
executed with<strong>in</strong> the respective<br />
primary discipl<strong>in</strong>es. In<br />
comparison with positive<br />
<strong>in</strong>telligence, counter<strong>in</strong>telligence<br />
analysis for one is<br />
more diverse <strong>in</strong> its scope,<br />
methodology and techniques.<br />
Cognisance is taken<br />
of the fact that some practitioners<br />
may categorise collection<br />
and analysis as<br />
‘discipl<strong>in</strong>es’ or ‘subdiscipl<strong>in</strong>es’.<br />
If so, then they are<br />
functional, not primary discipl<strong>in</strong>es.<br />
Be that as it may,<br />
functional areas are not limited<br />
to analysis and collection.<br />
The identification of<br />
further functional areas<br />
would require dedicated research<br />
and only ‘<strong>in</strong>telligence<br />
management’ is proposed as<br />
an addition <strong>here</strong>.<br />
● The <strong>in</strong>telligence process is<br />
performed by means of a<br />
multi-directional activity flow.<br />
The latter applies to the respective<br />
pr<strong>in</strong>cipal discipl<strong>in</strong>es,<br />
the functions and the<br />
comb<strong>in</strong>ation t<strong>here</strong>of <strong>in</strong> the<br />
all-discipl<strong>in</strong>e process.<br />
The contour provided above clearly<br />
requires considerable ref<strong>in</strong>ement<br />
and substantiat<strong>in</strong>g research. Notwithstand<strong>in</strong>g<br />
its cursory nature, the<br />
nexus holds out aga<strong>in</strong>st one of the<br />
litmus test for theories, namely conceptual<br />
clarification. The notional<br />
‘unclutter<strong>in</strong>g’ of the relationship<br />
between counter<strong>in</strong>telligence and<br />
transnational security concerns<br />
such as counter-proliferation (of<br />
Weapons of Mass Destruction –<br />
Conceptual nexus towards an all-discipl<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong>telligence process: Duvenage & Hough<br />
WMD), organised crime and counterterrorism<br />
serves as an example.<br />
While some scholars consider counterterrorism<br />
as part of counter<strong>in</strong>telligence,<br />
others assert<br />
counterterrorism to have “developed”<br />
<strong>in</strong>to a “separate <strong>in</strong>telligence<br />
discipl<strong>in</strong>e.” Counterterrorism is neither<br />
a separate <strong>in</strong>telligence discipl<strong>in</strong>e,<br />
nor is it part of<br />
counter<strong>in</strong>telligence. It is a security<br />
concern that <strong>in</strong>volves facets of positive<br />
<strong>in</strong>telligence, covert action as<br />
well as counter<strong>in</strong>telligence. The<br />
same applies to counter-proliferation<br />
and organised crime.<br />
Is this really helpful?<br />
This three part contribution demonstrated<br />
an abundance of fragmented<br />
knowledge of ‘what we know’ and<br />
‘what we th<strong>in</strong>k we know’ <strong>in</strong> as far<br />
as the <strong>in</strong>telligence process is concerned.<br />
What counter<strong>in</strong>telligence<br />
practitioners and scholars ‘do not<br />
know’ is how to structure these<br />
multi-facetted processes <strong>in</strong> a manner<br />
that satisfactorily meet model<br />
construction’s demand of reflect<strong>in</strong>g<br />
this reality <strong>in</strong> a simplified notional<br />
construct with real explanatory<br />
power.<br />
Similar to other contemporary models,<br />
the nexus above neither atta<strong>in</strong>s<br />
this evasive goal, nor does it escape<br />
several deficiencies cited <strong>in</strong> respect<br />
of other exist<strong>in</strong>g postulations. It<br />
should thus be viewed as part of<br />
the gradual progression towards to<br />
a viable <strong>in</strong>telligence process model.<br />
<strong>in</strong>sight<br />
Who knows perhaps it will be<br />
found to be a circle after all?<br />
1 Nolan, J A. 1997. “Confus<strong>in</strong>g Counter<strong>in</strong>telligence with<br />
Security Can Wreck Your Afternoon” Competitive<br />
Intelligence Review, 8(3)<br />
2 Article based on Petrus Duvenage and Mike Hough,<br />
2011, The conceptual structur<strong>in</strong>g of the <strong>in</strong>telligence<br />
and the counter<strong>in</strong>telligence processes: endur<strong>in</strong>g holy<br />
grails or crumbl<strong>in</strong>g axioms – quo vadis? Strategic<br />
Review for Southern Africa, vol. 33, no. 1, pp.29-77.<br />
<strong>Download</strong> <strong>here</strong>. (10MB pdf)<br />
3 The axiom of <strong>in</strong>telligence consist<strong>in</strong>g of the four pr<strong>in</strong>cipal<br />
discipl<strong>in</strong>es is thus contested. It is unclear how<br />
the common acceptance of ‘analysis’, ‘collection’,<br />
‘counter<strong>in</strong>telligence’ and ‘covert action’ as the pr<strong>in</strong>cipal<br />
<strong>in</strong>telligence subdiscipl<strong>in</strong>es orig<strong>in</strong>ated or evolved.<br />
Future studies by Intelligence Studies’ historians and<br />
historiographers might well f<strong>in</strong>d that it was <strong>in</strong>fluenced<br />
by the organisational structur<strong>in</strong>g of some post-World<br />
War II, Western statutory <strong>in</strong>telligence services.<br />
Whatever the reason, this axiom is <strong>in</strong>congruent with<br />
reality.<br />
International specialists with a proven<br />
global reach <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>telligence research, risk<br />
analysis, strategic assessment, classroom<br />
& distance education.<br />
*****<br />
Client list of over 90 agencies globally <strong>in</strong><br />
twenty years of active operation.<br />
*****<br />
Production of analysis programs designed<br />
to suit <strong>in</strong>dividual client agency concerns<br />
and needs, and delivery anyw<strong>here</strong> <strong>in</strong> the<br />
world.<br />
*****<br />
Publishers of benchmark texts on<br />
<strong>in</strong>telligence and risk analysis research<br />
methodology and application, with more<br />
than 50 articles, manuals and books<br />
written on <strong>in</strong>telligence.<br />
www.<strong>in</strong>tstudycen.com<br />
www.<strong>in</strong>telligencecollege.com<br />
October 2012 <strong>Foreknowledge</strong> 19