Building a Treeage Markov Model

Add information about the transition probabilities using the following table from the lecture notes:
9. Start by clicking immediately underneath the”Active” terminal branch of the “Remission” branch of the
Markov node, typing in “0.41,” and then “Enter.” Type in “0.00" for the transition probabilities for the
terminal branches “Flare” and “Death.” Type in “#” for the transition probability for the terminal node
“Remission.” The reason for this way of indicating probabilities will become obvious later in the exercise.
Add the other transition probabilities to the other terminal nodes. Use the pound sign (#) for the transition
probabilities for “Death” in the other terminal nodes.
Add information about the initial distribution of patients
The following table is from The lecture notes:
10. To start, click underneath the “Remission” branch of the Markov node and type in “0.10.” Add
numbers that correspond to the “Active” and “Flare”initial states, and use “#’ to indicate the value for
“Dead.”
Add values for the outcome variables
11. In this example, we will use two outcome variables. The first outcome variable will be a cost variable.
That variable is created using the probability of hospitalization, which is described in the following table
from the lecture notes:
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