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Investor Relations and Regulation FD

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Step 1: We estimate a firm’s propensity to have IR using a logit model that regresses the<br />

endogenous choice variable, IR, against a control vector, X, of firm <strong>and</strong> industry<br />

characteristics as of the fourth quarter 1999.<br />

Step 2: The predicted probabilities from the model are the propensity scores: PR(IR=1 |<br />

X) = P(X). We match each IR firm without replacement to the non-IR firm with the<br />

closest propensity score to form a sample of IR <strong>and</strong> matched control firms. 7<br />

We analyze how the IR firms’ disclosure, analyst, institutional investor, <strong>and</strong> information<br />

asymmetry variables evolve over time in the post-Reg <strong>FD</strong> period (fourth quarter of 2000 to<br />

fourth quarter of 2005) relative to the pre-Reg <strong>FD</strong> period (fourth quarter of 1999 to third quarter<br />

of 2000). Our main tests focus on the difference-in-difference analysis that compares the<br />

evolution of the IR firms versus the control non-IR firms.<br />

The main limitation of the design is similar to other Reg <strong>FD</strong> studies – we have only one<br />

event date. The benefit that prior studies gain from a shorter post-Reg <strong>FD</strong> window is less chance<br />

for economy-wide events. However, major economic events already contaminate even a one year<br />

post-Reg <strong>FD</strong> window as the regulation was implemented as the same time as the stock market<br />

downturn from the tech-bubble bursting <strong>and</strong> decimalization came into effect for NYSE/AMEX<br />

firms in 2001. Shorter windows, however, only capture the immediate reaction to the event,<br />

although firm responses may evolve over a longer period. For example, it takes time for firms to<br />

re-evaluate <strong>and</strong> alter their disclosure policy, <strong>and</strong> for analysts <strong>and</strong> institutional investors to make<br />

decisions to modify their relationship with the firm in the new regulatory environment.<br />

Compared to examining the entire population pre- <strong>and</strong> post-Reg <strong>FD</strong>, our matched sample design<br />

allows us to create a control sample that is simultaneously experiencing these economy-wide<br />

7 We impose the restriction that the propensity score of the matched firm has to be within 0.25 of the propensity<br />

score of the IR firm <strong>and</strong> on common support. IR firms without a non-IR match within the 0.25 caliper or not on the<br />

common support are not used.<br />

13

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